Do you guys think Hillary is shitting herself now? She's lost the last few states and if she gets BTFOd in NY it may be a fatal blow to her.
It'll be funny to watch a Cruz vs Bernie debate desu senpai.
Whoever wins we lose.
No, the DNC isn't a puppet show like the GOP, Hillary is the one in charge and there's barely anything left. The chairman of the DNC is from Hillary's campaign and the party is likely being funded by her at this point (they're a few million in debt with a few million on hand) and they'd never nominate someone other than her unless the Bernie people actually rise up. At least Trump's supporters have the guts to occupy Cleveland during the convention.
>>69395450
>Do you guys think Hillary is shitting herself now?
No. Because sanders is an 80 year old tax evader thats going to get raped by the irs if he ever becomes a serious candidate.
>>69395450
Clinton has a 48 POINT LEAD in NY in the latest poll. Bernie supporters are completely delusional if they think he even remotely has a chance there.
>thinking the superdelegates would ever go to Sanders
lel
No lol
Bernie ain't winning shit dude.
>>69395666
>Cruz getting the nom
>Cruz getting the nom even in a contested convention
Clinton was a senator from NY and a legal resident for some time, this was right after she was first lady. She knows everyone who matters.
The odds of her not beating Sanders like a dusty rug in NY is about the same as the sun not coming up tomorrow because you didn't commit human sacrifice to appease the sun god.
Bernie has literally no chance of winning the nomination. Shrillary has nothing to worry about.
Besides bernie has no business being in the whitehouse.
>>69395450
>if she gets BTFOd in NY
>>69395450
Hillary can't actually lose. All Democrat states are proportional in assigning delegates, so it doesn't matter if she loses all of the remaining ones by 4%, Sanders can't shrink the delegate lead by enough. For him to win, he'd need to be winning every state by 15-20%, and that's before you even factor in super delegates.
He has literally a less than 1% chance of being the nominee. It's super, super over.
>>69396576
Unless she's indicted.
>>69396674
>an actual evil human being (nogs don't qualify)
>going to jail
>>69396674
If she is indicted, she gets to assign her delegates when she drops out. The party will see to it that Biden or Bloomberg or someone like that will step in. They will absolutely not give it over to Sanders. He represents a shift in the direction of their party that they won't allow, and they don't like his prospects in a general election.
>>69396674
>implying Obama wouldn't just pardon her
Hopefully the FBI waits until Trump becomes president to arrest her.
>>69396811
>If she is indicted, she gets to assign her delegates when she drops out.
Is that true? I didn't know that. In that case you are probably right. Almost certainly not Bloomberg, though.
>>69396576
didn't he also only have a 1% chance of winning michigan?
>>69397064
How about literally every single other poll for every state that was within the margin of error.
Who does Trump have a better chance against? Who should we be cheering for?
>>69397172
Clinton easily imo
>>69396811
>they don't like his prospects in a general election.
As a Trump supporter, in all honesty Bernie would fare far better than Hillary in the general versus Trump.
>>69397172
Clinton, no doubt
Bernie is too clean.
>>69395450
The woman thinks she is owed the presidency after all she has done for us. She is a pathological liar, Bill is a warcriminal and a rapist, and they both stand for nothing except their own interest. She isn't shitting herself, she's enjoying the plotting.
>>69397435
I think this is probably true, honestly, but the DNC doesn't think that way. Nobody in a position of power seems to have figured out that all of the old models don't work here, and most of our ability to predict what people want is out the window. They hear "self-declared socialist Jew" and think "oh, he's got no shot".
>>69397812
That's not the reason the DNC hates Bernie. They feel he'll do fine in a general, the problem is he's stepping in the way of inevitable Hillary and they don't want a 2008 repeat of Obama cucking Hillary
>>69395450
988 delegate lead
Barring the complete defection of every minority democrat in California, that is not happening
>>69395450
but it's her home state
NY don't turn you back on you native daughter
>>69397435
I don't know; would he rally minorities? I just don't see blacks and Mexicans turning out for Sanders like they did for Obama. Definitely not blacks.
He would definitely draw out the yuppies and Asians, that is for sure.
>>69398209
I feel minorities would vote for him mainly cause they hate Trump. It's not like they HATE Bernie, they just feel wayyy more comfortable with Clinton
>>69397964
The problem is the Clinton Foundation is too powerful. They have even more power than the Kennedy family did at its height. They have all the benefits of a shadowy global organization and the face of a publicly respected NGO.
>>69398366
I think he would win the minority vote, I just don't see them turning out as high of numbers. Remember that blacks had record turnout in 2012 and that was the reason Obama won many of the swing states like Ohio.
Plus, I'm thinking conservative and blue collar whites would turn out in larger numbers for Trump instead of Romney. My guess is it would be a lot closer than what polls today are telling us.
>>69397964
The DNC hates Bernie because he's not a Democrat. He's been an independent for 30 years.
>>69397064
No way, Michigan has Detroit and other toothless union strongholds who gobble Bernies nonsense up
>>69398408
Yeah, it's the entire DNC against him sadly
>>69398635
This is actually a good point, I didn't think of that
>>69398599
The main reason I don't see Trump beating Bernie (or beating him as easily) is because there's no scandals to bring up, and Trump would have a harder time going up against a populist candidate similar to him as opposed to the establishment
>>69395666
>Satan with a sense of humor confirmed
>>69395450
Hillary's probably shitting herself because of the stroke and her age anyway, but
I doubt she's worried about losing to a Communist Kike.
