Democratic chances of winning the White House remain strong, according to a closely followed economic election model.
Moody's Analytics is forecasting that Hillary Clinton, the presumptive Democratic nominee, will easily win the presidency in November over Republican Donald Trump, the June forecast predicts.
The latest model shows for the fourth straight month that the Democratic nominee will win 332 electoral votes, compared with 206 for the Republican nominee. The model chooses a party, not a candidate, to win.
"The closer we come to election day, the more that two-year change is based in history and less on our economic forecasts," said Dan White, a Moody's economist who oversees the monthly model.
"With just over four months left to election day, the chances of an economic forecast error distorting the results are fading," he said.
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/election-model-clinton-will-win-easily/ar-AAhQYWg?li=BBnb7Kz&OCID=
>>79437602
We all know he's fucking done
>>79437602
538 also predicted it would be a contested convention, as I recall.
How'd that turn out?
Crystal ball said he would win the presidency, but not the nom
No one knows what they're doing
>>79437602
I agree completely.
I mean there's absolutely no way that he is going to run for president. I mean really, that guy from the apprentice? You really think the guy from the apprentice is SERIOUS about running? this is all just a joke or a publicity stunt
These forecasts don't take into account how an FBI indictment (and if suppressed, high level officials going public) is almost guaranteed now.
>>79439008
But then the nomination would go to Bernie, and he's always polled better against Trump than Clinton.
RealClearPolitics is now the only remaining election prediction site that hasn't allowed bias to cloud their judgment.
(yet)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
>>79437602
>The model chooses a party, not a candidate, to win.
and this is why there is a very good chance they are wrong.
>>79440283
>GA and AZ are tossups
wat?
THIS IS THE END OF DONALD TRUMP
>>79437602
>Nate Shillver said Trump had a 5% chance of winning the nomination
>Now says he has a 20% chance of winning the presidency
What method is Nate Silver gonna use to kill himself on November 9th? One that takes into account state polls, national polls, and endorsements? :^)
civil war will erupt if anyone but trumps wins
there will be riots if trump wins
so sayeth neetstrodamus
>>79440283
Shill please.
>>79440525
In OP's post, Nate Silver predicted both those states would go Blue
This is all purely psychological. Tell the opposition they're going to lose until they believe it. Once they believe it it becomes fact.
>>79440525
Nate silver thinks that just because blacks poll 91-1 in favor of clinton, that 100% of them will turn out to vote in the election.
>>79440826
this
>>79437602
>Listening to people who have been wrong about Trump the entire time
lol
>>79439326
>thinking they'd let BS be the candidate
>>79439326
>people actually believe this
Why?
>>79440283
>Georgia and NC are in play
Carpetbaggers need to go.
>>79437602
The magic conch shell also told me hillary would win
>>79440990
I think Sanders could beat Trump. Most people see Trump as a huge unlikeable asshole, which only works because Clinton is an equally huge huge cunt.
Sanders, while foolish, is a pretty nice guy
>>79440826
>implying it won't make Trump's fiercely loyal voter base even more likely to come out and vote on election day
>>79437602
Just like they predicted the real estate loans crash in 2007? It's just too early, let's wait for the debates
>>79437602
Good. I hope Hilldog thinks she has an easy stroll. She's in for a rude fucking awakening come election night.
I predict 500+ for Dems desu.
Minus 100 for each of following:
Brexit
EU disintegration
Massive terrorism incident on US
Clinton indictment (and Biden running)
Clinton indictment, pardoned and still running
Nobody thinks he has a fucking chance anymore. So stop reinforcing the point that we already accept.
>>79440751
Nate Silver will "predict" whatever is good for Jews.
>538
People still pay attention to Nate Bronze?
>>79437602
>increasingly nervous men develop new branch of math to formulate scenarios in which trump doesn’t win nomination
>>79441958
Nate Aluminium can still convince 24-hour news networks that he isn't complete shit; that doesn't mean people pay attention to him.
>>79441958
>>79442384
>Nate Bronze
>Nate Aluminum
my sides
REEEEEE THE ONLY POLLS ALLOWED HERE IN THE DONALD SAFE SPACE ARE FROM RASMUSSEN
Anything that even hints at him not doing so great is Shill4Hill .05 has been deposited in your account
http://archive.4plebs.org/pol/search/text/rasmussen/
