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You are currently reading a thread in /pol/ - Politically Incorrect

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>new rueters poll has trump down by 8 points, but up among independents by 4%

What's the deal?

In other news another poll has trump tied in PA, which was clintions strongest swing state until now it seems both Flordia and PA are now deadheat.
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>>76635682

He didn't capitalized enough on his supporters being attacked and instead threw more fuel into the stupid Trump University shit. His not settling pride will cost him the election.
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>>76635682
Obama lost Independents in 2012 and Bush lost Independents in 2004 yet still won their elections.

Independents don't matter as much as you think.
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>>76636048
PA, and Florida going his way would be huge honestly. NC is already basically locked up in his favor
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>>76636367
This.

Don't they only make up around 20% of the voter base?
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Renters over polled registered dems.
Simple.
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>>76636422
>PA, and Florida going his way would be huge honestly. NC is already basically locked up in his favor

That was BEFORE Hernia Panders dropped. The game has changed, I seriously doubt even 3% of Berniefags will go to Trump.
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>>76636422
Florida probably will go his way just because the only blue areas in Florida are the three college towns, but even they aren't full blown Hillary crazed like they were for Obama.
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>>76635682
Its all very confusing since they dont always properly rig their polls, leaving real and fake data mixed in.
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>>76636568
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>>76636367
But all the people who reply pro-Trump are pissed definitely going to vote, and those who are pro-Hillary..maybe will vote.
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>>76636568
Many of them are disillusioned with Hillary though. Give it 5 months time, maybe most will vote for Hillary, but right now they won't.

Sanders must be given a cabinet position to appease bernouts. It's unlikely that he'll be named VP simply because he's too old.
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>>76636671
that's more proving post/abc polls suck ass
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>>76636733
>But all the people who reply pro-Trump are pissed definitely going to vote, and those who are pro-Hillary..maybe will vote.
And there are even more Republicans who tepidly support Trump because "he's not Hillary."

Just like the Democrats who hate Trump will definitely turn out to vote. All those groups cancel each other out, but Hillary retains an edge because the country has a whole now leans more liberal than 10 or 20 years ago.
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>>76635682
So Trump is trending down..?
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Thing is too even if he loses the pop vote if Gary's polling is even half way accurate this is very possible.
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>>76637019
It's funny alot of the newer polls that are head to head losing also have him winning when stein and gary are a option on the same survey
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>>76635682
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016_Reuters_Tracking_-_Core_Political_6.08_.2016_.pdf

The poll had almost 200 democrats more than republicans, as you can see here
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>>76637212
Also what is interesting about this election is that hilldawg is using more of a nation wide strategy while trump is focusing on a few battleground states and a few strong democrat states poking for weakness (Wisconsin had 2 outliner polls showing him behind by only 1 point so just one of them switching over could hand him the elecrion) and leaving leaning red states open in the hopes they will just side with him anyway (which atleast this aspect does seem to be bearing fruit in NC and Georgia)

It will be fun to watch just to see whose playbook was the right stuff
Thread replies: 19
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