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Ted Cruz surges to last place in New York!
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You are currently reading a thread in /pol/ - Politically Incorrect

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>POLL: Republican primary, New York.

>Donald Trump: 52%
>John Kasich: 25%
>Ted Cruz: 17%

>(Monmouth)

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/275350-trump-tops-50-percent-in-new-york-cruz-in-third-place
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Cruz Missiles

made in north korea
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>>70174434
Life is going to be rough for Cruz fags soon.
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>>70174434
This poll was taken before his HUGE win in Wisconsin. Except Cruz to take a few points off Trump and Kasich, which will keep Trump bellow 50% and split the delegates.
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>>70174434
>kasich 2nd
the retards dont realize hes more right wing than cruz is.
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>>70176282

Nobody in New York cares about what Wisconsin thinks.
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>>70175276
Is that a ge m134 or something better?
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>>70176352
Jeb! is more conservative than Ksack! The fuck you talking about?
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You need 1237 for nomination.
There are 882 delegates remaining.

Trump has 743 delegates, meaning he only needs 494 delegates to secure the nomination, meaning he needs 56% of the remaining delegates.

Compared to Ted's 517, needing 720 delegates to secure nomination, or 81%.

Then with 143, Kasich needs 1094 delegates, 124% of all remaining.
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>>70174434
NY basically doesn't matter, if we dont win Cali we are FUCKED
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>>70177503

Trump has at least 755.

The AP's delegate count, and those that use theirs, don't include the twelve delegates Trump won in Missouri by winning the statewide vote there. The AP is waiting for Missouri to certify the results on April 15 to give Trump those twelve delegates.
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WISCONSIN MOMENTUM LADS
JUST LIKE MY BUDDY NATE SILVER TOLD ME
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>>70177625

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/california-republican/#polls-only

WE GOT THIS!
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>>70177625

>NY basically doesn't matter
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>>70177794
True, I thought Cali was winner take all for whatever reason
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>>70174434
He was always in last place numbnuts
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>>70177733

What happened with Nate Silver? He has made a clown of himself in this primary. It's like he said when Trump announced that he had no chance to win the nomination, and can't stand the idea of being wrong.

I mean, his Twitter is essentially full of him shilling for Ted Cruz. Not because liberal Silver cares about Cruz at all, but because he's become so unhinged over Trump.
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WTF is wrong with the state of New York???
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>>70178074
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>still 2 weeks until NY
>literally 14 days of Cruz/Bernie shills flooding our hugbox
>literally 14 days of the media telling us that Trump's campaign is over

I-I don't know if I'll make it, /pol/
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>>70177503
Aren't 250-ish automatically locked in for Trump?
New York and California
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>>70178671

Cali is currently up for grabs.
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>>70175276
They never actually existed anyway. They are trolls for Shillary and Bernie.
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>>70177134
This.

Also Kruz took a giant shit on New York deriding 'New York Values' throughout his entire political career. I'm a Sanders supporter who's fascinated with the Republican primary and watching his campaign rally in how his crowds all have those bite size slogans to chant. 'Ly-in' Ted', 'Build. The. Wall.', etc. They are catchy as hell too. I could see myself using 'ly-in' Ted'

Wisconson means nothing and New York is for Trump to lose since if you look at his polling numbers, they almost always remain static no matter what happens. It's a matter of another candidate to get over whatever Trump is polling at to win, as opposed to Trump's number going down. But Trump is going to beat Cruz like a rented mule for the 'New York Values' attack.

>>70178375
Trump is a gigantic anomaly that is defying almost EVERY conventional wisdom because of how well we is able to manipulate earned media. That's the major reason why he's getting away with spending such little on his campaign while people like Jeb spent hundreds millions and got nothing. Since the normal formula has it that the candidate who spends the most, gets one of the largest chunks of the pie. But since the media always focused on Trump, either his own antics or how he was bashing the shit out of Jeb and Co. Trump got free advertisement, even if the media was also attacking him.

