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Christian edition
4-3 sub edition
Previous thread: >>63829140
>Helpful links
http://pastebin.com/mDAydpyK
>/bet/ wiki
http://slashbetslash.wikia.com/wiki//bet/_Wikia
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
http://pastebin.com/tPXwjDi6
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
http://pastebin.com/SVqUYKbf
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/betting-tracker-excel
>JAMES "AFTERTIME IS WHEN I'M IN MY PRIME" LUXTON
first for suposed shrewdies being clueless on mainstream specials
Aguero is gonna score, right?
TYBOP
football matches are a half-hour long sub-sub edition
8th for correctly priced
>Shrewsbury
>>63848054
Lux on Watford +0.25 from here
22222222222222
NICK GOFF ABSOLUTELY BLOWN THE FUCK OUT
muh trap games
Up morally justifiable sums
Sat here chuckling to myself at all the pseudo shrewdie doubters
How could you be so clueless to not see this is one of the best bets of the 21st century, baffling.
Reminder that Euan is one of the biggest anon shitposters on here
all my bets are ruined already
Is Will Wilde the only true shrewdie?
https://twitter.com/WildeWill/status/670605166928904193
On Ebbsfleet -1 tbqh, 3-0 up already v a team 2 divs below and smacking.
Ebbsfleet United FC @EUFCofficial 7m7 minutes ago
Godden denied again by a save and then Acheampong effort blocked. Still 3-0 to the Fleet
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Ebbsfleet United FC @EUFCofficial 14m14 minutes ago
And then Godden through again. Allan saves at his feet.
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Ebbsfleet United FC @EUFCofficial 15m15 minutes ago
Grobler hits bar for the Moles after a free kick fell to him and seconds later Godden misses his hat trick by centimetres as he shoots wide
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Ebbsfleet United FC @EUFCofficial 49m49 minutes ago
Molesey haven't named either of the two men we identified as 'Key Players' in the programme.
>>63848105
>lux
2 grand on Everton to go all the way @1.2
>>63848105
TEARS
>>63848012
Reported again
>>63848278
KentOnline Sport @KentOnlineSport 5m5 minutes ago
HT Ebbsfleet 3-0 Molesey. Three and easy for Fleet, all goals in first 12 mins, Godden has two and might easily have scored five.
>>63848409
Please point out what exactly contravenes the rules in my post, Ahmed?
>>63848509
No spotty nerds/virgins allowed except Euan
>>63848509
off topic is against the rules, you'd know that if you weren't a thick builder who bets on the championship pmsl
Lumped a grand on Everton +0.5 from here
I know they're 0-2 up and inb4 LE MOST DANGEROUS LEED XD meme but it's still nice to have that extra goal saftey net, just incase, can't see Bournemouth scoring 3
>>63848626
>extra goal saftey net
If it finishes 1-2 you lose
>>63848619
>offtopic
the post is LITERALLY the topic lmfao
>>63848680
hurr
I'm on +0.5 you melt not second half result
>bournemouth 3rd choice keeper in net
this could get even better
>>63848720
Yeah and? Score resets to 0-0 on +0.5 so Everton having an extra goal doesn't mean anything
>>63848720
If you're on Asian Handicap it only matters from this point forward. You're essentially on Everton double chance from this point forward, with the previous 2 goals not mattering.
So if it finishes 1-2, you lose.
>its been months since ive won big
i miss that glorious feeling
>>63848782
>>63848799
Nope, Everton +0.5 is Everton DC plus one goal
So they need to score 3 in effect to draw my bet and it will lose
>>63848782
>>63848799
Please stop responding to the obvious troll
I would be quite partial to another Bayern goal
alright lads i have a theory, and i want your thoughts on it
There hasnt been a PL season with less than 2.5 goals scored per game since 2008/2009.
If you were to theoretically lump a 5% stake on every game to be o2.5 (bar some very obvious ones) do you think this is a legitimate way to profit long term, albeit a very long term?
>>63848972
Yep, that's how averages work.
>>63848972
No because the odds will not be even every time therefore once you factor in the fact that your average odds will probably only be about 1.8 you'll almost certainly lose out.
>>63849025
i thought about this but the games in which youre not expected to get o2.5 your odds will be higher than evens right?
