Based on a study by Prognos, in the most "plausible" scenario, the British GDP will be 15% lower in 2025 compared to within the EU following Brexit.
http://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Prognos-Brexit-kostet-Zehntausende-Jobs-article18112731.html
There are also half a million jobs in the EU (without the UK) less by 2025 than if the UK were not to leave, as a result of the lower growth in the UK and the EU. Another half a million jobs will be lost in the UK.
>>79742184
This so much
/POL/ BTFO BY GERMAN NEWS SHOW
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JxkUzUr2L-U
>>79742184
>2025
>>79742184
Everybody including Boris thought it would happen.
>>79742710
>>2025
2025 matters, Aussie. It is 9 years from now, people want to have jobs then as well. 15% GDP growth reduction is a shitton. You can build millions of houses and wage 3 Afghanistan wars with that money.
>>79742969
We heard for over 9 years that North Korea would collapse due to economic reasons too, this was "the most plausible scenario" according to economists.
Predicting something 9 years out that is even remotely related to economics is fucking retarded, fuck it - they can't even predict how things will turn out next year, I really don't know what you expect or why you think this holds any sway.
>>79742184
UK will enter a recession that is true, but we are making our corporation tax one of the lowest in the developed world so we can leech jobs from Germoney and EUSSR.
Also is the 15% before or after Deutsche Bank collapses?
You know the EU made a rule that you cannot make money from shorting a stock?
mfw they just made a rule that was going to be the only way for the Frankfurt finance industry to stay alive when the next financial happening happens.
mfw Brexit actually makes that happening more likely.
Maybe your immigrants can figure out a solution.
inb4 beady.
>>79743519
North Korea would collapse by 1995*
>>79743519
>We heard for over 9 years that North Korea would collapse due to economic reasons too, this was "the most plausible scenario" according to economists.
Link? Never heard of that.
>>79743519
>Predicting something 9 years out that is even remotely related to economics is fucking retarded
Why? It is what economists do all the time. They predict long term outcomes of certain political events. The whole American politics meme of "it costs trillions" is based on 10 year projections.
>>79743925
>You know the EU made a rule that you cannot make money from shorting a stock?
Not quite sure whether you know anything about so called naked shorts. You can synthetically short anything you want. Naked shorts are, however, regulated, not disallowed. People trade with leverage (including going short) across the EU everywhere.
>>79744408
>>79742184
>>79742969
So much salt and anal devastation.
Britbong here. I will bet my house that it will be 15% HIGHER in 2025.
>german news source on brexit
>reliable
Hans your source is biased and it's probably funded by the eu
>>79744408
Can't find a link at the moment, this was before the widespread use of the internet but you only need to google "north korea economic collapse" to see a bunch of articles at least from the past 10 or so years up until now.
>Why? It is what economists do all the time. They predict long term outcomes of certain political events.
That's a completely different scenario m8, it's based on projected costs which are actually based in reality and not "omg leeving the EU is so bad".
It hasn't even been 2 weeks and already we're seeing actual shit happening for the UK that the EU has had its thumb up its ass about for way too long.
https://heatst.com/uk/us-uk-trade-bill-in-congress-just-one-week-after-brexit-vote/
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3672815/World-queues-win-trade-deals-Britain-Brexit.html
Predicting something like this is especially stupid if you don't even bother to look at the economic or political ramifications to the EU because of Britain leaving. We're already seeing Europe starting to wake up to their (((masters))) thanks to the UK
>>79745144
>I will bet my house that it will be 15% HIGHER in 2025.
You just lost your house.... but you can be happy, it ain't worth much anyway in a few years.
>>79745499
>That's a completely different scenario m8, it's based on projected costs which are actually based in reality and not "omg leeving the EU is so bad".
So you are saying all these economists just pull these projections out of their ass?
Is there a reason why there isn't a single projection of any economic institute or international organization which isn't showing a significant GDP decline in the next years? Why can't the Brexiteers even buy a single organization?
>>79745346
>and it's probably funded by the eu
the EU wants the UK out as soon as possible. Why would they fund studies NOW that the UK is already leaving?
>>79745781
How the fuck....? Its 2025 already.
You Sir, are retarded. Good day to you.