>>70178548
Just kill yourself now, or make yourself useful and become a Trump Suicide Bomber at the convention. Extra points if you take out part of a delegation from the South because they'll immediately blame it on Shirah Law. (Don't care enough to look up how it's spelled)
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Is California an open primary? Because if it is, and Bernie goes down prematurely, that frees up Dems to throw their vote away just to deny Trump (which I could easily see them doing)
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>>70178671
Cali doesn't really want Trump.
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>>70174434
>forgets on election day Ted Cruz will surge 35 points out of the blue beating all expectations again!!

http://youtu.be/_L-O3OEWaLU
>We already won, we do the counting
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>>70174434
Tomorrow on CNN:

>Wow! Cruz took a whopping 17% of the vote! That's more than 110% needed to get every delegate!
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>>70178375
>What happened with Nate Silver?

oh wow another jew becoming unhinged over trump

so surprising
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For the life of me I don't know how anyone can vote for Kasich. He goes against everything that's important to voters this cycle.

>RINO
>Common core
>Amnesty
>Mathematically impossible to win

Seriously, what's the point of voting for Kasich?
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-EefrILcSO4
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>>70182281
baby boomers still like the republican establishment positions
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>>70182281
Because he's the only candidate with a history of dealing with the democrats and winning on his issues.

Plus his foreign policy is sane and he actively denounced retards like H. Clinton who think the #1 solution to middle east politics is to send more people to fight and die for Israel.

Common Core and Amnesty is pretty much the only dark spot against him. I rather have those two things than a Clinton in the white house.

That said, voted for Trump.
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>>70183314
>foreign policy is sane

By chance do you think the Iraq war was a good idea?
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>>70182281

At this point, Kasich is just a "none of the above" option for those primary voters that cannot stand Trump or Cruz.
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>>70176352
He's a moderate quit spouting shit
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>>70175276
BRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRT
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>>70183673
He'd be far right in every other era, it's just the Republican party has shifted so far to the right in the past 30 years, Kasich is seen as a moderate in the party now.

Scary shit.
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>>70176352
>Kaisch, that fucking George soros funded fuck is a conservative

Kiss my ass retard
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>>70183843
>Rep Party
>Far Right
Pls explain.
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>>70181775
>>70180071
SoCal reporting in. We got lefty up the ass and Bernie bumpers EVERYWHERE. Nobody wants trump and Spics are sheeping towards hillary because trump a boogie man.

Send Help. I want the Bernie plague in CA to end please.
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>>70183843
>libtards think democrats are center right
LMAO maybe in the 00s but DEFINITELY not today
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>>70176352

Are you trolling? Kaisich is so fucking moderate, that he could've ran as a Democrat.
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I don't know why you guys are excited. We already stopped him from getting the 1237 and that's all that matters. There WILL be a Brokered Convention.
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>>70183843
it's more like trump is a centrist, democrats are communists and republicans are democrats that lie about loving jesus.
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>>70183314
>his foreign policy is sane
He's the only candidate still beating the Ukraine dead horse long after it became a non-issue.
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>>70183314
he also supports open borders

fuck him

any candidate that doesn't realize this is a straight up war for the future of our people can get fucked
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>>70183843
republicans are folding on nigger crime, gays, open borders, taxes, military spending, whiteness of america, the economy and idiots like you think the republicans are moving RIGHT?

please kill yourself
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>>70184015
>Democrats, not a center right party even under Obama
>Hilary is the defacto head of the Democratic party at this point
>Hillary who is exactly like Bill
>Who was responsible for wiping out the remaining New Dealers with the Democratic Leadership Council.
>Implying Obama didn't role over for the conservative bloc of the Democrats and the Republicans Scorched Earth strategy.

If Sanders were president, we'd have a center/solid party again. Also this is why things keep shifting to the right, you fags keep moving the goalposts by saying the country was super liberal to begin with so any further shift doesn't count. Which is a load of crock. Also if you think the shift didn't happen, you keep seeing Republicans trying to inject religion into politics, like Tennessee lawmakers just voting to make the Bible the state book or the slew of new voter suppression laws, or those LGBT discrimination laws.


