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I've heard from many people that battery technology is advancing exponentially


Thread replies: 20
Thread images: 3

I've heard from many people that battery technology is advancing exponentially and we're increasing battery durability times and times more compared to previous years. Is there any truth behind this ?
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Nope. None at all. Battery technology is advancing, jusf not exponentially.
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>>8046840
Battery development is pretty slow, hard work right now. It's unlikely we're going to see any large jumps in performance any time soon.
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>>8046840
Really? I've heard battery time is increasing logarithmically and will slow down significantly in a couple decades if new technologies aren't developed.
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I've heard a sigmoidal advance in battery technology is inevitable
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The thing I've heard lately is capacitor tech is actually approaching and "will" grow past conventional batteries, but i don't have any hard info myself
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>>8046889
In all seriousness, Ive crunched the numbers personally and its a logistic change in battery life
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>>8047101
wat
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>>8047101
My data shows a Gaussian change in battery duration
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the battery in my tablet computer now doesnt last as long as it did when it was new
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>>8046840
If anything its advancing logarithmicaly.
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Based on my tiny data set I can say we're definately advancing linearly
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>>8046840
Battery tech is lagging way behind in the electronics sector.
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it's actually a chaotic growth
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>>8046840
The only area that might be advancing exponentially is capacity per dollar, in size-insensitive applications: grid and house batteries.

Even then, it's not really "exponential", it's just that a number of largely unrelated cheap technologies are getting close to good enough to produce in bulk, with enough demand coming as a result of the expansion of solar and wind power, so things might get a lot cheaper fairly quickly.
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Yes, it is true, but it's just a coincidence. There is no particular reason it should be exponential, it just so happens that advancements over the last 20 years (and to a lesser extent over the last 100, pic related) have been pretty close to an exponential curve.
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It's true, OP. Dilithium is just around the corner, and with that we can power our warp cores :)
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Battery technology is clearly increasing factorially.
By the way Elon Musk is the savior of mankind.
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It's advancing exponentially, but the exponent is 0.5
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If you are looking for turning points in battery technology you have to compare it to internal combustion engines and hydrogen fuel cells.

In those cases you have to look at the advancement in batteries vs those technologies.
Thread replies: 20
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