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Last thread so bad the hot pocket man deleted it edition
>Ladbrokes life sub-edition

Previous thread >>64041599(Cross-thread)

>Helpful links
http://pastebin.com/mDAydpyK

>/bet/ wiki
http://slashbetslash.wikia.com/wiki//bet/_Wikia

>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
http://pastebin.com/tPXwjDi6

>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
http://pastebin.com/SVqUYKbf

>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/betting-tracker-excel
>>
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First for elite model
>>
>>64068843

2nd for it's probably a shit model
>>
>>64068843
If your model is so elite and shrewd why don't you post it so we can see for ourselves
>>
>>64068844
>>
Sake people keep it in the OP

>bubblegum guide
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vC0HV1oOOwiDdmufn4CJX4Nrsg4B8MUwBLWE5i5oRN0/edit?pli=1#gid=0&vpid=B2
>>
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I aced 3/4 of my NFL 4 team teaser... am I a fag for hedging?
Also, rooting hard for the Kekboys to win by 1
>>
>>64068878

I may as well post it in /r/soccerbetting for all the muggy little slugs
>>
>>64068894
And what would be the harm in that?
>>
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>>64068843
same man
>>
>>64068940
>>64068843
what do you do? put each sides recent results in and calculate how many have over __ goals and then divide 1 by that percentage?
>>
>>64068940

>Adds up to 109%

m8
>>
SA Spurs ml 1/14
TOR Raptors ml 1/12
MIA HEAT ml 4/21
CHI Bulls ml 5/14

Stake : 200
Total return : 375.06
Profit : 175.06

R8 lids
Any suggestions to this 100% easy money ticket I just made for everyone ?
>>
>>64068980
i knew there was a reason i was dac!
>>
>>64068973

Shots on Target, Shots off target, Possession, Goals, Chances Created, Attack Factor (my secret formula) and oppoenent defence are all taken into account
>>
>>64068989
change raptors to raptors -12.5 for even more easy money
>>
>>64068989
Stop being a ML pussy
>>
How much is the Kurt Drago group? He seems good for Malta
>>
>>64069017
Could you show the formula for one of the over cells? Curious to see how complex it is
>>
>>64069045

Prolly just a simply Poisson distribution. If you can calculate the number of goals the home and away are expected to score then it is relatively simple. That is the hard bit though.
>>
>>64069017
That's nice, but the bookies have algorithms which are far more complex and accurate, not to mention a fucktonne more data. Good luck though
>>
>>64068989
>SA Spurs ml 1/14
>TOR Raptors ml 1/12
>MIA HEAT ml 4/21
>CHI Bulls ml 5/14
don't know what any of this means
>>
>>64069104

which bookies exactly.

Odds are just controlled by the weight of money in Asia and on BF to my knowledge.
>>
>>64069017
you forgot altitude, thank me later lid
>>
Kurt Drago wants £500 on Lothian Thistle
>>
>>64069031
10 or 15
>>
>>64069105
San Antonio Spurs Moneyline @ 1/14 i.e. 1.07
Toronto Raptors Moneyline @ 1/12 i.e. 1.0825
Miami Heat Moneyline @ 4/21 i.e. 1.19
Chicago Bulls Moneyline @ 5/14 i.e. 1.35
They're NBA teams
>>
>>64069105

basketball teams accompanied by stupidly confusing and unnecessary American odds.

explain to me why America continues to use the more difficult option every time? Why wont you guys convert to the payout per dollar model that is the easiest to identify?
>>
>>64069196
Thick cunt detected
>>
The things I'd do for an unlimitable 365, think I'd actually consider cutting off a limb, maybe a hand or foot etc. Worth it in the long run imo.
>>
>>64069187
>4/21
has science gone too far?
>>
tears iffin yall aint on Levante toscore 1 in 2nd half boys
>>
>>64069219
>he doesn't know
>>
>>64069105
Guy who made the bet here, I also just started and get confused by a lot of stuff, money line it basically means that I put the team will win, and the odds are more clear if you do the division or put 1 dollar, pound whatever for each one and it gives you this >>64069187
Still don't know when there are times to do stuff like this >>64069024 so i'm just a >>64069028
for now
>>
>>64069227
I don't get it
>>
need goals in the palace everton match like W.A.T.E.R over G.I.L.L.S
>>
>>64068843
>>64068940
I don't understand what is happening here
>>
Kurt simply surreal, paying for my holiday and my rent
>>
>>64069270
I think it's a reference to marijuana
>>
>>64069325
zzz bet kurt drago employs a carer the gormless looking prick
>>
>>64069280