>>63849049
Fuck off you mong
>>63849025
Reminder Rutgers -2.5 in about an hour or so is THE morning college handegg bet
>>63849049
Yeah and there will be games where over 2.5 will be like 1.4
It will average out to about 1.8 across the whole season meaning even if more games end over than under you will still lose money because your average odds will be less than even meaning they can afford you to win more bets than you lose knowing you will still lose money.
>>63848836
Wow! A grand on Everton not to throw away a 2 goal lead.
Enjoy your 20 quid profit.
>>63849125
so thats why you eliminate the painfully obvious unders games
>>63849138
if somebody came to you and offered you 20 quid profit youd say no?
>>63849167
Not helping you anymore. You're thick as pig shit.
Go ahead and lose your money. Guarantee 100% this method will not be profitable.
>>63849167
>don't bet on losers only bet on winners
Large staking Falkirk -0.5 from 1-0, Fraserburgh collapse incoming
>>63849232
Tears desu
For fuck sake. Non league Fraserburgh have equalised
Can't believe you plebs went for Everton dnb @ 1.9 instead of Everton sw @ 2.7 can't imagine a reality where Everton didn't win this. Think of all the money you missed out on
LUX SURREAL
LUX DOUBTERS BTFO
>>63849264
Tears
>>63849232
HUP
>>63849264
Tears slug
Important.
http://strawpoll.me/6123418
>>63849540
>people are unironically virgins in the year 2015
Literally how
best uk bookies that arent bet365?
LUX AGAIN
SURREAL
>>63849582
You're no catch yourself Kris
>>63849582
not enough winnings for a hoe
>>63849612
Still, unless you're /r9k/ levels of autistic it really isn't that difficult
>>63849582
I dont understand it either. Although it explains the anger in these threads.
>>63849615
zzz
What's crazier? Leicester being 1st or Everton being 6th
PMSL
We're being moved to /biz/ lads
>>63849615
1k is nothing m8
EVERTON BACKERS ON SUICIDE WATCH
HAHAHAHAHAH EVEROTN
>>63849303
This is why we bet on DNB. Tears
CORRECTLY PRICED
JUDGE
>Leicester are top of the league
>at home
>@3.1
why isnt this value?
Everton you pieces of shit
>>63849216
dude im just discussing an idea, calm your fucking shit
get your head out of your ass and talk about it
>>63849712
DNB is refund, nothing lost
>neverton
>>63849740
Unlucky Barry
>>63849736
because leicester are shit?
theyve had the easiest fixtures of all time AND been over performing (and still conceded 20 goals)
>can't see Bournemouth scoring 3
>can't see Bournemouth scoring 3
>>63846583
reminder
Hahahhaha based
>>63849751
He is right though. This is how Mackers made his millions along with lumping on unders then cashing out after 10 minutes for small profit. Bookies had to change how they set odds because of it.
>>63849751
also 4/5 games so far today o2.5
so suck a dick
The recent Canadian trips are REALLY dragging Canada down the /bet/ country power rankings
>>63849736
Leicester haven't played any good teams except Arsenal yet
>>63849802
>This is how Mackers made his millions
so it has merit, i was just beaten to it
jesus
Why are 90% of North Americans so fucking thick. It's like you are incapable of thinking logically.
>>63849805
STILL shrewder than you
>>63849838
>>63849842
It's strange, I can give them a pass for not knowing geography and shit like that but it's like talking to a child at times
>>63849803
Listen you daft cunt. It's not worthy of a discussion, it's moronic.
/soccerbetting is more your place
>>63849303
thats why
EVERTON
AIR
UP £200
>>>/biz/976420
>>63849842
I'd like to believe it's because they have just started betting, but who knows
>>63849964
'no'
>>63849964
>linking the thread
u u
I dont fucking believe it
eveton the shittiest luckiest team of all time
EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON EVERTON
JUDGE JUDGE JUDGE JUDGE JUDGE JUDGE JUDGE JUDGE JUDGE
BARCA
R
A
I
N
S
>>63849963
>Not waiting until his bet actually loses to be smug
Be happy, everyone won whether it was correctly priced or not
>>63849964
Barkley
M O Y E S
O
Y
E
S
>>63849964
zzzzzzz
E V E R T O N
V
E
R
T
O
N
EVERTON
/bet/ SO SHREWD
>>63849751
Because you can't "Eliminate ones that are obvious unders games." There will be games that are high scoring that you predict to be obviously low scoring games and games that are low scoring that you predict to be obviously high scoring games. It will cancel out leaving you with the approximately 1.8 average odds which as I've already stated means that you will still lose money even if you have slightly more winners than losers.
