Why didn't anyone do a breakdown on this shit? Let's do it right now.
This graph is completely baloney, let's see why:
1. The drop doesn't match the rise. In the part marked with 2 there is an action and a reaction, in part marked with 1 there is no rise on shillary's poll numbers, so it is fabricated.
2.Did a google search for this graph and it doesn't exist. It is fabricated. RCP did not do any graphs that show this happening.
3. This is made and paid by shillary and her supporters, shown in a recent thread on pol.
This means that Donald Trump is NOT LOSING.
Heartaches by the number, troubles by the storm. Everyday you love me less, each day i love you more /pol/
Cause i'm a lurker, oh a lurker. I lurk around around around around.
And so i lurk from board to board. I drop a redpill without a care. And i'm as happy as the Fuhrer, and with my two fists of truth i'm destroying shillary.
But seriously guys, hillary's gonna win... a trip to the jailhouse.
>>77638930
Yeah I can't tel what's a real shill and what's just shitposting
Very frustrating how many summer gags and leafs get their jollies off on pretending to be shillbots
>>77639476
>>77639399
>>77639265
>>77639141
>>77639067
>>77638963
>>77639946
We'll get our revenge in the fall, when the masses are gone and we can prey on them one at a time.
>>77640142
4chan.
>>77640142
Not New Hampshire, thats for sure.
>>77638930
It means that the third party anarchist party is polling higher.
>>77640292
there is no 3rd party.
i know you're joking
>>77640292
>anarchist
Gary Johnson =/= Ron Paul
Gary isn't an anarchist
Fuck you Romania. You gypsies grade tests/essays so strictly.
Yeah if you look at the questions they preface the polls with you can see how they are biased towards Clinton. And they also lean the polls towards Clinton within the MOE
>>77638930
>it doesn't exist
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
>>77640404
but we're only 4
it's almost like they're not switching to hillary, but rather switching to not voting at all
>>77640142
Romania
>>77640292
He isn't an anarchist, he just panders to gays and abortionists
>>77640545
AND WE GOT THE SHILLARY!
DING DING DING DING
>>77640507
Lol butthurt because you got rekt by a 2nd world country
>>77638930
>>77638963
>>77639067
>>77639141
>>77639265
>>77639399
>>77639476
>>77640157
>>77640190
>>77640449
>>77640557
2 cents has been deposited into your account
>>77640615
that's not bad for hillary though
>>77640615
but there would be a decrease in hillary's votes too.
It doesnt even matter because Trumps approval is still increasing while Hillarys decreases
People have too many knee jerk reactions
>>77638930
>1. The drop doesn't match the rise.
Because voters switched from supporting trump to being undecided.
>>77640746
That is REALLY bad for hillary mate, because turn out for republicans has been huge this year
>>77638930
If you try adding up the two %'s on any poll it doesn't add up to 100% you retard. It goes into undecided and a bit of it went to Johnson
>>77638930
There are many ways to rig GE polls. The two most popular are to oversample democucks and/or to make a bunch of biased statements to frame the question.
The trouble is, TRUMP has come out against starting WW3 over some shithole desert that only Jews care about. So the pollsters have no choice but to rig the polls against him. He is simply too dangerous to be allowed to win.
>>77638930
Literally add the numbers together dumbshit.
38+44 is not 100. 18% of people don't like either Trump or Hilary, which really isn't surprising since the socialist got btfo and libertarians are perpetually btfo
Good article from Pew that helps understand the early polls
http://www.pewresearch.org/methodology/u-s-survey-research/election-polling/
>>77640808
no it wouldn't.
44% of americans plan to vote for hillary, 42% for trump
trump says something stupid
44% of americans plan to vote for hillary, now 36% for trump, 2% have switched to undecided or not voting
>>77638930
It's not fake. Gary Johnson is polling close to 10%. That's why. There are more than two options on the polls.
>>77641547
>1 post by this ID
>>77641608
>Lying
It's not zero sum. Trump lost support to Undecided/Libertarian (likely temporarily) thus there is very high no response bias in current polling.
>>77641547
Wow, thank god someone checked the ID!
>>77640885
That's great, trump will surpass hillary.....after the election
test
>>77642199
I think Trump's drop might have something to do with cucks flirting with voting for the lolbertarian party. Thats why Shillary isn't rising in the polls, she's just stagnating.
I thought /pol/ was more sophisticated politically than this. Of course its shills that are pushing this. This is a crucial time for Trump to garner establishment support and to raise money. The polls are meant to drive a wedge between Trump and scared establishment cucks and donors.
I do not believe for a minute that the country is even a little bit enthusiastic about voting for Hillary
>>77643253
what the FUCK is Apober
>>77641291
>>77641418
>>77641108
I'm going to add to my original statement the following:
4. The polls are done on a very limited group, under 1 million people, and can and will be very biased.
5. The polls are asking about the primary election, not the final. So a lot of people don't want to say anything until the finals.
>>77643961
probably another language than english.
>>77643961
Apriltober, the new month between June and July.
>>77643575
Orlando brought a whole new wave of anti-Trump shills. This place has been even shittier than usual in the last few days.
>>77643253
Kek, pls let his happen
>>77640885
i love when noobs try to analyze graphs and fail. to think that is a given is dumb
-finacial analyst
>>77638930
www.primarymodel.com
trump will win
chill faggots
>>77640885
what the fuck are you doing?
>>77644934
He's a TA fag
>>77644934
as far as approval rating goes, that is trumps worst case scenario
hillary is only losing support while trump only gains support
trump just needs 44% approval and he will win handily
>>77638930
Keep telling yourself that
>>77644697
Please elaborate and prove everyone wrong then.