are you watching the game? who's more likely to score?
>>
>>64069344
zzzzzzzz envious little slug, love to see you tip like him. Please have sex you dullard.
>>
Huntly feeling the FATIGUE, imagine all those hours on a cramped bus with no way to stretch their legs.
>>
>>64069104

Like what? All the stats are available to anyone if you look for them.

Please tell me what secret stat the bookies are using.
>>
Tears if you weren't on my everton corner tip
>>
>>64069270
>>64069340
No. It is about how stupid the fraction 4/21 is.
When fractional odds where used in the past, they were always one of a limited number of fractions. Now they just use stupid fractions.
>>
>missing the fix

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/darts/35024363
>>
>>64069359
http://freefootylive.net/whereisgarry/

Everton looking more likely but you never know with EPL games
>>
>>64069407
you WILL NOT find the bookies pricing something up at 13/1, just does not happen
>>
>>64069359
everton have had 6 more shots and 7 more dangerous attacks. Either side could score though.
>>
>>64069391

actually laughed at this thankyou
>>
>>64069500
It's not a laughing matter, -0.25 is a world bet
>>
>>64069428
Good old school meme.
>>
been checking results of r/soccerbetting tips since seeing it posted here yesterday. So far the majority of tips are not just wrong, they are massively off the mark. Lel, trusting bets on football from people who call it soccer.
>>
Huntly left back having a cheeky lie down because he's so TIRED
>>
State of my head
>>
Need goals in the Everton game
>>
Ball played through to the Huntly striker and he was literally caught NAPPING, jump on Lothian -0.25
>>
IMAGINE NOT BEING ON EVERTON -1 CORNER
>>
>>64069219
You know postmen aren't well paid...
>>
>>64069671
not this again
>>
Can't believe Everton
Heads gone, chased so much on dnb
>>
>>64069686
I could probably sell my system to Mackers for tens of thousands, but I much prefer seeing him suffer and slowly but surely bankrupt himself :^)
>>
>>64069710
unlucky desu, Everton should have scored this game no doubt
>>
Huntly keeper propped up against the goalpost snoozing, did a 12 hour nightshift and then couldn't stretch his legs on the bus down
>>
Everton you fucking cunts
>>
>DACember
When will it end, losing hundreds every day
>>
>not betting on pardew
shiggy
>>
3333333

Pmsl Huntly defender on the floor having a nap and striker tripped over him, wasn't even a pen
>>
Need Everton winner like A I R
>>
>>64069800
>
>>
please hold Crystal palace
>>
A I R
>>
Think it was the keeper sent off. Red, sub, pen.
>>
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>had Lukaku first goalscorer
>he scores second
>>
>betting on pardew
shiggy
>>
>>64069833
The keeper was napping against the post in my meme and not on the floor so it didn't fit to say keeper got the red, do keep up.
>>
>>64069839
What firm? Some will give you a refund
>>
Huntly have a defender in nets now, no memeing
>>
>>64069196
Surprised you got away with that bait t bh
>>
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>>64069864
Kenny Paterson @paterson_kenny 7m7 minutes ago
@lthvf 3 Huntly 0, Smith pen 81, Hobday sent off for Huntly.
>>
Imagine not being on Panama+7
>>
>>64069942
Wow! You're so shrewd! Really wish I possessed 1% of your elite betting skills, not to mention the ability to use both Twitter and Google
>>
>>64069942
You really are thick, I'm well aware the keeper was sent off
>>
>evertone
>>
>>64069975

Calm down Joseph
>>
>>64069942
>>64069902
>not scoring again

>>64069971
Wew lad. I was just saying.