>>70184614
More like they're trying to move a little to left to keep their electorate from dying out and you and the tea party continue to push them to the right. HMMMM. I'd say kill yourself, but your party is going to be televising that in Cleveland this summer.
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>>70184083
nobody makes deals like Donald Trump
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>>70184859
>the republican party is moving right by moving LEFT
this is how stupid you are

if the PEOPLE move right, then so be it. the party itself has been moving left every year since the 70s. that's 40 odd years if you can't count.

further, the duty of the republicans is to represent the people who vote for them. if they DONT DO THAT, they lose legitimacy. to say they're only legitimate by appealing to left interests betrays the fact taht you don't think right wing people deserve an opinion, or a vote.

come fight me, I'll back your head open with a rock you sniveling fag
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>>70183843

Wtf? American politics is left-extremist. Both parties are for more immigration, more government and women's rights.
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>>70183314
>winning on his issues

You mean, Amnesty? Or the Audit the Fed bill that he couldn't be assed to show up for because of his undisclosed loans and marriage to Goldman?

>send more people to fight and die for Israel.
Except that considering the facts he's Mr. "If you won't stand with Israel", I doubt shedding american blood is off limits for the sake of Tel Aviv

Also, you're a fuckwit if you consider Common Core support to be just a "dark spot"
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Trump will win New York in a landslide.

He's the fucking definition of a New Yorker wtf do you expect?
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>>70185137
>The party itself has been moving left every year since the 70s. that's 40 odd years if you can't count.
I'm deploying a laughing girls anime gif on you because I can't find a response more fitting to your asinine comment when the exact opposite was true. When the Republicans inflicted heavily losses upon the New Dealer Coalition in the 1980s which gave the rise of the conservative Democratic Leadership Council to control the Democratic party in the 1990's which lead to a hard right swerve in the 2000's under W. and the party being static under Obama. Meanwhile Republicans kept getting concessions on Democratic positions. it's the stuff they aren't that you try to describe as a 'shift to the left'.

Also if you look, there are no moderates in the Republican party, they got purged when Bush got into office and the remaining ones got wiped out by the Tea Party movement.

If you're whining about specific issues, that's just you using the old communist excuse of 'Oh, well it was never REALLY tried, so it doesn't count. Give me a fucking break.

>>70185153
With how shit is run in Russia, any actual government would be seen as far left to you.
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New Yorkers are tough as nails and they hate slimy bible thumping fuckers like Cruz. I lived there.
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>>70177503
how do you come out at 882 left? summing up the remaining contests on RCP only gets me to 750-ish.
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>>70187671
>With how shit is run in Russia, any actual government would be seen as far left to you.

Adhom, no arguments.

The Dem party is run by socialists and feminists. There has been massive shift to the left within both parties.
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>>70181775
Securing NorCal would be Trumps best bet at getting Cali delegates. SoCal is just full of degenerates.
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>>70188017
But that's wrong on both of your issues. Feminism is a wedge issue, but no legislation has been passed, ala the 'gender pay gap' (Which wouldn't even matter, but because America is far right, they refuse to do it.) And we're been dismantling our social safety net since the 1980s. There are still calls to fuck with Medicare. And the Obamacare was a giant corporate hand out, not government run insurance.
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>>70190337
>Feminism is a wedge issue, but no legislation has been passed

Are you fucking retarded? The whole party is essentially Feminism Central. And yes, Obama passed pay gap legislation.
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>>70190937
>And yes, Obama passed pay gap legislation.

His WH websites features bullshit feminist talking points, let alone his "1 in 4" comments.
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>>70174434
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>>70190337
Democrats support "safe spaces" now.
If that's now extreme left I don't know what is
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>>70190937
>Obama passed pay gap legislation.
Now call me when it actually does anything. Or third wave feminists get all their demands put into law. Again, it's a wedge issue and unlike abortion, Dems aren't doing anything of substance.

>>70191272
Same with this.


The problem is you fags want things both ways. Republicans extreme positions in their party platform don't count because they don't enact them into law. Meanwhile the dems are held accountable because they just are in favor of them but nothing is done either. Meanwhile actual legislation that's passed is conservative in nature. Like the heathcare bill, which was actually DoleCare.
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