Trump will fall towards 35% likelihood to get the nomination soon.
>>70037417
You can't publish an exit poll before the polls close retard.
Exit polls have consistently been wrong this campaign, whether Trump ended up winning or ended up losing, they've always been wrong and you should not pay them any attention.
>>70037643
and yet I found a source which spoke about the internal data at ABC
>>70037417
One step closer to a Ryan nomination, a candidate people will actually get behind. Cruz and Kasich are doing God's work
Trump will lose by one vote, and it will be my fault for not voting.
Forgive me /pol/.
>>70037818
And that source is?
>>70037818
your ass isn't a source you dummy
>>70037818
post a source or shut the fuck up
>>70037769
look at this
>muh exit polls
spot the shill
>>70037885
>>70037910
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-republican-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=38164180
>>70037938
they had to poll them to find that out?
>>70037417
Kthnx, germanigger.
>>70037938
Men are working so yeah kinda expected?
lol, the anti-Trump shills are getting desperate
I bet John Mulaney owns @DonaldTrump and he is just breaking Trump's balls
When does the polls close?
>>70038531
3 hours, most people in wisconsin are now getting off work so expect an infoux of votes
>>70038399
>>70037417
John Mulaney, everyone
>>70038399
moar
>>70038741
>higher payout on bets mean higher chance of happening
That's not how gambling works
We discussed this last night. Wisconsin is irrelevant. Trump is projected to win New York and every state on the 26th, which together would be an enormous step toward 1,237. And then he's also expected to win California, which has 195.
If he wins Wisconsin, however unlikely, good. If he doesn't, too bad.
>>70038664
Top cuck
Trump got stumped
>>70037818
>>70037417
STFU and source
also sage this cunt
>>70037938
Men don't get off work till 5. Fuckin duh
>>70039004
>>higher payout on bets mean higher chance of happening
>That's not how gambling works
Yes, that why it is the other way around, idiot.
Higher chance of happening means lower payout.
>>70037938
More men work and a lot of people don't take off work till 4-5:00pm.
All this proves is less women work or are willing to take off to vote earlier.
>>70038101
Where in this source does it state what you claim it states?
>>70039004
That site uses cent symbols instead of percentage symbols. No, I don't know why.
>>70038101
>http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-republican-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=38164180
That's just general demographic info they're allowed to prattle about before the polls close. The media like to play "fling poo" with that kinda stuff. At best, that story is shenanigans, nothing more.
>>70037417
I guess the guy who "owns" it asked for 2 billions dollars or some bullshit price
Trump is a better man if he knows when something just doesn't worth the hassle over some principle.
>>70038101
There's nothing in there with hard numbers, it's just the usual "this many were evangelicals" shit.
>>70037643
Because he doesn't negotiate with terrorists
/thread
>>70039444
I thought it was a betting shit were you can buy contracts and if the event you beted on happens you get the pay out.
>>70037417
No worries, OP, Trump will get @POTUS soon, so that won't matter.
>>70037417
TRUMP
STUMPED
Betting odds aren't odds at all.
All they do is show what has the most money behind it.
>>70037938
thanks women
voting for open borders and disarming the natives since 1920
>>70039859
YOU #ARTILLERY4HILLARY ANON?
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-republican-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=38164180
>In another new set of questions, nearly four in 10 GOP primary voters in Wisconsin say they’d “scared” of what Trump would do in office if elected president - hitting nearly six in 10 among Cruz and Kasich supporters. >Those are far greater than the levels of concern among Trump supporters we see about Cruz or Kasich (fewer than two in 10 Trump supporters are scared of a Kasich win, a quarter for Cruz.)
>Six in 10 overall are “excited” or “optimistic” about a Cruz presidency. Fewer, about half, are excited or optimistic about a Kasich presidency, declining to just over four in 10 for Trump.
>Nearly half of GOP voters want someone with experience in politics, close to as high as it’s been so far this election cycle – and previously Trump’s won only 7 percent of these voters, vs. 33 percent for Cruz and 24 percent for Kasich. About half of voters instead say they’d like the next president to be someone from “outside the political establishment.” Trump’s previously won two-thirds of outsider voters.
