Guys are we kidding ourselves or should not trust polls so early? Liberals obliterate conservatives in general election. Kasich doesn't count.
Jeb bush was winning in the polls once
>95% of /pol/ is leftist b8
Just end my life
>>70995229
yeah but you don't know how they want to rig it yet. neither do i its all about whats in the script
>>70995339
This.
The election is 6 1/2 months away. Lotta shit will happen before then.
>>70995440
yeah i know its like porn and weird shit too it used to really be a place for awesome stories and to throw ideas around
>>70995440
Yeah, the raids are getting bigger and bigger.
>Kasich doesn't count
I swear, you guys are jinxing this into the ground.
>>70995339
Reflective of the fact that while the general electorate would accept him, he was unacceptable to lead the Republican party.
The difference between the primary voter and the average voter.
>>70995979
Oh jeeze! That would be just nuts!
>>70995440
A moment of silence for this truth.
>>70995229
who is this young and fresh lady on the left?
>>70995229
haha
>>70995229
Unfortunately for Trump shills, the polls most certainly do matter at this point:
>Crucially, Trump's decline has happened just when these polls actually start to mean something. In newer polls, Trump almost never comes close to either Clinton or Sanders anymore. And in past races, changes in general election polling that have occurred during this period of the campaign have often ended up sticking.
>"Were this a few months ago, I'd say, 'What's the big deal?'" says Christopher Wlezien, a political science professor at the University of Texas. "But polls today are much more meaningful than they were 90 days ago. And the polls today are much less favorable for Trump."
>Wlezien is the co-author, with Robert Erikson of Columbia, of The Timeline of Presidential Elections, a political science book that provides an invaluable guide for anyone trying to make sense of polling data.
>The authors found that around 300 days before the election (mid-January), general election polls are essentially meaningless — their predictive value is close to zero. But by the time we get to mid-April of the election year, polls explain about half the variance in the eventual vote split. And mid-April polls have correctly "called" the winner in about two-thirds of the cases since 1952.
>>70995229
A lot can change in six months.
