Election 2016
- Home
- Board: /pol/ - Politically Incorrect
- Reading: Election 2016
Post predictions.
I said PREDICTIONS! Not what you want to happen, what you honestly think will happen.
http://www.270towin.com/
>>73687914
>Not what you want to happen, what you honestly think will happen.
You first OP.
I honestly can't see a realistic path where he even gets close.
The ride was fun though
>>73687984
>recognizes that Trump is fighting an uphill battle
>HE MUST BE A LIBTARD!
The current makeup of the electoral map makes it very difficult for any republican candidate to win. There's just too many conservatives locked out of their vote counting in states like MA, NY, IL, and CA.
Add in the fact that Trump hasn't even unified his base and that the GOP leadership is actively holding out against him, and it's very reasonable to come to the conclusion that he will lose.
He'll let her have Alaska so she doesn't sudoku right after. Anyway, that shithole is rightful Canada's clay.
Hillary seems incapable of increasing her poll numbers.
Not to sound tumblrish, but science says people dislike women who seem to be seeking power but no such stigma is attached to men, therefore the longer this campaign goes on, the weaker Hillary will get.
This is what i think the result will be.
If Trump is doing averagely in his performance, he can probably flip some Rust belt states, if he is exceptional, he can flip the entire rust belt.
He can't win, but I'll enjoy the debates regardless.
All the maps that don't have Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania are wrong.
>>73688332
>Illinois
>voting republican
How the fuck would anyone ever come to that conclusion?
Do you know anything about Chicago or the state of Illin-
>Taiwan
Ah, that explains everything.
My honest prediction.
>>73688350
Realistic with current polling I guess, but west virginia? Am I missing something? Why would they go for clinton?
>>73688455
I don't really know much about Illinois, whats the deal with it?
>>73688621
I can't see how they would. She didn't even win against Bernie in the democratic primary because she's strongly anti coal.
A few I'm not sure about
>>73688667
It's full of niggers and white liberals.
>>73688621
You know what, Trump may actually get WV, but the rest of the mid Atlantic has been shifting left rapidly due to increased non-whites settling there.
By 2020 Virginia will be a strong left state and NC will be a leaning left state.
Georgia is also no longer a strong right state, it just leans right.
>>73688667
Chicago Illinois is one of the most liberal cities in the United States. It's also the third largest. The state will not vote for Trump. The rest of the state could all vote Trump and Chicago would still turn the state blue
>>73688873
If only Trump is elected to stop this madness
Don't know about Colorado , but in this case it doesn't matter
>>73688873
Yep
pic related
blue won
>>73688958
now that the dude weed lmao is over, Colorado is in play. It's a state with a Libertarian streak, it may go for Trump over Clinton what with TTIP...
>>73688958
>>73688823
>>73688269
>Trump flipping Pennsylvania
Stop this dumb desperate meme.
I'm a Pittsburgh native. Trump is not taking this state, despite how much I would love it.
>>73688980
That must be infuriating
>>73689058
>I live in this place that means I know everything
nah
>>73687914
Honestly, I think it's going to be a Democrat year. I predict a margin of about 10 percent. Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania will all go Democrat, mainly because I think the anything-but-Trump voters will be strongly motivated to turn up. The negative campaign against Trump will get very ugly. But then there are going to be a lot of butthurt fags who are disappointed and feel left out. Some of these will grab guns and go full Elliot Rodger. There won't be a race war -- just a lot of sad faggots. Business will continue as usual and the level of change won't be very noticeable.
Honest predictions -- this is what I think is very likely to happen, even though I don't like Hillary Clinton much.
>>73689058
Trump was behind Clinton by a point in the last poll. Pennsylvania is predicted to be a future red-leaning/swing state with the demographic changes
>>73688980
'Tis what happens when niggers are given the right to vote.
>>73689058
Trump's message is tailored to do well in Ohio and Pennsylvania, if he doesn't beat her there he isn't beating her.
SAY IT WITH ME
O!
H!
>>73689346
>Vermont and Pennsylvania red
>Colorado Blue
There were polls showing Trump beating Clinton in CO
>>73689133
That's hilarious coming from someone who doesn't even live in the United States.
What if I started talking about how I know so much about UK politics because I took a class in college once?
>>73689161
Pennsylvania consists of 2 notable cities on opposite sides of the state and a shit load of literally nothing but Scranton and Penn state somewhere in the middle.
The shit load of nothing accounts for a small minority of the population.
Philadelphia is the overwhelming plurality of the voting population and always votes blue.
For a republican to win Pittsburgh, they need to convince the Burgh to support them by more than just a slight margin, and right now Pittsburgh is leaning Clinton.
>>73688158
>DC not red
Get out Hill-shill.
As much as I love Trump, I really think he'll have trouble flipping Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. And if he doesn't get all three, he loses.
I mean honestly, Hillary has to get indicted for there to be a chance, and even then that would just mean Bernie would get the nomination and polls shows he would crush Trump by even wider margins.
Though I wouldn't make any bets now, as when we first started the primaries I did not at all expect Trump to be the nominee, this election is way too chaotic and unpredictable to make any assumptions right now.
>>73687914
low energy
I think this election will be 2012 map 2: electric boogaloo, with maybe Colorado swapping red.
>>73689536
He's leading in ohio though.
>>73688409
This Italian knows.
>>73688244
oh don't worry anon, that delusion has yet to even reach a fever pitch
they'll be "unskewing the polls" soon and before you know it Karl Rove is throwing a temper tantrum on national TV because it took Barack Obama an hour to be declared the winner
the media wants it to be a race so they'll paint it as such, but that's the cold honest truth, the blue states currently hold the electoral advantage on a national level, and add to the fact that Trump is making places like motherfucking Georgia a battleground and that spells trouble
I support Trump and still think pic related is going to happen. I'm basing this off of recent polls on realclearpolitics, FYI. This country is too far degenerated to be saved. Let it burn, so that we can start fresh.