>More than six in 10 GOP voters in Wisconsin think undocumented immigrants should be offered a path to legal status, on track to be the highest of any state this year (it’s topped out at 59 percent in Virginia). >Only a third support deporting undocumented immigrants, fewer than in previous primaries. Deportation voters have been a strong group for Trump in previous primaries; Cruz beat Trump in recent contests (North Carolina, Missouri and Illinois) among the larger group that favors a path to legal status, and Kasich won them in Ohio.
>More than four in 10 Wisconsin voters think Cruz has the best chance to beat Clinton. Only a third think Trump’s got the best shot, and fewer than two in 10 say it’s Kasich.
>>70039943
NAH NIGGA IM #BURNING4BERNIE
>>70038664
>good Catholic boy
>married a jew and has no children
Lord's merciful kek.
>>70037417
You do know it's 5pm right now. Which means people are just getting done with work. People who have all day to sit around and watch fox have already voted.
>>70040087
>>70039943
autistic
>>70040086
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-republican-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=38164180
>Four in 10 GOP voters in Wisconsin say they made up their minds less than a month ago, similar to previous primaries, vs. six in 10 who decided in the last month. Trump’s dominated among early deciders in previous contests, but it’s been a different story among late deciders. In several recent primaries, Kasich or Cruz won those who made up their minds in the last month.
>Roughly a third say it’s most important to them that a candidate shares their values, nearly as many as say someone who’ll “bring needed change” is most important. Cruz has won 40 percent of values voters in previous primaries, vs. 20 percent for Kasich and just 12 percent for Trump. Trump’s won 46 percent of “change” voters so far, vs. 23 percent for Cruz and 12 percent for Kasich.
>As has been the case throughout the GOP primaries this year, there’s broad support in these preliminary Wisconsin results (seven in 10) for Trump’s proposal to ban non-U.S. Muslims from entering the country. Trump’s won 47 percent of these voters in previous states, vs. Cruz’s 28 percent, but Cruz was much closer to Trump among these voters in some recent contests, notably in North Carolina and Missouri.
>Nearly half of Wisconsin GOP primary voters think the U.S. should take a more active role in world affairs, while just three in 10 think it should be less active, a policy Trump has championed recently with regard to NATO. (The rest think it should be about as active as it is now.)
>If the general election came down to Trump vs. Hillary Clinton, two in 10 GOP voters in Wisconsin say they’d vote for Clinton or stay home, slightly more than would do so if the contest were between Cruz and Clinton. Similar numbers would vote for a third party in both situations
>>70040286
It is over, face it, Trump is over. Waterloo happened. St. Helena awaits.
Here's another 10+% lead according to poll averages. Austists still think he has a chance?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
>>70040086
Fuck
It'll be Trump 36
Cruz 43
Kasich 21
Based on these numbers.
>>70040467
>>70037417
AHHHHHHH MUUMMYY WHYYYYY
>>70040467
>ITS OVER, its the end of Trumps Campaign THIS TIME
t. Increasingly nervous scummy Kraut
>>70041563
Can't wait to have Krauthammer huff and puff through his glee about Trump losing. Maybe he'll finally croak his last live on TV, if no other good can come from it.
IT'S OVER
DRUMPF IS FINISHED
NOT EVEN NERVOUS, THE "MAN" IS DONE
>>70038123
You never know what gender someone identifies with until you ask
>>70037417
Well if that nigger was so funny then why couldnt he keep his show?
>>70041726
Holy Shit, i forgot about O'Malley
>>70037818
Where's your source then faggot?
Wisconsin could really go either way.
No one is sure.
>>70038664
>My girlfriend's boyfriend
holy shit, you can't make this up
>>70038101
This source says nothing about what you have claimed.
Also what you claim is illegal here Muhammed.
>>70037769
Exit polls have been wrong because there are so many people trying to rig the elections that the results have little to do with what the actual vote is. Either that or suddenly people started lying about who they voted for. Doesn't seem likely though.
>>70042665
If some liberal person came up to you and asked you who you voted for, if you were the average person would you say trump? Bet alot of people wouldnt.
