Guidelines:
>Post 270toWin prediction image. Include the predicted nominees.
1) Who will be the VP for both candidates?
2) What will be your winning candidates greatest obstacle or weakness in the 2016 race?
3) Who will win the Senate?
4) Who will win the House?
5) Will your winning candidate get re-elected in 2020?
Senate and House will stay in Republican hands, 100% certain on that. Those don't change hands easily and you need a major wave for it to happen.
>>55209517
>Clinton vs. Trump
>Clinton will pick Julian Castro. Trump will pick Ted Cruz
>Clinton will win the election. Her biggest problem right now is how much the GOP hates her, she'll drive out mass amounts of voters just to vote against her, maybe even some independents. Still, it's practically impossible that Trump will beat her.
>Democrats will win the senate back
>Republicans will barely keep control of the House.
>I have a feeling that Clinton won't seek a second term, since she is fucking ancient. Too early to tell though.
>>55210295
>Trump losing Florida
>Trump losing Pen
>>55210352
>bong pretending to grasp american politics
>>55209517
I'll give it my own go now. Same map.
1) Who will be the VP for both candidates?
>Hillary/Kaine
>Rubio/Walker
2) What will be your winning candidates greatest obstacle or weakness in the 2016 race?
>Trustworthiness and gun control talk
3) Who will win the Senate?
>Democrats by 1 seat
4) Who will win the House?
>Republicans
5) Will your winning candidate get re-elected in 2020?
>No.
>>55210516
Actually I just read polls?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton-5633.html
Trump is polling ahead in both Florid and Penn.
Wow, you must feel pretty retarded now.
>>55210199
Democrats can easily take the senate in 2016. Presidential elections means higher turnout which benefits Democrats.
Republicans have to defend 24 senate seats in 2016 while democrats only have to defend 10
SNL will boost his favorability through the roof tonight. He is a natural in front of cameras and will appeal to people today.
>>55210716
Nice post history, you faggot liberal.
http://archive.4plebs.org/pol/search/filename/%201434333111509/
>The entire South is Hillary's for the taking.
>Christians are literally the dumbest people on the planet
>>55210700
I hate for this to become just arguing but you obviously know nothing about american politics. General election polls dont mean shit now.
>>55210788
That doesn't make what I said untrue.
>>The entire South is Hillary's for the taking.
Yes in the primaries against Bernie you fucking moron.
>>55210793
>y-you don't know shit
>actually here is data proving you wrong
>y-you still don't know shit.. t-things will change.. y-you'll see.
Nobody knows more about Donald Trump and his campaign than me. At least not on /pol/. Back down son, you won't win this.
>>55210837
You are a liberal. On /pol/
There is a whole site for people like you
http://www.reddit.com
Go back there.
>>55210893
>You are a liberal. On /pol/
So was the rest of 4chan until a Democrat came into office. If a Republican becomes president this place will once again become liberal because everyone here is a faggot contrarian.
>>55209517
1. Clinton/Booker vs Rubio/Cruz
2. youth/inexperience claims
3. GOP barely keeps senate
4. GOP keeps house
5. Probably
>>55211018
>If a Republican becomes president this place will once again become liberal because everyone here is a faggot contrarian.
Oh yeah, because there is a really big shortage of places on the internet to be a faggot liberal like yourself.
>>55209517
This scenario is way too reasonable for /pol/
>>55210861
No one claimed you don't know about Trump, but you've made it increasingly obvious with every one of your post that you have no idea about our elections. Keep shilling trumplet, you're only killing your own cause.
>>55210700
You're embarrassing yourself. Go hang out in the meme threads with your intellectual equals.
>>55211108
>>55211132
Be less obvious.
>>55211073
>Being this mad that people other than kekservatives frequent /pol/
Take your pills Mohammed.
>>55211199
>y-you're a muslim
Not a good argument when you are from the side of politics that hugs muslims on stage when they start blubbering about being oppressed.
Don't you have another "f bombs for feminism" video to create?
>>55210295
>trump picking Cruz
If this happens I'm gonna vote third party
>>55209517
I'm not sure Nevada is very winnable for the GOP at this point. I agree that VA is an obstacle, but I think that Colorado and Iowa are very very competitive for the Republicans this time around.
>>55210556
>Rubio/Walker
Now that's interesting. I forgot about Walker. I don't think that would be the pick, but who knows.
>Hillary/Kaine
That'd be scary because VA would be firmly in Clinton's column and make victory that much harder for the GOP. Not sure she'd put a white male on her ticket though since she's running to "make history"
>>55210746
>winning PA but losing VA
Not sure about this. I think if PA is won by the GOP, VA would also be won as well.
>>55211257
You know that being a liberal doesn't automatically make you an SJW right? Just like being a conservative doesn't automatically mean you participate in incest.
!!!!!!! IGNORE THE FAKE TRUMP SUPPORTING SHITSKIN !!!!!!!
>>55210746
This is actually bretty good
>>55211352
You are in the same party as the SJWs. You support the same party as SJWs. Everything you do helps the SJWs.
