This is what Nate Silver is predicting for the 2016 electoral map in a contest between Clinton and Trump.
What are your thoughts, /pol/? Please support them with facts and not speculation based on "well my family and friends like Trump so PA is totally gonna go red".
>>72980248
>georgia
>north carolina
>florida
>ohio
>blue
>>72980248
>nate silver
you mean the guy who said trump had a 2% chance of becoming the nominee?
yeah i don't think i'm going to trust anything he says, sorry. here's a (You) though
Silver is a disgraced cuck, but yes, there is little to no chance that Trump will win. Rato would be much worse, a reverse Reagan would happen.
NC gov around here is having one hell of a backlash after shit like HB2 , shitty toll road contracts , toxic ash , etc. My state going blue again is a real possibility.
Way too early to tell, there hasn't even been a trump hillary debate yet. Give it time
>>72980399
Ohio will be a swing state, so will Florida, South Carolina, Virginia and Colorado.
>>72980399
Both Ohio and Florida have gone blue in the last two Presidential elections, so it's certainly possible. It's true that this map does seem like overkill, though, but I wouldn't really be shocked if this is how it turned out.
>>72980248
>nate silver
>>72980613
>Ohio will be a swing state, so will Florida
Based on what?
>>72980613
>south carolina
>>72981454
Based on the fact that South Carolina's getting blacker, and Trump might mobilise them against the Republican party even more than Obama mobilised them for the Democrats in 2008?
>>72980248
How nervous can one fag get?
>>72980248
this is the same guy that said Trump wouldn't make it past super tuesday
the kike has been wrong about every single fucking thing so far, he openly mocks trump on his twitter. the guy has zero credibility as he is clearly emotionally invested.
>>72982072
>Blacks mobilizing against against a charismatic tv star who embodies glitzy living
>more than they came out for the first black candidate
How delusional can one be?
>>72981454
hillary got just ~0.1% more votes than trump in florida, despite trump going up against three others.
>>72980248
Georgia will be red, Colorado, NC, and VA might go red, Florida probably will be red, and an outside chance is Pennsylvania flips too. Other than that the map is accurate.
>>72980248
>AZ, NC, GA
lel fuck off m8
Even with all of its Hispanics Arizona doesn't seem that likely to me. I'm also doubtful about Georgia. Everything else seems plausible.
>>72980248
Sorry lad but NC is not going blue this election.
Fucking Georgia and Arizona blue? What a joke. Even McCain won those and he had literally everything stacked against him.
>>72980481
And it's also making people angry about the cucks getting mad at te governor. Have you seen all the people in support of the bill down here? People who already vote blue are the only ones mad at it.
It's a very realistic map.
Trump needs zero surprises in the South and a clean sweep in the Midwest [outside of Illinois and Minnesota, obviously] to win.
Unless you think he has a realistic shot at flipping a major Northeast state or running the table in New England or the Mid-Atlantic.
>>72982281
He correctly predicted the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 elections.
Do you know how hard that is to do?
>>72980399
Mexicans and Muslims have been sent to key election states.
>>72980613
South Carolina will never be a swing state.
>>72982965
People are going to change their minds last minute in this election. Possibly even last second. Just wait (cucko)
>>72982965
DUDE
HOPE
>>72982965
He picked one of two options and got lucky twice in a row. You could do that with a coin toss right now you retard.
>>72980248
He has like a 2% success rate this election. He's literally a journalist pretending to be a statistician. If you read his articles, his reasoning is laughable. You could literally make a more accurate prediction by just randomly clicking states with your eyes closed.
>>72980248
>Nate Tinfoil
>Because he's been soooo right with everything concerning Trump
>>72980248
>nate silverstein
Found your problem right there
bonus captcha: shed
>cause Nate Silverstein has a cuckshed
>>72980248
>AZ, NC, GA, FL blue
Dude are you high?
>>72983121
Heh heh heh, it's far more impressive than that.
He got virtually every state outcome right.
In 2008, he got all but one state outcome right. That's 49 out of 50.
In 2012, it was every single state.
NC, Georgia, Virginia, and Florida are going blue this year.
>>72980248
Literally no source. Good job
>>72983461
Was right 49 states out of 50 in 2008.
Was right 50 states out of 50 in 2012.
I'd say he's not high.
>>72980248
Bullshit. Here's mine based on demographics, history, and the all important PERSONALITIES involved in the election.
>>72980248
>Nate "Muh 5%" Silver
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2015/09/15/nate-silver-trump-carson-have-about-5-chance-of-winning-gop-nomination/
>>72983860
Trump has alienated college graduates, young people, minorities, and women.
Your map is laughable.
>>72983953
In fairness, virtually no one predicted Trump would win the nomination for the longest time.
And Nate Silver's real talent is predicting the outcome of presidential elections, not primaries.
Did anyone see Kasich and Cruz abruptly dropping out? Everyone was predicting a contested election.
>>72983953
>tfw you're entering your late 20s and worrying about your hairline
Just fuck my widow's peak up pham
>>72980248
>Nate Silver
https://archive.is/gkp2W
>>72980248
That fag is delusional.
>>72980248
>Arizona
>Blue
>>72980248
>>72984285
Kasich didn't drop out and not everyone expected a brokered convention.
>>72983585
America was coming off of the bush era fiasco, it wasn't hard to count Dems would win. Not to mention just looking at the black populous vote for a black president is like shooting fish in a barrel.
I'd think someone who has just so thoroughly failed at predicting and giving his opinion about this election for almost a year would stop writing and giving his worthless opinion, but hey, we all pull a Nate Silver once in a while.
>>72980248
>blue arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina
Total delusion.
>>72980248
This is the worst map I have ever seen.
>>72980248
Nate Silver will give his spot on prediction right before the election. Too many variables this far out
>Nate Silver
Discredited hack. sage
>>72983730
And all the Senate seats and all but one gubernatorial race. His accuracy is a function of the amount of effort he puts in, i.e. the major races
>>72982696
Why would you support it though it's fucking stupid (I'm an independent btw) and was a complete waste of time and money to do it.
