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New Balls Please : Edition
Icelandic Volcanoes sub-edition
Previous Thread: >>69000358 → →
>Helpful links
http://pastebin.com/mDAydpyK
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http://slashbetslash.wikia.com/wiki//bet/_Wikia
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
http://pastebin.com/tPXwjDi6
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
http://pastebin.com/SVqUYKbf
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/betting-tracker-excel
Wtb?
>>69036753
Isner ALL IN
Tennis tips much better today.
Berdych playing like BerdSHYT
Any tips on CL qualifier?
Deliciano breaks. Berdshyt all over the place.
>>69036810
trembling here
>>69036823
Wondering this myself, there's gotta be some decent value in it
>>69036823
Valleta -1.25
>>69036871
I was looking at Tres Penne with 22.50 Odds inf favor that ought to be a nice single.
What we watching
>>69036926
flipping between berdych & lopez streams, with tomic vs verdasco in the background tv
Verdasco. So so happy.
Berdych. So so happy.
Feliciano. So so happy.
Acca looking so so good.
what drugs/alcohol are you guys gonna buy to celebrate this acca winning?
>not on acca
>have a -33% roi following TT after 12 bets
cbfa
Do not like these aussies screaming for Tomic.
>>69037114
Only making back what I have lost last week, so.. probably none. I didn't place an acca though, just singles and doubles.
>>69037139
Please list all the tips you've followed? All Wimbledon?
>>69037159
Nigga last week I was winning everything
>>69037171
I wasn't betting on tennis last week, until now you haven't lost me any money.
>like 1000 different people playing today
>no bookies thinks it's a good idea to have a search bar
?????
>I'm not on the acca
JUST
Verdasco so so strong.
>>69037217
TEARS. 9/1 as well.
>>69037211
this is what i hate about bet365 still using Flash
Should I ?
>>69037246
>Italy
>>69037262
You can only do handicaps? Murray is looking good atm for a handi. Did you get on Babos handi? Just won.
>>69037160
Galina Voskoboeva v Anastasiya Komardina
Dominika Cibulkova v Karolina Pliskova
I. Dodig/M. Melo v D. Inglot/D. Nestor
Steve Johnson v Pablo Cuevas
David Goffin v Alexander Ward
Serena Williams v Amra Sadikovic
Jack Sock v Ernests Gulbis
Kyle Edmund v Adrian Mannarino
Bjorn Fratangelo v Grigor Dimitrov
Andreas Seppi v Guillermo Garcia-Lopez
Ricardas Berankis v Marcus Willis
Pablo Carreno-Busta v Milos Raonic
Following your staking plan of 1 unit = £50 returns a loss of £693
THIS DOES NOT SLIP LOPEZ
>>69037304
I deleted my post because i thought it was unreasonable to ask that of you. Thanks for the tips anyway.
Is Thiem going to win ?
>>69037246
Portugal is going to win
>>69037307
Yeah 8 of those are Wimbledon. Had an absolute mare of a first day. Looking much better today.
>>69037317
It's fine lid. I'll find some handis especially for you tonight for round 2 matches.
Is it true Lux tipped England dnb last night?
>>69037343
Can we not talk about this anymore?
>>69037320
hopefully, fingers crossed. also NEED isner to come though.
>>69037342
Thanks m8
did someone died in the berdych match?
>>69037374
i'm also huge on Isner to chase Pliskova losses, put Thiem on a double with Berdych
Murray looking very good. Has reverted to the lendl forehand. Serving so well. Would LOVE him to win it desu. Obviously Broady is no test.
Fuck sake Felacio
>>69037343
Yeah, medium
Tomic playing like absolute shit today.
>>69037333
If You think Poland was beaten by Swiss after 60'min of their match just remember that they've had 2 days less for rest. When they weren't tired they were dominant. Now it's fair, both teams have same time for resting. Portugal choked in every match, sorry but it's end of Your journey.
Cup game tonight, Salt Lake VS Seattle Sounders
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.8 -1.91 depending on the bookie you use. Gonna be replied to with "Thanks Soccerway" but in their last 2 H2H it was 2-1 and 3-1, Salt Lake are 3rd in the league and playing at home, Seattle are 17th. Salt Lake have also had more than 2.5 goals in 6 our of their 7 last games.
