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Guys, I'm scared. What are his chances? Serious answers please.
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Guys, I'm scared.

What are his chances? Serious answers please.
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>>69442270

it's all down to convention shenanigans. no one can predict what's going to happen there because technically the delegates can ignore all the voters and do whatever they want.
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What's with this pic? Do people want him to look like generic politican #3463?
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>>69442270
That depends on the PR of Trump supporters. If they keep acting like cunts and BTFO of Berniebros then all that support goes to clinton.
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>>69442368
If I recall he said he would get a haircut if he won
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>>69442270
This election was a tossup before Trump. With how unpopular he is with both the dem base and some Republicans, it's still a tossup (do not underestimate the two party system), but it's tilted towards the dem.
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>>69442270
With the new beta male conservicuck movement , I say his chances are pretty good. Not a shoe in, but pretty good. The baby boomers and Jews did a good job brainwashing a lot of younger voters in voting Republican this election. Very scary.
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>>69442270
Not even one single chance. He is literraly the shlomo meme to unite the shit tier votes and lose in front of any dems candidate.
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Zero. GOP won't let this democrat plant to throw general election to Hillary.
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>>69442270
not too much, he'll be rekt by the establishment
clinton will win, the US will allow in refugees and cancer like no tomorrow, it'll lose superstate status in a decade or two, after that, in a desperate attempt to regain former glory there might be another 'Trump', much more agressive, but if that gets suppressed then the world politics will be dominated by china and russia for the coming fifty years
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>>69442270
Zero.
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>>69442270
It's a complete surprise that asshole is taken seriously at all, but he is, and no one seems to give a shit except for the journalists who mistakenly believe their opinions matter to anyone. If he can win then he will win, we're all fucked.
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>>69442530
>>>69442270 (OP)
>With the new beta male conservicuck movement , I say his chances are pretty good. Not a shoe in, but pretty good. The baby boomers and Jews did a good job brainwashing a lot of younger voters in voting Republican this election. Very scary.
>implying the majority of our younger friends aren't berniecucks
>>
For all intents and purposes, its between him and either Hillary or Bernie, and both have plenty of faults for Trump and his literally BILLIONS of ad dollars to rip into, be it the Benghazi or email controversies, or the socialism that really only appeals to a minority of Americans.

Trump's only problem is Lyin Ted, and he has an advantage on him. He's going to be ok.
>>
He has a very good chance, don't listen to the defeatist shills
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>>69442914
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>>69442340
WRONG

democrat conventions are just an auction house for sinecures and nest feathering, republican conventions dont operate like that

republican delegates take their duty seriously, and republican rules prevent vote the shameless vote trading democrats revel in.
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>>69442914
fuck off hebe
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>>69442938
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>>69442520
Just gotta wait for him to win the repub primary. Once he knows hes in, hes going to go all out on Hillary.
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>>69442840
>Хoхoл-posting intensified
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>>69442270
quite bad actually.

He will probably get the nomination, but to beat hillary he will have to win almost all of the key undecided states.
Hillary will just have to win 1 or 2 of those to win the election.


In my opinion the only thing saving him would be a meltdown of hillary.
Hopefully we will hear from the FBI before the election.

Other possible threats to hillary:
Attacks from the left, 10million angry "berniebros". You know how the left always attacks their own?
Its like black lives matter crash barney and hillary events even though they are natural allies. Lefties do this kind of shit.

Second threat is Trump himself. I have no idea what he is planning or what he is able to do against her. He proves with Jeb how powerful his rhetoric is.
Calling him "low energy" maybe seems silly to some, but it stuck with Jeb and destroyed him.
>>
bernie>trump>clinton
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>>69442695
> france declaring the winners and losers in a US election nearly a year before the first real vote is cast...
mustafa must be finished with your wife, you need to prep him so he can mount your daughter next.

eat a sack of cocks france, just because you have accepted muzzie domination doesnt mean americans will surrender too.
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>>69442938
why faggot?
he knows america is a superpower, and he wants to use it in his trade policies, not something i have seen from our berniefriend or from Clinton
he also doesn't want to overtax the wealthy to feed and keep alive the cancer called niggers and the gangster culture, seriously, two generations of no muh welfare and the nigger population wouldn't be spoiled little children anymore but capable adults, but alas, let's just hug them to death forever, forcing them to stay children
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>>69442840
> ukraine jumping on board with france.
> might as well just stop having elections, and just ask the eurocucks what we should do.

faggot.
thats why russia can take half your country and you cant do shit about it.
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>>69442270
I am voting for Trump in the California Primary. I do think the GOPe is going to steal it from him and hand it to either Jeb! or Paul Ryan or someone else.