Let's get some things cleared up.
>1. New York and Pennsylvania
Trump is not flipping these states. Stop meming this. This are strong blue states, New YORK being one of the most consistently democratic in the country filled with liberals that will never support Trump. And the fact that it's Trumps state is negated by the fact that it's Hilary's. Unless he picks Guliani... no, even if he picks him as a VP, he's not taking New York.
The same applies to PA, for mostly reasons stated >>73689480
Yes, most of the state's area is bumble fuck nowhere with white trash, but Philly will keep this state safely Dem. Pittsburgh is one of the only cities in the country that isn't a complete liberal cesspool, but it's simply not big enough to stop Philly.
>2. Ohio and Florida
It's unrealistic to assume Trump will take both of these. The same bet would be for him to run with Kasich and grab Ohio. Florida has been shifting left for 3 decades now. Expect it to lean safely Dem from here on out. If Trump picks Rubio, he can make a grab for it, but then he will lose Ohio.
>3. Trump's Margin of Victory
Any maps that have landslide wins for Trump should be discarded. His only path is through a narrow win with key states.
>>73688409
>Quinnipiac
Use averages or go home, Quinnipiac are the people who predicted a Romney landslide in 2012
>>73689812
it's not trump that's making georgia a battleground, it's the niggers.
>>73689934
>Let it burn
>>73689085
only if you're in the minority in cow country
those maps don't depict population count, so to most people the system works just fine
proportionally zero people live in the red parts.
>>73689812
>Trump is making places like motherfucking Georgia a battleground
I think you might be the one falling for the "There is a race here"
Hillary shouldn't even Debate Trump. There is no contest.
>>73690149
ew. It's like a Tumor.
Somebody pop that fucking pimple.
>>73689659
Only in Quinnipiac polls, who consistently poll 5-10% to the republicans than the rest of the polls do. They said Romney would win 2012 easily.
>>73690130
I made a poor word choice, I'll admit. However, I simply cannot afford to have Bernie as president, or I'll be taxed out onto the streets.
>>73689934
What would the butthurt on /pol/ be if this happened and the dems regained both houses of congress?
>>73690208
them polls don't lie anon, I live in Georgia, Clinton isn't winning the state, but she may even have a closer margin than BO managed
The tilt towards the left has begun down here anon, whether you recognize that truth or not is up to you but spoiler: Atlanta's only getting bigger and sisterfuck county's only getting smaller, in 10-15 years this state will be a swing state.
>>73690359
If that scenario comes to fruition, it is no longer a matter of butthurt. It becomes a matter of the survival of the US, its democracy, and white men. Possibly the world, if Hellary starts WW3 with Russia. At the very least, the first and second amendments will be completely dismantled.
>>73690483
>Atlanta's only getting bigger
I'VE HEARD ENOUGH. SPARE ME THE NIGHTMARES
>>73689808
I would agree with this.
But CO will go red.
OH and PA blue.
Clinton wins.
I don't know if I want to stick around this year to watch /pol/ slowly self destruct as they start to become aware that Trump can't win.
The fact that people are posting fucking Pennsylvania as red just shows the desperation.
I think a lot of people have this notion that once it's him v her, he will decrease the gap, but after the debates when nothing changes, it will start to get ugly here.
>>73690882
>as they start to become aware that Trump can't win.
It won't happen. Remember all the people screaming that Romney was winning right up until the media called it for Obama on the night?
>>73689058
Really? Northern Allegheny?
I'm becoming a community organizer for the GOP, and I'll tell you that the strategy for the ground game has changed. They're instituting a copy of the strategy Obama used in 2008. While a win isn't certain, Pennsylvania is certainly up for grabs. Loads of blue dog Dems are switching and I hear we have a great black organizer in Philly who is getting a lot of blacks to register Republican.
>wisconsin red
>tie
>>73690882
The delusional self-deception will be hilarious for a while. It already is quite funny and I'll continue coming back here just to watch the butthurt moaning. But then there's the political problem of what to do with so many disillusioned meme-ing populists who will feel disenfranchised. I'm not sure if there's going to be a useful way of channeling this political energy or if it's instead just going to turn into lots more sad Pepe memes. Trump has hit a vein of serious discontent with the pace of change, especially in the ways that dumb, poorly educated white people get left out of economic growth. I'd like to think there is a better outlet for this shit than /pol/.
>>73691030
South Hills.
I just don't know. And honestly how can you expect to infiltrate Philly like that.
>>73691117
It will result in even less voter turnout for future elections, which means an even smaller fraction of the country gets to decide our fate. Dubya will be the last Republican president in the country's history.
>>73689480
You apparently don't understand how polls work. If Trump performs as well in the polling as he has been, and I expect him to start doing better in these key swing states, then he probably wins them. It's not based on your own "expert" opinion but on data. Of course, the polls could be off, but they're a lot better predictors than your rambling about different cities in PA. I actually expect Trump to outperform the polls. People are even afraid to say they like him over the phone, which has been documented by pollsters already.
Then again, there's still a long way to go. Clinton could choose a running mate that appeals to the rust belt, and might cement her general lead.
The funny part is VPs don't matter. Americans will still have their jobs shipped overseas and fucked over by Wall Street. That's what Hillary will be all about regardless of whether she throws some token dem like Warren to the progressive base.
The colored states in this pic have voted the same since the major political realignment of 2000.
They will not be changing this election, so stop posting fumble shit like having PA go blue.
>>73691437
>Of course, the polls could be off,
They're from fucking Quinnipiac, they're like 8% off.