I can with 100% certainty tell you this will not work. There is no magical system of doing something every week that will allow you to win at betting with the exception of uncovering information bookies have not uncovered and getting to know a league/sport well enough that you can see when lines are slightly out from where they should be which isn't as simple as many people think. Every gambler thinks they have an edge but very, very few do. Just because you think you know a sport/league very well it does not mean that you do.
The very best thing that you can do if you think you have an edge is either stake very small and track your bets carefully on a spreadsheet to track if you are truly making good decisions or not or even not bet at all but still pretend as if you were and track what you would've bet and at what odds then after several months analyse where you've won, where you've lost and what total profit/loss you will have made.
Doing something like taking overs on every match (even eliminating a handful of matches that you feel are obvious unders) will ensure you lose money. You must beat the bookies at knowledge not simply try to find a system that will beat them.
>>63850035
What are you talking about mong? i said Everton dnb last thread
/BET/ CELEBRATE DNB HUUUUUPPP
AHAHAHAH
BET BTFO
lmfaooo HAHAHAHAHAHAH POVERTON HAHAHAHAHAHA
HAHAH EVERTON
NO
NO
NO
NO
NO
This fucking game. Holy shit
>>63849963
UNKNOWN RANDOMER TRIP BTFO
TYBBARKLEY
>>63850074
Not to mention that his idea of 5% stakes is jut batshit insane
UNREAL FUCKING UNREAL
HORRIBLE REFUND
so ill
so so ill
>>63850138
>>63850035
WHY DIDN'T YOU WAIT
Utter utter
mememouth memes again
Going for a long walk.
Cannot take this anymore.
DOWN INSANE
>he fell for the trap game
fucking plebs
>>63850231
DNB was the bet you got greedy
I feel sick
We're all over in /biz/ 2bh
>>63850251
>trap games don't exist they said
>>63850074
hello yes can i order some more noise
that post could have been just two sentences, but i hear you
>>63850041
>>63850050
>>63850057
https://streamable.com/0kyc
>>63850278
You mean like when I called you thick as pig shit and told you that you can't profit that way?
I gave you the short version and you got mad.
James Mckeown
1 min
A soccerway pizz bet. Its on Maxbet only in asia so as soon as you read this stake on 365 cause it'll drop quickly as soon as someone has £100 on Maxbet. I'm on at about 1.97 average for NACIONAL U19 0 asian from 0-1 down 1.700 Bet365 current but bouncing around.
Nacional are from Maderia, which is a flight from mainland Portugal where Academica teams are from. Nacional's stadium is also a bit of a trek, at the top of a mountain. Generally Maderia sides (Nacional and Maritimo) have strong home records. Nacional have only lost 2 games on a handicap in the past year. Academica have not won on a handicap away from home as far as soccerway goes back.
16-27 DA's when goal was scored
21-29 Current
5-2 DA's since goal.
No lineup's available.
GL.
Pls get on Rutgers everyone ;_;
>>63850278
Kill yourself you fucking cunt
>>63850345
You would have to be a moron to follow this.
>>63850345
oh wow a 10 minute flight really worth mentioning
>>63850345
>ALREADY DOWN
ABSOLUTE TEARS AHAHAH
>>63850351
on large :-)
/bet/ magic WHERE
I'm shaking lads
I don't know what to do
i had everything on Everton and they concede a 98th minute equaliser
shaking
i might top myself
>>63850416
It's from 0-1
>>63850528
post slip and i will send you 50% via paypal if the stake is more than £250
>>63850316
>short version
>ad hominems with no explanation
ok m8, ok
The sums on Rutgers. The absolute SUMS.
>>63850549
i can't even bring myself to open bet365
i've got the vodka out, i'm not stopping tonight
>>63849842
overconfidence
B o u r n e m o u t h
>>63850549
Oviedo?
Reminder that there is no value in the EPL.
1 hour until Flatanon wins me all my Christmas Shopping.
>>63850582
gambleaware.co.uk
Poor so only had £5 to bet today, split it into two accas of £2.50 each.
