How representative of the real odds of Trump winning or loosing is this chart?
How do they build this chart? Do they contact say 1000 people by phone and ask who would they rather vote for?
Am I wrong thinking this may be biased because Trump supporters are less willing to tell everybody about their voting intentions (except on /pol)?
Is it possible that when the time of the vote comes up the figures will be a lot different with a lot more people voting for Trump that those polls suggested?
Am I wrong thinking a big majority of white males are Trump supporters in America? I’m seeing lots of American Trump supporters here on /pol but something tells me this may not be representative of that average American white male.
>>77376409
>Do they contact say 1000 people by phone and ask who would they rather vote for?
pretty much
they do that for each poll
what you're looking at is RCP's aggregate of those polls.
>I’m seeing lots of American Trump supporters here on /pol but something tells me this may not be representative of that average American white male.
no, it isn't.
>>77376409
Trump is insanely unpopular. He has a 99% chance of losing the election to Hillary, He led her only once in the polls throughout his entire run and that was only by .1% of a percentage point for about a week.
Trump will lose but it's been a fun ride nonetheless.
Trump won't win he's hated by too many on both sides. Every time he opens his mouth he shows his poor, childish character. Hillary is scum but she has the ability to act dignified in public.
>>77376409
Look at the scale it's like 2 points but the scale is so small it looks like some wild drop
>>77376409
To me this just looks rigged
Although there are a lot of Bernie supporters on the internet and guess what, the kike lost, this just seems like a blatant lie
So after how many mass shootings and terrorist attacks, after hundreds of videos showing how fucking stupid the left is is and its supporters, he's somehow FALLING down? doubt it
>the jew fears the trend line
>>77376409
I used to do polling for Bloomberg. They specifically call predominately Black and Hispanic neighborhoods to fuck with the numbers.
>>77378183
top kek
>>77376409
Very decent, Trump was always a long-shot. RCP still only has one poll up with data from after the Orlando shooting, there's still a chance he could get a bump from that, but based on the CBS poll I doubt it.
>>77377647
saved for fighting shills, thank you kindly
It's still pretty early, anything could happen.
>>77376409
>>77377177
>losing by nearly 6 points, a landslide blowout in modern politics
Ok man whatever you say
>>77377455
Trump's supporters cling to him after terrorist attacks but people opposed to him or on the fence are repulsed by the "I told you so" attitude he takes after terrorist attacks.
>>77377455
You didn't pay attention to the media, they ass blasted Trump with evey fallacy, lies and deceit there is on the book. It's like 1984 all over again.
>>77377647
You can't draw an average to fucking judge trends. Shit tier math.
>>77376409
Yes, in so much that if the election were held today, Cuntin would likely win.
>>77376409
No. Stop relying on fucking voter poll graphs to cast your vote.
>>77376409
>>77376745
The latest poll was 750 people, and they were Likely Voters (i.e. anyone). Reminder that you need at least 1000 people in your sample to have any semblance of accuracy. Bloomberg is also known to be a left-leaning anti-Trump pollster, and for this poll they disproportionately targeted left wing voters and "independent" voters who are not actually independent but instead have historically voted democrat.
If you want accuracy, look at the other polls that have been conducted
>>77377022
There have no debates between the two and it's still a long time until November. I don't think she'll look so favorable after she gets dragged through the dirt. The thing with Hillary is, the more exposure she gets the less people like her.
Plus she's only third among independent voters, now.
Trump is gonna take it, easily.
>>77376409
look at the shill
all shills are kikes, post holohoax busting anti kike memes in every shill thread while sageing
>Trump says odd but factually correct thing
>Media gives him another 2 weeks of total coverage
>Normal people continue to see the hordes of shrieking leftists spouting insane stuff
I don't see how he loses an election to hillary
Eventually she has to do appearances and debates...
>>77380748
Precisely.
