JUST
>>79221878
what's the problem? Trumps popularity is rising
>>79221950
>From 3% gap to 6% gap
>>79221950
are you retarded?
>>79221878
Trump set the record for most votes ever recieved in a primary in the history of america. Thats the only poll that matters
>>79222010
sorry, I thought it was chronologically ordered from left to right. kinda strange they ordered it this way
>+/-3%
>sample size 1000
Uhh
>>79221878
wtf i hate trump now
>>79221878
>1000 voters
>significant
really makes you think
guess I'm #shillforhill now
other related memes
>>79222244
>>79222288
>hi i dont understand statistics xD
>voting based upon polls
>>79222049
>Trump set the record for most votes ever recieved in a primary in the history of america
Small correction: most votes in a GOP primary.
I am now #takingthebluepillfromDrJill
>>79221878
>3% margin of error on 1000 "registered voters"
>46% democrat 21% cuckservative 37% independent
>>79221878
>muh June polls
Quinnipiac came out with a poll today that had them at 40/42 Hillary, not that either one matters at this point.
Well I guess OPs intent behind posting this poll was to flip my vote. I'm not going to give in that easy.
It's a good thing polls are always right and reliable
>>79221878
Gee I wonder why
>muh judge is biased because hes a mexican and hates muh wall!
>thanks for the congrats after the worse mass shooting in US history
>brexit comes, pound and stocks nose dive
trump: America is next!
Trumps collapse was inevitable.
>>79221878
Guess I'm voting for Hillary. I am #MentallyHill
>>79221878
Good, Shillary will be the final nail in America's coffin. I hope Putin nukes you, but he won't have to, you'll destroy yourselves.
>literally a country of retarded niggers
>>79222368
I voted for Trump in my state election.
I didnt get polled for this.
So whats your point?
>>79222520
I am now a #CruzMissile
oh fuck I hate trump now, guess I'm a #shillmissile now
>1000 voters
just!
>>79221878
wow i love polls now
>>79222228
>reads from left to right
Gaijin trash
>>79221878
But it's still June
>>79222555
shit b8
>>79221878
>1017 registered voters
>+/- 3%
in a country with about 200 million voters...
kek
>>79222603
>hi i still don't understand statistics
>>79222867
FUCK i hate trump now
>>79222672
1000 is a good sample size. The distance from now to election day is the real reason to discard this poll.
>>79222857
>>79222603
>>79222672
>>79222429
>hi what r statistics can u help xD
>>79221878
Are you actually believing polls from Fox anon? Watch something real like CNN or CBN.
>>79222457
This is literally the argument Romney apologists used.
News flash: there are more democrats that republicans.
>>79221878
Wtf I hate Trump now.
>>79222956
Implying shilldog didn't rig those numbers and that you're not directly employed by correct the record
>>79222867
1000 people now equals 20 million people because that's totally a reasonable sample size
Wow, seriously causes you to ponder
>>79221878
I like to think its because Trump supporters are actually out enjoying summer and not sitting around jerking off to some polls.
>>79221878
Yes, pollsters are so accurate. #brexit
Where are these polls usually conducted? In college towns?
>>79222956
What ARE statistics? It's a good question.
>>79222368
If you understood statistics you would know that central limit thereom doesn't really start to approach accuracy until 1550 or so observations, depend of course on the inherit biases of the surveys. Land lines v cellphone, door to door v Internet pol, regions age groups etc
>>79221878
>believing in (((polls)))
>>79223094
>>79223227
>>79223178
>>79223322
>>79223127
>omg why do we poll at all xD
>>79222956
>what r statistics
Voodoo.
>>79223334
It doesn't surprise me a bunch of retarded rednecks don't understand the basics of statistics.
>>79222555
>brexit comes, pound and stocks nose dive
You realize that stocks have already recovered, right?
Wow the market was shocked just like everyone predicted and it lasted a record 3 days. What a fucking nightmare.
I don't understand, fox has all this money, they really can't poll more than 1,017 people?
>>79222977
Romney only lost because a small percentage of whites decided to abstain from the vote.
>>79221878
I am convinced that Trump is a fucking idiot. The "lets make a big wall XD" gave me suspicions, but the Muslim ban confirmed it to me.
Here you have Democrat who presided in one the biggest gaffes in US foreign policy history and who has knowingly broken the law, while at the same time has alienated Dems over cheating in the primaries.