NY and PA are red this year
Hello, fellow /pol/ posters.
Remember that Trump is highly unelectable and will never win the general election.
If you want to know why, then you should educate yourself by contacting Correct The Record.
Thank you for your time and reading this.
Who else thinks dissolving the electoral college and going straight to popular vote is a good idea?
>>73691661
Fuck off hill-shill
>>73687914
Confirmed shill thread.
>>73690261
The problem for Ohio like a lot of other rust belt states was the missing white working class vote. Romney just couldn't get those people to the polls, even if they might have told a pollster on the phone that they would vote for Romney. This is Trump's key demographic in many respects.
That being said, it doesn't mean Trump will win Ohio, but I think Trump has a far better chance of scrambling the electoral map in states like Ohio than Romney ever did.
Honestly believe this.
Trump has hit his max unlikeability, he has had 110% exposure, and anyone who hates him will continue to. Hillary has been 90% hidden. Trump is going to shine the light of 1000 suns on Hillary and her 500 scandals.
The independents and Berniebots will come to Trump's side or refuse to vote for her after Trump masterfully traps her into lying on stage or 'pleading the fifth' on the issues over and over and over. The people will start to reject Hillary, Trump can't lost ANYONE he hasn't already.
This is also proven in the fact that Trump is trending up by a LOT in recent weeks.
It's gonna close as fuck, but Trump will pull it out, provided there is no fuckery with the voting process going on.
>>73691675
I think that would be more democratic, but you know it would skew politics a long way left because that would mean left-leaning voters in big cities like New York and Los Angeles would have more say -- which properly they should.
A better system still would be proportionate representation in each state so that smaller parties can have a say. This would result in liberatarians, socialists, faggots, and everyone else getting a degree of representation in US politics, which currently they don't really.
>>73691367
This is actually possible. Trump will most likely do massive damage to the Republican party, though I think they've been heading this way for a while by letting the tea-party fringe make headway against moderate Republicans and by focus too much on generating highly partisan hatred toward Democrats, and especially toward Obama. It's fascinating watching what other Republicans are doing now about Trump and how they're managing the prospect of him losing -- they don't want to be chained to a sinking ship, so many are refusing to endorse or are only saying they'll endorse "the candidate" but not even attend the national convention. It's been a thorough hostile takeover of the Republican Party.
>>73691954
Trump could realistically win WIS or VA as well, and could lose NV or PA.
>>73691675
No. There are consistently more red states and red counties, and we don't want commiefornia and jew york to skew the results in their favor.
desu :(
>>73691986
I always thought of Nevada a red state
>>73691986
>Trump could realistically win WI
God the delusion is amazing
>>73691954
I think honestly that the Republicans have been running very hostile on Hillary Clinton for a few years now and they don't have any new ammo -- the Benghazi and email stuff just isn't serious enough to bring her down and the fact Republicans still keep harping on this is making the Republicans look like they're short of new information.
On the other hand, the Democrats haven't even properly gotten started on Trump and it's going to get very ugly. Just wait until his interviews with Howard Stern are all over the mainstream media. Conservative Republicans will not be able to get behind this guys sex life. And then there will be all the exposes from former lovers (including domestic violence) and stories from prostitutes. In the 70s and 80s, Trump was trying to style himself as a high-living playboy and did some pretty degenerate stuff. This is all going to be played very hard in public. There's also all the attacks by Republicans on Trump that can just be redirected back at Trump until the election. It's going to get very ugly and funny, I think.
Disclaimer: I greatly dislike Hillary Clinton.
>>73692230
>There's also all the attacks by Republicans on Trump that can just be redirected back at Trump until the election
Already happening
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8DbsCgwVVIc
>>73692206
It's one of the longer shots, but it's possible.
>>73692330
Thanks, anon. That's pretty amusing stuff!
>>73691624
>PA is red this year
Objectively false
>NY also
Are you fucking retarded?
>>73691975
I find a popular vote to be most ideal, but not every should have a right to vote. I'm not sure if IQ should be used as a qualifier, since it might eliminate more Republicans than Democrats from the voting process. Conversely, if Democrats are so smart as some dubious sources have claimed, why vote for people with suicidal policies on a national scale?
>>73689133
Can't even be witty. Just fucking kill yourself faggot.
>>73688540
I think you're onto something here anon.
>>73690483
>them polls don't lie anon
sure dont
>>73693305
>Quinnipiac
So guaranteed wins from Hillary.
K.
>>73692230
>On the other hand, the Democrats haven't even properly gotten started on Trump and it's going to get very ugly. Just wait until his interviews with Howard Stern are all over the mainstream media. Conservative Republicans will not be able to get behind this guys sex life. And then there will be all the exposes from former lovers (including domestic violence) and stories from prostitutes. In the 70s and 80s, Trump was trying to style himself as a high-living playboy and did some pretty degenerate stuff. This is all going to be played very hard in public
its like you think the other side has nothing to lose dredging up lewd things from 1990
which would make perfect sense if you were a concern troll spreading fud
>>73693460
>Quinnipiac
>the same guys reporting a 50 pt lead just a few months ago
yup. no trend here. clear win for hillary!
>>73688265
Canada is rightfully Alaskan clay
>>73693547
Quinnipiac is known for skewing polls for republicans.
Hillary is winning those states. Period.
If Johnson gets even 10% of the vote, then Hillary is done as it seemks like Johnson voters right now tend to prefer her over Trump
>>73693472
No, that's how far modern politics have degenerated. Focus on Trump for something that happened 20 years ago, but ignore Hellary for something that happened 4 years ago.