The GOPe and the Democratic Party are like the WWE pretending to be "enemies" and laughing at all the suckers who vote for them.

Both are corrupt. Both are two faced liars.

The GOPe would rather burn to the ground then allow Trump and his supporters any say in the matter. These are the same people who hated Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan. They have made sure that someone like that will NEVER make it past them again.

That is why you see such foaming rage against Trump that you have never EVER seen against any Democrat.

That is why I fear for Donald Trump. If it looks like he is going to win I am afraid they will murder him.

Makes me sick to my stomach knowing they are going to try everything in their power to steal it from Trump and hand it to some other loser to make sure hillary wins.
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zero, unless somehow every white male in the US votes for him to make up for his unpopularity amongst every demographic that isn't white male
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>>69442901

> cant let those silly americans stop muzzie domination of the planet!
> if the US doesnt kneel before the kaba and recite muzzie prayers, we will feel pretty foolish for surrendering before ever firing a shot in self defense.
> better to drag everyone down with us, it's the cuckold way.
>>
Well, the political and elite ruling class are pretty satisfied with the status quo so Hillary is their candidate and they’re going to do whatever they can to prevent Sanders and Trump from winning. If Hillary got indicted (slim chance) then they would have a real problem because they don’t want a Sanders v Trump election. If there’s a major terror attack that could push some towards Trump but even then he is so hated by large segments of the population that I can’t see him carrying the electoral college. The Republican party at present has to decide whether or not it’s more damaging to proceed with Trump who will likely lose or to try to insert a last minute replacement, thus fracturing the party forever (likely inevitable in the long run anyway). If I were a betting man I would bet on stability and consistency from the US. It’s still the major economic driver of the globe to say nothing of it’s military superiority. No one with any influence wants to see it change to dramatically regardless of what the domestic constituencies might want.
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>>69443125
The republicans have been going off on Clinton for four years.
Like I said, do not underestimate the two party system.
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>>69443147
> germany thinking he knows the american mind
> germany cant even figure out the polish mind.
> tried to destroy civilization 5 times already, this time trying again by riding on the coat-tails of muzzie death cultists.

fuck you kraut, you dotn understand americans, you have no frame of reference, so you assume we are all just like you, sick self-hating faggots eager to surrender and prep the bull.

america doesnt roll like that.
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>>69442270
After the abortion shit ? Zero enjoy your Merkel 2.0 or Ted i want to be George W. Bush Cruz
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>>69442270
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNwN11j954Y
I wouldn't mind having a no bullshit president of the US for once.
Say what you want about him but this guy is more "real" than most politicians.
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>>69442270
After what he just said on abortion? He has no chance.
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>>69442390

I could say the same about Berniecunts
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>>69443721
>>69443678

Isn't this the exact same thing they said when he announced banning muslims? Everyone thought he was insane and that he was done.

Would more happenings in Europe help?
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>>69443333
This, so It's zero because fucking white males in america don't vote.
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Why he won't win:

>brokered convention looks increasingly likely (betting odds have it at about 2/3rds chance now)
>has a negative FIFTY point disapproval margin with women, historically terrible
>clinton will have a billion dollars to spend playing all the dumb stuff he's said this cycle (including the past 24 hours), regardless of how much Trump tries to shift to whatever his general election personality will be

why /pol/ thinks he will win:

>erroneously believing increased primary turnout has anything to do with general election numbers (more candidates always equals more primary votes, 1988 is a prime example of this)
>erroneously believing that there's still enough uneducated white voters to outnumber educated whites + minorities. he's running Ronald Reagan's strategy 3 decades too late.
>citing Reagan and Clinton's comeback in 1980 and 1992, despite the fact that both of those elections were against incumbent presidents (unlike 2016) where the economy went south in the final year, and neither Clinton or Reagan had a -40 disapproval rating with 100% name recognition
>meme magic

of all the /pol/ reasons, meme magic is the only one I unironically think has validity. What's annoying is that I just know that 4 years from now, when /pol/ has their new fringe candidate, I'm going to cite how this board always believes in their hopeless fringe candidates, yet everyone will probably still claim that Trump was supported ironically and no one thought he'd actually win.
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Zero.