You have "wonder woman" of feminism or "I'll hug muslims on stage" bernie sanders.
That's your choice.
>>55211398
Stop being annoyed I know more about Trump and US politics than you do.
>>55211435
No one predicting the Democrats will lose Pennsylvania is worth taking even a little bit seriously
>>55209517
>Rubio
Assuming nothing crazy happens?
Pennsylvania's electorate is less elastic than a lot of other close states. If a Republican actually wins Pennsylvania, they would have already secured 270 delegates from all the other "swing" states they took in the process.
Pennsylvania or Nevada will likely have the smallest margin of victory for Democrats, Iowa and New Hampshire for Republicans. A Republican could still win without Iowa or New Hampshire, but I'd bet they take at least one.
Virginia will be a harder win for Republicans than Colorado because of the reasons Democrats vote Democrat and Republicans vote Republican in each state. Coloradans like their personal liberty, left or right. Northern Virginians, of which there are many, are dependent on the size of government being large for their employment. Subtle population shifts in Virginia make this a problem.
Prediction accuracy is out the window if Hillary is indicted or Republicans nominate Trump. One obviously tanks Democrats, the other would have completely unpredictable consequences.
>>55211435
>You are in the same party as the SJWs.
But they have no influence on the party. There is no tea party equivalent for SJWs. I vote for the party of science over the party of MUH BIBLE
>>55211627
>red
>winning virginia, new hampshire and colorado
I really, really wish politically illiterate people stopped posting on /pol/
>>55210352
>>55210700
>>55210788
>>55210861
>>55210893
>>55211073
>>55211161
>>55211257
>>55211435
Based UK (sorry about Trudeau)
How do Republicans expect to win in the future if they ignore the minority demographics? Do they expect to gerrymander every electoral district?
>>55211040
>>55210556
Explain this to me. 90%+ of registered Republicans want harsher immigration laws, and they see immigration as an important issue. So how do you see Rubio, a man who wants amnesty for illegals, winning when Trump is on the ballot?
>>55210352
>Trump losing anything at all
>>55210295
>>55210746
>new hampshire voting trump
>virginia not voting trump
>>55210746
Hosts of SNL usually lose
>>55211798
>Do they expect to gerrymander
Yes. Both Republican and Democrat, yes.
>>55211812
>Obama was on SNL Nov 3rd '07
>>55211627
Colorado here.
Even the liberals here are already tired with this stupid fucking social justice shit, plus the libtards are hard on gun control this year which means colorado will go red
I garun-fucking-tee it
>>55211737
I'd be shocked if we didn't go red.
>>55211883
Weed is legal there. It doesn't matter. No one would vote for a republican.
>>55211615
>Thou shalt not attack a fellow Republican
Don't hurt the guy. You'll be supporting him if Trump doesn't get the nod.
>>55211933
Rubio's just one of the many dead and bloated fish in the GOP field, pointless to get behind someone who has zero chance.
>>55211930
>implying the libertarian side didn't love DUDE WEED LMAO
>>55211800
Kekservatives are really scared of having a frontrunner that is not a bible addicted moron that has a clean history of only ever dating his highschool sweetheart and going to church every single sunday since birth.
They really are pathetic, no wonder people hate them so much. They are afraid of having a candidate with balls that will make a difference.
Every Republican that has taken a swing at Trump so far has gone down to the fucking toilet. Carson is gonna go down next.. that's probably why Cruz and Rubio are not talking shit about Trump, they know they will get destroyed.
>>55211858
Problem is that you can't gerrymander every voter than isn't white, middle-aged to elderly male.
>>55212070
>implying they'd vote republican
Now I'm repeating myself
>>55212137
>implying they don't
I'm literally here
in colorado
Our reds are more libertarian than most reds.
>>55212094
>Kekservatives are really scared of having a frontrunner that is not a bible addicted moron that has a clean history of only ever dating his highschool sweetheart and going to church every single sunday since birth.
They voted for Reagan, didn't they?
>>55212109
You greatly, greatly underestimate the bullshittery that our politicians can pull.
>>55212174
Libertarians don't make up the majority of the voting bloc. You're implying they'll make a difference.
>>55212267
>implying that a person has to be registered as libertarian to hold libertarian ideals
fucking retard.
Posted this a week ago,..
Latest presidential poll shows Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton in head-to-head contest, Trump taking 70% of the electoral votes
http://powderedwigsociety.com/trump-kills-hitlery-in-head-to-head-matchup/#
It is an average of all "STATE" polling taken up to October 15.
>>55210746
Most realistic one I've seen>>55210788
>>55212299
>weed lmao state is going blue
You're fucking retarded. There's no indication that Colorado will go red this election.
>>55211018
Stupidest post I've ever read herr
>>55212235
Despite what they say, no 2016 Teahadist would vote for Reagan. He compromised, he raised taxes. You literally have to take a pledge saying you won't do these things these days.
>>55212235
I think the ones I described are not that many and would prefer Trump over any liberal, so I believe Trump is gonna win.
Some of those tards though, frequent /pol/. They are the ones that make the christian threads and call weed degenerate.
trump carson pres vp
Hillary will win the race.
