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ITT predict the next economic crisis
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You are currently reading a thread in /biz/ - Business & Finance

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These guys predicted the 2008 crisis with sub prime loans and profited millions of dollars. When is the next economic crisis and what will cause it?
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>>1016226
Brad Pitt predicted shit, swapping based tities Jen for psycho inbreed Angie. Now he turned gay and his children are an abomination (I ain't even thinking of the thai brats).
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Either
A.) Stagflation
B.) China's economy improves and they start dumping all their US Treasuries to control for deflation.

There doesn't seem to be any thought of bubbles in the market currently, after taking a look at the BAA-Treasury spread.
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>>1016226
The powers that be have committed themselves to protecting the cancerous businesses that are slowly killing the economy. They'll do anything to prevent another crash.

It's going to be more of a long, slow decay than anything else. The select insiders will retain (most) of what they have now, though.
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Movie industry collapse after one of the endless Marvel or Star Wars movies bombs.
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College Loan Bubble

This generation is so worthless already if it wasn't for coffee shops employing every liberal arts major we'd have collapsed into a Bolshevik style revolution by now kickstarted by brainless fucktards.
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Honestly? It'll start in China when jobs go from there to India, or their empty city bubble pops. Most of Southeast Asia is due for a real estate bubble popping.
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The Canadian housing bubble will be big enough that some people will make out like bandits and it's sure to burst in the next few years.
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>>1016257
Jen isn't a natural blonde. She is probably a shit tier slav. He traded from one slav to another slav.
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>>1016226
Fuck you. Economics is like advanced astrology and mysticism. Instead of dead chicken bones, they use ridiculous approximate algorithms, and feed those algorithms some random data they think is appropriate, and then blind praise the answers which appear predictive, and ignore those which are seemingly absurd.

Then they do this process in a recursive manner, such that eventually they have some pseudo process that they believe is predictive.

Once they have this pseudo process, they try to convince everyone else that this process is "real" and can be used as a "predictor" of "economic behavior".

What they're actually doing is created a very complicated rube (heh) goldberg machine that can be stilled down to a multi-level marketing plan, where the only way the pseudo process succeeds is when there's enough actors in the economic process to believe that it's an actual predictor.

>tl;dr: most of large scale economics is self-fulfilling prophecies created by voodoo astrologists
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>>1016226
Pension crisis. Many pensions are heavily invested in equities, a bear market will force companies to spend more on pensions, driving down cash flow. Also in a rising rate environment, companies rolling over their matured bonds will be forced to pay more for credit.
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>>1016321
No, loans are backed by full faith and credit of US.
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>>1016350
I don't think it will be that big. It will be just a correction because the dollar is weak. Only those who bought houses recently will probably lose some
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>>1016226

The sovereign debt crisis is just getting started, Japan Europe and eventually the U.S.
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>>1016430
What a load of gibberish. Please try to explain how these guys didn't make lots of money off a correct prediction. And in a way that people who aren't on shrooms might understand.
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If oil doesn't turn around in the next few years I think it could cause a crisis. It was like a rediculous percentage of all capital raised in the country like over 50% last year. Growth in the sector was also a huge percentage of our national growth. If the oil companies all start defaulting it could take down banks too.
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>>1016355
>Jen isn't a natural blonde.
Neither is Angelina Jolie, only difference is Jen still has her tits, Angie has none.
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>>1016701
>>1016257
noone fucking cares about celebrities you faggots
Thread replies: 18
Thread images: 3

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