Both of them had three games from today on, and they've all come in. Still not confident
>bet one
>sixfold
>24/1
>potential £60 profit
>betting on mainstream games
now I know what you guys meant when you talked about /bet/ weekends
>>63850615
There is but it is too hard to squeeze out.
Love Saturdays, so much sport, much going on, chatting to other traders. A real buzz.
>>63850615
All that overs value desu
>>63850351
M8, why aren't northwestern THE bet?
#PrayforPacMac
>>63850663
>bet two
>fivefold
>41/1
>potential £105 return
>>63850615
Given there was such a large swing in the odds on the Bournemouth Everton game there must have been value on one side or the other at some point.
>>63850677
I'm tempted to bet with babby stakes pre game next season, reckon I could marginally make profit.
flatanon's horse race called off because heavy rain ffs
>>63850735
Dont worry the Chelsea game will end 0-0
>>63850743
By definition there was value but how could you determine at which point there was value? Muh models?
>he's a high motor player
>>63850702
I mean it isn't bad, it's just that Maryland is so dire I couldn't say no
>>63850777
Therefore value does exist in the PL
>>63850777
by being Shrewd like MrFootyTips
>>63850757
wolverhampton race 2?
>>63850757
source?
we're being moved to /biz/ lads
Odds on Mackers chasing on Klitschko tonight?
Jamie Vardy has scored in 10 consecutive Premier League games.
Today, he is 3.75 to score (roughly 27% chance of scoring). Why isn't this value?
>>63850757
>all weather surface
>called-off
OK
>>63850870
Good bet desu fury going to be knackered from what I've seen of the ring. F O A M
>>63850351
I'm on them m8. Maybe I'll have that to comfort me when LSU inevitably gets rekt tonight
>>63850767
Yep. I might lay 2-1
>>63850895
cos he's going to be in the pocket of paddy mcnair
Large staking Hapoel Morasha Ramat Hasharon DC, Amishav are incredibly shit and been releasing players this week.
Wlad by decision is value I think.
WHERE IS FINCHY?
>DACKERS
>>63850895
believe it or not Poonited have conceded the fewest goals in the entire league
only 9 all year
>>63850978
I think they'll be fine lad. Auburn is gonna get booty blasted though
>>63851065
They're playing a meme formation though.
>>63850865
based on?
>>63851018
Why don't you trip? Or keep a record of your tips?
>>63851105
mods have made a thread for us over there
>>63851143
fuck off you freak
>>63851124
so if it loses he can reply to himself and say ">impersonating me"
>>63851158
woah freakism, really?
>>63851195
I've only been impersonated twice actually
>>63851018
>impersonating me
shaking at this Barca title value
>>63851018
reback or not?
SO SO SHREWD HE IS SO SO SHREWD
YOU CAN NOT STOP MACKERS
BOW DOWN YOU MOTHERFUCKERS HAHAHAHAHAHHHAHAHA!!!!
>>63850345
GOOOALL MACKERS
>>63851296
Away team didn't have the legs after that 10 minute flight and 30 minute drive.
>>63851325
All this does is fund future losses
Anyone on leicester - manu?
>>63851394
mugs
>>63851394
'no'
>>63851394
yeah heaps of mugs
vardy playing for himself and not the team ffs
>>63851251
Yes, goal from a penalty zzzzzz
You have 10 seconds to name a more irritating name than PADDY MCNAIR
>>63851527
Euan Park
>>63851527
TOM NEWNES
>>63851559
zzzz
If you are this obsessed, just ask me out
Ameribets surreal
Today's matches:
Cerro - IASA: Cerro is playing very well with luck and refball on their side, while Sudamerica is scrapping ties and wins somehow despite not playing that well, their new coach is still unbeaten. DNB for Cerro is very safe, I'll get into Cerro -0.5 not because it's that likely, but 2.05 is good value. I could see an o2.5 total happening but the pitch is really bad so it can go either ways.
Miramar - Tacuarembo: Tacuarembo is on crisis and has a really old team while Miramar is going up with a young motivated team. Miramar is clear favorite. I really can't see Tacuarembo scoring.
Torque - Progreso: besides being favorites it's almost certain Torque will score once, the pitch condition is a mistery so I won't risk on totals albeit u2.5 looks juicy, Torque doesn't defend well while Progreso doesn't attack well either. If the pitch is good or there are early goals you can expect 3 goals easily, today is very sunny so probably it dried from yesterday.