>>69037472
Needed this to happen so bad.
>>69037512
Thanks soccerway :^}
But in all seriousness all your overs you've tipped have came in, at least the ones I got on.
>>69037512
Thanks socceryway. You haven't failed me yet.
>petkovic
Fucks sake all my accys are failing by 1
been drinking in bed all day embarrassed by how much football still affects my mood
Need Young Africans goal like AIR. /bet/ magic PLS
>>69037512
>>69037588
>>69037624
Where is the value? What has he found that the bookies don't know? Betting on H2H o2.5 statistics won't get you anywher.e
Yes it might win but it has no value at all.
Tomic/Verdasco comes in.
Blood in my eyes
>>69037706
I'd rather stick to smaller odds that have a greater chance to come in rather than higher odds which are up in there air and can lose you money. Plus, every now and then you get a gem like the Chicago game where they priced over 3.5 @ 6.0 when the game ended 4-3, so imagine what the odds were for over 6.5
You don't have to follow the tips, you don't have to put money on them. After all, you could pay Euan to lose your money or give Juveguy another £5 to lose. :)
>>69037709
Had to take o39.5 as I don't have a bet365, would love a tiebreak
>>69037706
No shit, do you know where you are? Far better to just let them lose their money.
>>69037709
Yes that's correct
Is Lincoln +1.25 a bet?
>>69037773
Just can't stand it.
>>69037754
Jesus christ
>>69037706
No value now. We gambling here.
>>69037790
The retards have taken over. The man is a Brexit voter, what more would you expect from him?
>>69037754
Fucking hell. Is this a joke?
>>69037789
No. The Gibraltans voted overwhelmingly for Remain and I believe being on the losing side will have a massive effect on their mindset coming into this game.
Lincoln FC VS Flora Tallinn, starts in just over an hour
Over 2.5 @ 2.10 (can risk over 3.5 @ 3.75, but it's iffy as there are no H2H games). Estonia are the favourites to win and they're also playing at home against a Gibraltar team.
I'd personally go 10/10 on over 2.5 and 5/10 on over 3.5
>>69037831
Pmsl
The state of Berdych. Shaking for Bouchard.
>>69037842
This simply must be satire now.
You've literally just reworded the fixture as reasoning for the bet.
Selling my computer to bet on Paire losing next round. The absolute madman made it through.
>>69037866
Then don't follow the tip my friend, they have no H2H statistics so you can't tell how they play against each other. However one team is a side of professional footballs playing in the Estonian Premier League whilst the other side are part time footballers who average 6/7 goals per game.
Think the "tip" is shit? Don't back it.
>>69037866
Kek, spot on
>>69037898
Exactly. At least your tipping stuff in here, most of posters here are so quick to criticise but never tip themselves, I like your reasoning for this bet, it's a bit of an unknown though so I've only had a smed on.
Bouchard wearing a tiny partly transparent white dress. Shaking.
>it's a one match going well, one match going wrong episode
>>69037866
It's SP's new persona, he's moving on from Juveguy.
>>69037931
This is also him but with the trip off
>>69037931
You like his reasoning? His reasoning is literally that the home team is the favorite and that Estonia is bigger than Gibraltar.
He doesn't know shit so he certainly doesn;t know if there is any value in his pick
>>69037660
Totally expected them to concede. I can only win bets when I bet the complete opposite
Berdych so so dire
Okay Bouchard opponent wearing heavy strapping and looking injured.
>>69037931
People are quick to criticise because we're not betting with fucking Monopoly bucks here. Shit tips lose people money.
Really need a punching bag, don't think my little nephew can take another beating.
>>69037967
We're not talking about who's going to win though, we're talking about goals. We've got one team of part-time footballers who average 6/7 goals per match, against a team that has won the Premier League in Estonia 10 times.
There's no H2H statistics, so for all we know the Gibraltar side will win 27-0, but seeing as it's a professional side playing at home against a country that isn't professional and has lots of goals scored against or for it, I can hazard a guess that there will be over 2.5 goals at least
Look at Iceland and England, a team of part time dentists beat a "professional" team, but it was still over 2.5 goals. If you don't like my reasoning, then don't follow my bet friend; after all I'm going to be the one losing money right.