Obama is doing and will do things that will glorify the Left's ideas in the next few months.
Btw, polls are complete cancer.
GUIDELINES:
>Post 270toWin prediction image. Include the predicted nominees.
1) Who will be the VP for both candidates?
2) What will be your winning candidates greatest obstacle or weakness in the 2016 race?
3) Who will win the Senate?
4) Who will win the House?
5) Will your winning candidate get re-elected in 2020?
>>55212414
Bruh its gonna go red. There's no fucking WAY this shit goes blue. If you think we'll go blue over some retarded need to defend our DUDE WEED LMAO you're out of your fucking MIND Colorado doesn't give a SHIT.
>>55212395
>MA still blue.
Yep
Live in PA, want this shithole to go red, we get democrats all the time and it's just a downward slope
>>55212506
>carson
>not Cruz
>>55212395
>Hillary absolutely rekt and humiliated
>Dies of brain cancer a year into Trump's term
>Bill immediately gets remarried to an 18 year old.
It's gonna be sweet.
>>55212575
>colorado doesn't give a shit about DUDE WEED LMAO
????
Anon, like I said, there's absolutely NO indication that Colorado will go red.
>the small town I live in is red so that means no one cares about DUDE WEED LMAO and we'll go red!
Read your post again and see how retarded it looks
>>55212559
>2015
>being this autistic
>>55210700
noice m8, you've really triggered the libs in this thread
>>55212803
Bitch i live in denver what i'm trying to say is nobody thinks the feds are trying to take our weed.
We're more worried about them taking our guns.
>>55211880
Yeah, but went McCain on it as well making that year moot
>>55212882
I'd expect CO to go blue if trump doesn't get nominee desu
>>55211199
go kill your parents plebbit memer
>>55211692
>party of science
>believes that chromosomes don't dictate gender
you're the party of feelings bitch
>>55212759
lol we are in interesting times no doubt.
>>55209517
1) No idea for dems. SC governor Nikki Haley is being groomed for a Jeb VP choice.
2) Jeb will be unable to shake the Buh Jr stigma, especially when its continually shown the Jeb team is largely made up of Bush Jr administration. Hillary will be hit with dog-whistle "she is just a girl" attacks that are surprisingly effective, and Bill Clinton reminiscing attacks that are surprisingly (to repubs) not effective.
3) The Senate will likely swing back to a slim dem majority in 2016. The defending dem/repub seat ratio just isn't good for the repubs, and Hillary is going to win so some of that benefit will hit the senate races.
4) The house is going to stay in repub control for the foreseeable future.
5) Odds are most sitting presidents win re-election. Its an incredibly powerful electioneering tool to be sitting in the white house.
Rubio vs. Clinton (you people are delusional if you think Trump has even a remote shot at the nomination)
Rubio picks Rob Portman. Clinton picks O'Malley (maybe? Idk)
Republicans hold the senate but their majority goes down
Republicans hold the house (obviously) maybe expand their majority
Why? The fed will raise rates next month which will make the economy shitty and so the people will vote against the sitting presidents party.
>>55212813
>>55210295
>Clinton willingly being a one-term President
>>55211692
>I vote for the party of science over the party
yeah, no you don't. there is no party of science in america; they both deny and support whatever science supports their cause.
>>55211615
For future reference, any image of Rubio used for comedic effect should be his stopping his state of the union rebuttal to take a drink of water.
>>55213144
>The Senate will likely swing back to a slim dem majority in 2016. The defending dem/repub seat ratio just isn't good for the repubs, and Hillary is going to win so some of that benefit will hit the senate races.
We should have seen some sort of resemblence in this weeks election,.. we didn't, in fact it was the opposite.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/11/04/the-2015-election-tightened-the-republican-stranglehold-on-state-government/?postshare=8361446667278090
>>55212601
Yep. Forever Blue Massachu
>>55211883
Look, the only thing making "guarantees" in politics does is make you look like a retarded child throwing mashed potatoes while the adults try to have a discussion.
Colorado going blue in 2008/2012 wasn't from its massive african-american population. Its an increasingly urbanized state and urban states lean liberal. Could CO go red? Yes. Will it? I'd put it at about 55/45 odds it stays blue. No guarantees.
>>55212575
I would ask what this person's opinion of CO was before the 2012 election, if he was just as confident then as he is now, but he shows all the signs of being in grade school during those elections.
>>55213733
>Its an increasingly urbanized state
You mean an increasingly Californianized state. It's no mystery where the majority of Colorado's new residents have come from in the last 10 years.
>>55212395
>tfw there is no state poll showing any republican in the lead in NJ, CT, VA, WI, OR or MD
>tfw /pol/ just takes it at face value anyway because muh narrative
>>55212395
>47% of the country would vote for a literal monster with a criminal record stretching back to the 1970s because she has a (D) after her name
Sometimes I don't even want Trump to save this country.
>>55214012
Read the article, all the polling data was taken from real clear politics and averaged.
>>55214219
Check the polls in the states named(it's called verification!). They don't show any republican, least of all trump, leading.