>>70042348
>>70042589
watch TV
CBS gave similar infos
I'm for Trump and Cruz will probably win Wisconsin. That's why Cruz said if he loses Wisconsin, the primary is over.
Come on, Wisconsin. Do it. Do it. Put him out of his misery. Let Donald start training for the big one. He needs to focus and hone his craft to destroy the Democratic machine.
An uncharacteristic underdog, Trump faces a key test in Wisconsin primary
>Another week, another effort to stop Donald Trump from seizing the Republican presidential nomination. Only this time, the New York businessman was battling from behind.
>Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary offered just 42 delegates of the 1,237 needed to clinch the nomination ahead of the party’s July convention. But with the count expected to be very close, every delegate has come to matter greatly as the race heads to California’s climactic June 7 primary.
>Beyond the delegate math, there was also a sense that Wisconsin may prove a pivot point in the highly unpredictable GOP contest.
>Trump has suffered one of the rockiest stretches of his campaign, and that raised the hopes of opponents including many rallying behind Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, that the billionaire's serial missteps may have finally caught up with him. Polls gave Cruz a comfortable lead and suggested he could claim all 42 delegates under Wisconsin’s winner-takes-most election system.
>Initially, Wisconsin seemed tailored to Trump’s advantage. The state has a large population of working-class white voters and allows independents to cast ballots in the GOP primary; both groups have undergirded Trump’s political success across the country.
>Wisconsin is also more secular and less ideological than states where Cruz, running as a staunch social conservative, has performed well.
>But almost immediately Trump ran into difficulties, owing to a series of tactical missteps.
>Trump also faced a relentless battering from Wisconsin’s conservative talk radio hosts, a key ally in Walker’s pitched battles against organized labor and the political left.
>Walker endorsed Cruz and, in effect, turned the primary into a referendum on his performance, telling Republicans to support the senator over Trump “if you liked what we’ve done” in Wisconsin.
.
http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/la-na-gop-primary-wisconsin-20160405-story.html
>having elections in the middle of the week
for what purpose?
Registered Democrat here. Voted Cruz.
>>70044078
So the people that actually work and pay taxes are less likely to vote. Non-nigger voter suppression.
>>70042466
yikes he climbed that shit in days
voter fraud is the only thing that will stop him today
>>70044369
You will be first against the wall.
>>70044369
I wouldn't vote for a Democrat either.
>>70044575
It's easier to see under this image.
We knew WI would be hard.
It is a state that has never had industry or deindustrialization, and it is mostly homogenous.
They don't care about the bulk of Trump issues.
Being Cruzmissiles is kind of sad though.
>>70044369
Good to see some Dems aren't voting out of their lefty cesspool policy-wise.
You're still shit at choosing things, though
>>70044776
>Walker endorsed Cruz and, in effect, turned the primary into a referendum on his performance, telling Republicans to support the senator over Trump “if you liked what we’ve done” in Wisconsin.
http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/la-na-gop-primary-wisconsin-20160405-story.html
>>70037417
t. gang rape victim
>>70038647
A smart /pol/ack here.
You hear that, faggots?
The surge comes now. Ya know, by the mother fucking white men out there working for a living who wouldn't vote any other way.
Wow i used to want go #makeamericagreatagain but now after this?!?!?
I'm #Cuck4Cruz
>>70039310
No.
It means the people who are betting believe that to be so.
It has nothing to do with actual outcomes.
good
who gives a fuck
i hope hillary wins
fuck this country
fuck you
>people are actually buying the media narrative that trump is a nazi kkk raycis that wants to kill all mexicans
When did you guys realize you can't beat Soros?
>>70045207
>>70037869
There's still time faggot
New poll shows Ted Cruz and Donald Trump may be tied nationally
>U.S. Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz has pulled into a statistical dead heat with front-runner Donald Trump, a new Reuters/Ipsos national poll showed on Tuesday, as the Texas senator appeared poised to pick up a key victory in Wisconsin's primary.
>Cruz's recent gains mark the first time since November that one of Trump's rivals has threatened his lead in support among Republicans, coinciding with missteps by the New York real estate mogul that include a gaffe about abortion and the arrest of his campaign manager on battery charges.