Instead of attracting the already existing Republican and Independent vote, Trump attracted the aspie, hillbilly and /pol/ vote.
All I can say is, I hope the world survives the next 4 years of Hillary and bye bye Republicans, it was good knowing you.
>>79223436
>le all Republicans are rednecks maymay
>lmao Drumpf
This is what it's come to.
>>79221878
Reminder that Trump supporters are probably much more inclined to stay in the closet than are Hillary supporters. Trump is going to win in a landslide.
>>79223616
And you think brainwashed Americunt whites will turn out in droves to vote for Trump? Tip top kek.
Daily reminder that AIDS Skrillex is the average American white male.
>>79221878
Well no shit.
This has been said too many times already:
Trump needs to up his game to win, or Hillary needs a colossal fuck-up.
It's not unwinnable, but it's not looking like Trump is going to win.
>>79223445
You missed my point.
Trump literally made headlines Friday being quoted as saying "America is next" sandwiched between headlines about the global stock market plummeting as everyone is watching tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars vanish from their bank account. And there is Trump's well thought out quote: "America is next!"
Whatever you think about brexit, its was terrible for Trump, when it should have been a boost to him, because of his idiotic response to it.
>>79223818
They already have, in record numbers.
>Brexit will NEVER happen
>>79223334
It's over! I'm mentally ill for Hillary now.
>>79222049
>being surprised that the winner received the most votes in history when the population of the us is the highest in history
>>79223835
Wait until there are debates where Hillary has to wing it.
>>79223683
PAY DEBTS
>>79221878
Why does Fox news put Hillary above Trump?
It might not be their first pick, but surely they don't want a Democrat to win?
>>79223718
>le all Republicans are rednecks maymay
No, but the majority are. Non-redneck whites are convinced the world will be a better place without them, so they're voting for the party that advocates against their own interest.
>>79223683
>flag
Pay denbts fag
>>79224052
They don't "put" her anywhere, just are just reporting their poll.
Notice how they ordered it in reverse to try to trick people into thinking Trump has momentum.
>>79221878
I think Trump is trying to just let things simmer down so everyone forgets about the primaries. Then he can come out and go after the general election crowd without that holding him back. political memory is short.
>>79223756
Sadly, this is true. I have 4 friends who are all voting Trump but end up lying to others saying they're not voting for anyone because they're scared they'll be labeled as "racist" or "sexist".
>>79224009
This isn't as awful as it seems, but it is still not good. I think this is a symptom of states becoming much more partisan The electoral map is what counts. There are probably more democrats in the US than republicans even if there are more conservative leaners than liberal leaners. Most people vote on feeling and the feeling is still that the republicans are the stupid people party. The establishment isn't doing anything to help this by still attacking Trump at every turn. I mean they called their nominee a fucking racist. They handed the dems the win that week. I am ready to burn this fucking party to the ground though. No survivors besides Sessions and Christie
>>79221878
>polled Democrat voters*
>>79223964
>in record numbers
>beating the previous record by around a million votes
>about 0.5% of the GE electorate
Think very long and hard about how irrelevant the white vote of those who aren't self-hating cucks is in the Jewnites States of Americunts.
>>79224305
Wait till the convention, either they rally behind Trump or the GOP dies.
>>79224145
>just reporting their poll.
Right.
As if they don't pull those """"""""polls"""""""" out of their ass.
>>79221878
Why don't you post this poll, shill?
>http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/30/us/politics/hillary-clinton-and-donald-trump-are-deadlocked-poll-shows.html?_r=0
>Hillary 42%
>Trump 40%
>error 4%
>>79224746
Because the poll you're showing is an obvious outlier and every other poll shows Cunton raping Trump.
Not that it should surprise you, Ameriniggers have been voting against their own interest for a solid 30+ years now.
I don't really understand polls. I find it hard to believe that people change from wanting Trump to wanting Hillary. I don't understand how it works
friendly reminder that daily political polls are carefully manipulated clickbait with no basis in reality
>>79223982
>shows a chart that subverts his point multiple times.
Until they debate, Trump isn't going to rise in polls.
Nobody who is undecided is watching Trump or Hillary speak, they are only seeing Hillary's commercials, or TV personalities mock Trump. Trump and Hillary actually being seen going face to face is the the only that is going change the polls in his favor.