>>69395450
Democratic primaries are all proportional, and Bernie doesn't have the margin of victory he needs
Clinton has a huge delegate lead and New York is coming up.
Anyone that thinks Sanders is going to win is delusional.
The election still matters.
What Bernie is really running for is a VP slot on clinton's campaign.
>winning a state by less than 5%
That's effectively a tie for proportional states. Hernie "winning" Wisconsin does nothing to change the math.
>>69399216
Nah he's running to win (he won't)
He won't take a VP or even a cabinet position, he'll go back to being a senator, I guarantee it
>>69399216
what do you think the chances of that are ?
>>69399396
>chances to win
<1% unless he wins NY
>chances to be vp
0
>>69399183
Don't forget Maryland, New Jersey and DC are still yet to go and those are almost guaranteed Clinton victories. All three of those states have a ton of minorities (especially blacks), and that does not bode well for Bernie.
Plus, I just don't see him dominating the remainder of the primary the way that he needs to. He won't do as well in places like California like he does in Washington because less whites = better performance for Clinton.
>>69399216
You're naive or uneducated if you think thats the case. Hes genuinely running to create social upheaval in America against establishment politics in a last ditch attempt to stop it from mucking with policymaking and lawmaking.
>>69399513
Well DC is not a state, but you get my point.
>>69399216
There is no chance she'll take him. She probably run with some muslim to stoke the fires in a run against Trump.
>>69395450
Nope. Bernie must also win California.
He's fucked
>>69395450
America would not elect a self-proclaimed socialist, especially when they find out how much their taxes will be hiked.
Let's hope that Bernie wins.
However, I do not think he has a viable chance of winning. predictwise.com gives him a 10% chance of winning the nomination.
He needs more than 60% of the remaining democratic delegates. He is only polling around 45%, however.
Even if he achieved that, many of the super delegates still need to back him, which is unlikely to happen, considering that they are chosen by the establishment democrats.
>>69399513
Furthermore, those northeastern primaries are all closed, where Clinton does much, much better. Democrats, as opposed to independents, overwhelmingly favor Clinton.
Sanders only does well in caucus states, states that are 90%+ white and states with open primaries that allow independents to vote.
>>69395450
New York fag here..... EVERYONE I know is a Bernie supporter!...
I don't know of anyone who stupors Hillery
Bernie going to win NY
I support trump!
>>69400562
>selection bias
Bernie won my county but lost my state, selection bias is literally the worst form of denial
>>69395450
I hope Trump wins but Hillary is still a better option than Bernie.
>>69395857
>implying hillary is not about to get raped by the fbi
What would happen if the Democrat candidate...Bernie or Hillary...was arrested too late in the election for the Dems to bring in a replacement?
>pls God, pls will it
Bernie never intended to win the nomination anyway. He's just siphoning all the campaign money away from gullible millennials who send him their Subway paychecks so he can buy sports cars and hire his family and pay them a highly generous fee for their "consulting" services.
Hillary literally has no competition.
>>69395450
>Hillary "I have a Goldman Sachs-branded vibrator shoved in my pussy and asshole" Clinton
>losing NY
>>69395666
>Trump this
>Trump that
>Trump is out of the race
>People like Trump this
>People like Trump that
>>69400901
you cant arrest bernie he's a jew
>>69396576
Democratic primaries aren't winner take all? Is that correct?
>>69401435
That is correct, they're all proportional (or majority proportional, with some potential assignment based on counties or something). Bernie would need to win by margins that he's not actually capable of getting.
>>69401435
That's correct.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
Notice that there is no column denoting how delegates are allocated.
Of course the glaring exception is all the super delegates.
>>69401601
Well, at least not in states like NY or Cali. He's doing a service to the GOP though by distracting Clinton and wasting her money
>>69401828
>He's doing a service to the GOP though by distracting Clinton and wasting her money
Not really. If she were running uncontested, she would have gone into the general with little to no debating experience, 2008 notwithstanding. And she'll have no shortage of money once she receives the nomination.
>>69402250
But if she was running uncontested, she would've had all the time and money in the world to focus on the general. She also has to deal with slingshotting back to the center because she moved so far left to compete with Bernie.
>>69401601
>>69401828
The Bernout always overperforms the polls though
>>69402371
That's true.
>>69401075
Try to arrest Bernie...
>oy vey, it's like anuddah shoah over here, this is typical, remember the 6 shekellion
Plus, remember Bernie always over performs I'm caucuses, which reward people with more die hard supporters. He underperforms in actual primaries. There are almost nothing but actual primaries left.
It doesn't even matter if she loses NY and California. She would still come ahead in pledged delegates unless you propose that there would be a huge blow out in California or something absurd. Sanders lost on the 15th. He cannot come back. Anyone that argues otherwise is a shill. This doesn't even account for super delegates.
>>69403118
Yup, that's the main issue
>>69402587
The thing is, will it be enough though? My benchmarks messing with a delegate calculator is that he should win Wisconsin 60-40. I doubt he can do that if the polls are only 49-44 right now
>>69402587
It's not even close to always, he's just majorly overperformed it a few times. And the times he's most overperformed it, the result was him narrowly winning states he was predicted to massively lose. He's never going into states 50/50 and winning 70/30, which is what he'd need to be doing to have a real shot.
>>69403460
Well actually, polls in Utah/Idaho showed a 50-50 race, but the point still stands with primaries
>>69403460
Hillary buys cities and poverty areas, Its a question of demographics. Most of the concentration of votes are in those areas by DNC design.
