[Boards: 3 / a / aco / adv / an / asp / b / biz / c / cgl / ck / cm / co / d / diy / e / fa / fit / g / gd / gif / h / hc / his / hm / hr / i / ic / int / jp / k / lgbt / lit / m / mlp / mu / n / news / o / out / p / po / pol / qa / r / r9k / s / s4s / sci / soc / sp / t / tg / toy / trash / trv / tv / u / v / vg / vp / vr / w / wg / wsg / wsr / x / y / ] [Home]
4chanarchives logo

When I flip a coin, why is there a higher chance that it'll land on the opposite


Thread replies: 13
Thread images: 1

File: coin_flip.jpg (82KB, 615x635px) Image search: [Google] [Yandex] [Bing]
coin_flip.jpg
82KB, 615x635px
When I flip a coin, why is there a higher chance that it'll land on the opposite side next flip?
>>
>>7810816
There isn't.
>>
>>7810822
If I flip it 100 times and they all turn out as heads, are the chances that the next flip will be tails higher?
>>
>>7810826

No.
>>
>>7810826
No. The results of coin flips are independent from each other. 100 heads and then a head is just as likely as 100 heads and then a tail.
>>
>>7810826
if you flip a coin 100 times and they're all heads, check to make sure it's not a double headed coin
>>
>>7810829
>>7810828
>what is the law of averages

>>7810826
yes
>>
>>7810816
There isn't. Unless the coin is weridly unbalanced
>>
>>7810833
>what is the law of averages
A meme.

The assumption underlying this question is that we are dealing with a coin whose fairness can be represented by a Bayesian prior distribution of 1.
>>
>>7810826
the lower probability of consecutive heads comes from predicting a larger set of data not from the history of flips.
>>
not all flips are equally fair

it's possible (and depending on technique, sometimes probable) that a coin appears to flip but actually precesses without flipping. if you're skilled, you can do it on purpose
>>
>>7810816
Because there's more possible outcomes.
>>
>>7810856
>heads
>tails
Thread replies: 13
Thread images: 1
[Boards: 3 / a / aco / adv / an / asp / b / biz / c / cgl / ck / cm / co / d / diy / e / fa / fit / g / gd / gif / h / hc / his / hm / hr / i / ic / int / jp / k / lgbt / lit / m / mlp / mu / n / news / o / out / p / po / pol / qa / r / r9k / s / s4s / sci / soc / sp / t / tg / toy / trash / trv / tv / u / v / vg / vp / vr / w / wg / wsg / wsr / x / y / ] [Home]

All trademarks and copyrights on this page are owned by their respective parties. Images uploaded are the responsibility of the Poster. Comments are owned by the Poster.
If a post contains personal/copyrighted/illegal content you can contact me at [email protected] with that post and thread number and it will be removed as soon as possible.
If a post contains illegal content, please click on its [Report] button and follow the instructions.
This is a 4chan archive - all of the content originated from them. If you need information for a Poster - you need to contact them.
This website shows only archived content and is not affiliated with 4chan in any way.
If you like this website please support us by donating with Bitcoin at 1XVgDnu36zCj97gLdeSwHMdiJaBkqhtMK