>Trump will increase turnout for whites and minorities
>As a result, he will lose Georgia, Florida and Arizona because of a high amount of minorities
>He will win white, blue collar states but it won't be enough
He hasn't even started on her yet.
Will win AZ.
It's the reddest of most red
He's gonna VP that New Mexican Governor lady
>Trump won't win the nomination!
>Trump is just a flash in the pan joke!
How'd that work out for you negative nancies?
>>73400914
Well it's too bad the republican electorate isn't the same as the general election electorate.
General election = more women and minorities, people Trump does abysmal with.
>>73400709
>a fucking leaf
could an american why nobody stops the the winner takes it all system in california?
It seems kind of unfair, their influence seems way too big compared to the rest.
>Georgia will go democrat
>Florida will go democrat
Niggers don't vote
>>73401151
Idk man states rights and all that
>>73401075
I doubt they will even go to the polls if the gibs me dat candidate is muscled out by the establishment and the sea hag is pushed through.
>Trump takes most of the rustbelt battleground states because of his positions on trade deals. Michigan is a toss-up, Trump wins by less than 1%.
>Loses Virginia by a sizeable (15% or so) margin.
>Loses NC narrowly, Nikki Haley refuses to endorse him, might even criticize him.
>Loses Florida as well, effectively dooming his chances of winning the nomination.
>>73401608
election, not nomination.
>>73401075
The MSMS overplays the significance of minorities in the generals. Minorities are generally concentrated in states that will go blue anyway; the only thing that will motivate them to vote this year is the possibility of Trump being POTUS, rather than wanting Hillary.
Women are harder though, I'll have to admit.
>>73400709
>Georgia
Stop with this meme YOU FUCKING LEAF.
You don't know a god damn thing
Also
REEEEEE Thread
>>73401151
There's a winner-take-all system in all states. Maine is divided into congressional districts I think (but once again, they're winner-take-all) but that's about it. Nebraska also has a bit different system but nobody gives a shit about Nebraska.
Texas will go red, but just barely.
This will not have an effect on the state's politics, but will instead reflect Clinton 's Southern cred.
>>73400709
>Georgia
>blue
impossible its rigged so that nigger's votes don't count here.
>>73401608
>Nikki Haley
She's already said she'll support him, retard
>>73400709
These will be the results. Anything else more or less is delusional
>>73401956
Yeah but the bitch is from South Carolina anyway. Anyway he's not winning NC because of the nigs.
>>73401608
Hispanics will come in record turnout to vote against trump. As a result Hillary will win Florida. However trump will make Iowa Wisconsin and Michigan and Ohio red. This isnt enough for him to win however
>>73402181
Also this here too
>>73402181
>Clinton winning Wyoming
dude
>>73402181
Michigan and Pennsylvania going red is delusional.
>>73402181
Are you joking? Wyoming for Hillary? Florida for trump? Lmao
>>73402325
But the Hispanics in Florida are Cubans.
>>73402311
If fucking mittens was able to win NC against Obango in 2012 then Trump will take it over Shillary
>>73402311
>Her vote will affect Trump in NC
>But she supports Trump?
>Lol dumb bitch won't affect shit
Tell your boss you need a refresher in shilling, retard.
>>73402389
>Utah blue
stop with this goddamn meme
>>73402325
Most American Hispanics hate illegals as these are the very people they came to America to get away from.
>>73402465
Nah dude there are more Puerto Ricans migrating to florida. Plus Cubans are getting more democrat each election cycle
>>73400709
the states switch and hillary dies of a stroke
>>73402542
Doesn't matter, non-whites are non-whites, they will vote for the democrat candidate all the time.
>>73402399
>>73402426
Daily reminder that a lot of people in Colorado and Wyoming were pissed off by the (((((GOPe's))))) Bullshit they pulled with Rato. They will both go blue as well as Utah.
>>73402325
Where were the hispanics to give Rubio a Florida win? Milions of dollars spent against Trump but he still fucking destroyed Rubio?