>>64069975
Meant to reply to myself desu
>>
>Betsafe had btts in USA slags game at 500/1
Ffs was definitely worth a quid or two
>>
>>64069986
You're a strange, odious individual
>>
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On grimsby and everton draw @11.4
>>
>people aren't special staking Army +22 this weekend
Udder udder
>>
>>64069987
When? which game?
>>
>>64070009
Please have sex, no one cares about your slimy aftertiming or your £20 win
>>
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>>64070009
Was this you awhile back?
>>
>>64070022
Proxy off Lithuania
>>
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>>64070047
yeah haha

>>64070038
seems like you are the one who needs sexual intercourse mate
>>
>>64070022
USA v Panama u20 just now, stupidly big price
>>
>>64070017
Guess I'm taking +23 in my bookie
>>
>>64070047
>he cashed out
tears @ him desu
>>
>>64070068
You had it all and you blew it ;_;
>>
>>64070068

Nah he's right, we never have and never will care about your aftertiming on muggy shite.
>>
should I start betting for my parents? their only source of income is their jobs, I'd like to help them out with some money, they supported me financially my whole life
>>
>>64070119
I know, I was with friends not paying any attention and just clicked cash out then Aguero scores 90 min just after. Ah well

>>64070133
Im aware its muggy shite, how is that aftertiming?. I'm not exactly like TEARS IF YOU DIDNT' GET ON THESE TWO DRAWS MUGS SO OBVIOUS. Not exactly going to tip that. It's the bookies money i'm winning
>>
>>64070191
>how is posting about winning bets AFTER they win aftertiming?

This isn't your blog you slimy mug
>>
Is bovada the best bookie for live betting? Speaking about books americans use obviously.
>>
>>64070212
slimy DAC slug go cry about it on your blog
>>
>>64070225
I am up 87 times as much as your £20 win today you dullard
>>
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TEARS if you didn't get on the Dallas ML @ 2.65. Look at it now, a meagre 2.25.
>>
>>64070242
Yeah fair play. Not gonna cry about other people feeling good about winning bookies money. I won £50 anyway which helps DACember. You're the one crying about a couple of words on 4chan
>>
>>64070191
It is aftertiming. Nobody expects you to tip that but if I wanted to read about what stupid bets other people have won then I would follow footyaccums on twitter
>>
Honduras U20 slags volleyball set 3 +5.5 LARGE
>>
Ladbrokes STILL hasn't paid out on the fix zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
>>
>>64070328
If it was down to you there would be 5 posts a day on /bet/
>>
>>64070223
In my opinion it is
>>
365 gave me a TWENTY FIVE POUND loyalty bonus.

Has anyone else ever got that? I must be loyal as fuck.
>>
>>64070242
1740? Doubt anyone on here makes that much desu
>>
>>64070467
How much have you lost?
>>
>>64070365

Yet again you missed the point. If I had my way /bet/ would be a discussion about bets people should take, preferably not mainstream stuff but it is to be expected and shitposting about random stuff during the quiet times when there's nothing to bet on. Posts like >>64070009 are the worst and add nothing to the thread whatsoever. You would've thought for as long as you've been here you would've realised those type of bets you make are just stupid
>>
>>64070359
Good. Serves you right for funding terrorism you scruffy meff
>>
>>64070494

I'm not that guy but its entirely plausible someone has made that much desu, I'm presuming you're quite new here
>>
>>64070494
Joe and BT do
>>
>>64070507
>If I had my way /bet/ would be a discussion about bets people should take
If I had my way /bet/ would be a spoonfeeding me

zzzzzz
>>
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>>64070507
Just one little post though cuz im sick of being DAC, 100s of posts are things like MACKERS. And tbf it was a freebet
>>
>>64070467
u prob lost about 250 to get that lel
>>
>>64070494
Entirely possible to make that with just a limited 365/sky/mara with the right game
>>
>>64070331
HUP HUP HUP

Surreal line!
>>
>>64070561
I'm up more t bh
>>
>>64070605
BIGBOY
I
G
B
O
Y
>>
>literally not a single match in play right now

december zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
>>
>>64070467
lol, i get the loyalty bonus on a bi-weekly basis. how tiny are your rolls lads LOL
>>
Putting every bet I place in a double with Army +22. If this doesn't come in you should be looking over your shoulder for a VERY long time >ameribets :^)
>>
>>64070593