>>73693472
I'd be really interested to see anything ugly, but it seems like that's all on Bill. Yes, he let an intern give him a bj and my guess is it wasn't his first time. But I really can't imagine Hillary getting sexual favors from her staffers. It seems that for a very long time she's been preparing for a presidential run and has kept her slate clean. I can't imagine anything coming out that didn't last time she was running against Obama, since that was a relatively tight and dirty race too. US politics is bit too obsessed anyway with the sex lives of politicians.
>>73693547
Quinnipiac said Romney would win easily, they skew republican all the time like MSNBC skews dem
>>73693638
Johnson will get 2% max
>>73693638
You are delusional, Johnson will barely get 1% of the vote.
>Everyone showing Trump just barely winning
If that's any indication then Trump really needs to up his game if he's going to win, as currently he won't.
Why do retards always think PA is somehow a swing state? Haha.
Hillary just needs to win Virginia, and then it's game over. Get ready for Hillary.
Bernie will beat Hillary though
Is it really that certain that Trump takes Arizona? Isnt it filled with hispanics and cuckservatives?
>>73693859
This desu, i'm rooting for Trump but he'll have to push harder than any Republican nominee before him.
>>73694025
No, Yes, and no. Spics are overwhelmingly not conservative.
>>73693850
>Why do retards always think PA is somehow a swing state? Haha.
Because they're desperate.
They've been meming Trump support for months as a joke. The like him because he's funny.
Now they're realizing his path to victory is highly unlikely and they're moving the goal posts to make themselves feel better.
>>73689058
are you stupid Romney lost last Pennsylvania by a small margin last election it could very easily go red this time
>>73688958
this map but make
colorado blue
>>73694117
>PA
>>73694193
This meme that Trump will win PA is getting old.
>>73694239
>70-80% white
>Trump 1% behind Clinton
>Clinton isn't black
I can see it.
>>73694132
I meant the kind of ""conservatives"" that are pro-illegals, for amnesty and that crap
>>73693859
>>73694100
no check my map he dose not need Virginia
>>73694193
>>73694266
HUEland thinks they understand American politics
> ignore flag im American my wife is Polish
>>73694266
and he also has a chance to get Michigan and
Newhampshire
>>73691954
I'm a Bernie guy. There's all this "Bernie or bust" talk from other supporters. I can't speak for them but personally I will vote against Trump. This doesn't mean I'm enthusiastic about Hillary. This doesn't mean I think Trump is the worst thing ever either, you don't know how ecstatic I was when Scott Walker dropped out, then Ted Cruz was the real nightmare candidate but we finally got the ding dong the witch is dead moment there.
>>73694358
I'm an American working in Brazil.
>>73694193
Romney lost by 6%. What part of that is small to you?
I live south of Pittsburgh. This is a blue state.
>>73694458
and your white? hard to believe i smell beans
>>73694421
>he also has a chance to get Michigan
Immediately dropped, anyone who believes this knows 0% about elections.
I'm sorry, dudes
>>73694440
How can you honestly come to this site and support Bernie at the same time? I wouldn't.
>>73694301
>>Trump 1% behind Clinton
Fuck off shill
tb.h
>>73694529
You're fucking Slavic guttertrash and you're not even trying to hide it, no English-speaking man doesn't have spellcheck in /pol/.
>>73694596
I was here before Trumpamania was running wild. If you're scared of engaging people who have views that go against your own you're politically weak.
>>73694463
im not saying its a easy win but it is possible. I would say Michigan, Pennsylvania, Newhampshire, and Nevada are all up for grabs.
it will be very close
>>73691954
>The independents and Berniebots will come to Trump's side or refuse to vote for her after Trump masterfully traps her into lying on stage or 'pleading the fifth' on the issues over and over and over. The people will start to reject Hillary.
Posts like these go to show how uninformed /pol/ is.
I grew up in New England.
I went to college in New York.
All my friends are huge bleeding heart liberals, and the overwhelming majority of them are avid bernie aupporters.
I haven't talked to a SINGLE ONE that will not vote for Hillary to stop Trump from winning.
The same can not be said about the divided republican party.
TL;DR Trump is not getting bernie supporters
>>73694618
Why should I trust NBC more than Quinnipac and FOX News? Also what is voter turnout? And how are the polls done?
>>73694618
Check the dates you mongoloid. That average is factoring in a bunch of polls from april and march.
>>73687914
i looked at the past elections and the primary results
got this?
>>73694674
hahah im not a slav im 100% western European but my wife is Slavic and they are great people and they are just as white as any European country and whiter than any spics will every be.
desu senpai
>>73694821
>>73694874
Quinnipiac are known to heavily bias their polls towards republicans, they predicted Romney would win easily in 2012.
>>73694821
>This delusion
He's not taking PA
>>73694725
Colorado is more likely to be red than mew mexico. It would be solid blue for bernie because of the type of people there, but for hillary vs trump, it's trump territory.
>>73694909
>Doesn't punctuate
>Doesn't capitalize
Not even trying to hide it.
>>73694725
>NM red
>VA leaning red
>>73694917
I really can't see Michigan going red while Ohio and Indiana go blue. That would be a bit bizarre.
>>73694879
Primary results mean nothing for general elections, or else LA and WV are going blue this year
>>73694620
>Trump winning Ohio AND Florida AND New Hampshire AND Virginia AND Colorado
This is super unrealistic.
Trump would have a better chance of winning the lottery.
>>73695007
kek i dont have to punctuate when im shitposting
> stay mad Juan
>>73694802
You're not seeing the big pictures. You think bernie supporters = blue-haired bleeding-heart SJWs.
And why they do make up his fanbase and they're the most vocal part of it, they're not hte majority of his support. That's only a particular demographic and isn't actually that big.
A large part of bernie's support comes from lower middle class white people who like his anti-corporate rhetoric and want to be given a "second new deal" and such.