>>73402542
Not true bro 80% of hispanics hate trump:(
>>73402403
He's got them in the bag, desu
>>73402519
Mormons will not vote for Trump
>>73402181
>>73402399
This, and Utah
Also take off New Hampshire, I won't happen
>>73402608
I'm actually torn.
Trump is as left as Republicans go, and Hillary is as right as Democrats are allowed to publicly be.
I'm hispanic, but I couldn't give a shit about immigration as long as it's handled ethically.
If Trump picks a VP with the right foreign policy chops, I will be tempted to vote for him.
>>73402631
Lol dont assume hispanics vote for rubio just cause he's also Hispanic. Like I said there are less republican Latinos in florida. And those who are support trump
>>73402705
its still a fucking meme
>>73402325
I could see Michigan and Iowa going for Trump, not Wisconsin though. My grandparents are from Door County (mostly old middle-class white people, should be safely Republican), and it went for Obama in both 2008 and 2012. There's also Madison and Milwaukee. There's not enough people like Steven Avery's family who are capable of overturning this.
>>73402801
This.
Mexicans hate cubans because they got a free pass to citizenship and free shit.
>>73402181
>Pennsylvania goes red while Wyoming and Utah go blue
What kind of world is this
>>73402542
How about you do some research first, most hispanics hate Trump and a lot of them know illegals. They're not going to vote for someone who will deport their friend or relative.
http://www.pewhispanic.org/2014/10/29/chapter-5-hispanics-and-their-views-of-immigration-reform/
>>73402631
In the Democrat party.
>>73402705
They'll sure as shit vote for him over fucking Hillary, even if they have to hold their noses to do it. Don't be delusional
>>73402801
Your mental gymnastics are astounding. If hispanics are so hardpressed to take Trump down, why didn't they switch parties to do it in Florida? Its not hard to switch your affiliation. It seems to me that these hispanic intellectuals can't mobilize for shit.
>>73402181
>>73402325
>>73402389
>>73400709
>>73401608
>Being a blue state in almost all predictions.
Why even bother living, senpai?
>>73402788
Some Utah polls actually had Clinton and Trump tied with Bernie beating him.
Mormons hate Trump because of his vulgar behavior, plus Romney is openly shilling against him. I still don't think she's gonna win there but I wouldn't rule it out.
>>73402901
This election will break a lot of norms and patterns. The cycle so far has been far from normal , what makes you think it will be suddenly the status quo?
Trump will bring out disenfranchised White, blue collar workers. Many hardcore Cuckservatives will either stay home or vote for Shillary
>>73402797
So you're not voting for Trump now, despite Trump being clear on his foreign policy. You want him to pick a neocon VP, so the U.S can keep destabilizing brown countries so they can contunue invading Europe, don't you? That's what you want?
You non-whites are all the same, eternal enemies of the white race and civilization.
>>73402619
>People were pissed off in colorado and wyoming because they weren't allowed to vote for trump
>therefore, they're going to vote for hillary instead of trump in the general election
nigger are you retarded?
And I can fucking guarantee that Colorado is going red anyway. It would've gone blue for bernie because the liberals in colorado are the platonic ideal of what a bernie supporter is like. But they won't go for hillary.
>>73403175
I am a neoconservative through and through, yes.
But don't put the blame on our military intervention.
The EU rolled out the red carpet for those invaders.
>>73403369
>I am a neoconservative through and through, yes.
Hahahaha so you are an anti-white globalist cunt who is also a non-white. You disgust me, fucking rat.
>>73403187
People burned their Voter Registration cards in both states because of that mate. I hope they'll still vote in November, but I'm not optimistic
>>73402797
Well, I guess we know our path to 270. Choose Rubio as VP and hope Trump doesn't get shot.
Incredible how ordinary people go wikipedia hunting for political ideologies that sounds cool to affiliate with, not realising ''neocon'' is a derogatory term for republica establishment elite warhawks who make life shit for ordinary people to benefit their long-term aristocratic agenda.
