Trump's odds to win Repub have gone from about 70% to 46% in less than a few weeks.
Is there any hope?
I've been a Trump supporter through thick and thin. I bought all his books and highlighted all my favourite quotes in neon yellow highlighter. I watched every season of The Apprentice, and I took a selfie with my wife's son in front of Trump Tower, but this was the final straw.
Trump is stumped.
After his disgraceful comments on abortion, and the later flip flopping, I can no longer support him. He has proven to be a liberal, a pseudo-conservative, a homophobe, a right winger, a racist, a misogynist, a cry baby, and an untrustworthy, back-flipping demagogue.
I am now a CruzMissile.
>>69846161
>Is there any hope?
A contested convention is becoming more and more likely, so no.
Really? Damn, I should probably put some money on that. I really can't see anyone else getting the nomination
>>69846403
Never change straya. I am a big fan of your shit posting.
He was supposed to start being more presidential, he decided not to now he will lose
>>69846161
He needs like 500/950 remaining delegates and he's running against retarded people. His odds didn't drop. You were told his odds dropped by a shitty website. Quit being retarded.
>>69846161
He absolutely must win California to have any hope for the Republican nomination, otherwise he may as well just go third party
>>69846161
what happens if you put a thousand buckaroonies on Trump Cruz AND Kasich?
>>69846461
A contested convention is becoming more and more likely, so no.
i can't wait. its going to be fucking glorious. The implosion of the republican party is going to be the most delicious tears in decades.
>>69846161
>betting website
Are you being serious here? I almost thought you were a leafposter.
>>69846527
Actually betting wise I have seen +110 at Betfair, -102 at pinnacle, -110 at 5dimes
>>69846161
Trump losing the nomination at a contested convention is (at this point) the best possible outcome.
It will ensure that his anti-immigration message is carried forward by primary challengers in 2018 and 2020 elections.
If he were to win the nomination I believe he would lose in the general election to Hillary. His entire message would then be dissected and discarded as irrelevant because "it can't win elections".
Either way, the US is pretty much fucked. The only hope is the creation of a new identity after some paradigm shift in governance--most likely the continued automation of the workforce and replacement of mass numbers of workers with machines.
Why are Trump's numbers dropping exactly?
remember these are the same betting websites that had trump at a 10% chance to win.
i am sad
America needs the only thing that can save it, Canadian leadership. I am a proud #cruzmissle.
>No longer the front runner
>Is still the front runner
>>69847069
there's a happening lull. the biggest chunk of primaries and now we get to the sit and wait stage.
chris matthews baited him into a trap on abortion. this is pretty tame for a mistake though he'll recover soon enough.
>>69846161
The lower the odds, the higher the payout when he inevitably wins, right?
Someone's probably rigging the system.
Hmm, if the same people who said 70% a few weeks ago are now saying 46%, that kinda makes their 70% figure seem like it was probably way, way off.
But I'm sure that just because the 70% was way, way off, that doesn't mean the 46% is way, way off.
spotting the lib shills has never been easier
>>69846600
>shitty website
Mmmh k his odds went from about -250 to -102 at pinnacle
That reflects a 70% favorite dropping to less than 50%
Is the best online sportsbook in the world a shitty website?
>>69846958
The problem with Trump on immigration isn't the message itself, but rather how he's delivering it. Honestly, that's the main issue with his entire campaign. His stances on several issues are fairly decent (after he's flip-flopped a few times and figured out where he's standing).
The problem is he's been such an abrasive cunt ever since he started running that most people just won't listen to him. Political correctness is shit, yeah. But you don't need to go to the alternate extreme of being an obnoxious loudmouth that hurls insults for attention.
C-C-C-Combo Breaker
>>69846527
Let's honestly consider this, is there any hope that a contested republican convention will help the masses realize out "democracy" is a sham?
>>69846161
>giving Sanders more than 0% chance
These numbers are shit brah
>>69846161
The same exact thing happened with Rubio before Super Tuesday.
Bookies are baiting suckers.
>>69846161
Classic shill tactic of demoralization. We know all your tricks jew.
>>69847547
A top sportsbook 5Dimes has Cruz as a 90% favorite to win Wisconsin
You believe in a Fox News poll, I'll take the odds
It will sink even further after he loses Wisconsin and then make major recoveries after he cleans up in the Northeast states coming up.
>>69847650
it's based on betting odds. Why would jews waste their money....not very jewish thing to do
That's it, I quit being a Trump supporter I now officially support Kasich.
I've been saying this all along, vote with your ass.
>>69847650
The odds are the odds and if you refuse to recognize then load up all the money you have on Trump clown
I'm sure this poll is super objective and not biased at all
>>69846161
That means it's a great time to bet Trump. You can get the best of it right now.
Because you have to figure: if Trump doesn't win, okay... who does? I mean it's got to be somebody. And it's not going to be Ratface or Literally Who. So who's left?