>>77640885
LMAO
confirmed for dumbass
learn to regression
>>77645414
he can't
Otherwise everyone would be a financial analyst here.
OP how can you say it doesn't exist? It clearly does.
Several of the recent polls have been including 3rd party candidates. Gary Johnson in particular has surged to 12% support (unprecedented for a 3rd party candidate). This is why Hillary's support didn't rise commensurately, Trump's numbers are going to Johnson
>>77645414
You are literally linearly extrapolating off of two data points. Do you honestly think that holds any merit whatsoever?
>>77645414
Lol 58% unfavorable
>Trump gonna win doe
I should let you know that I'm saving all of these posts so after Trump loses on election day I can make a thread where I post them and watch all of you kids rage.
>>77638930
Based gypsy
>>77645727
You sound so smart.
>>77640885
11/10 made me legitimately upset
>>77645414
>2% of the population
Who the fuck cares. The only reason the LGBT vote has any significance is normal people who want to signal their tolerance, and thus vote on gay issues because they're cuck faggot pieces of shit
>>77640885
fight me in real life
>>77640885
>Endpoint fallacy
This is used a lot by people who want to prove some fraudulent trend.
Not every single trend can be approximated linearly, try that with the stock market see how it works out for you
>>77646215
>, try that with the stock market see how it works out for you
This is how I know you are stupid, because this DOES work with the stock market, every stock that is still being traded today is higher than its starting point
>>77640885
t. Nate Bronze, Republican cousin of Nate Silver
Does anyone have all those polls that showed Bernie Sanders with %1 of chance in winning the states he won comfortably?
>>77647274
nice, got any data that is actually relevant to the modern day?
>>77638930
>2016
>being this autistic
The fucking graph doesn't show the third party spoilers, which are currently spoiling Trumps polls.
>>77645414
the markets and political polls don't work the same way, you could have used a trend channel like you did when it comes to the markets because they work by supply and demand, political polls show popularity. sure the growth can be exponential(although still not given the growth will continue to happen), but there are far more unpredictable factors in the political landscape than in the markets.
>>77647274
>the underdog won everytime
looking good for daddy donald
>drumpfkins think this election will be different than the previous one
>>77648241
Give me a proper polling graph from beginning to end and I will draw you two neat straight lines in there if you want. I just picked these because they were the first elections that popped into my head and there happened to me nice and similar graphs for them.
Are you suggesting that taking to points on a curve and linearly extrapolating has become accurate only somewhere around the year 2000?
>>77649282
Let's hope so. Go Trump!
>>77638930
Bump
Hey Drumpfags
look familiar?
>>77640885
LOL WHAT A FUCKING RETARD HAHAHAHAA
>>77650086
Leaf plz
>>77649027
You mentioned you were a financial analyst. Do you use a lot of excel/tableau/powerBI/python/SQL in your work? I graduated recently, and am constantly everyday applying myself, creating visualizations (and submitting into online portfolio) and teaching myself financial modeling and statistics. What are 1 or 2 main criteria that have you succeed at your work? Sorry for sperging out in this thread, but I don't find a lot of BA/FA types on /pol/ kek
>>77638930
Or those people just think both of them are shit candidates...
Let's say Trump came out and admitted he was just a plot by Hillary to win. Would all of you suddenly jump onto Hillary's bandwagon, or just not vote?
>>77648932
You exposed your fallacy yourself
>>77638930
You're a retard.
>1. The drop doesn't match the rise. In the part marked with 2 there is an action and a reaction, in part marked with 1 there is no rise on shillary's poll numbers, so it is fabricated.
If you look again, the numbers don't add up to 100 in the first place. The rest of the people are undecided.
>2.Did a google search for this graph and it doesn't exist. It is fabricated. RCP did not do any graphs that show this happening.
It's an average of multiple polls.
>>77638930
>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
There are options for not voting and sometimes another candidate in the polls and is just the average.
>>77640885
how do you people survive in the real world without even having taken a high school stats class
>>77650086
not as bad as this leafpost
>>77650547
not an argument.
not original.
shill.
>>77640545
Even with the shit Bloomberg poll of only 750 people, she's only up 5.8% on the average.
Not insurmountable odds.
>>77640885
Does Trump have enough time to use his curve advantage? I hope so...
its pretty easy to see what happened
Hardcore evangelicals getting mad at trump over his stance on gays
Even though he's had that stance on gays for decades
There a bit butthurt
>>77650212
what generic answer do you want for your generic question?
to be honest I'm a trader, short/mid-span
My main criteria (and basically everyone I've ever known in this racket) is yourself and how you cope with numbers and data flying around you all the time, kinda throwing your feelings away and becoming a robot, especially when you code. being quick, long days is insanely hard if you wanna chase the dough. spiritually and coping with all the stress.
>>77638930
Bump
>>77641547
Hes bumping his own thread so the shills can't keep it down
Here you go OP
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
>>77638930
Welly stated proving again why the shills are just wasp
>>77650319
44.1+38.3=82.4
Whats the big idea here, where is the rest of my poll?
>>77654829
that picture is fucking embarassing please tell me its shopped
>>77655351
That's your average Trump supporter on /pol/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SzttSKJotcU
>>77649888
>Not running against a candidate under FBI investigation in the current year
>>77638930
WHEN WILL PLEBBIT FAGGOTS LEARN THAT YOU CAN'T SELF BUMP
>>77638930
This is just sad, it's turning into reddit with Bernie.
>>77657874
learn more.
Well done OP, well done OP...
HOWEVER
>>77658052
>posting 6 replies when nobody else has replied to you so far
Do you really think this is how bumping works?