A regular person calling himself ''neocon'' is like a russian serf in 1400 calling himself a ''loyal kingsman''
>>73403552
Trump is against the U.S/EU/NATO globalist hegemony you dumbfuck, he's not picking a fucking globalist neocon puppet as his VP, how retarded are you americans on /pol/?
>>73403480
I don't think you're understanding me. They were mad because the GOP was screwing over their guy, Trump. What you said would only make sense if the GOP actually managed to get Cruz the nomination.
What you're saying would be equivalent to being mad that someone isn't paying back the 100 bucks he owes you, and when you finally manage to get your money from him, you burn the money in order to protest the fact that he was trying to not give you back the money. Do you understand how fucking retarded that sounds?
>>73403369
So you are a cuckservative
>>73401821
I'm not the same guy, it's another leaf.
>>73401608
Isn't Pooinloo Haley from SC? Also I seriously doubt old blue collar whites outnumber young liberal cuck whites in PA, MI, OH enough to flip them.
we're talking about one of the most unusual candidates in an election that's already turned dirty without having seen a single debate. you cannot make predictions accurately, let alone claiming that blue or red states flip to the opposite.
>>73403627
I know he's awful, but bitches and spics love Rubio. I'm not sure if Trump can win with someone like Scott Brown.
>>73401608
Nikki Haley is from South Carolina stop getting involved in our politics you fucking yuropoors.
one of trump's only chances of winning is this map
>>73403800
You're retarded. Say he picks Rubio.
Boom, Trump gets assassinated, now he handed over his presidency to a globalist neocon anti-white that he has been fighting his whole life against, which was the entire point of his bid for the presidency to begin with.
Think before you post retarded shit.
>>73403739
The rust belt doesn't have tons and tons of super-cucky SWPL types making up its democrat demographic. It's mainly minorities and blue collar union workers and such.
>>73403739
It's fine dude blacks are not going to vote in record numbers. They honestly don't give a shit if you're white they won't vote for you.
I swear that little faggot Gary Johnson better not fuck things up
>>73403888
Rubio is Cuban. Cubans are white. Fuck cubans.
>>73402325
Trump loves Hispanics tho
>>73403883
Switch NH with IA
>>73403888
That's why I said at the start, the other part of the plan is hoping Trump doesn't get shot.
>>73403981
He is still a neocon globalist anti-white puppet.
>>73404009
yeah or that
or nevada (less likely)
>>73403815
I said so in the next post, read the whole thread.
>what is an expat?
>>73403943
>The only state where he'd have a chance to win would be NM.
>>73403888
Trips of truth. Let's just look at history
JFK is a fresh voice among the democrats of 1960 and takes an establishment VP in the form of LBJ. Boom, gets assassinated.
Reagaon is a fresh voice among the republicans of 1980 and takes an establishment VP in the form of Bush Sr. Attempted assassination ensues.
If Trump picks a cuckservative VP, he's fucked. And even if he didn't get assassinated, it'd be a huge WTF toward his fanbase because he'd be picking a VP that is literally the opposite of him on all issues.
>>73403694
Oh okay I get what you mean. I'll concede my point then. Trump will win Wyoming then and possibly Colorado if enough bernouts don't vote for Shillary. He's still probably not getting Utah imo
>>73403369
>I am a neoconservative
Why? Unless you have huge stocks in fortune 500 companies or are a religious fundamentalist that thinks Israel will rebuild the temple, I see no reason to support those positions. I think America keeping military supremacy is key, but I don't think destabilizing the middle East for profits is a good idea.
>>73400709
>a fucking leaf
>will lose Georgia
>will lose Arizona
Yeah ok, faggot.
>>73402472
It was really close though. People want to throw NC into the deep red like SC category when it really never has been. It's always but on the lighter side of purple. Even back to the civil war us joining it was really more geographical pressure of being between TN, SC and VA who already were.
>>73400709
>florida
>north carolina
>virginia
>ARIZONA
>GEORGIA
If Clinton names Sanders as her VP...
>>73400709
Trump is polling at more than 25% among minorities you fucking idiot, at least 1/3 greater than what Romney got
being the most disliked candidate among minorities in decades does not mean he has the most people voting against him, it just means that whether you're disliked or not disliked has no value in determining how minorities will vote
The minorities who hate Trump were indifferent to Romney and still voted against him. The minorities voting for Trump like him.