And what's bad, is that the debates can easily be stacked massively in her favor. Look at a couple of the GOP debate where they filled the crowd with Rat supporters.
Expect softballs and friendly crowds for hillary
>>79224983
>I find it hard to believe that people change from wanting Trump to wanting Hillary
You're a country of literal imbeciles and niggers, all brainwashed into thinking "MUH RACISM" is the worst thing ever, and every single thing Trump says against someone who isn't white is perceived as racism.
>>79224588
They will do this half asses rally thing they have been doing for the last month where they say they support him one second then shit talk him on all the news programs. I really hope people don't forget that they threw this election which is probably the last shot at getting a republican in the white house
>>79224983
They don't. As a stats major, I can tell you that they can manipulate their results and sample size in a variety of ways to get the results they want. Why do you think the Washington Post polls are always so much worse for Trump?
>>79225252
>Until they debate
There won't be a debate. Shillary will dodge it with something like "I don't want to give racism a nation-wide platform" and the subhumans who make up the majority of your country will applaud her for it.
>>79222857
Its even more crazy. Actually 318 million people in the USA as of 2014.
>>79221878
How much does a shiller make? Do you get paid by posts?
>>79225252
No crowds for presidential debates. However, Trump was truly awful in the primary debates. Not like it matters - Rubio won most of the debates (except for when he got BTFO by Christie) and look how much good that did him
>>79225405
Hillary's actually good at debates. Trump can't handle policy at all
>>79221878
Well, the FoX said it.
>>79221878
I feel like trump is finally listening to hillary. Tanking in on everything and trying to be worse then her. Hillary is by far the most wounded candidate in the history of the U.S. to win the dem nom and trump can't even beat her at anything. Shes under FBI investigating too. Fucking pathetic.
>finally get an anti establishment candidate that has an actual shot at winning
>it's Donald fucking Trump trying to act as retarded as he possibly can
I feel like I just made a wish with a monkey's paw. Goddamn.
>>79221878
Who cares... we haven't even made it to the RNC yet... we still have the first debate, we still have a LONG time to go. Just imagine after the first debate when people hear that Hillary wants to raise their taxes.
>>79224983
As a campaign goes on the public is exposed to the candidate more, and the public learns more about their policies and how they are as a person. That's the idea anyway.
>>79225520
>Hillary's actually good at debates
When she's asked a tough question she replies with "I don't want to reply to that".
And yes, US, a country filled with 70% of subhuman wastes of oxygen, thinks that's a good answer. Which is why she'll win.
Gary Johnson is fucking over Trump. I hope they let him in the debates, just so the dumbass cucks that like him can see what a retard he is.
>>79225081
Yeah, what ARE trends anyways
>>79225520
Trump won all debates including one he didn't show up to according to all polls.
>>79225656
Yeah that sure helped mitt romney talking about lowering taxes. Trump is finished. A rapefugee has better favorable ratings then hillary at this point and trump can't even compete.
>>79223445
>Market has recovered
Natrually after a drop, but the Pound is nowhere near where it was at. It still a loss.
>>79222977
The gap is only like 6%, but the polls keep using a 12% gap and under sample the independents.
>>79222555
>muh judge is biased because hes a mexican and hates muh wall!
Shittiest bait ever
>>79225520
>Hillary's actually good at debates
No, she is terrible at debates and that is with questions she knows ahead of time.
Anyways here is your $.05 hill shill
>>79223903
Is this modified copypasta?
>>79225252
Donald trump attempting a debate will be the nail in his coffin. He doesn't say anything besides "Hillary sucks lol"
>>79225405
I don't think the debates the are exactly optional. Refusing would probably be worse than just a poor showing
>>79225520
I hope that just seeing and hearing Hillary is enough to turn undecided voters and more bernouts, against her.
Not having an enthusiastic crowd will hurt Trump though
>>79226121
Wait until the debates actually happen you stupid fucking berncuck
>>79226121
Trump was a plant the whole time. Someone worse then hillary magically appeared and had to win the republican party. It's like a free cake walk to the white house at this point for her.
>>79222603
I guess no poll is accurate unless everyone in America gets asked
>>>79226365
lol
>>79225876
Shows you how objective trump voters are
Fuckin retards
>>79221878
Believe what Fox news says.