>implying I don't contribute to the conversation on what to bet on
>>
>>64070621
What are lays like on a totally limited mara/sky. My last mara accounts all were limited to 1 quid max, skybet not much better, agree with you on 365s a limited 365 is still a top account to have
>>
>>64070636
V rare for good games to be on at this time any month, December has been ok, will be shite this time next week onward though
>>
>>64070636
yea its tez, but atleast you're not losing money on shitty lotto bets right now because you just HAVE to bet on something
>>
Knew Euan would get his greasy mitts on that price nice and early. Enjoying your 50 quid lay you frogspawn?
>>
Can't stop farting
Won't stop farting
>>
>>64070758
Worst gimmick
>>
>>64070695
Not me. I saw it as well and was tempted to prestake it @ 2.25 but I was waiting to later to see if more market would go up. I have £1250 max stake. Want some on?
Plenty of more games though that will SURELY be priced. Getting my spotty student £1k lays on them when they go up.
>>
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This is not /r9k/....
>>
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>>64070758
>tfw could smell my shitty sweaty ass crack because I'd run out of wet wipes and had to use normal TP.

>mfw people actually wipe with dry tp and not wet wipes.
>>
>>64070768
Not even on 1x for me to get my 36 quid lay lid
>>
There is literally no reason you shouldn't want Don as president unless you're a stinking shitskin terrorist. Absolutely based
>>
>>64070791
This, always have skids when I just use normal tp, impossible to do a proper job
>>
>>64070796
>>64070768
>>64070695
What game lids? Ukraine slags?
>>
>>64070762
Your displeasure only increases the frequency of my farts :^)
>>
Who /Sao Cristovao Saude | Sao Caetano/ here?
>>
who /research/ here?
>>
>>64070853
Rodyna

Euan gives the game away so easy
>>
>>64070883
Doing some right now lad. Just finished an extraction and am running it through HPLC MSMS as we speak
>>
>>64070902
>posting it here so everyone gets their greasy tenners on
top top stuff
>>
>>64070988

>muh edge

zzzzzzz
>>
>>64070964
You broke bad?
>>
>>64070988
Just got my flat mate to open a new 365, drilled it as will be in bed at ko, cheers for heads up
>>
>>64071008
No, I just measure levels of drugs in people's blood. I'm always scared I'll break one of the machines, especially since they cost about as much as a house ($500,000 each and there's 4 in the lab)
>>
>>64070988
Yeah thanks for ruining the value for the rest of us with your needless attention seeking you dickhead.
>>
>/bet/ moves lines

This meme still going?
>>
>>64071113
>can't be asked
Why do people say this? Isn't it can't be arsed?
>>
>>64071113
>Couldn't be asked

It's 'Couldn't be arsed' liddo.
>>
>>64071113
is that you mackers?
>>
>>64071133
do you even need to ask?
>>
>>64071121
Not a meme. Please think before posting.
>>
>>64071121
We literally do though
>>
>>64071113
did you violently shake your mother when she brought you spaghetti hoops on toast for tea?
>>
>>64071133
>>64071136
It's the Reddit poster boys

>>64071144
>>64071149
So much implying. Literally no concrete proof of this whatsoever
>>
>>64071121
Utterly deluded if you think Euan mentioning Rodyna in here is without consequences.
>>
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Alright lads, post an image of what you think all of us look like
>>
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>>64071167
Just you slow down with those accusations. I didnt mention it at all.
>>
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>>
anyone else stupid enough to lose 600 on the patriots yesterday? shit killed all my feels. i need something to rebound with
>>
>>64071167
But it has been mentioned and it hasn't changed price.
>>
>>64071113
Take out a wonga loan and win it all back on a Juve, PSV, PSG, Galatasaray accy tomorrow
>>
>>64071218
Rodyna SW m8 go for it
>>
UTTER TEARS