Ignore the shills for now. Remember back when Cruz would get close to Trump? This place would explode with an endless number of shills. Same situation different candidate.
Same ending.
>>77381135
Dump your folder and I'll get right on that.
>>77376409
I'm very anti-Trump, but I think it's important to remember that these polls so far out aren't all that important.
>>77383013
>I'm very anti-Trump
Why? Genuinely curious.
>>77376409
Why do you keep making the same post over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over?
If you didn't get the answer the last 285 times, you're not going to learn anything this time.
>>77377455
I'm pretty sure the poll was made before his Orlando speech
would bury face in the ass on the right
>>77383202
He's being paid and he'll continue posting until he stops getting paid.
>>77383301
her face is pretty but blured. its like a mystery
>>77380808
Debates are Trump's weak point though.
>>77383478
>Debates are Trump's weak point though.
>>77383478
I think you meant that that's Hillary's weak point. Trump will rip her a new one in the live debates,.
>>77383478
>Debates are Trump's weak point though.
>>77383013
It was always important. Republicans nominated the candidate with the worst polling.
>>77383478
>>77382664
An endless number of people trying to talk sense to a stone wall, you mean.
>>77376409
no for the millionth time real clear politics is a liberal train wreck. they compile polls produced by others but omit many conservative polls
they have gotten wrong multiple election cycles like the previous mid term election cycle. real clear politics forecasted a democrat sweep but republicans picked up more seats and democrats lost some
http://www.nationalrighttolifenews.org/news/2015/11/why-are-political-polls-increasingly-so-inaccurate/
the huffington post even dragged real clear politics into a article to try to shield themselves from criticism only to misrepresent things a bit in the severity of how off their polling was
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/03/24/election-polling_n_6932004.html
Even if Trump's at rock bottom, I'll still be voting for him.
>>77383478
>Debates are Trump's weak point though.
What will /pol/'s reaction be when the debates occur, Trump hems and haws between his insults in lieu of policy stances and Trump supporters are presented with post-debate polls that has Hillary extending her lead into double digits?
never underestimate human stupidity, we're fucked either way
>>77376409
Why the sudden shift?
BernieBros?
>>77386054
Your shill is showing faggot.
>>77386054
to be fair, you have to understand that debates aren't about facts, debates are emotional appeals
right now, trump has the emotional pandering on lock down
>>77386349
Bernfags were always going to side with the dems in the end, but that's not what's being measured in general election polling. Those are taken of people far less engaged than primary goers. The plummet represents the general public's reaction to the previous week's news cycle, when Trump was saying he couldn't be treated fairly by a Mexican-Indianan judge for things he'd said after the trial had opened, which itself was merely a race-bait to distract from his scam of a university. The man is a train-wreck leading the way to an electoral blowout all up and down the ticket.
>>77387255
To an extent, but Trump's brand of emotional appeal was barely a winning formula in the primaries where he could skate without being terribly specific. There will be an expectation in the general (a far less ideologic crowd) that the candidates have sound proposals, adequately articulated. Trump hasn't shown an ability to do either to extend his brand beyond his base.
>>77388757
>>77388757
i'm not entirely convinced the majority of voters are looking for policy answers, look at how far we've gotten with both of these fucks based on empty rhetoric and gibberish
>>77386054
>in lieu
what ever that is... dont do that again
>>77389472
>i'm not entirely convinced the majority of voters are looking for policy answers
They're not looking for coherent policy answers that are consistent to a set of self-reinforcing, core principles, perhaps, but they like to think they are. Hillary is much more versed at wrapping up her pablum in reasonable sounding terms, and (unless Trump surprises us all) will have the additional benefit of playing off of the arm waving idiot next to her .
>>77389472
But you are right, we're fucked either way.
>>77390637
>Whatever that is, don't do that again.
FTFY
>having the expectation of at least engaging in college level discussions on nu-/pol/
None of the charts are 'reliable' in the strict sense, no.