If the GOP doesn't cuck him at a brokered convention, even a convicted hillary would beat him at this point.
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>>69442270
I told you guys all of this and you didn't listen
Fuck y'all
I know /pol/'s counterculture and all that bullshit but how about a little fucking credit
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>>69443878
Posted this a few days ago
>>
The overwhelming pessimism on /pol/ about Trump is disheartening, and it because of this negativity, I must leave. With all the shills, Canadians, cucks, and 4 black guys here . . .

I can now be found on The_Donald.
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>>69443811
What happenings ? Fetuses doing terrorist attacks ?
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>>69442270
electing a racist fascist into office aint gonna happen. its 2016 bruh..

funny to see you /pol/tards fantasies though
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Very low.
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>>69443957
FUCK OFF FAG
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>>69444027
>"muh dik u rayciss whitey"
>Ireland

Niggers of Europe as they say
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>>69443957
But that's the other extreme: a fucking echochamber. Do you really want to meme in blissfull ignorance?
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>>69444027
> racist
what racist comments?
ohh yeah, there are none.
fuck yourself with a garden rake.

> fascist
you dont even know what fascism is froggy.
if you did you would not sling that term at trump, it just makes you look even more foolish than usual.

YOU dont get a vote gaylord.
and if you dont like President Trump, youre free to shut your whore mouth and go back to gulping down muzzie semen.
>>
Can I just say that I really think Iraq will take back Mosul this Summer, and Obama and the dem candidate (especially if it's Clinton) can use that as ammunition against Republican candidates who call for more aggressive foreign policy? And that victory could tilt Obama's approval into the positive and make a dem victory even more likely?
I mean, it's basically a more extreme version of Osama from 2012.
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The amount of HillHogs and BernieBots shills on /pol/ these days is outstanding.

But keep on fighting the lost battle.

Trump already won.
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>>69442368
You say that like its a bad thing
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>>69444319

That's exactly why Hillary is trying to associate herself as much as possible with Obama right now. His approval rating is at the highest its ever been in years and is above 50%
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>>69442270
If Hillary gets fucked by the FBI, or Bernie has a miracle comeback, his chances are very good.

Otherwise he's kinda fucked
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>>69444027
>the racist meme

Fuck off, I asked for serious replies.
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>>69444367
pic related is you
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>>69444027
the racist fascist thing could happen but sexist? that's the killer. not even Hitler was dumb enough to piss off women.
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>>69444405
I'm really curious why. Is it Trump backlash and the supreme court thing¿
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>>69442270
He wont win lol.

Go Bernie!!!
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>>69444435

while I do agree he's not as racist/facist as people claim, it doesn't matter. All that matters is how people perceive Trump, regardless of his actual positions. The media has instilled into the American people that Trump is racist and the next coming of Hitler, regardless of the validity of those claims.
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>>69442270
Of winning the primary, getting the nomination, or the general?

Because it has become three different questions. He stands a good chance of winning the primary, a meager chance of winning the nomination, and no chance of winning the general.

/pol/ wants it to be a conspiracy, but it isn't one. Trump can't win a general election. That's the number one reason Republicans want to take any primary win away from him, by nominating someone else at convention. The not-too-distant, number two reason, is because he isn't a Republican.

It would hijack the party to let him run in the general, which he would simply lose. Why would he lose? Because, whether /pol/ admits it or not, he genuinely is a shitty human being. No political experience, no particular business skill, shady record, two-faced lying fuck who tries to get an edge in the polls by bullying people. And that might fly with the "I like him 'cuz he's angry!" idiots who vote in Republican primaries. But that kinda self-destructive idiocy burns itself out quickly, and there isn't nearly enough of it for him to beat anyone ever half-way qualified.
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>>69444501

Could be a number of reasons. Gas is cheap, the economy is supposedly good on paper although some people doubt the numbers. People might also be looking at 2016 candidates and have started to realize they could have it worse than Obama, although there's no real way of knowing that.
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>>69444470
Le buttmad.
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>>69443252
The millennial Schwartzs I've seen know that hood rat shit is played out when trailer park whiteboys are acting the same as cousin JaQuan who did 15 years upstate.
Mind you, just the millennials. Other dindus are just as dumb as the rednecks.
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>>69444608
Also: >>69444481

He already limited himself to the white vote. Which is fine--you can win a general on the white vote.

