I was just on /b/ and some op was going to give out a vid of him fingering his classmate if someone got quads. So given the posts per whatever unit of time suits your fancy (there has to be statistic out there somewhere), what is the probability of a get?
I honestly couldn't come up with a more trivial probability question than this.
Well let me try:
>There is a house with 10 children and two are male. If you pic a random child, what's the probability that this kid is male?
You can answer your question exactly like the above one.
obviously quads are gotten every 1111 posts (not including 0000 which happens immediately after a 9999) but you're assuming all post numbers belong to a single thread, which they don't, so you can't reasonably calculate how long before a single thread gets quads
>>8129384
>what's the probability that this kid is male?
Depends on if I'm gay or not
From 0000 to 9999 you have 10 quads. So probability is 1/1000
>>8129404
But from 0000 to 10000 you have 11 quads which makes it 11/10000
>>8129411
From 0000 to 1110 you have 1 quad
from 1111 to 2221=1110+1111 you have 1 quad
from 2222 to 3332=2221+1111 you have 1 quad
from 3333 to 4443=3332+1111 you have 1 quad
and so on.
1 quad per 1111
>>8129385
assuming the question arises in a random thread, just go with a even distributed count - then nothing changes
>>8129356
are you retarded?
>>8129431
if there's 100 active threads the odds of you getting a get in one specific thread is significantly less than on a slower board with 2 active threads
assuming randomness is stupid here, if you make an attempt to get the numbers its much more probable
>>8129356
100% of posts are singles.
10% of posts are dubs.
1% of posts are trips.
0.1% of posts are quads.
0.01% of posts are quints.
0.001% of posts are hexts/sexts.
0.0001% of posts are septs.
0.00001% of posts are octs.
0.000001% of posts are nons.
0.0000001% of posts are decs.
Etc.
>>8129546
>implying ...22 is singles
>implying ...555 is dubs
>implying ...8888 is trips
Etc.
>>8129555
btw nice trips.
>>8129555
A number cannot contain two consecutive digits without containing a digit.
A number cannot contain three consecutive digits without containing two consecutive digits.
And so forth.
This is common sense logic, buddy.
>>8129356
IIRC all dubs but 00's were banned on /b/
So, it's 1/10,000.
>>8129555
the 1% right here boys
>>8129546
for any sequence of n repeated last digits and no more: probability = 9*10^-n
>>8129555
He's not wrong.
All trips are also dubs.
All quads are also trips.
Etc.
If OP says "trips names my new turtle", and you get quads, that cocksucker better deliver.
Besides, the Anon you quoted is the first person in this thread to grasp simple math.
>>8129597
>This is common sense logic, buddy.
No. This is only because you say so. In my book dubs are if only the two last digits repeat, so trips are not dubs etc.
>>8129604
who cares about /b/
>>8131701
this
>>8131731
>In my book dubs are if only the two last digits repeat, so trips are not dubs etc.
http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=trips%20is%20dubs
>>8129411
Are you retarded? 0000-10000 is 10001 and it's not an accurate picture of the distribution. It's 1/1000
>>8131735
People in this thread should because the entire fucking premise to this thread is about /b/
>>8129431
>and so on
from 9999 to 1110=9999+1111 (mod 10,000) you have 2 quads
>>8129356
Since nobody in this thread has given a concise answer, let me have a go:
The probability of a random post getting quads is 1 in 1000.
Let's assume the get thread in question has 300 posts before it dies.
The probability of a post getting quads out of 300 posts in a thread is 300/1000, meaning 30%
>>8131976
>The probability of a post getting quads out of 300 posts in a thread is 300/1000, meaning 30%
So if there were 2000 posts, then the probability would be 200%, right?
>>8131976
>The probability of a random post getting quads is
10/9999.
>>8129604
Not true
>>8129356
Did someone get quads?
Share video.
>>8132051
well technically he isn't wrong, if he's talking about a board on which there is only one thread
>>8129573
Dubs too
>>8129356
Dubs = .08888889
Trips = .00888889
Quads = .00088889
Pents = .00008889
Sexts = .00000889
Sex = 0
Septs = .00000089
Octs = .00000009
Nons = .00000001