Hillary has already spent over $50 million on ads attacking Trump and another $20 million on ads to improve her image. Hillary has the ultra-far-left news media helping her campaign by attacking Trump for well over two months now. Hillary has a paid campaign team of over 900 people in every state working to improve Hillary's image.
Hillary's polling numbers have remained flat for over two months now in spite of over 900 campaign employees working to improve her image. Trump has spent no money on ads attacking Hillary nor any money on ads to improve his numbers. He has been under full assault by the far-left U.S. news media for over two months.He has a paid campaign staff of less than 60 people and he is only now beginning to assemble a team for the general election. In spite of all that, his numbers have barely dropped.
Taking all of that into consideration, you should expect that Hillary's numbers would be unapproachable by now. The fact that Trump is essentially within the margin of error in spite of the previous six weeks is a severe cause for alarm for the Democrats. Trump and the Republicans haven't even started attacking her yet. Get back to me in September and let me know how good you feel about Hillary's chances then.
>>79222857
Congrats you just outed yourself as never having taken intro to stats
>>79226121
He went against literal clowns in the primary. And he's suppose to go against a woman who successfully dodged questions and got through a very long court interview about a felony. Whatever "epic bantz" Trump has, she will swat it off.
How about that Quinpiac poll? Hmmmm??
mmmmmMMM???
>>79226468
All I'm saying is that any other fucking republican would be destroying her in favorablity at this point. She's so fucking flawed and every time some shit hits the fan with her on the news trump would say something incredibly stupid.
>>79226991
>All I'm saying is that any other fucking republican would be destroying her in favorablity at this point
Lmao.
Bush: spineless beta cuck whose brother was President during the worst terrorist attack in humanity's collective history.
Cruz: "Make America the 18th Century Again!"
Rubio: Literally who?
Kasich: Male Hillary except somehow even more unlikable.
>>79226455
Still won't be accurate, because many people are afraid to openly support Trump
>>79223528
>what is the central limit theorem
C'mon anon, you're not telling me you've never taken an intro to stats course?
Unless.....
You're not even old enough to go to college?
>>79227335
>openly
It's an anonymous poll.
>>79221878
After his debate with Shillary things will be good senpai
>>79227219
These politicians aren't like me and I will make America great again! If I wasn't here, just imagine who you would have to vote for. Sad!
>>79223756
Literally the EXACT same thing people said about both Romney and McCain
>>79226587
It is irrelevant whether she will "swat it off" or not. General elections are a battle for the independents and the undecideds. 60% of are going to vote party no matter what — 30% for Dems and 30% for GOP. It's those other 40% they fight for in the General. Once Trump starts to spell out all the Hillary lies and failures, and how the U.S. economy has never been worse than it has become under eight years of Obama (no U.S. president in history has ever had more than two years of under 3% GDP growth. Obama has had seven years of under 2% growth. The number of Americans who are of working age and not disabled who are not in the workforce is the highest its ever been in U.S. history), Hillary's poll numbers will suffer mightily because she has no "likeability" factor to offset the negative factors. Trumps numbers will skyrocket because of his likeability factor ESPECIALLY when the two are side by side and we see how genuinely charming Trump is and how robotic and full of hate Hillary is.
>>79221878
Latest Quinnipiac poll was 42/40, MoE +/- 2, so fuck off
>>79222222
i summon
>>79227467
Shhhhh, we don't talk about the past here when it goes counter to our logic.
>>79227353
>talking about the central limit theorem
>implying even those who took an intro course knows what it is
mate i have taught a group of master students in a scientific program who don't know what the fuck frequency distribution or standard deviation means. Heck, i have been getting questions about the difference between groups and variables. The stupidity of the majority of college students is beyond your wildest imaginations.
>>79222368
All the Statistics said Trump wouldn't be the nominee.
They also said the UK wouldn't leave the EU
Good thing the statistics have our back.
Ok "Trump supporters", explain to me how Trump isn't racist..
https://www.reddit.com/r/EnoughTrumpSpam/comments/4q3mhl/rthe_donald_asks_for_examples_of_trump_being/d4qc571?st=iq1jya8d&sh=65977823
>>79221878
There is no way Trump's support has actually declined.