>Cruz got 35.2 percent of support to Trump's 39.5 percent, the poll of 568 Republicans taken April 1-5 found. The numbers put the two within the poll's 4.8 percentage-point credibility interval, a measure of accuracy.
http://europe.newsweek.com/ted-cruz-tied-donald-trump-wisconsin-2016-election-gop-republicans-444391?rm=eu
>>70037938
Dat welfare uberployment cuckbucks
This time it really is the end of Trump. Really.
>It’s time to go back to where we began: not only that Donald Trump will lose the Republican presidential nomination, but also that he could be so weakened by the end of the primaries that his party will not even have to worry about choosing someone else.
>He responded rather ineffectually to criticisms from Wisconsin conservative talk show host Charlie Sykes. His campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski, was charged with battery. Trump reacted by aggressively attacking the credibility of conservative reporter Michelle Fields, the woman Lewandowski is accused of hurting. The front-runner thus fed the perception that he’s a misogynist.
>For good measure, Trump flip-flopped on whether women should be legally punished for having an abortion if the procedure were banned, underscoring that he really hasn’t thought very much about the positions he is taking or even what he says from moment to moment.
>But the killer news for the man who values winning above everything else is that he has dropped well behind Sen. Ted Cruz (Tex.) in the polls in Wisconsin, which holds its primary on Tuesday. A loss there, particularly a big one, would greatly complicate Trump’s already difficult path to a delegate majority of 1,237.
>Why does this matter to anyone except pundits? Trump’s troubles threaten to go beyond Wisconsin. He could now lose in other big states that vote next, including Pennsylvania, California, New Jersey and possibly even his home state of New York. If this happens, it will be far easier for the Republican Party bosses (such as they are these days) to deny him the nomination. Trump will come to look less like the rank-and-file Republican favorite and more like a flash in the pan.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/this-time-it-really-is-the-end-of-trump-really/2016/04/03/5dcba99e-f840-11e5-9804-537defcc3cf6_story.html
Insurgents aim to upset front-runners in Wisconsin
>Cruz hopes to haul in all or most of the 42 Republican delegates at stake Tuesday in a victory that would further complicate Donald Trump’s path to the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination before the GOP convention.
>The most recent polls show Cruz with a 10-point lead in the Republican race in the Badger state, as Trump seeks to recover from the roughest week of his campaign, which was strewn with missteps on abortion and controversial comments on national security.
>“The entire country is looking at the state of Wisconsin,” Cruz said in Milwaukee on Monday. “The people of Wisconsin, they’re looking at the records of the candidates, and they realize that Donald screams and yells a lot, but he has no solutions. He has slogans, but no solutions,” Cruz said.
>Trump, however, is predicting that the polls are wrong.
>“I hear the polls are busy. We could have a big surprise tonight folks, a big surprise. Feels like South Carolina, feels like New Hampshire, you’re going to have a big surprise tonight,” he said at a polling place Tuesday in Waukesha.
>Such a scenario would be a disaster for Cruz, calling into question his claims that he has established himself as the only candidate with a realistic chance of stopping Trump.
>But the state is also a ripe target for Cruz because it has a highly engaged conservative electorate and talk radio network that was energized by Republican Gov. Scott Walker’s election wins — including a recall triumph — and remains deeply politically engaged.
>Based on the latest CNN delegate estimates, Trump has 740 of the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination. Cruz has 474 and Ohio Gov. John Kasich has 145.
http://www.wlsam.com/news/insurgents-aim-to-upset-front-runners-in-wisconsin/
>>70037417
Well see when its done. common trump
https://soundcloud.com/couchtruthing/emperor-trump
CRUZ 43%
TRUMP 37%
KASICH 18%
>>70050072
>not realizing it's an open primary
Way to be up to speed, France. Useless sandnigger nation.
>>70037938
I hate women.
>>70050072
> March 28 - April 1st
>>70050505
>Useless sandnigger nation.
Trumplets are rude, that's bad home and school education I guess
>>70050984
why does truth make him rude?
>>70037869
You're a fucking idiot