The aforementioned SJWs will not go for trump. But the more average folks may. There is a reason why hillary does worse against trump than bernie does.
>>73689480
>The shit load of nothing accounts for a small minority of the population.
As a "shit load of nothing" in a "flyover state", as they put it, I just wish we could somehow prevent the big city faggots from destroying my rights inside their tiny downtown apartments lacking any skills in the real world. Not sure how you could be fair and free and democratic about it, though. It just needs to happen because those faggots are fucking retarded.
>>73694958
Link pls? And I'd like a source on what NBC predicted in 2012. Romney wasn't exactly too far behind in the general election with 51-47.
>>73694972
You know that why? Clinton won't have the same voter turnout from blacks as Obama did.
>>73690149
>more people live on lake Michigan than in southern Illinois
>>73687914
New Hampshire is blue.
Colorado is blue.
>>73695122
>lel i'm shidposding XDDDDDD
Zowski you're late for your squatting session, and don't forget to rape a girl in your way.
>>73687914
NC democrat are you even trying
WHEN WILL THE MEME END THAT NY IS A 'BLUE STATE'
>>73695081
Bush did it
>>73689161
>Pennsylvania is predicted to be a future red-leaning/swing state with the demographic changes
PA is getting less white and more Latino every year. Now is that red leaning?
>>73695290
>Implying Northern NY matters
NYC makes about 70% of the population, winning counties outside of NYC doesn't fucking matter.
>>73695187
>Link pls?
Shit like this, they had Romney up 6 in Florida. Which Obama won.
https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=1752
>>73695297
>Bush did it
Yeah I bet you faggots on /pol/ love him. He's a cuckservative just like Drumpf.
Daily reminder these maps don't matter because the electoral college will pick Clinton regardless of how well Trump does
>>73695384
Who do you support? Honest question.
The most realistic victory for trump.
>all these retards thinking NC will go Blue
After all the bullshit attacks the federal government has made on state sovereignty and you still think NC will vote for the traitor Hillary?
>>73695162
The electoral college is not going away
How hard will /pol/ meltdown once Trump loses?
>>73695466
>Michigan
>>73695290
When the degenerate city sinks into the ocean
>>73694917
>west coast
>ever not being blue
that's a lot of wishful thinking there m8
>>73695056
it might sound a bit autistic but i compared each primary result by party compared to previous general election wins by state.
its ~90% accurate or mby im missing something.
florida is red due to recent results dont know if it might turn red in the generals.
most states are strongholds of the respective parties but i noticed that ohio might turn things in trumps favor.
on my 1st map he won my a slight margin even giving Hillary the assumption of winning and keeping certain states.
then i gave ohio to the hillary and colorado to trump
i actually dont know much about how the elections go down didn't bother for the past 3, oh and what happens when its 50/50 ?
>>73695384
How is that even a argument against what I wrote?
>>73695466
>realistic
There is no way he can win.
>>73695510
Not a lot of Hillary supporters there, just blue collar workers
>>73695451
>Who do you support? Honest question.
Clinton or Jill Stein.
>>73695359
8 million is less than 19 million anon
>>73695363
Well, Florida was almost tied between the two of them. But what is QP doing to skew the results like this? Or is it merely based on voter turnout thanks to people not even bothering to go out and vote for Romney?
>>73694917
kek
>>73695242
Let's see how white you are, spic.
>>73695600
PA is blue
Ohio is swing
Florida is slight blue due to Hispanics
>>73687914
Fucking hell, these shill maps get worse every time one is posted.
> Clinton winning NC
> Clinton winning Virginia
> Clinton winning all three swing states
> Clinton winning Trump's homestate of NJ
> Clinton winning the general of every state she lost in the primary to Bernie such
Lib fantasies are getting more delusional by the week.
>>73688018
>Florida
>blue
Yeah no. We are increasingly red these days
>>73695665
That isn't real, i can get that anywhere.
>>73695600
>PA is a swing state
>OH and FL lean R
>>73695699
>Clinton winning Trump's homestate of NJ
Look's who's calling whom a shill.
>>73695722
Alright, you've been making a lot of criticisms in this thread, let's see your map then.
>>73695690
>Florida is slight blue due to Hispanics
Going by Primaries alone Trump had only 20,000 less votes then Hillary but he also had 2 other competitors, and Rubio's votes will likely go to the nominee which, if paired with some of Bernie's voters staying home, could swing Flordia in Trump's favor unless Liberals don't vote in primaries and only in generals which would be fucking stupid.
>>73691223
nigs will stay home more then they did the last 2 elections once trump lays into hilldawg. The rest of the state has a good chance of offsetting us this year.
t. phillyfag
>>73695720
oh do they just sell passports everywhere in HUEland
>>73695761
You don't honestly think Hillary will win in NJ, do you? She will have a hard enough time winning in NY and will be spending most of her summer/fall there campaigning.
>>73695872
>if paired with some of Bernie's voters staying home,
There is no source to back this meme up.
This is like saying Clinton voters stayed home in 2008 for Obama. Didn't happen.
>>73695920
>You don't honestly think Hillary will win in NJ, do you?
New Jersey hasn't vote red since 1992.
>She will have a hard enough time winning in NY
??????
What are you talking about? It's her home state that she won by 58% of the vote.
>>73695574
If no one gets 270, regardless of why, the House chooses the president.
>>73695890
Actually they do, i can get a fake passport here from my local Paraguayan store.
>>73696023
kek must be great to live in a third world shit hole
>>73694716
as long as you dont vote for hillary no one here will really care
>>73695930
Okay will if all primary voters for both parties vote their candidates then Trump has an easy advantage by the tens of thousands
>>73695861
Last two are tossups
>>73695985
1992 isn't that long ago, junior. Also, this is not your average bought and sold election.