Or don't, because I know you won't. Because
>muh narrative
>>55214219
Also that's not an article. It's a blog post with a user made mapz
>>55214087
After obama has screwed around with the country, I highly doubt that hillary has all that much support as she thinks.
We should have seen big changes towards the democrats last tuesday,.. just the opposite happened.
>>55213572
Its impossible to take serious anyone who holds up off-year elections trying to compare them to presidential elections. Anyone who pays attention to politics knows that is a fool's game.
Look at the 2010 decimation of the dems. That one sure was predictive of 2012's results wasn't it? Nope, no Romney landslide, Obama won by 5mil votes.
Look, I get it, everyone gets very heated and attached to their "team", but you do yourself no good by accepting comforting delusions. Look at the political trends and figure out what will likely happen, not what you want to happen before you have a Karl Rove-esque meltdown that even Megan Kelly hadda call partisan BS on.
>>55214368
Sorry, but it's not.
>>55214447
So you checked? Do I really need to post the screenshots from rcp NJ, CT, VA, WI, OR or MD state poll pages AGAIN? Are you really that fucking lazy?
>>55213178
>you guys are delusional if you think the highest polling candidate will take the nomination instead of this random idiot below 10% in the polls
Why would Trump pick Cruz over Rubio? Wouldn't he need Rubio to win Florida?
>>55211040
>CO
>IA
>red
You're stretching bruh. Republicans winning that many swing states is a longshot desu.
>>55214600
Look at polls this far out from the election, from previous elections.
Rudy Giuliani was a shoe-in for the white house according to Nov 2007 polls.
>>55214549
hey by all means, post away fella
>>55214797
Big difference being that this election people are damn tired of career Politicians and the political elite and will take anyone of the outside over yet another career politician, if the Gop decides not to roll with Trump you can enjoy 8 years of Hillary
1. Hillary is coronated, chooses a random outsider. Trump is nominated after outlasting his opponents and creating havoc, chooses Cruz as VP.
2. Hillary is hammered based on her past baggage and her support for the police state. Trump is hammered by the typical "sexist/racist/corporate" shit.
3. Senate remains narrowly Republican. GOP loses 1 or 2 seats.
4. House remains Republican supermajority. GOP gains 1 or 2 seats.
5. Yes.
Map explanation: Hillary's ability to make inroads in the south is offset by Trumps business support and Hillary's weak performance with unions, swinging some of the midwest states Trumps way. She loses ground in the Northeast but Trump is forced to defend himself in the heavily minority-laden Dixie states. On the power of pro-weed red staters, Colorado and the northwest go red. Trumps apparently high support in New York and California briefly challenges Hillary but the left closes ranks and retains them.
>>55214797
>Rudy Giuliani was a shoe-in for the white house according to Nov 2007 polls.
Republicans would've had a chance if he had won the nomination. McWar was a terrible nominee.
>>55214979
>Florida
>blue
>>55214979
>Hillary winning in the Deep South at the same time as Trump wins Pennsylvania
Not going to happen
>inb4 fuck off britbong
>>55214994
republicans have dealt with the establishment manipulating the outcome on the elections,.. not this year.
Anyone viewed as a politician loses votes.
>>55214979
I've seen some terrible predictions, but this has to be the worst.
The blue states in pic related ain't going any other way in this election. Nothing short of Hillary having a stroke and dying will prevent her from winning the presidency m8.
>>55210746
Colorado, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia will be battleground states. And it'll ultimately boils down to who the candidate is.
Sanders would win CO and possibly VA.
Trump would probably win all four going against Shillary. CO would be a battleground with Sanders.
Hillary would win all four if she went up against anybody but trump.
>>55215294
You have obviously done zero research in political science.
Paradigm shifts happen constantly; we're in one as we speak. The map of which states are "swing" or "blue" or "red" will look nothing like it did in 2008 or 2012; those two results are post- George Dubya era standards, and no stagnation has lasted past four elections in history; even the solidification of the deep south as a Dem stronghold didn't last five full cycles.
>>55214979
The Democrats could nominate Saddam's corpse as their nominee and Minnesota would still be blue.
Clinton won't even get the Democratic nomination.
Trump is going to win in 2016, and I say this being a long time Democrat who voted for Clinton, Gore and Obama.
That's just the way it is. The country swings back and forth between red and blue. There's a real resentment to the socialist policies of Obama, and out of control illegal immigration has greatly damaged this country. And so had outsourcing jobs to foreign nations. We need a Republican to fix things up for a while, whether you like it or not.
Red and Blue are just two halves of the same coin. You realize this once you grow up.
>>55215736
>Not knowing what a paradigm shift is.
It's rather sad being the only person on a thread who bothered to study these things.
>>55215835
I don't believe the Republicans can fix what the Democrats love to do. I believe in Trump, not Republicans. If he has to use the RNC to become President than so be it.
>>55211161
Did you see the thread earlier that proved Hilary has actual Shills on 4chan?
As long as Hillary wins I don't care. She's the most progressive and not a racist like the republicans.