The Dallas ML is dropping like a brit getting his chin tested by a canadian.
>>
>>64071166
Because you have fallen into the trap of "HURRRR a bunch of tiny bets can't possibly move a line" when they can.
How many bets on a single bookies do you think a game from that league sees when correctly priced? How suspicious do you think bookies would get of suddenly 50 different accounts betting on it regardless of stake size and all on the same side of the line? Do you think it would not raise a red flag? Do you think they do not have software developed to catch betting patterns like that? Do you think they wouldn't move the line if not outright suspend markets for fear of losing out massively when inplay came around or word spread further of a potential misprice?
It is ENTIRELY logical that several small bets from several accounts on a very obscure game will move a line. It in entirely illogical to suggest that it will not.
>>
>>64071234
It wasn't evens when mentioned in here.
>>
>>64071113

M-mark?
>>
>>64071218
is this who i think it is?
>>
Just put £25 on Rodya or whatever it is lol

cheers euan uac
>>
max stake on Rodya 100 of my finest sterling </3
>>
IMAGINE pre staking a ukrainian slags cup game the night before

IMAGINE killing your account for that
>>
>>64071166
pmsl, clueless slug. PLEASE trip up do I can filter you and your utter opinions
>>
>>64071184
>>64071195
P E T E R
Heard J West was involved in the night out, no invite for Rossy Boy though, tears!
>>
>>64070695
Look at what you've started because you couldn't keep your mouth shut

Pmsl, fool
>>
>>64071244
Good post. Mackers used to get 30 people or so with limited accounts to back the -ev side of a game to increase the price of the good side
>>
Sums on Rodyna ty Euan
>>
>>64071244
>50 different accounts

Try 10 at most from /bet/ who will prestake this early. I'm not disputing what you said although maybe a bit exaggerated but its illogical to think we are the only ones who would be betting on this. PGA however have far greater numbers than us and move lines so maybe if it gets stolen from here then value goes.

>>64071248
I looked just after Euans post to find out what he was talking about and it was evens then
>>
>>64071298

I cant be limited so its alright.
>>
Just had to ring my gran to get her to open a 365 for me, stupid bitch had no idea what I was taking about at first, got there in the end, managed 200 on in total. Better win Euan you cunt, not buying any christmas presents if they don't win
>>
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>>64071183
Pic related is MetaKnight
>>
>>64071113
don't do it
>>
>>64071348
It's moved down to evens, don't think any odds sites have shown this but it definitely has, even Euan could vouch for this if he had any bottle
>>
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>>64071357
>>64071156
You are my favourite
>>
>>64071348
>its illogical to think we are the only ones who would be betting on this
Sure nobody is saying we are the only ones doing this but the point is we would be contributing to the line shift. Plus if enough people from here get on as it gets hyped then its feasible that the bets from here alone would make it shift. Yeah at this point probably not but say people keep talking about it then its feasible 50 people in here could get on eventually.
>>
>>64071374
/bet/ has never moved a line the night before. That isnt saying it CANT be done if we tried.
>>
>>64071348
No it wasn't, it was 2.15.
>>
>>64071395

it literally moved you fucking mong.
>>
>going to be in a meeting at half 10

so ill
>>
For anyone interested, I did get all the money from the guatemalan bet where both 1X and X2 had odds over 2, so it was indeed /freemoney/
>>
>>64071395
The line literally moved after the word Rodyna was posted on here
>>
Anyone wanna fight tomorrow?
>>
>>64071460
Congrats lid, love seeing them bookie cunts getting smacked
>>
>>64071438
>>64071466
Euan just doesn't want it to look like it was his big mouth that moved it.
>>
Fargo S U R R E A L desu
>>
About to smack Rodyna watch the line move lids.
>>
>>64071473
Would be over the moon to sample the sturdyness of your chin mate.
>>
Can sense Euan sipping on his half coke right now, sickening.
>>
>>64071501
Haven't watched any of this series yet, need to get on it desu.
>>
>>64071500
He needs to learn, stupid cunt. How long has he been gambling for? Brain of a goldfish
>>
>>64071374
>>64071398

I know its moved down but I seen it at evens before this >>64070902 was posted so I'm saying it wasn't us. How many people actually here have genuinely got money on this bet already? (slips as proof pls)