> ???????
Yes, shill, you are reading that right. Clinton will likely win NY by the slightest of margins but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if she lost it. She will also be spending by 5x the amount in NY that Trump will.
>>73696008
>If no one gets 270, regardless of why, the House chooses the president.
That's not gonna happen anon.
>>73696122
Voter turnout for Republicans was higher in both states, unless Rubio and Kasich sabotage Trump then they should both go Red.
>>73695485
Thank God.
I also find it hilarious when cityfags bitch about gerrymandering.
>>73692330
All of Trump's competitors and some establishment shills nobody likes.
>>73696122
Florida will go Republican i think.
>>73696226
>Primaries
>meaning shit for generals
And LA is going blue this year amirite?
>>73693590
Yes, and the other MSM pollsters don't skew things for Dems.
>>73696122
That's actually pretty reasonable, although I personally think that the Rustbelt is more of a swing area than in 2012. We'll know for sure in the coming months.
>>73696124
>Clinton will likely win NY by the slightest of margins but it wouldn't surprise me one bit if she lost it
Jesus christ, the delusion here is off the charts. It's polling as her 3rd strongest state after Hawaii and MA or something.
>>73696100
>Okay will if all primary voters for both parties vote their candidates then Trump has an easy advantage by the tens of thousands
Not really.
Primary turn out =/= general election turn out
Democrats come out in huge numbers in presidential years.
>>73692330
>race-baiting
>xenophobic
>misogynist
The GOP and the DNC really are indistinguishable aren't they?
>inb4 Trump and Hillary each get 269 and the GOP majority house makes Hilldog President
I hope you Yanks fucking revolt at this point because democracy will be dead if that happens.
>>73696474
Don't forget New York is literally Clinton's home state.
I think Trump can president.
>>73696541
>>inb4 Trump and Hillary each get 269 and the GOP majority house makes Hilldog President
that would be fucking hilarious, but the civil war would be sweet
>>73696474
Holy fuck, cuck Brits don't understand Americans one bit. Probably why we kicked your limey asses and destroyed your world-wide empire.
Hillary is barely beating a flat out Commie. I don't give a shit about these pollster who have been wrong for a year straight.
I said before that this isn't your average bought and sold election. Stop being butthurt about impending MAGA and go kiss your Muslim mayor's feet.
Cuck
>>73696589
Just because she changed her address to NY 6 months prior so she could qualify to run as senator does not make it her home state. Nobody considers her a new yorker.
>>73696688
>Hillary is barely beating a flat out Commie
She's easily beating Bernie, amongst dem voters where he's gained a flood of independents and non-voters to vote in their open primaries. She's got a bigger % of the dem vote than trump managed, winning 80%+ in a few states. He''s only getting to a delegate majority due to the GOP's fucked up delegate rules compared to the dems making everything proportional.
>impending MAGA
Oh god you're gonna be salty in November. Trump drones remind me of Labour people in the UK who were convinced they were winning our election last year, then got wrecked and lost 30 seats, giving us a Tory majority. It's the same level of self assured ignorance of evidence.
>>73696920
>Just because she changed her address to NY 6 months prior so she could qualify to run as senator does not make it her home state. Nobody considers her a new yorker.
>senator for 8 years
Yup clearly not her home state.
>>73697035
Ey, what is this meme that Corbyn is un-electable, what is happening with the Labour Party?
What happens if Trump wins by popular vote but not by states?
Anyway, I'm not so sure about New York and Oregon.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/M4vYg
>>73697035
She is not easily beating him, you mong.
He is winning with democrat voters and this is an indisputable fact. Just last night Bernie Sanders beats Hillary in WV with almost twice as many votes... same amount of delegates.
I get that you're a Brit and you don't really understand elections with your kings and queens, and dukes and earls. But elections are supposed to be representative of the people's vote... Stick with me, I know this is confusing... The Democratic primaries are 100% bought and sold.
>>73697342
Yeah.... Except that she is beating him on the popular vote by 3 Milion and that she won all big states.
>>73697224
>what is happening with the Labour Party?
We had local elections, they lost local councillor seats, which no opposition party has ever managed in decades.
They won in London only and got wrecked hard in Wales (losing lots of votes to UKIP) and in Scotland, where they came 3rd behind the Tories. And the Tories are a literal joke party in Scotland normally, they've been hated there since Thatcher.
>>73697342
She's winning easily among the pledged delegates even if you remove the super delegates though. She'll have a super delegate majority once CA votes.
>I get that you're a Brit and you don't really understand elections with your kings and queens, and dukes and earls. But elections are supposed to be representative of the people's vote
Nice American education at work there.
>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitutional_monarchy
>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Westminster_system
>>73697288
>What happens if Trump wins by popular vote but not by states?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2000
>>73697169
> senator for 8 years
She went up against Rick Lazio and John Spencer... Stop pretending like her being senator in NY matters at all. She has never faced a Trump in her entire life. Just stop it.
>>73697471
> She'll have a super delegate majority once CA votes.
Should read pledged delegate
>>73697558
Yeah, but the american people are already very angry because of that. So while it might repeat itself the anger would be probably enormous.
This is a paradigm shifting election. Trump will win the industrial midwest with his anti-trade agenda and because of Hillary's anti-coal, pro-free trade platform.
Trump will underperform in the upper southeast due to suburban vaginas and their cucks.
He has a path to victory, but it is a paradigm shifting path to victory. For everyone saying >Michigan >Red, yes, I know it hasn't happened in a long time, but who would have thought ten years ago that Virginia and North Carolina would become safely blue. The spectrum is shifting.