>>55215835
There is no pendulum, it is based on which issues are major or minor, and who runs and what they say and their chosen VPs as well.
This election is different from the last four in the post-Reaganite/Post USSR era. Now that the cold war is back expect huge backlash against social "justice" and immigration. This plays heavily in favor of the right wing.
Expect one segment of the GOP to return increasingly to moral traditionalism and the other to go full Ike mode and forsake social issues in favor of actual small government conservatism, ripping the establishment apart and destroying the Rovites. Meanwhile expect the left to become increasingly marginalized until it finally manages to get past its centrist Clintonianism.
The major issues of this race: Immigration, Foreign militants, Surveillance, and Job creation. We already see the right wing gain the upper hand in three of these, and making inroads into the fourth (surveillance.)
I do not believe "solid blue" means anything in this election. We won't see a second term Nixon clean sweep, but we will see some of the weak blue states go dark red.
>>55215914
Republicans will fix things up for a while, and then Democrats will fuck it up again.
Trump is sort of an anti-republican, and that's good for the party. I honestly believe he's the next Reagan. I'm actually a "Trump Democrat."
>>55212395
>>55212601
>>55212759
>>55214087
>>55214219
>>55214447
>>55214935
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/va/virginia_trump_vs_clinton-5542.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ct/connecticut_trump_vs_clinton-5720.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton-5533.html
>muh narrative
Glad I made it actually. Easy reference for when this shitpost pops up again
>>55215986
Why would we want to put somebody in that is just as bad as the current guy??
>Under President Obama, Democrats have lost 900+ state legislature seats, 12 governors, 69 House seats, 13 Senate seats.
This is the for sure the most likely outcome. Dubs proves it.
>>55216268
Still posting even though your lie got btfo?
Kind of pathetic.
>>55210700
You're embarrassing yourself son. Polls a year out from the election have ZERO predictive power
>>55209517
>rubio getting the nomination
pls, sleepy nigger is way more likely than the cure for California's drought
trump will get the nomination
his VP is practically impossible to predict, but i guarantee they'll be a good choice
trump will have almost zero obstacles, but the biggest is gonna be demographics. that said, if he can keep his hype train rolling at full speed, he'll probably discourage democrats from voting.
republicans will get a bigger majority in the senate and house. mostly because trump will discourage democratic voters
trump will either go the Jackson route and destroy the dems further by seeking reelection, or go the Polk route and let his success in his first term not get mired by a dull second term.
i'm leaning towards the Jackson route.
pic related is what the election will probably look like.
rate my map, bernie v trump
>>55216732
Carson will begin dropping in the polls soon. Different candidates have bumps from the debates, Trumps followers are loyal it seems.
>>55216676
He didn't even read them
The PA average is even and the FL has trump up by 1. It couldn't mean less to justify his snide greentext >>55210352
than a wet fart.
>>55215835
>Clinton won't even get the Democratic nomination.
You're wrong. Hillary is like Jeb: their party's first choice. Only difference is that Clinton still has a fuckton of clout since the Republicans have beat the Benghazi thing to death. Major news medias know they'll get fucked by her if she wins if they shit talk her anymore.
Ultimately, its which candidate "inspires" people to get out and vote like Grand Wizard Obama did with the darkies and soc jus.
Hillary will win by default against anyone not trump.
Freemoni Sanders will win against anyone but trump. Because niggers and young people like free shit
Trump will win by appeal to american values.
Shrillary has no chance of winning the Dhimmicrat nomination, let alone 2016. She is universally hated outside of her tiny bubble in Westchester County and has literally zero accomplishments to speak of.
She had her chance in 2008, and the jewish governmedia overlords choose the Halfrican over her. Shrillary obecame even nastier, grotesque and bitter ever since.
That and Dhimmicrat party itself is practically dead on a local and state level.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/11/04/the-2015-election-tightened-the-republican-stranglehold-on-state-government/?postshare=6891446666802840
Whether you hate the GOP or not is meaningless; for better or for worse, America is heading to a one-party elephant rule. 8 years of "fundamental transformation" under the Kenyan has shown that cultural marxist doctrine will never produce anything of worth, be it in America or elsewhere in the world.
To say that Trump will swipe the entire country would be an understatement.
>>55215726
I'll screen cap this so I can laugh at it on election night.
>>55212759
>Bill immediately gets remarried to an 18 year old.
The big question is if he will groom her to become president when she turns 35
>>55215835
>Clinton won't even get the Democratic nomination.
it would be incredibly hard for her to lose the nomination
she already has 20% of the delegates guaranteed thanks to superdelegates
any competition would have to win about 71% of the primary votes.
Floridafag here, if you think its doing anything but blue youre sadly mistaken
>>55216351
you forgot these.
>>55216929
Trump will easily carry both PA and FL thanks to the excitement his campaign brews; the same will happen on many other so called "swing" states.
In that regard, Trump is definitely like Reagan.
McKek and Romney deliberately lost their respective elections because they put literally zero effort at building hype within the GOP electorate.
>>55217137
see >>55217305
she'll get the nomination, but she wont win the election.