But then he alienated women. So his cap in a general is around 30%. It'd be the biggest blow-out in decades, were he allowed to run in the general. Democrats would decimate congressional Republicans for their having gotten behind him in a general, and any Republicans who hadn't gotten behind him in the general would lose anyhow, because they'd be labelled as the reason for the blow-out.
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>>69442270

50:50 once he wins the primary.

Literally.
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>>69442270
Look, people.
This is the first time I've seen this many different flags in a Donald thread
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>>69442270
No chance atm.
He needs a miracle against Hillary.
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>>69443721
Majority of women are prochoice, even some evangelicals. Most Boomers, regardless of affiliation are prochoice unless uber Christian, and that's a dying breed.

Trump might have nailed his coffin shut.
>>
He has a lot of great positions but has too many "extreme" positions which will alienate pushy voters who are afraid of his aggressive positions. I'm afraid he has a good chance at the nomination but no chance at beating a traitorous crowd pleaser like Hillary
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>>69444845
Delete this post there are Europeans posting here >:o
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>>69442270
The GOP cannot ignore the fact that Trump totalls more individual citizen votes than all the other candidates democrats included, or else you will live to see a revolution in the USA
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>>69442270
Pretty low. His schtick is getting old and it's becoming increasing clear that he doesn't know his shit. He's also beginning to seem more and more nervous because he has to answer direct questions, and can't resort to name calling because there are fewer and fewer people to name call. No one cares that he doesn't like Cruz and he's running out of female journalists to shit talk on Twitter. I'm not voting for Bernie, either.
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>>69444608
So even more crooked or ineffectual people like $hillary, Rato or hernie panders deserve the win instead?
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>>69442390
"Berniebros" should stop electing to put themselves in the position to get BTFO. If they have so much faith in their guy, they should just support him, and not try to sabotage the other guy, who's not even their direct competition.
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>>69443844
Also forgetting that there will be a group of people stumping for Trump and realizing that they never registered to vote and erroneously will breeze down to the polling place thinking they can waltz right in...
>>
>>69445021
I gotta say
We gave you guys the first amendment and too many of you are shitting all over it
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>>69442270
Also BE ADVISED THIS IS A POORLY COORDINATED REDDIT DISRUPTION SHILL FILLED THREAD, KEEP ON MAGA
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>>69443484

>implying Hillary isn't going to plunge you all into darkness

Bringing Benghazi to a state near YOU!
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>>69445142
The idea that Clinton is crooked is mostly half-baked nonsense you read on /pol/, or that is spun by extreme hard-right, yellow journalists.

There's not really any substance behind those accusations. It's just a dead horse that the GOP has been beating away at, hoping it would suddenly come alive and start running. But it never will. The only people who believe it are the ones flailing around for anything to hold on to, in order to claim that other people shouldn't vote for her. But no one is listening to those people because they look like idiots.
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>>69442270
Zero after supporting capital punishment and torture for women having abortions.

(Yeah, thats how they will spin it.)

He's fucked.
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>>69442840
>Trump is a Democrat plant

That's the worst conspiracy theory that I've heard in recent memory. What exactly would he stand to gain by being a plant for Hillary? If he wanted influence in the government, all he has to do is continue making hefty donations. It's not like any of the Rep candidates would have stood a chance against Hillary without his interference anyway.
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>>69445289
Even if it were true, eight years of grooming by half the country's political elite will make it a nonissue
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>>69445239
We're Americans, we can shoot her
Probably not gonna though
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>>69442390
but a lot of berniebros are unemployed/underaged cucks that either can't or won't vote regardless of candidate choices.
>>
>>69445364
That's accurate. And more importantly, every time a Republican starts whining about emails and Benghazi? Every single moderate starts rolling their eyes. The only people whose votes could possibly be swayed by demonstrating that the accusations were anything more than that are way more disgusted with the people making the accusations than they are with the person being accused.
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>>69442500
>he said he would get a haircut if he won
OH THANK FUCK
>>
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I really don't know anything about politics at all. I just come here because I hate the liberal social justice garbage. Mostly I worry that someone will kill Trump or that Hillary will come up with some sob story that lets her ride the wave of sympathy right into the oval office, like if Bill were to suddenly die.
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>>69442270
Everybody in this thread is a deadly dialogue debater right now
Let's have fun laughing at the slowpokes when /pol/ changes its mind to some other bullshit
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>>69442270
none

its incredible how retards in here still shill for this fucking guy

he's obviously in the race to lose
>dis billionaire will fix thingz!!

fucking burgers man, even their political system is literally a jersey-shore tier reality show
>>
You fucking leaf nigger OP, stop watching the CBC. You're so brainwashed you have no fucking clue what you're talking about.

