Is who wants to be a millionaire just a game of luck?
I mean, there's 33.34% chance of being right unless the person happens to know the right answer, and lifelines can only get you so far into the game.
Let's say there are 15 questions with 4 choices each. Let's also say there are 3 lifelines: call-a-friend, 50-50, and ask-the-audience.
For each of the 15 questions, there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%. You can use each lifeline once. Using phone-a-friend, let's say gives you a 95% chance the person you call is correct. So 1 question is 95%. Similarly, we can say ask-the-audience gives you a 95% chance. Finally, 50-50 will remove 2 wrong answers, so you have 1 right answer and 1 wrong answer, so you basically know the answer. To recap:
Question 1: 33.34%
Question 2: 33.34%
Question 3: 33.34%
Question 4: 95% <--- ask-the-audience
Question 5: 33.34%
Question 6: 33.34%
Question 7: 33.34%
Question 8: 33.34%
Question 9: 95% <--- phone-a-friend
Question 10: 33.34%
Question 11: 33.34%
Question 12: 33.34%
Question 13: 33.34%
Question 14: 33.34%
Question 15: 100% <--- 50-50
Total: 690.08%
Divided by 15 questions = 46.00%
So basically, it's more a less a game of chance, but more than half the people on the show will lose, so it's not very fair. That show is making tons of money off of people.
nigga how long did u spend typing this shit out
>four choices
>one correct choice
>33.34% chance of being right
wat
>be retarded
>discover /sci/
>prove to /sci/ that I am truly retarded
Congratulations.
>>7905885
First of all, it's 25%, not 33.34%.
Second, that's not how probability works.
the correct value considering the lifelines will always give you the correct answer is:
(1/4)^12
or
5.96046448e-8%
get raped by a muslim
>>7905885
The bait stinks
>>7905902
I know right? It's obviously 50 %. Either your answer is correct, or it isn't.
>>7905892
Hey new friend
33.34%?
>>7906442
What's wrong with it?
I think the person happening to know the right answer is probably a pretty big deal.
Each question you have a 25% chance of getting the answer right, not 33.34%, and 50/50 doesn't mean you have a 100% chance, in fact if there are 2 answers that it "might be" then you can bet that those will be the 2 to choose from.
Who wants to be a Millionaire isn't really banking on people losing because they get money from sponsors, so it isn't quite like a Casino or slot machine.
why don't they just call the show's host for their lifeline?
>>7906530
That's against the rules
>>7905885
no, because the questions get more and more difficult as the game goes on. this is by design, because they offer cashouts after certain levels.
almost nobody ever takes the lowest payout. its greed that makes losers out of people in that game.
>>7905885
dude what. that’s not how probability works. there are 16 outcomes, the contestant walks out with either 0 or one of the 15 prizes. 100/16%=6.25% chance of someone getting the million.
>>7905885
you only have a 50% chance of winning you fucking troll
either you win or you lose.
I really hope you never get a job since you probably have an iq below 50 for not realizing that.
>>7906778
Lmao
>>7905885
Every week
>>7907781
What
>>7905885
It's 50% you dip, you win or you don't
>>7906699
How do they know if they guy on the lifeline isn't just googling the answers
>>7905885
Remember when /sci/ was first created and that one guy tried to get everyone to refer to people here as /sci/-ducks?
>>7908819
lmao
>>7905885
> there is only 1 correct answer, and 3 incorrect answers, so immediately your chances are 1/3 = 33.34%
>>7909033
>being this new
>>7905955
no no,you're just as retarded
the chances of getting the right answer out of 4 choices is 25%,when you chose an answer,then it's 50%.
>>7908819
So what's the agreed name now? Fa/sci/sts? /sci/copaths?
>>7910593
Apropos of the cancerous shittyping its more often gib me dat /sci/anide senpai
>>7905885
I have a PhD in probability theory and this proof is correct.
Ah, /sci/, where even the stalest pasta stays fresh.>>7911715
It's 25% but you know that already you trolling cunts. :P
>>7909046
So, if you add them up in total your chance would be 75 %. Damn, that's not bad.
>>7912454
You're not supposed to add them up. You cannot choose more than 1 answer.
Give this man a fields medal.
>>7906461
1/4 is 0.25 for starters.
>>7905885
Are you retarded?
>33.34%
It's 33.33% you low iq loser
>>7915100
that's part of the bait