>>55217137
I seen that article earlier. Obama has been very bad for his party, and with them sticking by his side no matter what, it has created major damage.
We should have seen democrats winning the governor election in Kentucky if they were gonna do well this next year, but a tea party conservative won it.
2 senate positions were bombarded with millions of dollars in gun control ads against them by bloomberg and mcaullife, they both retained their seats.
Small events like that can show us what the future holds a bit.
>>55217432
>>55217137
>>55216732
>polls and trends don't matter because my feelings say so
I know you're functionally retarded, but this thread is for actual analysis, so go back to one of the 25 running trumpfag threads
>>55217593
>still posting
>still hasn't conceded btfo >>55216096
>>55217724
What are you talking about? I didn't see anything wrong with what I posted, maybe you should repost.
>>55217137
You're assuming IF the media will Ron Paul the shit out of Sanders...which they're starting to do...and this >>55217305
Everyone's afraid of Shillary. She'll buttfuck anyone who crosses her. Any democrat's career would be set back a decade
>>55217432
>McKek and Romney deliberately lost their respective elections because they put literally zero effort at building hype within the GOP electorate.
McKek really had no chance. Every news outlet and celebrity besides Eastwood, R. Lee Ermy, Segal, and Chuck Norris was pushing Obama.
Romney did everything he possible could to alienate every swing vote. You don't call half your electorate lazy welfare queens and come out ok.
>>55217886
typical conservative. Can't admit when you've been destroyed by the evidence
Thinks if they ignore it, it didn't happen.
>>55212395
>>55216096
>>55217682
>>polls and trends don't matter because my feelings say so
>ignores the fact that trump is winning in the polls
let me explain something to you bud, the polls you've been basing your predictions off of are at least a month old. a lot changes in a month and trump only gets more appealing. trump's great in front of the camera and, unlike shillary, great in a debate.
when the general election comes around, he'll make her look like an idiot to everyone watching just like obama made her look like an idiot in the 08 election and her favorability will plummet.
if you want to understand this election, you have to look at the 1980 election.
>>55218286
Are you still whining about something? I mean I don't see anything wrong, maybe you should repost your findings.
I'm here for you bro, let me know if you need help, you seem a little upset for some reason.
Trump/Coulter (with Cruz lined up for Supreme Court) takes 269 votes against Clinton/Gore.
GOP controlled attempts to make Clinton Prez. Massive backlash against both parties lead to Trump taking office as an independent and overruling all House votes until fresh elections are called.
>>55218310
>muh feelings
You do realize you sound exactly like the 2012 fagboys talking about Romney right? Learning from your mistakes really would make you a better analyst.
>>55218404
>hurr durr shitposting when proven wrong
You can brainwash the sheep with your blogposts if you like, but when Hillary is sworn in you'll be the one blowing your fucking brains out, faggot.
>>55209517
How the fuck did NM and VA turn blue so fast?
>>55218636
>Learning from your mistakes really would make you a better analyst.
you mean like 2014?
:^)
>>55218636
You sound upset, are you in college?
I've given this a lot of thought, here's my prediction.
>>55218788
>How the fuck did NM and VA turn blue so fast?
Dubya. Republicans don't seem to recognize how much damage that dumb fucker did to the brand. Everybody hates you guys now desu senpai.
>>55212249
Texas will go blue in 8 years, no amount of gerrymandering can stop it either, since it will also gain more districts as a result of the hispanic demographic boom there as opposed to the white decline. There will literally not be enough white voters to water down the opposition. The best they could do is form a couple of white majority districts and hope there aren't enough liberals among them, but they'll still be a minority. When that happens, it is game over for Republicans in nationwide elections. Arizona is likely to be next, with Missouri, Arkansas, and Mississippi falling not long after. I expect the tea party to splinter off at some point as the Republicans realize they'll have to pander to rising minority, but the damage may already be done by the tea party.
The only hope is really trying to split the niggers against spics, but that isn't going to happen with Carson or that wacko sheriff from Michigan or wherever. You'll probably have to suck it up and show sympathy for the didndus. Maybe try to play up the Trans bullshit as a wedge, but it isn't looking pretty. Trying to reverse white population decline would require a baby boom twice the size of what we had in the 50's.
tl;dr - Gerrymandering only helped to put off the inevitable, the demograpic bomb was already armed and ticking a decade ago. It's only a matter of time before they go the way of the whigs.
>>55219035
Vermont and NH are extremely liberal states. I doubt any GOP candidate will get more then 1 or 2 new england states. I know your joking but some anons here are acting like retards, thinking that the most liberal state will vote for an anti immigration GOP candidate. Mind you we're the same state that voted in Bernie.
And NH is a lot like vermont, extremely liberal.
>>55210746
The people of Las Vegas stand behind Donald Trump as does the rest of Nevada
>>55218610
No independent has ever won. The system is a two party system, to win a game not even designed for you would be more then hard, borderline impossible. For him to even have a chance at winning as an independent he'd need right now 90% of people planning to vote for him.
It doesn't matter anymore.