I'm mad, bro
>>
Trump is absolutely done at this point.
Obviously his family must of been threatened to be tortured by The Man so he is spinning his campaign into the shitter.
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>>69444608
>No political experience
As if this is a negative point

>shady record, two-faced lying fuck
Just like Hillary

Either way, it doesn't matter. Elect Trump or Hillary, we're accelerating towards the end of the Kali Yuga. Enjoy the ride.
>>
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>>69444936
it's not even the anti-abortion stance that hurts him the most in this case, it's him having a darwin award-tier brainfart and saying that women should be punished for having abortions.

he's at that point where he needs to not just apologize, but swallow his pride and grovel a little bit. every dude has been there.

shit, it's real nigga hours and now I'm thinking about one time I was there and fucked up the best thing I ever had by not swallowing that damn pride
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>>69442270
reddit circle jerk folks, nothing to see here
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>>69442270
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>>69445969
Don't worry man.
I know what you want because I want it too.
I think that's exactly what's gonna happen
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>>69445289
We see right through you, reddit.
>>
The optimal position, to attract the most agreement across the country, would be legal abortions but the government doesn't subsidize it in any way
He shouldn't even be talking about this shit, social issues were never his strong suit, they're what establishment politicians obsess over to keep people from talking about real issues like trade, immigration, and war
>>
>>69445595

We had a movie actor as president. And a body builder as a governor of California. And a pro wrestler as Minnesota's governor. Nothing bad happened with them.
>>
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He's strong in the swing states.
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GET IN THIS THREAD. IT'S RELATED

>>69445412

GET IN THIS THREAD. IT'S RELATED
>>
>>69442270
Chances of being the Republican nominee?

High

Chances of being President?

Slim
>>
>>69443094
Let's hope these "principled cuckservatives " do the right thing this year.
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>>69446618
Reagan was governor before president.
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>>69446772

And?
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>>69442270
If he wins Wisconsin he's practically a shoe-in. Might be an uphill battle otherwise.
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>>69445876
Nope. Trump made the correct decision, 100%.He smashes cuck teeth out left and right. Apologizing doesn't work, period. Groveling doesn't work, period. Showing any weakness whatsoever doesn't work, period.

Galvanizing the Right behind you, though, that does work. It isn't about raw numbers, it's about turnout. The Democrats are down, the Republicans are up. Right now, expressing right-wing umbrella views is categorically and unarguably the correct way to win an election.
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>>69446618
reagan wasn't bad?
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>>69447183

Destroyed commies and gave Americans hope for the future.
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>>69447183

>Takes up presidency during a time when two superpowers were competing for world dominance.
>Trying to compare that to our modern times.

USA is #1. So yeah, he did okay. But a liberal cuck like you might have difficulty understanding what "competition" is.
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This was a nice try and I can see you guys put a lot of work into it but the vast majority of replies are such obvious shills.

Since when has the shilling been this organized? Instead of single posts they're manufacturing whole threads.
>>
>>69445595
Dude we are not the ones to talk, we elected a guy who has never worked on his life and finished uni after 10 years twice.
>>
>>69443778

POO
O
O
>>
>>69447478

nah, some people just don't like Trump man.
>>
>>69443214
i smell butthurt
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>>69442270

They're getting worse by the day and it's bumming me out.
>>
>>69446681
This isn't an issue of Trump vs Cruz, but of Trump vs Hillary.

Honestly, I don't much like the idea of Trump or Hillary being president over literally any of the other candidate, but if I had to choose (and I'm probably going to have to), I'd go with the successful businessman instead of the one who committed treason.
>>
>>69445289
the shilling is strong
>>
>>69442530
god damn those titties are huge. sauce it faggot
>>
>>69442938
We're fucked no matter who wins, they're all shit.
>>
>>69445346
I dunno, maybe she's buttmad raeg about the political hits from the GOP during the 90s, and by splitting the republicans via conflicting ideology within the ranks will destroy the party...and Trump may just be playing his base...

>>the tears will outflow the rain
>>
>>69442270
He will win the nomination. From there, who fucking knows. His candidacy has been characterised by completely defying all predictions and expectations.
>>
>>69454221
>>69442270
Impossible to say. Every terrorist attack should help him, though.

Lucky for us, it should be a decent year for terrorist attacks since the mudslimes apparently can't even into strategy enough to wait a year
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