Am I being memed to death or is it really starting to seem like Donald Trump can actually win this thing?
I though it was all one big joke at the start, I was like yeah yeah yeah Trump! Nationalism! Guns! Monster Trucks! Dead kebab! But like.........he's starting to win polls in swing states and getting closer in national polling, even though obviously we vote state by state.
Can he pull this shit off? I'm a millenial, like I assume most of you are (I'm 31), I thought we'd never see a conservative or anything close to it again in our lifetime. It seems like my generation is fucked as all hell, they love the government and basically want the govt to mail them daily itineraries
>>74057210
Don't get your hopes up too high -- at least not yet.
Mitt Romney was within 3 percentage points in the polls during May of 2012.
We all know how that ended.
Prediction markets give him about a 30 percent chance of beating Hillary.
That sounds about right to me.
>>74057210
If he can't it is because of demographics. It is too early to tell but I think demographics have doomed us.
>>74057337
Yeah, I sit around and stroke it to the thought of Trump as a president while I'm watching cant stump the trump videosand I'm like yeah!!!!!!!!!!!!
But then I think about all the kids I've seen out west (shitattle) openly marching in the street demanding communism in the USA.
Oh fucking god..................death to the traitors, mass graves PLS.
Lots of reasons.
The SJW zeitgeist was pushed to the point where non issues like toilet use of the mentally challenged becomes a cultural battleground.
Society is hedonistic and trained by the publicity machinerie to adore tv-stars. That Trump is such a strange guy only helps.
There is an anti-establishment movementgoing on in the whole west.
Clinton receives as much if not more negativity. But unlike Trump, who is entertaining, Clinton is just unlikeable.
>>74057589
Kids who want communism hardly vote, especially Clinton.
>>74057797
I always wonder about them, like what makes them tick?
I'd see them CONSTANTLY in Portland and Seattle when I'd have to travel there for business purposes. (fisheries quota negotiator is my job) and I'm like..................what the fuck do you people do for a living? what do you do when you're not marching for Stalin-esque death camps?
>>74057210
http://primarymodel.com/
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/helmut-norpoth/trump-nearcertain-to-defe_b_9403762.html
https://www.sbstatesman.com/2016/02/23/political-science-professor-forecasts-trump-as-general-election-winner/
http://dailycaller.com/2016/02/24/political-science-professor-odds-of-president-trump-range-between-97-and-99/
http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-02-26/trump-will-become-president-statistical-model-says
>>74058027
I love shit like this, attempting to model elections or other hyper unique situations, I attempt to model fisheries and maritime fish population information as a job as a quantitative fisheries scientist.
I spend endless amounts of time piling through data and doing "run reconstructions" where you accrue post season data about fish and how many were caught and how many came home to spawn in order to A) see how accurate your modeling was and B) see how many were actually out there
Pairing that information with the other half of my job, actually fishing and working out on the ocean, to actually get an idea of what's going on in the real world.
What interesting information, people essentially trying to model and predict the most complex system out there, human thought and human nature to be "cattle-esque" and follow the herd mentality.
>>74058280
And just how many goldfish do you have in the fish tank in your moms living room?
>>74058280
>I attempt to model fisheries and maritime fish population information as a job as a quantitative fisheries scientist.
Congratulations, you have the most boring job on the planet.
>>74058422
Well, after careful modeling, I roughly calculate she has 3.
Heh heh heh, you can look up the model I work on the model I work on the most FRAM (Fishery Regulation Assessment Model) I provide technical consultation for the states of Washington and Alaska relative to acquiring salmon quotas, mostly Chinook and in the Bristol Bay Sockeye Fishery I model sockeye populations.
>>74058523
Most of the times you'd be right, computer banging is a gay ass job. I luckily get to spend 25% of my year being a nerd and doing that shit and the rest of the time I'm either on the high seas sampling while I run crews out there or I'm fucked off up a river counting fish that are coming home to spawn.
But yeah if that was the only thing I did..........I'd 12 gauge myself.
>>74057337
Muh Virginia is a blue state meme. You're in for a big surprise come november. Especially is Trumps running mate has military experience. This map doesn't even take into account Trump flipping real blue states.
>>74058589
Fucking fishdork.
>>74058881
Fish dork and proud.
Make good money (60k a year) and live an hour away from town with my wife and daughter.............ahh, living away from degeneracy fucked off up a river where I can walk 50 yards out of my back door, not see another human being, not see another car, another house, and watch the steelhead come home in the winter............love it.
Nice one Ewan
>>74057210
So again, does Trump really have any chance of winning OH/PA/MI or any of thoseother places?
Also, when is the first debate? TBD? I can't wait till Trump and Clinton try to eviscerate eachothers, two machine guns just turning it lose, wew lads, get the bourbon ready
If you can read, Clinton's lead is waning.
>>74059498
>>74057337
>comparing Trump to Mittens
???
>>74059817
Does the average German know a fair amount about American politics? I've wondered about this about Euros, I dunno. Like I know nothing about Kraut politics except that Merkel is a globalist shill and the great destroyer of Europe.
>>74059075
sounds comfy desu
>>74057337
mitt romney was a failed meme
>>74057210
>I was like yeah yeah yeah Trump! Nationalism! Guns! Monster Trucks! Dead kebab! But like
back to le r.eddit you little piece of shit
>>74057210
Yes, the liberalcucked media doesn't account for the fact that the closet commies who support the sandman would never vote for shill4hill. Most of them will vote for Trump out of spite while the shill continues to lose support and split the democuck party.
Meanwhile Trump has politically assassinated all of his 17 opponents 2 months early.
shill4hill and closet commie cuck will either:
>be the first person to lose to a socialist in US history
>be the first person to lose to a woman in US history
Considering democucks think the nomination has been rigged from the start, Trump has won it.
>>74060686
There is an obsession with The West and "The First" and it's sickening
>The first spook
>The first kebab
>The first woman
>The first trans
Fucking holy god, please kill identity politics.
>>74057210
i've read an article a few days ago that trump supporters are usually underrepresented in the polls because of the massive shilling against populist candidates.
same thing is happening in Austria with the right wing candidate.
>>74057210
Drumpf can only win if all non-whites are banned from voting.
>>74060892
I wouldn't mind a woman president if she were actually good at her job but holy shit picking Hillary Clinton would ruin the idea of a woman being president being a good thing
>>74057337
>Prediction markets give him about a 30 percent chance of beating Hillary.
It was 15% a fortnight ago
I'm not going to pretend like polling or projections this far out mean much but from the way I see it, Hillary can only come down and Trump can only go up.
>>74060149
You're on /pol/. Everyone knows about your politics.Especially now that America can become a land of memery attracting /pol/fugees
it's a manipulation, media want you to think the race is close and then Clinton will stomp Trump with like a 10 % lead just like Obama defeated that irrelevant republican faggot