>>55210746
>NY
>Blue
GTFO... Trump will turn NY red
>>55219565
>Texas will go blue in 8 years
Texas was a blue state for well over a century, you basement dwelling redditfag. Deep South and Midwest only went full red because Dhimmicrat party alienated away all of it's conservative and moderate electorate. 1980 was the turning point, and none of them are going back to blue just because "muh gerrymandering".
Your entire post is literally meme spewage from the jewish media.
see >>55217137
>>55220418
>Texas was a blue state for well over a century, you basement dwelling redditfag
That isn't relevant. Texas' cities (Austin, San Antonio, Dallas, and Houston) have never been this big or this liberal. It'll take more than 8 years, but eventually they'll be what Philly is to PA, or Columbus to Ohio. If republicans don't reform the party soon we'll be looking at a single party state baka desu senpai.
>>55220418
>Texas was a blue state for well over a century
You dumb snownigger that means literally nothing. Do you realize that during the Civil War the South was Democratic? The Republicans and Democrats are parties, not ideologies. The Southern Strategy was the reason why the South suddenly went from being Dem, to Rep..
>>55217593
Dhimmicrat party has been eroding for 20 years now; what little remains of it now are gibmedats illegal aliens and terrorist.The party is nothing more than a souless vehicle for cultural marxism now.
Kentucky went red mainly because the Kenyan-In-Chief has made it clear he is absolutely hostile to the energy industry. Coal is one of the main aspects of the state's economy, so it's not really surprising that they ditched the blue for good.
Dhimmicrats all shriek uncontrollably about being against "money in politics", even thought they own almost the entire mainstream media. They obviously can't secure popular support, no matter how many illegal welfare colonists they can support, hence why we are seeing a overdrive of demagoguery from the governmedia and universities. It's all damage control now.
I personally wouldn't mind a one-rule GOP party, so as long as the establishment is finally gone (Karl Rove and Reince Priebus, to name a few).
>>55217682
>college sissy boy metrosexual literally did not read the article I linked
Shocker.
>>55218274
Jewish governmedia has been Ron Pauling the shit out of Sanders since the very beginning, with very little to no effect. For as loony as Sanders is, he actually has a personality of his own and isn't a hack when it comes to taking a position on an issue, which is why he is automatically more appealing than Shrillary. Well, for the hipsterfags, anyway.
As for Romney the 47% thing was one of the few smart things he said throughout his sorry excuse of a campaign, but then again, it doesn't matter. He is a gutless, spineless RINO, and last I checked he was being a whiny bitch about most of the current GOP.
>>55222314
We're on the same page. I agree about the coal issue and jobs. I think the dems will lose many states this time after all the crap obama has done.
>>55220910
Hilarious contrarian response, fedorabro. Your 6th one in a row.
Texas has always been overwhelmingly conservative throughout it's history, even back when Dhimmicrat party still had a semblance of identity.
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/426590/houston-bathroom-ordinance-annise-parker-democratic-party
>>55222053
Except I never implied anywhere that Republicans and Democrats were ideologies. Read my post again, numbskull.
>>55209517
Any chance Trump picks Giuliani and turning NY red? How about Michigan /PA going red?
>>55219854
That'd be a tall order, though if anyone could turn NY red, it'd be The Donald.
>>55220418
Why would America's hat know anything about American politics? My friend, when you look at the number of legal hispanic 10-20 yo vs white 10-20 yo in Texas and then look at the legal hispanic 0-9 yo vs white 0-9 yo, we're talking orders of magnitude difference. If they keep bashing illegals, those demographics are gonna feel motivated to vote. Many of the legals know or are related to an illegal, so it isn't surprising that so few have an actual favorable view of republicans while so many have a very unfavorable view. The gains W made with them were evaporated overnight once the tea party latched onto the minutemen and started speaking for the party. Now that one of the front runners is talking deportation, it only made it worse. It may take a little longer than 8 years, but it is going to happen by 2025, unless republicans change their tune or tell the teabaggers to fuck off.
>>55225006
W didn't make any gains with them
>>55223666
Holy shit that would be great. Guiliani literally cleaned up all the nigger filth in NY. They could definitely turn NY red since all they need to do is turn the metro NYC area red.
>>55223698
Should be doable. A lot of people like Trump in NYC. A lot of people work for him too.
>>55225006
Stop sucking up to Latinos. Be real men and stop pandering to minorities you kekold.
>>55223666
It's unlikely that PA will go red. We've got Somalia in the east and Isreal in the west.
>>55223666
PA is solid blue nowadays man
>>55216750
Oregon and Massachusetts are guaranteed blue states til the world ends. Sorry mate.
>>55209517
California fag here, we need to incentive living in other states because fuck 55 votes
>>55212395
we can only hope
>>55222704
>Texas has always been overwhelmingly conservative throughout it's history
I live in Texas, I know what it's like. It doesn't matter what the reputation here is, if the cities keep growing the way they are Texas will turn into a swing state in a little over a decade.
http://www.politico.com/2012-election/results/president/texas/
Look at Bexar, Dallas, El Paso, Travis, and Harris counties. These counties are growing bigger by the day, their votes will decide which way the entire state goes in the general in not long; that's how hardline states become swing states.