>>69038031
nibs
>>69037932
Had to tune out of the shitshow that was the Tomic game to see this with my own eyes. 100% worth it. Thanks lid.
berdych pls
>>69038031
All you are saying, your complete reasoning, is already factored in the odds, that is what I'm trying to say.
And I'm not fucking saying your bet will lose, I am saying that if you make this bet a 100 times in a row, you will lose money because you haven't found value, your just pointing out reasons that the bookmaker already knows.
>>69038002
well if you're retarded enough to follow some random people on a 4chins thread you deserve it, to be honest
>>69038002
You mean like you and Ryan have lost people money? I've gone on every bet he's posted here and im up so much. He's won 3 out of 4 bets here, more than you and Euan
>>69038064
Don't bother arguing lid. It's either horrible nibs or someone so dense they won't understand what you're talking about.
>women referee's
>>69038039
Why are you watching that lid? Already won O3.5 sets.
>>69038060
Shaken.
>>69038089
Kek at least she broke.
>>69038064
Fair point, I shouldn't have included that Estonia were the favourites to win. The rest of my reasoning stands however, the facts point to over 2.5 goals and maybe even 3.5
>>69038002
Bit rich coming from a pseud like you
>>69038114
you HAVE to be trolling
>>69037246
>not backing Iceland
1X in the Kapaz - Dacia game, bookies are underestimating the azeri squad, azerbaijan pours a lot of money into football, Kapaz have made a very good team with a lot of foreigners. They were fighting for relegation last year and now they are in the european tournaments which just shows how much they improved the squad. Dacia has much more experience, but I still think there is value in Kapaz.
>>69038104
I have money on Tomic, as any old mug would.
>>69038114
I now realize 100% for sure that you are trolling.
Berdych such a cunt but need him to win.
>>69038162
>>69038134
Match starts in 55 minutes, if it's not over 2.5 goals I'll drop my trip, delete my TT and never post on /sp/ again.
>>69038158
I dont pay too much attention to Kazakh football but it seems Kapaz dont cant beat the best domestic teams. They only got in because better teams didnt get a licence
>>69038187
that's not the fucking point you absolute retard.
>>69038174
Everytime i watch some famous player playing against a more unknown opponent, i feel as if they are massively underestimating them, playing with like 40% of their strength. Same with Berdych atm.
Anyone else on Konta?
MARGE on Krasnodar, enemies are a youth team.
>>69038187
>completely missing the point AGAIN
>>69038193
They're fairly good at home, only 3 losses in the season, all from top table teams. 2 of the losses were in the last 2 games, if they had won these two, they would've finished second.
>>69038198
Except it is, I've already admitted that I should have said "Estonia are the favourites to win, so there will be goals" but the rest of my points stand.
All you seem to be doing right now is whining about me being a retard for my tip, without actually showing me how I'm a retard. The Gibraltar side have over 2.5 goals in their last 8 matches, the Estonian side has over 2.5 goals in 4/5 last matches. The Estonia team is a professional team who have won their premier league 10 times, they are also a side of full-time professional players. The Gibraltar side are part time dentists or some shit, but they're not a professional side.
For all we know, Gibraltar might win; but the evidence points to there being over 2.5 goals.
>>69038222
I got on -0.5 FH @2.0 but missed out on backing SW when it was still 1.5, price has gone to shit now.
>>69038220
Puig is pretty good. Finally Berdych you cunt.
>>69038200
He's playing better now
>>69038274
>STILL missing the point
Absolutely no way you're not a troll.
Berdych changing gears finally
>>69038274
because you are relying purely on statistics that the bookmaker has too, those statistics are factored into the odds, which means you have not found any value and thus it is a bad tip regardless of it losing or winning.
Do some betting research you dumb ignorant fuck. Learn about value and don't post dumb shit here.
>>69038309
>Missing the point
>Not actually making a point
Put your trip back on Euan
Go large on Genie holding every serve from here, her opponent literally has Parkinson's
>>69038285
Konta making short work of her so far
Thank you Bouch
>>69038346
Is that a market?
>>69038342
The point has already been made, here:
>>69038064
The bookies have already factored in everything this clown has already said. There is no 'value' in this tip, regardless of the outcome. Now trip back on derfail you clueless little cretin
>>69038335
>thus it is a bad tip regardless of it losing or winning.
