Over the past few months I have toured the country and have spoken to many people on how they feel about the upcoming election. Here is the map that I am projecting. Screencap this.
just one problem
looks like Trump is winning in this
>>73321794
My only issue is Trump may very well carry New York.
>Michigan
>new jersey
>new Hampshire
>Pennsylvania (this one is more possible desu)
>>73321794
>pennsylvania
>Jersey
>Michigan
okey dokey
Also how will Trump win ohio? Surely the republican vote in ohio is based around the middle class surburban type and trump is more for the blue collar type
>>73321794
Did you talk to the black and hispanic people as well? A lot of them vote too, you know.
>>73321794
Question to merifags
WHY DOES COMMIEFORNIA HAVE 55 DELEGATES
FFS.
>>73322883
it's based on population size retard
You know in your heart of hearts this is true. I'm being generous here, Trump might take Iowa and New York.
>>73322777
that's it trump fags trips has spoken say hello to president Clinton
>>73322965
No it's not, you literal faggot.
>>73321794
100% accurate.
>>73322616
Look at the 2012 elections. Dems winning these states by 2% does not make them permanently blue.
>>73323033
>Colorado
>>73322777
I actually went to Philadelphia, Detroit and cities in North Ohio with large black population and many seem to be leaning Trump.
>>73321794
Give more detail about how you arrived at this conclusion.
>>73323238
Why is Colorado always the lone blue state surrounded by red states its just weird.
I live in NJ, he is very popular here. Trump signs are popping up more and more around me.
>>73323357
Denver. Also it's hard to farm in the mountains
>>73322658
PA fag here, I've seen so many trump yard signs, and no Bernie or Hillary signs or supporters (who weren't underaged), also there were a lot of people who switched from democrat to republican registration this year
>>73323099
>>73322965
>>73322883
It is partly based off of population in an indirect manner.
The number of electoral votes a state gets is based on its combined total of Senators and Representatives in America's bicameral congress. The number of Senators is fixed at two-per-state, while the number of Congressmen is based off of the most recent Census population numbers.
Thus, larger, more populous states like California get more Electoral Votes, while Wyoming and other non-populous states get fewer Electoral Votes. However, due to the Senator component, smaller states punch above their weight.
To put it this way: if it were purely based off of total population, Wyoming would get 1 Electoral Vote and California would get 63.
>>73323419
I doubt the Democrats will be so callous as to lose the state that they have their convention in.
Nahh this is the official one.
Screen cap it.
>>73322772
Hillary will not be able to swing any of the republican voters in ohio, but because of Trump's blue collar support he will be able to swing a fair amount of dems, thus winning him the state
>>73321794
There's a great chance of taking nevada and colorado than there is taking NJ. Pennsylvania hasn't gone red in a while, but it's definitely a possibility, due to trump's paradigm shift.
NJ definitely ain't happened and michigan is technically possibility but it's a hell of an uphill battle.
>>73322772
Trump needs to rally in Cincinnati, Columbus and Cleveland. Cleveland has the black vote and Cincinnati and Columbus are the population centers. If he can get at least half in both he will carry the state.
>>73323564
I bet you Trump flips at least one long term blue state in this election. Probably New York or PA.
>>73323283
There may not be a massive black population here in Michigan, but our whites are as dumb as they get. Full of white-guilt, feminist, pro socialism is pretty common. The state has suffered the effects of letting the dems try to make economic policies for over 50 years so there are multiple generations who have never known the prosperity that is possible when you stop fucking with the free market.
While we have a ton of union-based workers here there are also a ton of college kids that get indoctrinated, graduate, and hang around the state afterward to drive votes to the dems. How many of the bernie supporters stay home will affect this a lot. While Michigan going red is possible, it is extremely unlikely, I'd put it at a 5% chance honestly.
>>73323986
>>73323892
More people voted for Hillary in Manhattan alone that people voted for Trump in the entire state. It simply will not happen.
Red pill me on Iowa. What are the demographics and the odds of a Trump win?
>>73324044
Dubya came pretty close to flipping you before the economy went to shit.
>>73323514
this minus Iowa
>>73324145
From what ive seen there its a bunch of corn farmers who cant live without Dem handouts.
>>73323238
The liberals will be too high to vote.
>>73324123
Things will change when they go against each other. No Ted Cruz or Bernie.
Remember there are more light blue states than light red. Obama won like 5 or 6 states with only 51-52% in the last election.
Democrats win when Republicans stay home.
>>73324145
25% white, 75% corn. You ever see the old superman movies showing clark kent growing up on a farm? That's what iowa is like.
I don't see it going for trump. Going off of the primary data, there is a very strong pattern on who supports trump. Basically, it's any place that experiences a ton of cultural enrichment from mudskins. The really white places like iowa and kansas don't actually vote for trump, because they have small horizons and don't experience any of the direct effects of this multiculturalism bullshit. They don't care about mexicans taking over their jobs or anything like that. All Iowa cares about is the president's stance on corn subsidies. All wisconsin cares about is the president's stance on dairy subsidies. All utah cares about is how much israeli cock the president sucks and how hard he will thump the bible.
>>73324123
I don't think Trump is going to win NY. But you also have to realize that NY had a closed primary and the deadline to change/join parties was back in like october, FAR before anyone was even thinking about needing to sign up for the GOP. Therefore, there are tons of independent/democrat voters that could've potentially desired to vote for trump but could not. VERY few people in NY are registered republicans, but that doesn't mean there are just as few trump supporters.
>>73323514
Iowa will be blue.
Colorado will be red, because all the dems there are berniefags and hate hillary.
>>73321794
trump fags circle jerking on make believe while in reality
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/
>>73324518
Fuck Wisconsin.
>>73325100
>Nate "Increasingly Nervous Man" Silver
>>73325100
Yeah dude, we get it. Trump has no chance. Just like he had no chance of getting the nomination. We believe you this time tho.
>>73325100
>http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/
Considering ( ( ( Nate Silver ) ) ) has been perfectly wrong about literally everything Trump-related so far, I say this bodes well.