>>79227219
Yeah and trump tops all of that shit times a million. Stop dickriding trump for one second and think how wounded hillary is and how he can't even overcome what should of been a easy hurdle. It should be the other way around but your boy is so fucking insufferable he's losing to by far the worst corrupted politician in history.
>>79227665
>They also said the UK wouldn't leave the EU
The polls were close as fuck, just like the actual referendum turned out.
>>79222603
Jesus Christ you are retarded.
>>79222368
>we don't allocate votes by state
Shiggy diggy
>>79227467
>Romney and McCain
Romney and McCain were both neo-cons (Trotskyists, big government+big taxation candidates). Both men were the GOP establishment's hand-picked choice running at a time when the GOP voters were voting for anti-establishment Tea Party candidates in historic numbers. The GOP voting base wanted nothing to do with Romney or McCain. That is why they didn't win. Trump, on the other hand, is every last bit an anti-establishment candidate and he will most assuredly get the kind of support from the GOP voter base that delivered historic GOP victories in the 2012 and 2014 midterm elections. Trump is going to win in a landslide.
>>79223964
Brexit had favourable polls you daft cunt
>>79222368
You don't. These polls are rigged, they are trying to use them to shape public opinion.
>>79227795
Sure, but time and time again they don't predict things correctly.
To be honest, I don't quite understand the point of them.
It seems like a way to tell people that X is going to win/loose in order to try to sway there vote to the winning side. We don't gain anything by seeing them, besides uncertainty that is.
>>79221878
DARKNESS IMPRISONING ME
ALL THAT I SEE
ABSOLUTE HORROR
I CANNOT LIVE
I CANNOT DIE
TRAPPED IN MYSELF
BODY MY HOLDING CELL
How are polls rigged? Do they just go to liberal neighborhoods or smth?
>>79221878
America will get the president it deserves.
>>79221878
How are her numbers not improving? It looks like Hillary has hit her ceiling while republicans are simply waiting for an alternative that won't happen.
This is the best she can do with
>An army of shills
>unlimited funds
>full support of the media who suppress bad news about her
She is using the same conventional playbook as Jeb. Trump is basically tied at this point.
>>79228153
>New poll 40(D) vs 42(R)
We can work with that.
>>79228017
>the Fox News Polls are rigged against the GOP candidate
Thanks for playing.
>>79225075
All the polls pre-brexit showed remain winning by a landslide. Leave won.
>>79228182
Only women and old people answer their land lines anymore. Polls are meaningless in the internet age.
>>79221878
Fuck polls.
Be unapologetic.
Where are all these sold out rallies coming from? How did Trump get record primary turnout if nobody likes him?
>People still believe polls after Brexit
>>79228153
That ABC poll is rigged, so it should be discounted. They had more dems that GOP in the sample.
>>79222782
>republicans going from right to left
>>79228795
This, all the way.
>>79223264
Lol wrong. Sample size only affects MOE and confidence interval.
You stupid nigger.
>>79221878
Just wait until they get on T.V. together; he'll rape her six ways
>>79221878
1017? some poll
next...
>>79228865
>4D RAPING
Every day I wonder how people are able to want Hillary. The only explanation i can think of is that it is a pathetic desperate attempt to maintain the status quo. They could have evidence that she murdered someone in cold blood and they wouldn't care, just as long as "normalcy' continues
>>79228520
All the polls I saw the week before the referendum said it was neck and neck.
>>79228653
Face it. Trump is a meme candidate. People who showed up to those rallies probably only did because he's on the news and hes famous. Most likely they would forget to vote for him come november.
>>79228949
I don't like Hillary either, but if my choice is between a criminal and a retard, I'm going with the criminal.
>>79228795
Brexit is a fine example that polls works.
>>79228949
Or the whole "at least my team won" kind of deal
>>79225075
/thread
well done sir
>>79228795
this this this
>>79228481
>The GOPe likes Trump
Pretty much Hannity and Dobbs are the only anchors 100% in the Trump camp, Kelly is an anti-trumpite harpy and old farts like orly and Hume are still on the fence
I think murdoch himself is on the fence desu
>>79229118
So you would rather someone who has knowingly and purposefully committed crimes against America over someone who actually cares?
Thing is even if Trump isn't great, an outsider in the Office is about the best thing we can hope for.
>>79229066
Nobody is stupid enough to believe this.
I hope.