>>79742184
That's because India becoming superpower in 2020 will lead to all western nations' GDP going down the toilet.
>>79745934
>So you are saying all these economists just pull these projections out of their ass?
pretty much
show me the people predicting the various bubbles forming and bursting over the past 100 years
if they were competent they wouldn't be busting their nut writing dull reports all day they'd be rad billionaires fucking supermodels and driving lambos around
>>79742184
* Assuming literally no bilateral deals are ratified
Lugenpresse
>>79746192
>India
>toilet
checked
>>79746321
>pretty much
Why? If they are all wrong, they will be the world's laughing stock. They make money for their clients/investors by telling them where the market and economy is moving. If they are all wrong, they will lose clients.
>>79746321
>show me the people predicting the various bubbles forming and bursting over the past 100 years
Goldman SACHS
Would you like a few more million muslims with your salt?
>>79746340
>* Assuming literally no bilateral deals are ratified
>Lugenpresse
What do you mean? The current EU commission position is that the UK needs to exit and only then will a trade agreement be negotiated... same way as with the US or Canada, which takes 5-7 years.
>>79746514
>If they are all wrong, they will lose clients.
no they won't because they diversify and HEDGE their bets, that's why it's called a HEDGE fund
Soros made millions because of Brexit, guess what, he would have made millions if they stayed too because there is such a thing as "too big to fail"
>>79746777
>no they won't because they diversify and HEDGE their bets, that's why it's called a HEDGE fund
It is not hedge funds which make these predictions.
>>79746777
>Soros made millions because of Brexit, guess what, he would have made millions if they stayed too because there is such a thing as "too big to fail"
So? What has Soros to do with analysts?
>>79743519
This
No real economist predicts that far into the future. The economy is all based on minimizing doubt to ensure stability. It is counter intuitive to predict economic downturn for an entire country when innumerable factors would be at play. Anything could happen between now and 2025.
Any bold claim made by an economist is clearly propaganda produced by the EU. Keep in mind, if the EU has economic instability it would cause much more drastic consequences than the instability of a country in control of its own economic principles.
>>79742184
And Germany could lose at least 750000 jobs:
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/684885/EU-referendum-Brexit-Merkel-trade-deal-UK-Britain-German-jobs
Now give us that free trade deal Hanz.
>>79749062
Brexit wasn't about the economy or jobs but rather getting rid of immigrants.
>>79742184
Germans are so mad about brexit i love it
>>79742184
>It's a butthurt German's economic forecast for 2025 thread
>>79742184
>this butthurt German
>>79742184
>butthurt krauts making predictions that validate their butthurt
More at 11
There won't BE a European Union by 2025.
You'll be goddamn lucky if there's still a NATO.
>>79746662
I think he means economies outside the lumbering bureaucratic abomination that is the EU.
>>79742184
BANE?
>>79742184
implying the EU will still be around in 2025
>>79750196
What was he implying with this comment?
>>79742184
Said the increasingly nervous German for the xth time.
>>79742184
With these kinds of studies you choose what variables to use and what methods to apply to get the result you want. Economics is rarely aboutanything more than justifying what you want to the ignorant masses.
>>79745781
>property market going down
OH NO. This is so horrible, please someone do something.
>>79750338
Just imagine the horror of actually being able to afford to buy your own property.
>>79742184
>long term macroeconomic forecasting
"I'll take 'What can a degree in Mayan Astrology lead to as a career?', Alex"
>>79750505
Brexit, the gift that keeps on giving.
>>79742184
And based on the study by Fuckyoukraut the most probable scenario for your mother is 15% increase of sucked turkish dicks by midnight.
>>79742184
https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5EFTSE#symbol=%5EFTSE;range=1m
what did the shill mean by this
>>79750338
>OH NO. This is so horrible, please someone do something.
The BRitish government is already trying hard to counteract and prop up the property market with lots of stimulus. But builder stocks have still crashed 30% and more.
>>79749062
It is actually 70,000 jobs until 2025... meanwhile we have 1 million jobs that we cannot even find people to hire... our economy is so good, we just don't have enough workers!
>>79742184
>bonfire of the quangos
>eu subversive non-jobs btfo
>greedy public sector mandarins also btfo
Fuck your pensions.
Burn it all!
