>predictit markets give trump only a 28% chance of winning GE
>hillary 61%
is it really that bad /pol/?
I've been reading r/sandersforpresident/ and they think he has a chance so why does everyone think it will be Hillary?
>>67901187
no. trump will destroy hitllary. gen election polls before the nominees are even named are so unreliable you really can't use them.
>>67901328
predictit isnt polls tho
>>67901328
why do usamericans hate jimmy carter?
Well no shit. Trump doesn't have a fucking clue what he's doing
>>67901684
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0GdLClHAMB0
>>67901187
Please look how predictit works.
Trump first needs to get the nomination, then the true chances of him winning the presidency can come in.
Trump is at 70% chance of getting the nomination on predictit, Clinton is at 90%.
On the who will win the White House, Republican or Democrat, we are at 65% Dems and 35% Republicans.
The reason for those bets are pretty simple. Trump is a lose cannon. There is a large in built risk factor in the Trump odds... Trump might just end up with a melt down within the crucial phase of the elections which makes him unattractive for moderates.
Anyway, Trump still has a higher chance to win the presidency than Brits have a chance to leave the EU.
>>67901187
The predict markets had Rubio as being in #1 spot for winning.
Rubio has no officially quit politics.
BTFO
>>67901684
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1159627/To-special-friend-Gordon-25-DVDs-Obama-gives-Brown-set-classic-movies-Lets-hope-likes-Wizard-Oz.html
>>67901187
Things like this and the betting exchanges are mainly driven by non-Americans
They were wrong about Trump's rise
Whether or not he wins the nomination his status as the main player was apparent from late summer 2015 onward but the exchanges were going with conventional wisdom and had Jeb or Rubio out in front
>>67901616
It's obviously based on polls though.
And Trump actually polls better than Reagan did in Feb/March.
>>67901187
Hillary will annihilate Trump easily.
Trump sank Jeb with two words. You think he can't find a crack in Hillary?
>>67901673
Jews have spent decades relentlessly attacking him. Since he was a Democrat, the Republicans have eaten up the slop the Jews have served to them. The Jews hate him for not sucking Israeli cock like most other presidents do.
>>67901452
>I've been reading r/sandersforpresident/ and they think he has a chance
Kek
>>67903985
>sucking Muslim dick is better
Basically white Obama
>>67901452
>I've been reading r/sandersforpresident/
lol
>>67903984
Stamina.
That's the word he's going to use against Hillary. It's even better than low energy. Hillary looks tired most of the time. The only time she doesn't is during the debates when she is so highly animated that it is obvious she's being given speed or some other drug. Both her and Bill look in poor health most days. Compare that to Trump and his wife who are vigorous and full of energy. Trump has stamina, Clinton does not. He's going to start using the word more and more so people notice Hillary's ragged tired appearance each time they see her.
>>67904129
>Implying the Muslim problem wasn't created by Jews to get morons like you on the side of kikes