>>69846161
>It's mathematically impossible for Kasich to win
>11.5%
Sure seems credible
>>69847351
>Is the best online sportsbook in the world a shitty website?
yes
>>69846958
>His entire message would then be dissected and discarded as irrelevant because "it can't win elections".
Taking that stance is tacitly admitting that white working class conservative voters are irrelevant. That's not a wise stance to take regarding the single largest armed and quasi militant segment of the American public.
Unless you think Hillary could somehow find a way to mollify millions of armed alienated and on edge white people things will get very ugly if she wins.
>>69847860
Contested convention, you dip.
>>69846403
fucking kek 9/11 would pasta again
>>69847945
Then that's a blatant steal
This site used to have Rubio as the betting favorite lmao
>>69846161
>massive leads in delegates and popular vote
>not the front runner
Fucking delusions shills
>>69847837
Actually, the best time will be after he loses Wisconsin Tuesday
Then he will make a comeback and win New York and a good chance to win most Northeast states
>>69848159
WELL UM, SHIT... THE ODDS ARE THE ODDS MMKAY???
>>69847826
This isn't a "poll"
Wouldn't expect my fellow Ameritards to understand betting odds when this joke of a country still makes sportsbetting illegal in 49 states
>>69846403
Thank God you people can't vote here in the States.
>>69848036
You can't steal something that no-one owns :^)
If a contested convention does happen, its because no-one met the requirement to claim the nomination as their own.
>>69847782
Boycotting elections is the dumbest shit ever.
It hands the people you hate victory with landslides, and no one will actually care about whatever political statement you were trying to make.
>>69848324
>not checking the flag
>not seeing it's a glorious straya funpost
shiggy
Two words: Third Act
Goddamnit, the Clinton woman is going to win.
Betting odds are not a direct measurement of who they think will win, they are also a measurement of how people are betting and above all else, betting values are set to make the company the most amount of money not necessarily choose winners (If betting sites could always choose the winner they wouldn't exist)
>>69847699
This, there's a lull in news and Wisconsin may well be a loss, but he doesn't need it. He's still up 10 points in California and going to sweep the NE region.
All Trump has to do to get the necessary delegates is continue to win half of the states, and Cruz's best states are behind him.
Even if he doesn't get the magic number, he'll have far more delegates than Cruz going into the convention and it'll be very hard (and suicidal for the party's chances in the general as well as the party's future) to take it away from him.
Also I don't see why the abortion thing is a gaffe anyway. I feel the exact same way. If you believe Abortion should be illegal, then it's because you consider it murder. If you believe that, then yes, you should have a punishment for it. You can't have it both ways like that guy interviewing him "well yes, I believe it's morally wrong but that has nothing to do with what I believe the law should be" I thought Trump made the guy interviewing him (what, Chris Matthews?) look like a fool for refusing to face the issue.
well, cruz went to north dakota hunting for delegates, and may have got most of them there
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/ted-cruz-north-dakota-delegates-221508
edit - it looks more likely that it's a brokered convention, and the GOPe have stacked the deck to elect their preferred candidate, most likely Ryan
>>69849090
It's a reflection of the worldwide betting market which is a hundred times better at predicting than any news agency or voting poll
>>69846578
>>69846403
Straya, you're a light in a dark world.
>>69846161
Looks like the pendulum is never gonna swing back. God I hate this country of cucks.
>>69848295
only jews have the money to bet
so either way, it's the jews
>>69849346
They should know that they're going to lose the election if they do that. I would wager that Cruz also getting fucked in the convention would spark a third party Trump-Cruz campaign that literally every Republican would defect to.
>>69849558
GOPe is fine with Hillary winning.
>>69849620
Republicans aren't, and Republicans are armed. It would not surprise me to see heads roll in the Republican Party if they pull fuckery like that.
>>69849558
Political establishment of the GOP would rather Hillary win than Trump, since Hillary is part of the establishment. They've essentially decided that this election is lost regardless, and are just waging war with Trump to guarantee a convention.
>>69847782
>nigga nigga nigga
Thanks for saving me time, I was going to read that.
>>69849620
If they do a brokered convention it will cause republican politicians to get out of power due to angry voters and they aren't delusional to not be aware of it.
>>69846161
Remember when Rubio was a 60% favorite just 2 months ago? Bettors don't know shit about politics.
>>69847782
This is stupid reasoning at least vote third party if both candidates suck dick (like in 2012). Also local elections are very important.
Soo when the real election starts?
>>69850308
200+ days until the real election.
>>69846639
Except the republican party is hated by pretty much everyone on both sides. The GOP literally only cares about their establishment old dogs and maintaining power by working with the leftists. I will be happy to see them be eradicated forever.
He's still the Republican front runner, OP.