Don't know if they'll be covered but:
Canadian - Cerro Largo: o2.5 is safe, CL clear favorite but I can see a tie with goals happening.
Boston River - Atenas: Atenas is easily the worst team in the tournament so handicap for Boston will be good, even moreso considering they've been unlucky and soccerway will mislead bookies.
That's all I think. The cool stuff happens during the match when odds get twisted, like a clear favorite not scoring for the first half and then bookies giving very generous odds. Goals here are way more common during second half, but if there were goals during first half teams get tired and try to close the match playing defensively. Teams almost never suffer blowouts because they'd preffer to start a brawl on the pitch before that happens, so if you see a quick 3-0 don't think it's a train, instead hop on u6.5 and even maybe u5.5.
>>63851600
zzzzzzz stop shitposting as anon
z
z
>>63851644
You LITERALLY made this idea that I do up yourself. PLEASE reply to all the posts you think are mine. Then PLEASE go out and have sex. It is Saturday so the bars and clubs will be nice and busy.
unibet has trnava @4.7 currently, rball looks good to me and zilina is playing like utter shit lately, though the odds on them are staying low, medium on this, definitely +ev
>>63851690
You were caught out with your trip off a few threads ago zzzzz
>>63851690
Think you're a big social butterfly after the half cokes and 2am bedtime last night
CHAT
Jamie Vardy to score was free money
JAMIE VARDY'S HAVING A PARTY
BRING THE VODKA AND THE CHARLIE
CHAT SHIT GET BANGED
>>63850895
ABSOLUTE FUCKING TEARS IF YOU WEREN'T ON THIS. UTTER TEARS AT YOU
>>63851799
Cheers hindsight, dare you to post slip ;)
>>63851744
>>63851690
Reply to me on Twitter m8
Tears at Vardy layers
>>63851872
Posted further up the thread >>63850895 you clueless plimsoll
>>63850895
he had way more chances of scoring than 27%. even if it didn't go through it was value for sure
tfw missing good tips
>>63851690
Biggest dullard in existence. Imagine pretending to be drunk on an anime imageboard at 2am instead of just going out pmsl
>>63852008
That isnt a slip you utter freak.
>>63852068
zz why don't you fucking do one mate
>>63852068
No, you claimed I was posting with hindsight, when in fact I tipped it earlier in the thread and actually explained why it was value
>>63852102
Fight me irl. FIGHT ME IN REAL LIFE.
>>63852166
Why are you pretending to be me?
>>63852166
Post slip then you little worm. Scared to reveal you baby stakes? Enjoy your £15 profit lmao.
SO SO SHREWD
WHY CAN'T /BET/ PROFIT FROM MAINSTREAM?
PMSL
IMAGINE THE LADBROKES LIFE MUGS COLLECTIVELY HAVING AN EDGE ON YOU
JUST IMAGINE
>M-MUH CORRECTLY PRICED
>M-MUH MARKET
UTTER TEARS
UTTER
PMSL
Jamie Vardy is like the girl who was a 3/10 at the end of year 10 and over the summer holidays somehow turns into a solid 10/10
- James Luxton, 2015
>>63852241
pmsl, your palpable jealousy is seeping through my monitor as we converse. Imagine being such a mug you can't profit from mainstream football. Stick to your youth games, twitter begging and lux slurping kiddo
>>63852371
>still no slip
pathetic
5 minutes until the race.
Large staking DSG Sektion Westside -1.75 from 1-0, this goes huge.
>>63852611
why?
>>63852611
What are you basing this on?
FLATANON UNREAL
>>63851713
Nice vague sweeping statement.
>>63852795
What was the tip?
Fuck I missed it
>>63852765
>>63852790
Because they're fucking world liddos, a division difference which is huge at this level and they're top and unbeaten. Smashed a few teams by double digits in their league this season already.
>>63852861
rectifier, lead majority of the race, finished like 5th
;_;
>>63852316
Where's he nicked that from?
was allowed to set his own pace but didn't find much for pressure, ah well
down unreal
>>63852946
fuck off and never post here again
>>63853003
ANGRY BRIT ANON
N
G
R
Y
B
R
I
T
A
N
O
N
what the the outcome for the race?