>regardless of it winning
Ah yes, I forgot that betting had some other sort of motive; it's all about the...ummm...fame? Number of bets you place?
Bookies offer odds on over/under goals based on the odds of the team winning PLUS their H2H statistics. This is why the Chicago game was priced wrong as their last H2H meeting ended 1-0.
>>69038375
Fucking hell, you should die. You are worse than Unibwin and Oil combined.
>>69038129
>>69038086
>You mean like you and Ryan have lost people money?
How on earth would I have lost people money?
>Last 7 days: 17 tips, 32.96% yield, 74% win ratio, 27 units of profit
>>69038375
>some sort of motive
Yes it's called VALUE, and if you keeping betting and tipping the shite that you are currently tipping, variance WILL catch up with you. If you still think you're right, you're a fucking moron.
Is Retards being baited by a troll?
>>69038086
>He's won 3 out of 4 bets here, more than you and Euan
What does this even mean? 4 bets is a good sample size? Fuck me, don't even know I'm responding
>>69038394
>Betting isn't about money
>Calling someone else a retard
>>69038397
what is your tipstertube nickname?
>>69038409
Its quite embarrassing for him desu
>>69038409
Yes I think I am
>>69038409
Want the odds on that?
>>69038429
basi-booms
>>69038397
17 tips, great sample size there
Okay Isner bring home the acca and large. Thiem please win 3-1.
>you will never come in the general vicinity of Bouchard
When was the last time a value tip was posted and discussed in here? Why does'nt everyone just get PGA memberships, turn TT notifications on and let these threads die a dignified death
>>69038457
Last episode of Don't Hug me I'm Scared was v.v odd tbqh
>>69038458
No one post value bets here. We just shitpost about how people post NO value bets. That is the new meta.
>>69038450
Okay.
All time, 180 tips 20.07% yield, 58.84% win ratio, 111 units of profit
>>69038408
Betting is about making money, if you think it's about ANYTHING else then you are a bigger retard than you claim I am. Everyone bets so they can turn their stake into more money so they can bet more, buy a hooker, buy a blender or order £800's worth of sushi.
If you don't think a tip doesn't follow your definition of what betting is, then don't get on the tip. I'm sure you're going to explain to me how a "value" tip isn't about whether it wins or loses though, otherwise that would be very hippo critical.
>>69038457
Why even LIVE
>>69038409
>Makes a big fuss about ignoring and filtering other people
>Still talks about them
>>69038458
BT posted plenty but he hung himself after there referendum vote
>>69038483
You are still completely missing the point here. Your tips are valueless and in the long term will lose you (and others) money. Find an edge and stop posting shite.
>>69038502
Can't stand that someone else is getting attention, even for being clueless
>>69038502
I don't even know why he filters me.
>>69038458
It's just fun here mate. No one actually uses this as a source for bets. Not every platform has to be serious.
>>69038515
Imagine STILL responding to such blatant nibs. Get fucked, you pseud.
>>69038534
I dont filter you. I filter the guy you are replying to so it filters your posts in reply to his posts.
>>69038540
But their not nibs, I genuinely believe that betting is about making money. :(
Donald YOUNG. Excellent day so far lads. Can finally erase the memory of yesterday.
>>69038540
IMAGINE responding to a post responding to nibs. Get fucked, you pseud.
Chippy supper incoming tonight lads
>>69038602
>1.062
UAC Tipping Group are having a right giggle at the state of this thread
>>69038602
>Didn't get on this
Could have brought the local kebab joint
>>69038589
Simply put, the odds account for the probability of an event occurring as no event is 100% certain. So you might win 4 coinflips in a row, statistically over the course of a 1000 coinflips, you should end up with roughly 50%. Same for any odds that the bookies give, you might win X bet 4 times in a row but if you place a 1000 of X bets, the odds they offer ensure that the bookie comes out ahead.
>>69038632
>Tennis Tipster
Le pick all the favourites man
Arka Gdnya DC worth a tiny, line pushed too far by pixel punters and coming back into it.
>>69038665
Yeah no offense to him because it seems like his tips are winning, but he hasn't actually done anything but tip the favourites
Fuck Verdasco!