>>64071392
One anon posting simply posting Rodyna isn't going to get 50 people hyped though is it. I'm not saying we can't move lines because we probably can but it just doesn't happen
>>
EUAN WANTS 50 QUID ON RODYNA
>>
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>>64071527
I put some greasy tenners on it
>>
>>64071527
>it just doesn't happen
USVI?
>>
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>>64071527
It wasn't evens before it was posted in here and that's fact.
>>
>>64071550
Pmsl
>>
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>>64071183
>>
Just had a cheese and salt and vinegar crisp sarnie, was dece.
>>
>>64071574
Cheers lad. Should be the next OP desu
>>
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>>64071574

>0-10

i likethis
>>
I don't think Dallas is actually going to win.
>>
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>>64071183
this is honestly how i picture all of the trips on this thread. how accurate am i?
>>
I think we all need to chill out a bit, it's midnight, getting a bit heavy in here...

Are you familiar with the term, "laughter is the best medicine"? It's true. When you laugh, your brain releases endorphins, your stress hormones reduce and the oxygen supply to your blood is increased. I try to laugh several times a day because it makes you feel good.

Let's try that. Who-hoo-hoo. Ha ha ha.
>>
>>64071574

>euan not a half-coke
>>
>>64071550
I'm going to take it this anon is the only one?

>>64071553
Literally /bet/s most hyped game ever. Mackers and co were trying to boost the other side by backing with limited accounts with no success which means there must've a reasonable amount of liquidity in the game and hard to say /bet/ alone moved the line

>>64071556
Going to have agree to disagree because there is no way of proving the price when I seen the line

>>64071574
10/10
>>
>>64071658
*laughs*
PGA?
>>
>>64071677
Ironically actually did make me laugh
>>
Spent most of the evening wondering who is behind this new Kurt Drago gimmick, I'm responsible for well over half of the gimmicks regularly used here so I've seen a few in my time, but the amount of posts referencing Kurt is so damn high I'm thinking multiple people thought this up and bombarded /bet/ with Kurt posts early on in the gimmick lifestyle. Boy oh boy it's worked, hats off to you/you guys
>>
>>64071667
I was gonna edit it but couldn't be arsed.
>>
>>64071686
>I'm responsible for well over half of the gimmicks regularly

>>>>impersonating me
>>
Need an NBA bet like air
>>
>>64071686
Think it's one guy. Also don't think it's been pushed too hard yet.
>>
http://youtu.be/l0f-2P3luxU
>>
>>64071715
raptors -12
>>
>>64071686
>>64071701

List of gimmicks please. Want to see how many you 2 will try claim to be yours when in fact they are mine
>>
>>64071718
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I6j12LLIm1M
>>
>>64071730
I pioneered the dominos gimmick and utter utter.
>>
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wins desu
>>
>>64071718

lol
>>
>>64071728

on
>>
>>64071686
F A T
A
T

D A D D Y
A
D
D
Y
>>
EUAN WANTS ON FINNIE'S KNICKERS
>>
>>64071730
MACKERS WANTS xK ON X
Matthew Stevens (rip)
Walking the dog
Heads gone
Cat/mum/gran breakdowns
>>
>>64071793
fuck's sake i meant mackers
>>
>>64071802
Made me laugh
>>
>>64071744
>>64071794

Fair play lids. Keep up the good work
>>
>>64071794
>Heads gone

Stolen from PGA, rest are shit.
>>
>>64071794

walking the dog isnt a gimmick you cunt
>>
Reminder I invented the best and most widely used gimmick 'Please have sex'.
>>
>>64071794
who came up with the meme of calling memes gimmicks when the gimmicks are actually proper memes
>>
I invented the most widely used gimmick that no one knows is a gimmick
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>>64071838
>>64071838
>best and most widely used

Its a shit one desu
>>
>>64071817
Thanks, always nice to hear from the fans
>>64071819
I can't lie, PGA is a major inspiration for my work. Sorry to hear that, what gimmicks do you like?
>>64071824
Hmm, don't see the thinking behind that, it's a solid gimmick in my book

I also invented the, test your chin, scruffy meff, fight me irl, meet me for a straightener but I consider these slight variations of one singular, all encompassing gimmick
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>>64071862
That you're profitable?
>>
>>64071889
That my name is Euan.
>>
I invented the forklift driver gimmick, embarrassingly big achievement for me desu
Thread replies: 255
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