>>79229373
>someone who actually cares?
Yet to be proven, and even if he did, the motherfucker has demonstrated time and again he has no real plan or realistic idea to accomplish anything. So yes, Hilldog looks far more appealing in the driver's seat than the special needs child.
Not that it matters, I'm voting third party even though I don't like Johnson that much either.
>>79229373
>we
fuck off leaf.btw Trump is great
>>79228153
Notice how the different polls have very different results.
>>79229766
your president effects a lot more than your own country fuckwit
le /pol/ maymays clearly get a bit too deep in your head
>>79229721
I wouldn't consider bad intentions to be better then good. But it's your country.
>>79229766
Do you think what you guys get up to doesn't affect us? And I'm Pro trump as well. I think he has problems, but he's way better then Hillary.
>>79229923
>I wouldn't consider bad intentions to be better then good.
Retards don't usually intend to hurt themselves but it happens anyway.
>>79222953
Quinnipac has a larger sample size with a more balanced Sample composition and it has trump within he margin of error.
>>79227653
What kind of intro course doesn't cover the CLT? What else would you learn in an intro to stats class?
>>79225075
ayyy lmao
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/742373042140123137
>>79230003
But that's still better then trying to cut your fucking leg off you retard.
Do we want someone who wants to shoot our country in the foot? Or do we want someone who is gonna make a mistake like every president before him?
>>79221878
We finally get a nationalist and Americans would prefer a globalist war criminal.
I'd say America is officially HIV+ (Canada will probably follow our path). It's up to Yurop and Australia to save the white race.
>>79228949
Demoshits are now literal cultist-tier fanatics, even though more of them hate hitlery than Republicans who hate Trump, they will close ranks because she has a (D) next to her name.
That said, I believe that demoshit turnout will be much lower than in '08/'12, especially among blacks (no more "we prezdint nao" effect) and young voters (most young lefties were bernouts after all).
Shillary is losing white men by 25 points, white women by 10 points, and independents by 10 points in every poll. That's not a recipe for success, especially because she has the most to lose between now and November (FBI investigation, guaranteed poor debate performance) whereas Trump has weathered the absolute worst that the left wing media establishment can throw at him.
Why do you think the shills' only argument for the past several weeks has been inevitability — "look at these small-sample polls which heavily over represent Democrats and underrepresent independents, taken before the conventions, Trump can't possibly win"
Nothing that they've thrown at Trump has stuck, so they go for demoralization by inevitability, the problem is that portraying Shillary as inevitable actually accentuates one of her weaknesses, the perception that she feels entitled to the presidency.
The most likely effect of poll-shilling will be to piss off those that already support trump, inspiring them to work harder, while lulling those who support Shillary (especially the lukewarm and former sandernistas) into a false sense of security.
This fact, in turn, I think betrays their desperation
>>79230206
>Do we want someone who wants to shoot our country in the foot?
No, which is why I'm opposed to Trump.
>>79230350
you dumb ass.
If you really think someone competent with ill intent is somehow better then a fool with good intent then you better be ready for the worst.
>>79221878
kek, people still pay attention to polls??? come on its [current year]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MNn8f2I3qQE
>>79230350
>corporations don't make jobs
>commits treason
>drove vince foster to suicide
yeah #imwithher
Well shit I'm #HillaryArtillery now
Does anyone SERIOUSLY think Hilldog has a chance or are they just trolling?
It would take a tremendous cockup on Trump's part and with each speech he's looking more and more composed and confident. She is going to get torn apart in the debates also
>>79230524
If you really think someone as inept as Trump, with no political savvy or decorum whatsoever, is a good match for the leader of the free world, then you should be ready for the worst.
Hilary is a shady politician, but she's not going to be starting any FEMA deathcamps here. It's likely to be the same shit as the Obama years, which while bad, would not hold a candle to whatever the king of retards has in store.
Also, if you think Trump has good intentions, yikes ...
>>79230701
see >>79229721
I'm don't like Hilary either.
>>79227899
no replies to this
>>79230872
>Also, if you think Trump has good intentions, yikes ...
Elaborate.
>>79230872
Well enjoy all the Muslims then.
>>79222782
underrated
>>79230872
Also, Presidents do not operate alone.
They have many, many advisers. People seem to forget this.