PLAY SUSPENDED BECAUSE OF RAIN
THANKS BREXIT
>Rain Delay
1:37am here and too shaky to sleep
>>69038684
FFS. Don't want to be picky but have picked plenty of non favourites. Inglot/Nestor @3 Komardina was @2.85. Willis @>3. Johnson last week. Jacq was 2.25
Can't imagine a world where a professional team that's midseason loses/draws a major tournament qualifier against a semi-professional team that hasn't played a competitive game in over a month. Taking Flora -1 and not looking back
>>69038769
MEDIUM
PMSL love it when Retards spergs on some poor mug
>>69038632
>brought
Am I the only one who cares about standards on here? There are FAR too many uneducated little dolts on here who need a good lesson in grammar.
Flora drifting AGAIN, now on large, probably end up on special if -0.5 gets there quickly. So many pseudos taking +
>>69038857
Haven't slept for 24 hours leave me alone.
>>69038769
Wait a few minutes, I guarantee -0.75 will be available shortly after kick off.
>>69038864
Get some sleep you mug
>>69038860
>he doesn't know
Is Pironkova value against Bencic ? She is very good on grass and always does well at Wimbledon. Bencic wins at every other surface, but I think Pironkova has the advantage on grass. I know it's
>womens tennis
but still, can someone more knowledgeable share their opinion ?
>>69038871
>American bookies offering -0.75
They go straight from -1 to SW rather than doing -0.5, -1
>>69038889
I've seen teamsheets, drift is such an overreaction.
Did anyone bet on Jeremy Corbyn to get BTFO ?
>>69038457
i was. but it was like with 50 other ravenous people searching for an autographed so i couldnt enjoy the moment. that and i was looking for jimmy connors's autograph anyway.
Find it hard to believe there are people backing Lincoln. Have they never watched Gibraltar football?
>>69038893
depends on what you think value is. pironkova is a strong fast surface player and without a doubt a solid bet at higher odds but the whole question mark is about bencic's fitness, thats why piro is favorite
so i'd say a decent yes, but not a strong yes
Going to have a smed on +0.25 on Des Moines from 1-0 down. Just conceded a penalty but were getting back into the game before it.
Good squad out, including the top scorer Veldman who put 4 past Winniepeg the other day. Reckon they'll get one back at least. Think Barlow is also on the bench, and he's been great for them so far, scored a hatrick in his last game.
>>69039083
what u on ?
>>69039083
Mack is on lel
>>69038893
Yes. Bencic is coming in with injury problems and retired a few matches ago. Lost first round in Eastbourne to rank 50. Putting a tenner on her.
>>69039083
Agreed. Granted, I can't recall the last time I watched Estonian, I figure it HAS to be better
>>69038281
Was on 1st half too. GJ Krasnodar boys
>>69039093
Nothing yet.
>>69039084
>>69039103
Thank you! I'll put a medium sized bet on her.
>>69039083
Talking big sense here pal. Lincoln are used to all out attacking vs diddy teams and have no defensive shape, add to this the fact that they're out of season against a team who should be at full fitness and their mindset following the referendum loss and you have a disaster looming for Lincoln backers. Flora -0.75 may well be THE best bet we see all season in the UCL. On large.
>>69039103
"lost in eastbourne to rank 50"
why is a guy called "tennis tipster" giving tennisinsight tips. thought you'd have better reasoning mr expert. are you derfail in disguise pmsl
>>69039258
You're right.
Also have a medium on Strum Graz II v Admira over 2.75 goal line.
Both teams scored well over 40 and conceded the same in the league.
Expect an open game here plenty of attacking options in the line up, plenty of them will be given chances to come out and should be an open game.
How long will this interruption last?
>Macedonian womens u19 defending
pmsl
>>69039389
Going to be down hideous, the defending is bad but keeper is something else, bet would be won if it weren't for her.
>>69039410
Same lid. Literally cannot win a bet atm
>>69039389
>>69039410
Need a stream for this lids
>Expect an open game here plenty of attacking options in the line up, plenty of them will be given chances to come out and should be an open game
SOLID info this
>>69039440
Just wins desu
>missing inside the 6 yard box
Will never understand how you can't at least get it on target ffs
All my teams refuse to score. Down sickening sums. Applying for a job at Lidl and moving in with my mom again.