>>69850363
They're reactionaries. They have no idea what's happening, but they're scared and want the status quo. They're willing to make minor sacrifices if the status quo is generally maintained (ie. letting 11 million Mexicans stay), but that's it. They want their money bags to stay their money bags.
The idea of a pure and powerful America is utterly meaningless to them except insofar as it benefits them directly.
>>69848036
No shit. They've been planning to steal it from the beginning.
>>69849853
Numerous establishment folks have made it clear that Trump is just fine by them, he's establishment enough. Only, it's not fine that he loses so big to Hillary in the general--especially among women--as such a loss would adversely affect all the down ticket races.
>>69850363
This.
The GOP is actually the best friend of the leftists because it doesn't care about anything other then tax breaks for their billionaire owners and only held onto some voters because of some lip service to Christians. The implosion of the GOP could bring about a truly nationalist party into american politics. One that understands that giving up on the culture war for some tax breaks for a couple millionaires is not a good trade.
>Implying it matters
>Implying trump winning will make a difference
>Implying anything less than a violent upheaval of the political system will change anything
Ebin post my friend!
>>69846403
>wife's son
Ever so subtle.
8/10
>>69846161
/pol/ on suicide watch
How many of your promised to leave the country when Hillary wins?
What plans have you made? where will you go? Who will take you in and give you a comfy basement with free Internets? Who will change all your piss bottles for you?
Here's a thread for you to browse while you think about it: -- >>>/aco/483191
>>69846161
Stick a quarter up your asshole and fucking see if three come out, you fucking faggot. Get fucked.
Nice post Dan Gabriel. Applied Memetics is still hard at work here!
>>69846161
Nope he couldn't just shut his fat mouth once he was ahead.
>>69853829
The constant unrelenting Jew shill campaign against him is going hotter than ever.
But he will win, it's going to be hilarious.
>>69853906
his own party will sabotage him. Who needs enemies when he has friends like that.
Trump is really fucking blowing it lately
>>69846958
hillary won't win the general.
no one likes her
>No longer the front runner
Really? Who's the new front runner?
>>69846639
if they fuck trump out of the nomination (regardless of whether he stands a chance against clinton) then the republican party will be dead for good. they will be so divided they will never be able to get enough demographics together to win another election.
the republicans who voted for trump wouldn't even care, they hate the republican establishment more than anything, they see the establishment as nothing but globalist hacks who give no shit about the USA, only their corporate profits. they're cuckservatives who betrayed their own country and people, putting the whole nation up for sale at the expense of the people.
>>69846161
>Is there any hope?
Panama leaks
>>69854004
>his own party will sabotage him
They will not, they have tried and failed harder the more they try.
Anyway a convention would end up going Trump's way.
>>69846639
Nah son, that honor will go to the Dem convention when the superdelegates stick to their guns with Hillary and all the Bernouts realize they starved themselves to death donating to a failed economic ideology.
HOLY SHIT QUICK BUY YES SHARES FOR TRUMP
EASY MONEY
These fucking idiots think Wisconsin will have any impact on the nominee hahaha
I can't wait til he loses Wisconsin. I'll be here to read all the asshurt from suicidal trump cucks.
Get fucked bigots, you will never win.
>>69854596
we've seen this shit happen before with anti establishment candidates the establishment will always put its interests ahead of the voters even if it means one side loses out to the other.
Trump has to win by KO and at the way he is running his mouth at the moment tells me he wont.
>>69846403
*slow clap*
>>69846403
Noice.
Seriously I can't wait until Trump has the nomination and can go after Hildabeast full time, he's going to destroy her.
>>69847908
Than bet your life savings on it if that odds hold that much value to you. Put your money where your mouth is
>>69853906
>Trump will win
> It's gonna be hhuuuuuggee!!
> Big! It'll be bigger than you can imagine.
> it'll be even bigger than the Romney landslide
I was here all day and all night during the Romney landslide, drinking salty, salty tears.
It was hillaryious. Still chuckle over it.
I don't get it, why doesn't he just stop talking? I thought he was smart, and maybe he is, but why would you continue throwing extremist ideas while you already secure the lead?
Why not give concessions to win more moderates? Although radical Islam is a huge problem he seriously won't admit that there are some decent American Muslims. That's literally all people need to hear to say "oh, maybe he's not a racist after all", and more importantly, they will consider him "electable"
What is your prediction of what will happen when Hillary gets elected.
>>69846403
>>69846403
Now this is shit posting!
>>69847069
Trump probably wouldn't survive a contested convention. He's unexpectedly going to lose Wisconsin, so it's becoming more and more likely he won't get a majority of delegates to avoid it. Pundits/journalists are calling it Trump's Waterloo.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/
http://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-wisconsin-waterloo-1459465004
Good riddance
>>69847069
betters are speculative like anyone else and Trump had a bad week of media spin so people think it ruined him
he's undervalued now so buy up
Trump's supporters know media spin is fake so his support isn't really changing