You people are honestly retarded
>Georgia
>blue
WHITES ARE THE MAJORITY THERE
THEY ARE THE MAJORITY IN EVERY SOUTHEASTERN STATE
>>73400709
The problem with your scenario is that even though you say minorities will be the driving forces behind the states going blue, you paint NC as blue and SC as red. NC may go blue, but only because of McCrory, not because of racial statistics.
>>73401686
>States that will go blue anyway
>large minority concentrations
You mean Ohio (muslims), Florida (latinos, cubans, blacks), and Texas (latinos and blacks) are examples of states that will go blue anyway?
>>73401686
No the MSM lies about fucking everything
70% of blacks and 70% of Hispanics hate Trump so he's the most hated candidate in decades woooo! But 30% of Hispanics and 30% of blacks love Trump and say they will vote for him, giving him higher polling among minorities than Romney. Just because fucking minorities didn't outright hate Romney doesn't mean they voted for him.
>>73404184
I agree about Utah. At least as it stands right now. It's clear that Mormons REALLY don't like him. He got what? 15% of the votes? It was a caucus, but still. It's possible the mormons will fall in line like a lot of the other establishment cucks and they're just doing the whole sour grapes thing right now.
But yeah, what a fucking disgusting state. """Conservative""" but in all the wrong ways. Literally want to bring in hordes of mexicans and syrian refugees just so they can attempt to convert them. And they're probably the biggest shabbos goy demographic when it comes to being israeli-cock-sucking neocons.
>>73404325
>Texas
>Louisiana
>Arkansas
>Georgia
>South Carolina
>blue
And can we please end this "North Carolina is a swing state" meme?
PA fag here. Trump is flipping Pennsylvania red.
>inb4 they said Romney would do it.
Mitt Romney was a pathetic candidate who couldn't turn out his base. I knew Obama would win in 2012. Trump's a different story.
Reason behind Florida being blue is because there's too many old, retired women down there.
Also, who do you think is going to be Trump's VP pick?
Thoughts on Jim Webb? I know it might sound bullshit but think about it for a second.
>>73401608
nikki haley is governor of south carolina
any map which disincludes new hampshire and iowa is fucking stupid
>>73404411
What muslims live in ohio? What fucking stupid meme is this?
>>73404325
>indiana
>nevada
>west virginia
>TEXAS ARKANSAS LOUISIANA GEORGIA SOUTH CAROLINA NORTH CAROLINA ARIZONA
>>73404505
>Virginia
>Red
I hate to tell you but the governor, who's a friend of Hillary, just made it legal for tens of thousands of felons who are mostly niggers the right to vote.
>>73403883
I think this is more likely senpãi
>>73404505
how's he flippin it
>>73404505
Give Trump NH and the second district of Maine.
>old retired women
From New York, like Trump
>>73404505
He's not going to win Virginia.
>>73400709
>niggers in Florida
>voting for Hillary
Not gunna happen
>focusing on Florida instead of the midwest/rustbelt
Karl Rove truly fucked the party with his strategy.
>>73404493
You obviously don't live in North Carolina, it isn't a meme we aren't deep red like you want us to be.
>>73404568
Webb would just alienate a lot of Republicans who think Trump is a liberal and I doubt he would help change any minds considering how literally no one in the democratic primary supported him.
>>73404474
Yeah, they act like it's such a travesty that minorities highly disfavor trump, but they're leaving out the fact that republicans always do terribly with minorities as a general rule.
They'll say he's only getting 15% of the black vote. But that's 3 fucking times higher than romney got in 2012. And McCain literally got 1% of the black vote in 2008.
Not that the minority vote fucking matters. Romney could've gotten like 70% of the hispanic vote and still lost, while he only needed a couple percentage points higher of white voters to win.
>>73404568
Probably someone we've never heard of.