>>55218827
More like 2012
:^)
Blacks, Hispanics, and liberal whites only vote in Presidential elections.
This is FiveThirtyEights prediction
>>55223666
>Pennsylvania going red
>Virginia going red
If Virginia went blue for Obama twice, Trump is fucked.
>>55226531
The person who made this needs to an hero for being so fucking stupid. It's almost as inaccurate as a completely random sorting would be.
>>55226531
Link? I find it hard to believe that FiveThirtyEight predicts New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Illinois, Washington, Oregon, Colorado, and New Mexico going red. Not to mention Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, Arizona, North Carolina, and Indiana going blue. Is this b8? This map is retarded.
Hillary wins Democratic nomination and picks Tim Kaine as her VP.
Cruz wins GOP nomination. No clue who he'll pick.
Hillary wins with the same Obama map from 2012.
>>55226706
hey man don't talk shit about Nate Silver, he da man
>walk out of my $8k/month studio apartment
>step over the junkie sleeping in the hallway
>pass open doors of somalians boiling bait fish in ketchup and cabbage
>walk outside, get frisked, cuffed for an hour, then released
>pass roughly eighty negroes selling their mixtape
>walk into my AUTHENTIC NEW YAWK PIZZA PARLOR
>wait in line for three hours behind sweaty european tourists in bermuda shorts
>order AUTHENTIC NEW YAWK SLICE-A-PIE
>dead eyed puerto rican behind the counter says, "7.99, plus saturate fat 35% tax, plus 22% white privledge tax, that's $12.55... plus tip"
>he rattles a tin can full of coins in my face and coughs loudly
>pull out a $20
>he sighs and rolls his eyes really hard and mutters "chinga tu madres..."
>pull out another $20
>he takes it
>stuffs both in his pocket
>get my AUTHENTIC NEW YAWK SLICE
> it's a foot long, and roughly an 8th of an inch deep
>look around to make sure everyone is watching, then fold it in half long ways, smile self satisfactorily
>take a bite of this freshly room temperature pizza
>the SYSCO industrial shredded cheese product balances perfectly with the US FOODS tomato flavored corn syrup puree and made-in-mexico frozen crust shell
>God King DeBlasio rides by in his chariot, wearing his ceremonial Shaka Zulu leopard pelt
>tells me something, but I can't understand with his giant clay lip disk and bone through his nose
>he rolls his eyes and sighs, then rattles a tin can labled "Tips"
>I put a $20 in
>he smiles and throws a flint tipped spear through my chest
>such is life IN DA BIG APPLE
>>55226771
>white male VP
No chance. My guess is Cory Booker.
>>55227016
Booker is a strong selection as well, but I really think Kaine is a strong candidate from Virginia that would balance out her femaleness.
>>55225286
>implying Somalians don't like less government
>implying Israelis don't prefer the goodGOyParty
>>55216750
You forgot that D.C has never gone red
Clinton/Bush
Fuck, /pol/ is delusional.
It's a YEAR from the election. Trump will NOT get the nomination. He's going to fuck up eventually and has already turned off a considerable amount of voters.
Republicans will get a tepid candidate that no one really cares about (pick any of the others, they're all fucking vanilla white bread water).
Clinton has broad appeal and will slaughter whoever she's up against. It's really that simple. And I don't even like Hillary, but that's the way it is.
>>55209517
1.) Clinton/Castro, Rubio/Kasich
2.) Benghazi & Email/Server "scandal"
3.) Democrats
4.) Republicunts
5.) yes she will win in 2016 and 2024
>>55229469
*2020
>>55228633
everybody look at this impotent shill trying to run damage control
join me in laughing at this dumb ass moron
>>55228633
>Clinton
>broad appeal
You've got to be paid.
>>55226531
It's literally POTATO.
>>55226706
Utah and Idaho going Blue is like DC and Mass going Red.
![The Simpsons S05E22 Secrets of a Successful Marriage.mkv_snapshot_02.01_[2015.08.30_22.23.35].jpg](https://i.imgur.com/UFOROcX.jpg "The Simpsons S05E22 Secrets of a Successful Marriage.mkv_snapshot_02.01_[2015.08.30_22.23.35].jpg")
>>55233272
>join me in laughing
>>55210295
Trump/Rubio is the ideal
>>55226968
>>God King DeBlasio
Would have you executed for eating your authentic New Yawk slice with your hands like a barbarian instead of a knife and fork.
>>55225855
I'll be so happy to see Senator Penishead shown the door. He's such a fucking kek,
>>55225855
This.
>>55219627
I know for a fact that rural nevadans do. We're consistently blood red every election. But Vegas, They fuck our shit up every time. Not that it matters... We have all of 6 EVs
>>55212395
>CT going red
Fat chance
Keep in mind we have a year until the election.
Trump wakes up California and America Legal Mexican 100% vote Trump, Trump wins 50% of black vote, but only 40% of the WHITE vote.
HOWEVER, Mexican legal population will save whites and get Trump in to kick the illegals and then exterminate Mexico and Mexican people!