>>79230052
they cover it but they don't explain it properly. all they get is "hurr durr, just have a sample with n>=30 and you're good" without understanding the underlying principles.
>>79230737
Yes, but no, but yes.
It's politics. In the thick of you really have to express unwavering support and belief in your candidate. Out of the public view, or when it's far too late to matter, you can discuss things seriously, but in public you can't waver.
Probably less than 40% of the population are seriously enough engaged in politics to make an informed decision. Those people won't change their minds anyway.
Elections are won or lost by who can convince the ill-informed, know-nothings, and moderate scum that their side is right and will win. A non-trivial percentage of swing voters make their decision based on who they think will win.
If you know which way the wind blows, you know to keep up the facade of absolute support because publicly vacillating will cost your side votes.
>>79222619
I am now #HillaryArtillery
>>79221878
Eh I'd be worried but I remember thinking less then a week ago that leave would definitely lose.
>>79227926
hahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
>a landslide
AHAHAHAHAHAHA
It's still June and battleground state polls only matter.
>>79231983
>Hillary is leading in every battleground state
ok
>>79230872
Just how many dicks have you sucked?
>>79221878
MOST POLLS ARE CONTINUALLY BEING RIGGED BY LEFTIST MEDIA/ELITES.
THEY ARE CONTINUALLY "OVERSAMPLING" DEMSOCRAPS AND PLAYING OTHER DIRTY TRICKS TO KEEP THE POLLS RIGGED IN FAVOR OF SHILLARY.
NEW HONEST QUINNIPIAC POLL TODAY HAS TRUMP AND SHILLARY IN A DEAD HEAT, NECK-AND-NECK:
http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/politics/quinnipiac-poll-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/
Looking at who would best handle important issues, American voters say:
52 - 40 percent that Trump would be better creating jobs;
50 - 45 percent that Clinton would be better handling immigration;
52 - 39 percent that Trump would be more effective handling ISIS;
51 - 42 percent that Clinton would better respond to an international crisis;
46 percent would trust Clinton more on sending U.S. troops overseas, while 44 percent would trust Trump more;
54 - 35 percent would trust Clinton more to make the right decisions regarding nuclear weapons;
46 - 43 percent that Clinton would do a better job getting things done in Washington.
>>79221878
This is a psyop. Don't fall for it and don't get discouraged. When people say they're voting for trump, they know it's gone too far to turn back now.
>>79223982
LMFAO dude you literally posted a chart that shows the votes don't increase proportionally to the population increase
>>79222590
Were coming to Serbia as political refugees
>>79221878
Hillaey goes up 2%
Trump goes down 7%
They have clearly stopped polling areas that have Trump supporters.
>>79233322
>THEY ARE CONTINUALLY "OVERSAMPLING" DEMSOCRAPS
holy shit, didn't you fucking retards learn your lesson from 2012? same fucking script from 4 years ago. the trumpfag assblasting will be beautiful.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nBQvXZSnua4
Why do they even bother posting the polling data if its rigged?
>>79223835
She hasn't even clinched the official nomination yet.
>>79234215
Either this election year is like 1988 or like 2000.
Considering Obama's relative popularity, it's probably 1988 all over again. The first female president will be a one-term boreout.
>>79223227
best post in the bread
>>79221878
Here's something that I'm surprised I've not seen here today.
http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2363
>>79234766
Really, does anyone care about this poll? Shameless bump.
http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2363
>>79234766
>>79235144
kek wills you to read this poll.
>>79234766
>>79235144
>>79235211
Attention grabbing image!
http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2363
>>79230872
If you really think someone as inept as Ronald Reagan, with no political savvy or decorum whatsoever, is a good match for the leader of the free world, then you should be ready for the worst.
Jimmy Carter is a shady politician, but he's not going to be starting any FEMA deathcamps here. It's likely to be the same shit as before, which while bad, would not hold a candle to whatever the king of retards has in store.
Also, if you think Reagan has good intentions, yikes ...
>>79223227
So... This means that T-trump will win, right?
DAILY REMINDER that Trump is controlled oposition...
ALEX JONES is controlled opposition..he supports trump..
I remember alex jones asking him "you aren't controlled opposition arent you?"
and donald trump kinda dodge the question..kinda suspicious..
we cannot trust politicians..NOT A SINGLE ONE...but whatever..trump is the only one you can vote the other ones are even more proofed frauds..
