It will be very close, but this is what the 2016 election will look like
>Trump
>Winning any demographic besides white men
If he loses by less than 150 delegates I will be amazed
The south will secede. Can't wait.
Canada telling us how American politics will play out...
>>70053795
>delegates
Lol
Guess again, breh. And I don't like it, either.
>>70053812
Show one thing wrong about it
>>70053663
Nope, this is how it will play out.
>>70053795
Good point until you fucked up. Trump thinks he can win with white men and a handful of white women voting for him
>>70053663
>Florida
>going for Trump
That's not going to happen, ever. Romney was the most moderate candidate ever and he still lost to Obongo.
>>70053897
>Missouri blue
>Iowa blue
>Florida Blue
>North Carolina blue
>>70053663
>>70053897
>>70053963
>>70054187
It doesn't matter how moderate Romney was, Everyone hated him and Trump has way more supporters
>>70053663
>implying Trump wont crush Hillary by a landslide
do you know how much dirt hillary has on her name that we dont even kneo about yet...?
>>70053963
Utah
>>70054189
I don't think you truly understand just how despised Ted Cruz is.
>>70054189
iowa has been blue for a long time
>>70053963
Nope. UT would never go blue.
>>70054187
Trump won BIGLY in Florida. BTFO of Lubio in his own state. He won every county besides Miama-Dade which is full of beaners.
>Nevada
>Shillary
Wow the same hillary Canadian shill is here shilling hillary. Totally haven't seen you post shit like this the past month or so you fucking cunt
>>70053963
>Utah
>Shillary
>>70053663
just letting you know how it's going to turn out
pretty close
>>70053897
this but NC will go red
>>70056388
is this bizzaro land?
>>70053663
Virginia going blue
Niggers have no reason to vote this time
>>70056388
>>70056388
Are you retarded?
>>70056516
it's a new kind of shitpoasting where hillary wins the general election against donald trump
i'm inspired by OP
>>70054452
Everyone hates Trump. He's not even winning majority support - or even remotely close to it - from the Republican party, and his appeal to demographics outside the Republican party is some of the worst in modern history. Like it or not, Trump will be turning red states blue, not the other way around.
The good news is that he'll be tearing down the Republican party along the way, so once the smoke clears maybe a real conservative movement will rise from the ashes instead of this corporate welfare cronyism bullshit that is the modern Republican party. He's not going to win, but his candidacy is still the best thing to happen in politics in decades.
>>70056730
i was just pointing out that the south is blue
>>70056774
>He's not even winning majority support - or even remotely close to it - from the Republican party, and his appeal to demographics outside the Republican party is some of the worst in modern history. Like it or not, Trump will be turning red states blue, not the other way around.
nothing in here makes sense or it's just wrong.
Drumpf is going to get rekt, it won't even be close.
>>70053897
>MO
>NC
>WV
are you high
It'll prolly look like pic related
>>70057223
>Sanders
>general election
>>70057223
1/10 you tried
Republican Party will lose all Hispanic votes.
Get ready for a Democrat President every election year.
>>70057223
>texas blue
yeah nah
Step out of the 24 hour news cycle echo chamber and talk to someone over the age of 25. Pic related.
>>70057628
>Republican Party will lose all Hispanic votes
That is decidedly untrue.
>>70056968
... Are you not aware that there is a world outside /pol/, or is this a joke?
Hillary Clinton is insanely popular among blacks. Hillary Clinton has a vagina, and Trump is just generally speaking unpopular among women. Trump is not going to win the latino vote, because building the wall is not a thing they care about. Blacks, women, and latinos vote.
Trump wins rural Southern white men who aren't fundamentalists, and he wins rural Southern white men who aren't fundamentalists hard. That was a big enough bloc of voters to get him through the insanely contested field of Republican primaries, but it probably wouldn't have worked if the field had been tighter from the start and it absolutely won't be enough in the general. He doesn't do great with fundamentalists (because he's not the most godly of men, if you hadn't noticed) and he doesn't do great with the middle/upper class urban Republicans (who want a moderate establishment candidate).
Trump had a big enough base to earn him a plurality of votes in a heavily split Republican primary, and that's pretty much it. His campaign is going to force us to redraw our political boundaries, but he can't possibly win the general.
>>70057223
Is still more realistic than >>70057980
>Colorado
>red
>Virginia
>blue
>>70057980
>NY red
topkek.exe
>>70053957
its a canadian making it
>>70053963
Trump will win NH
>>70053663
www.primarymodel.com
nice try beaver bitch shill
fuck off
>>70053963
Nice to see my hate for Mormons is entirely justified
These are the ten closest states from the 2012 election.
1. Florida: 0.6 percent (Obama 49.9, Romney 49.3.)
2. Ohio: 1.9 percent (Obama 50.1, Romney 48.2)
3. North Carolina: 2.2 percent (Romney 50.6, Obama 48.4)
4. Virginia (99% reporting): 3.0 percent (Obama 50.8, Romney 47.8)
5. Colorado: 4.7 percent (Obama 51.2, Romney 46.5)
6. Pennsylvania (99% reporting): 5.2 percent (Obama 52, Romney 46.8)
7. Iowa: 5.6 percent (Obama 52.1, Romney 46.5)
8. New Hampshire (99% reporting): 5.8 percent (Obama 52.2, Romney 46.4)
9. Nevada (99% reporting): 6.6 percent (Obama 52.3, Romney 45.7)
10. Wisconsin: 6.7 percent (Obama 52.8, Romney 46.1)
All of these states that have already held their primaries have had larger Republican turnout than Democratic turnout.
>>70058259
Just because you say "decidedly" doesn't mean you're not wrong you faggot. Republicans are struggling badly among spics.
>>70058871
Trump is already leading in NY, has been for months.
We know first hand that Hillary is an alien who hasn't even driven a car since 1990.
>>70059837
Primary turnout has no predictive power of general election results. That's really obvious, if you stop and think about it - most of the people who were excited to vote for their candidate aren't actually going to get the candidate they voted for. They're going to get someone else. Why would you assume that enthusiasm for Trump is going to become enthusiasm for Cruz or vice versa? People who like Trump want completely different things than the people who like Cruz.
Also, this election has probably had the most spoiler votes we've seen in recent history. Primary turnout probably doesn't correspond very well with the distribution of Democrats and Republicans this time around.
>>70060650
>Primary turnout has no predictive power of general election results
>>70053663
>Nevada and Virginia going Shillary
Go away, Muhammad al-syrup bin nigger
>>70060650
>primary turnout has no predictive power
>>70058952
>Presidential elections going back as far as 1912 are used to estimate the weight of primary performance. It was in 1912 that presidential primaries were introduced. That year the candidate who won his party’s primary vote, Woodrow Wilson, went on to defeat the candidate who lost his party’s primary vote, William Howard Taft. As a rule, the candidate with the stronger primary performance wins against the candidate with the weaker primary performance. For elections from 1912 to 2012 the PRIMARY MODEL picks the winner, albeit retroactively, every time except in 1960.