>>73697342
>The Democratic primaries are 100% bought and sold.
And the GOP isn't? You have to be a retarded faggot if you think Trump is going to do whatever the oligarchy tells him to do.
>>73697471
Dude, your leader is Arthur Wellesley, 1st Duke of Wellington, Lord of Winterfell, Warden of the North, Hand of the King, Protector of the Realm, the VII
>>73695611
>Clinton or Jill Stein.
>>73697778
>Trump winning Michigan
When will this meme end? NO Republican candidate has ever won Michigan since 1988, and it was only because the Democratic candidate was weak.
Trump takes Ohio, Florida, Nevada and Maine or New Hampshire, but loses Virginia, so it'll be a tie and the housevote will hand in the election for Trump
Screencap this
>>73695600
best one yet
There's no fucking way FL goes blue.
Romney lost it by .9% in an election with super low white male turnout.
Cubans aren't fucking Mexicans, they aren't going to give that much of a shit about illegals.
Marco is more popular than ever and can help carry it even if he isn't VP. Trump also has a huge influence there as we saw in the primary.
PA and Michigan are where the real fight lies. They gotta find a way to hold the southwest against Mexican turnout as well.
>>73697791
Until Trump shows me otherwise.
Yes, the GOP tried to buy this election like usual. They came up against Trump. They failed. Same thing will happen with Hillary. Her entire campaign is fake and bought by Jewish bankers. They will fail also.
>>73697778
>>73697945
I think Michigan's way more up for grabs than most people are giving it credit for, especially given Detroit's continued decline in population and Trumps unprecedented (albeit still small) support among the black voting demographic. I think Pennsylvania still leans blue, but that Trump could potentially gain enough momentum for flip it come the election cycle.
The real meme is Trump getting New York. Him winning there is arguably a longer shot than him winning fucking Washington state. If New York did go red, it would be on account of Hillary fucking up something so hard that basically the whole rest of the country goes red along with it.
>>73697945
Did you read my post bunda faggot? The spectrum is undergoing a transformation this election. Michigan was solid Republican from 1972 to 1988, then it changed when the spectrum changed in 1992, with the Democrats moving culturally to the right.
Similarly Virginia and Colorado, which were once safely and solidly red, are becoming pretty safely blue states, with North Carolina becoming a swing state due to the growth of young, millennial populations and single suburban women, specifically around Raleigh.
The spectrum is changing, and the industrial midwest is leaving the Democratic party because its no longer the workers' party but the brown vagina party.
>>73687914
Mfw we can really fucking meme it to reality
>>73689058
Hillary's coal comments will come back to bite her here in PA. Too many people are tied into the mining industry (outside of the miners themselves) for her not to take a hit. Don't know if it will be enough to flip the state red but it's a state she shouldn't take for granted.
>>73697965
He will win VT for the same reason he wins ME
Libertatian rural state with butthurt libfags in 1 or 2 metro areas who won't vote Hillary because she "cheated" Bernout
>>73698534
>PA
>WI
>NH
I hate these memes
Floridafag here. Trump will win FL for sure.
Anybody want to put in their predictions for their own States?
>>73698604
>He will win VT
>>73698534
Michigan is more likely than Wisconsin, or even Iowa. "Nice guy" states don't like Trump. If he flips states, they will be rough, blue-collar, working class industrial states like Pennsylvania and Michigan, or a rebellious state like New Hampshire.
>>73687914
>>73688018
>>73688089
>>73688350
>>73689346
>>73689934
>>73694588
>>73697520
>Florida
>Blue
C'mon lads, evn Obama only managed to get 52% in 2008 and 51% in 2012.
>>73694917
You are a special kind of retard, if you in invert this map its probably better
>>73698659
Here in TN, most older people go for Trump, but younger people go for Sanders, followed by Trump. People here REALLY don't like Hillary, I wouldn't be surprised if it comes down to her v. Trump that even Nashville goes red.
>Tfw this is what I genuinely think will happen
Please prove me wrong.
>>73698827
Canadians have a government regulated daily requirement of (You)'s, and i needed mine
>all the as blasted leftists in this thread
>PLEASE STOP THIS MEMEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE ;_;
lel
>>73689085
Illinois native here.
I live South across the river from St Louis.
Yes, it's incredibly frustrating.
E St Louis and Chicago throw the entire Illinois ballot off.
And the worst part is how fucking arrogant Chicago fags are.
They look at us like the rest of America looks at fucking Ethiopians.
>Muh Trump won't win PA meme
>Romney only lost by roughly 5 points
>If elections were held right now, Trump would only lose by 2 or 3
>Gap closing
>6 months to close it further
>High white population
>Trump pro-coal
>Trump an east coast businessman
It's a shoe-in, not a meme. Think about it holistically, Trump will win PA. The other swing states will fall into his favor, he is already winning in Ohio and he will focus on florida in the general like crazy, and support from Rick Scott and liddle Marco will reinforce this to some extent.
VA will go for him as well, it's pure coal country and the palpable hatred for Hillary in WV will spread like fire, as well as the stats indicating high democrat turnover for Trump. This will be the most accurate map, screen cap this m8s.
>>73699251
I'm not ass blasted. I can see some of these things really happening. I also see a lot of wishful thinking. Hillary vs. Trump would be a really close one I think.
>>73698827
Give citzenship to Brazilians and Venezuelans who fled their country due to Foro de São Paulo shit and they'll be a safe Trump vote.
>>73699125
>Please prove me wrong.
Not the biggest expert on individual states. But i think the 279 - 259 division you got there is a solid representation of the American voters in general.Tho Trump has more than enough time to swing a few states.