>>79234473
>The first female president will be a one-term boreout.
this is very likely BUT it depends if the GOP gets it shit together and nominates a tolerable candidate. If they nominate Cruz because "trump wasn't a real conservative" or some shit like that then hello 8 years of clinton.
>>79223982
i wanted to appologize anon, i went and did the math after replying to you with LMAO like a faggot.
according to your chart, if accurate, around the 1950's only ~2% of the population voted republican, while in 2016 ~4% of the population voted republican.
so basically after an ~100% increase in population, the % of republican votes increased by ~100%
so fuck this guy >>79225081
>>79231013
because he's right
>>79221878
>A poll from 1,017 registered voters
kill yourself OP
These polls mean nothing. On the final month, we are going in 100% for Trump. You can't stop us Shillary.
>>79221878
Lads the train has barely left the station, the debates are going to be a complete spectacle, the conventions are going to be disastrous spectacles, polling now will now save you shills.
>>79226008
Thats literally how it came off.
>>79223756
Literally the EXACT same thing people said about both Romney and McCain
>>79222590
>his cultural heartland is 95% muslim
Yes, 1000 people were polled. What they don't tell you is they polled twice as many Dems vs Reps. Based on this, Trump may actually have as many Dems supporting him as many Reps are, and Hillary may possibly get landslided in November.
ITT: Denial.
>>79224983
All those people that responded to you are shills. Trust none of them friend, including me.
>>79227480
and /Thread
>>79228481
You don't watch fox much do you?
>>79224983
They aren't.
Note that Hillary's numbers haven't been rising. It's just that Trump is losing voters by acting like a retard.
It's "Would not vote that's increasing in number."
>>79235496
But Carter was based and 100x more conservative than Cuckold Reagan
>>79221950
you don't deserve to live
>>79227467
>>79236321
Literally the EXACT same thing posted by different shills.
Correct the Record has deposited .02 in your accounts.
>>79229721
>Yet to be proven
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OCabT_O0YSM
These interviews since 1980 show he at least cares about our country.
> the motherfucker has demonstrated time and again he has no real plan or realistic idea to accomplish anything.
This shows us you haven't listen to any of his speeches, maybe you should start off by giving all of those a listen before opening your dumb mouth.
>>79223683
This Greek gets it.
>>79237676
specifically, he has been losing Republicans.
it's amazing.
>>79234097
good analysis dude
This fucking thread is full of shills.
>>79227686
lol shut up nigger
>>79238531
well that's a relief, they'll be back by november.
<<<THIS
>>79224983
>I don't really understand polls. I find it hard to believe that people change from wanting Trump to wanting Hillary. I don't understand how it works
What do you find hard about that?
Most people have jobs, watch dumb television shows, go out with friends, pick up a little about what's happening in the world from links found on facebook friends, hit the bars and have sex, or otherwise completely fill up their hours studiously avoiding having to think to hard about politics, because they've been told over and over you shouldn't talk about it.
This was the first political correctness.
>>79240045
The problem I think has more to do with under sampling independents. I understand why they poll by party ID based on past elections. Dems have more registered voters. Also, the polls that so a huge lead for Clinton don't factor in libertarian or green party candidates
>>79228153
Notice how Trump's support doesn't move at all, it's only the lead and Hillary's vote that moves
The guy is electoral poison
>>79238531
Newsflash: not all Republicans leaning voters have the natural inclination to support a guy who acts like a retard simply for the fact that he has an R next to his name.
It's a point I'd made a hundred times over in the primary, that general electorate voters aren't the same animal as primary goers.
>>79221950
> delusion: the post
>>79222603
> I didnt get polled for this
Your average American inbred everyone.
>>79222278
are you a #cruzmissile now
This whole thread is literally
> th-the poll is rigged if it doesnt show what I like!
>>79240627
Independents aren't going to want to participate in a choice between a shit sandwitch and a giant douche.
>>79221878
Just what?
What loser makes their decision on polls that move any way the wind blows?
Polls are for the "see, I told you" crowd.
And they're usuallly wrong about everything
>>79241750
Just as the whole primary process was rigged because they said so, even though Trump received more delegates than he deserved as a percentage of votes received due to a built-in front-runner bonus.
And they'll be scratching their heads come November too.
>>79241916
stupid post