>>69039461
H2H's look decent 4-4 in June last year, 3-3 in Feb
>>69039369
Hope not too long, getting bored already
think we're all starting to realise, deep down, that gambling is no longer profitable, worst month of my life
>>69039532
this, seriously in a hole right now
>>69039532
I had a tiny bit of hope that it's gonna get better. That hope is shattered now.
>>69039532
Don't see what all the fuss has been about personally, running on a 9.9% roi after 205 bets in asia this month.
>>69039532
It's only profitable during Grand Slams
Need another kras goal pls
Andorra Women basketball -20.5 is a marge, such a big difference between these two and has the potential to be a 40/50pt win for Andorra. Gibraltar team is usually dire anyway but they have a few teens in the roster for this one.
FLORA
L
O
R
A
>fc honka
Can only imagine what these Gibraltar players stats are on FIFA or PES
>>69039532
>>69039557
>>69039565
What? Because of the Euros?
pmsl at the pseudos who served up a gift on Flora
>>69039760
andorra is bad too right now
Can not win a single bet
Wtb???
>>69039940
Flora -0.25. Such a gift.
>>69039495
Yeah 2-0 now, looks like the floodgates have opened.
Need to double check before I post a tip on tipstertube, getting embarrassing. Apologies
>>69039321
45 minutes to get one goal, looks like another failure from you
>>69039940
TNS -3 @1.87. Cba to check to see if that price is still there
>>69038670
betting so SO easy when mugs shift the price too much
Up a grand on Macedonia u19 women pmsl, what a life never going to wage slave once I finish uni, betting is just 2 easy
>>69039962
Are you talking about the Chicago Fire game? Didn't mean to tip it in the first place but it's more of a failure on Menace not finishing their chances. At least Sturm overs is looking good
>>69040043
>Didn't mean to tip it in the first place
Are you a genuine retard?
Out of all the bets I could think of I pick the one that is losing while all others are winning. Really need to figure out why that keeps happening.
>>69040066
Starting to think so mate, starting to think so.
Nah I was gonna tipstertube this >>69039088
but forgot because Sturm kicked off and just didn't realise I already had Chicago tagged :(
I really do suffer from ADD
anybody watching holstein kiel ? another goalfest
Anyone else think they have an uncanny ability to influence games with their betting?
Done it a few times recently, I don't just mean them losing but completely and utterly going to pieces within seconds of a bet being placed.
Just bet on Wozniaki and she's lost literally every game after I did so and was playing well before pmsl
>>69040109
>I really do suffer from ADD
Bet you're one of those whiners who use it as their excuse for everything
Need 2 more Flora goals like air, I've bet almost 20 entire pounds on this game.
>>69040169
Yes. Its also influenced by my masturbation schedule no joke
Marge staking Verdel, NTNUI are playing a woman
>>69040188
jesus christ dude get a grip
Another one.
>bongs in charge of stable weather conditions
Flora botd
>>69040188
>20 pounds
zzzzzzzzzzzz
NTNUI have only 12 players for the game and have played 20 minutes BETWEEN them all.
Should clear the EH easy, AH has been cunted
>>69040276
Ooooh you're hard
222222222222222222222222
40 minutes to get 1 more, don't care who it's from.
>>69040322
Not even close. Just wish the penny punting slugs would leave
>>69040316
Which places do you leech off of most?
>>69040323
INNNN
Now I wouldn't mind another flora for my handi
MOST DANGEROUS LEAD
Will Flora make another goal?
>>69040276
still like alashkert? they've moved in to 1.77 on bovada
>>69040431
3.5 might come in, I've backed it on my TT but I think I'll only re-back small; been burnt before expecting another goal but having nothing for 40 minutes.
>>69040316
Remember tipping Charlottenlund against NTNUI before, they beat NTNUI 3-0,
Verdal - Charlottenlund 6-1.
Verdal will go third with a win and will want to close the goal difference. I'm on first half handi's too.
>>69040471
Ya, but haven't looked at teamsheets.
>>69040378
Not surprised if this is tipped elsewhere but not in the groups I'm in.
11111111111111111111111
>Take a quick nap
Play still not resumed
SUCH a bad bet from Euan, ends 2-0 pmsl
>That miss
Oh my...