He should be able to flip atleast Colorado and Wisconson on your map
>>73697641
http://www.270towin.com/maps/5p4Ov
http://www.270towin.com/maps/5BkZo
http://www.270towin.com/maps/M3kyQ
http://www.270towin.com/maps/M4vYg
http://www.270towin.com/maps/57e79
http://www.270towin.com/maps/5V0DY
I think this might be the possible results.
>>73699425
That will piss off a whole lot of his general voterbase tho
>>73698659
Indiana will definitely be Trump. Indiana even voted for Bernie over Hillary so that should give you an idea of what they think of HIlldawg.
>>73688244
Having Florida be blue is straight up delusion this election.
>>73698659
Trump won't win Minnesota. We're too libcuck infested in the cities, and with all the immigration we're probably never going red again.
>>73695384
NOT AN ARGUMENT
>>73699276
Just secede already and join mo and ky, we'd take you if you vote red
Demographics say Trump has almost no chance.
>>73700066
Not just yet. But we're quickly approaching the point where conservatives will no longer be eletable. This is basically our last shot at retaking america. If trump loses here, the Great Replacement will continue and the county will vote for liberals forever more and we'll gradually turn into brazil.
>>73695593
And niggers
>>73700049
Sounds good. I really wish we could just flatten Chicago.
It's a fucking shithole.
>muh Cubs
But if that happened IL would be worth maybe 2 or 3 votes.
>>73687914
>Florida blue again
Pretty accurate
>>73699276
You faggots may as well be ethiopians.
Dems cant depend on the younger vote to turn out this time round in Colorado, weed's already legal.
And after Hillary's comments on miners, and then fumble apology, Pennsylvania is definitely going Trumps way
>>73698534
>muh coal
>>73700561
Does Trump really not have a chance of winning New York? I thought he was the New Yorker of New Yorkers
>>73700728
New York is legitimately one of the most solidly liberal states in the entire country. It'd take an upset so great that you'd see a Reagan-style blowout for NY to go red.
>>73699341
I agree but VA is prob blue, not that he needs it
>>73700624
The rustbelt has the most coal on the entire fucking planet. You're damn right coal matters there.
>>73700179
This is so true and sad at the same time.
White Genocide is now unstoppable.
>>73689058
Obama only won PA with 51%
Pennsylvania is very much a swing state this election, especially with unions going Trump and Hillary announcing her plan to kill coal
>>73700728
All candidates have some relation to New York, Hilldog being one of its senators, Bernie coming from Brooklyn... A few years ago Trump might have won there, but since it became a nice city, yuppie liberals have moved in
>>73700561
Florida is not going red, Leonardo. Sorry to upset you
>>73700533
Shut up Chicago fag.
Go commit more black on black crime. It's the only thing you're good at.
That and shilling for Dems.
>>73687914
Honestly.
>>73701179
Latest Quinnipiac poll has only 1 point between Hilldog and Trump, difference could easily be made up by inviting little Marco to be VP
>>73694725
>Ohio
>Virginia
>Florida
>red
Hahaha, see how Republicans have to win ALL of these swing states and just BARELY make it over 270? Haha It's a fantasy world you live in, cuck. Democrats will win EASILY. They don't even need all the major swing states. They just need ONE. LMAO.
White voters may make up <70% of the electorate in 2016.
In 1984, they made up 86%.
>>73701427
Florida and Ohio will obviously be red. The question lies in whether Cons can pull any other swing state and pull it in their favor.
>>73701466
Because of this, unless Trump changes the atmosphere of young America, this country will only go downhill into blue.
>>73689934
> Arizona and georgia go blue
What is this meme?
Huh... The fact is that it was not a fan page ois the best same pthing same here in a o I don't know if you want a relationship with a new one and only one who is the best thing ever is a good time with the same other day I of a good time idea day and I don't have to go to bed at like the way I do am I the only one?
>>73691675
What should honestly happen is congress should simply choose a president, like the house used to choose senators to represent their states before they fucking broke it with the 17th amendment.
>>73698715
Srsly, voter turnout was only high because muh local boy
They will not show up in anger after being BTFO by Hillary, same will happen in ME
You should see my FB feed, they still think they can win
>>73701671
>obviously
The point is that Republicans will need to push heaven and earth to make a miraculous victory happen. Enjoy your loss.
>>73702304
It's literally the same for Dems.
>>73702166
>house used to choose
You mean governors?
>>73702382
In what delusional world do you live in where 217 is a farther number from 270 than 191?
>>73702304
Yes because the entire country is just coal miners, racists and gun nuts.
>>73702514
With FL and Ohio pretty much in the bank and a far higher voter turnout, the pressure is on Dems.
You seem incredibly anal-pained.
>>73688265
>Canada's
Пpивeт
>>73701411
>Quinnipiac
They put Romney up 6 in Florida, Obama won it by 1%
>>73702677
haha oh man, you're gonna get burned bad when your delusional world collapses in November. Republicans don't have SHIT in the tank. I can easily claim that FL and OH are easy Democrat wins, but I don't have to :3 because Democrats have OTHER options. Republicucks don't. Enjoy your loss.
>>73702258
Delusional, VT is one of the most solidly blue states in the US
most likely result desu, America won't vote in a racist homophobic sexist islamophobic transphobic biphobic bigot like drumpf
>>73702642
> Yes because the entire country is just feminists, lesbians and beta males
>>73702890
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0Y21TN
Trump: 40
Clinton: 41
Undecided: 19 (undecided basically means "voting Trump but too afraid of the repercussions to publicly announce support")
>>73702890
>texas going blue for hillary
are you even trying
>>73702890
Yeahhh!!! America will vote Bernie! Bernie still can win!
>>73702890
I too make fantasy maps
>>73692525
>>73692525
If you don't honestly believe that PA and NY are not going to be red this year you are mentally retarded
