IT'S HAPPENING
THE BIG CHOKE
IS HAPPENING
>league position of teams that Barcelona will face until the end of the league season
11, 15, 13, 14, 17, 18
It's really not happening
>>66702194
just 2 draws and it's all over baby
>>66702414
IF Atleti wins every single game.
Barça needs 5 victories out of 6 games. The odds it's not happening are almost non existant.
>>66702194
>polack bangwagoner damage control AGAIN
kek
KEK
they played at 80% against real madrid to get ready for atletico in the much more important champions league, so they lost
they easily beat atletico even though they parked the bus
they lost today in a game they were not expected to win, since they haven't beat real sociedad there in 9 years
now they'll easily win the rest of the shitty games and ronaldo can come to MLS
>>66703540
>they easily beat atletico
Lel
>>66703417
What is there to "damage control" exactly?
Barca are essentially 4 points clear of AM and 5 clear of RM.
They've won 24/32 league games which is 0.75
so:
Pr(0 draws or losses) = 0.75^6 =0.178
Pr(1 draw or loss) is a little trickier. They can get 1 choose 6 ways to draw/lose once. There is a total of 2^6 outcomes for the 6 matches if loss/draw is considered same outcome which in effect it is.
So Pr(1 draw or 0 draws) = 6/2^6 + 0.178 = 0.27
So Pr(2 or more fails) = 1-0.27 = 0.73
Atleti must win all matches:
They have 23/32 wins:
Pr(Atleti wins all 6) = 0.72^6 = 0.138
Pr(Atleti is champ) = Pr(atleti wins 6)*Pr(barca fails twice) = 0.10
AtM has a 10% chance to become champions
>>66703540
>easily beat Atletico
Did you even watch it? They only scraped a win thanks to refball. Atletico got an away goal anyway
>>66703664
sport doesnt work like this
>>66703707
the best defense in the world parked the bus and they still lost, easy win for barcelona next game
>>66703888
they had 10 men
>>66703955
your mum had 11 men in her and still got raped by germany
>>66703796
I know, but >>66702970 said th odds were almost non existant
5 (if chance that barca wins a game) to 10% is not non existant odds, by some measurement
>>66704045
lol holy shit
>>66704045
holy fuck
>>66704045
oh my God
>>66704045
holy fuck
>>66703888
it was refball
>>66704045
t. arab farcelona fan
>>66704341
>>66704282
>>66703417
>that one buttblasted Canadian Real Madrid fan who's in every Barcelona/Messi thread
>>66704386
why would I be butblasted?
we're winning cl and league
>>66704386
>you have to be a madrid "fan" to hate cancerlona
>>66704617
You're proving his right. Well done.
>>66704729
>barca bandwagoners
>>66704896
Nope, just pointing you out for the piece of shit you are.
Neck yourself.
>>66704729
>defending barca
>>66704896
defending RM
>>66704987
RM is cancerous
tfw I hate both Madrid and Barca
>>66704987
>fat yank misses the point
What a surprise.
>>66705050
how unique my fellow bayern fan
>>66702132
>messhit
what's the big hype with this guy? he's dogshit
The last time Barca lost in Anoeta they got their shit together and raped everyone in their tracks to get another treble.
>>66704045
Rekt.
>>66704045
Fucking roasted
I like Barca but if they play anything like they've been playing the last three games, Athletico are going to knock them out of the CL.
They got a 2-1 at home against a 10 men Athletico, literally all Athletico need to do is score 1 goal and park the bus. Real Sociedad has managed to do it, so it wouldn't be out of reach for Athletico at all.