>>73404657
Yeah fucktard I wonder how he's going to flip a rust belt state he won in a landslide
>>73404698
And why is that?
why are yall so paranoid about florida
romney barely lost
>>73404657
Western PA (except Pittsburgh area) + Central PA + Northeast PA will outvote Philadelphia (which is all Clinton).
>>73401151
It's actually the opposite. California gets one vote per 700,000 people, Wyoming, for example, gets one vote per 200,000 people. This benefits the empty states, which are overwhelmingly Republican.
>>73404325
Would never happen, Bernie would never agree to it
>>73404161
I don't understand how people don't get this. It's completely unconceiveable for Trump to pick a candidate that is part of the anti-white globalist system, for numerous reasons.
>>73404707
I think this is the most realistic Trump win scenario, desu.
>>73404607
Apparently the Mormons love Muslims. If there ever was an election where Utah goes blue, it'll be this one. The Church of the Latter day Saints, just like Catholicism, is now a Third World religion, with the vast majority of new members being non-Westerners.
>>73404911
Because Trump is the worst candidate ever with hispanics, literally.
>>73400709
>Leaf
Fucking leaf, get your own country together before you attempt to understand another.
>>73404568
Trumps already said his VP will be a Republican. The Webb has unfortunately been Ebb'd
>>73405014
oh ok
>>73402181
LOSING UTAH THE MOST REPUBLICAN STATE IN THE ENTIRE COUNTRY. THAT IS LIKE TRUMP WINNING VERMONT
>>73404485
Unless they're given a third party candidate to vote for and Romney gives them the order they'll vote Trump because the Republican party is their home
And if Romney causes Utah to go 3rd party his family's career is destroyed and the Mormons will be hated by both democrats and republicans and officially be more hated than muslims
Alright faggots listen up.
This is the 2016 toss up map. We can all assume that the states already coloured will be won by their respective parties.
Now we need to determine which party the non clouded states will go to.
I say NC and IA will definitely go red while NH will go blue
>>73400709
>/pol/ will live in an increasingly delusional world and start imagining attached as VP
>the Democrats will simply use Republican criticisms of Trump as their main weapon
>many Republicans simply won't vote
>minority turn out will be high
>Hillary will make a major gesture of appeasement to Bernie voters and many of them will be mobilized to support her
>the election result will not even be close
>the Republican party will divide into the New Conservative Party and the New American Nationalists -- neither will be elected anywhere for 20 years
>one butthurt anon with a gun will go massacre at a black lives matter protest
>the butthurt here will be immeasurable
>lulz will continue heartily for many months
>>73400709
all part of the plan
now you can't win elections without pandering to the minorities that have invaded the US
make way for the new nigger loving century
>>73405205
i could see new hampshire going red
bernie sanders and trump kicked ass there
no mexicans either
>>73404736
He's a Vietnam War veteran and a pretty respected politician among both parties. He used to be Republican before 2008. He dropped out months before Iowa.
I don't think that primary votes are really that important anyway. Biden's performance was pretty weak in 2008 and he still was the best VP pick possible in hindsight. Lindsey Graham's run this year was meme tier, yet he's still a very influential politician.
>>73404771
It isn't that minorities don't matter but the idea of approaching minorities as huge blocks and then dividing whites up into middle class, working class, north, south is fucking dumb
Trump will get like 2% of the southern black vote but among Pennsylvania and California blacks he'll get 30% of the vote. Why? Because Pennsylvania blacks want their factory jobs back and California blacks want the illegals gone while Georgia blacks are huge cucks for clinton- basically the equivalent white people who live in states which are too white and non-industrialized and don't know the problems with diversity and outsourcing.
>>73405205
based on primary turnout
>>73405205
agree with you on north carolina
not sure about iowa
>>73404995
They will never go blue because they oppose fag marriage and abortions
But Trump might win only 55% of the vote in Utah instead of 75% like Romney.
>>73404707
If he wins MI he wins PA Iowa and VA.
He's keeping the Republican senators team in Washington state active. He thinks he's going to win huge
>>73405014
Cubans, Puerto Ricans and Colombians are the main groups of Hispanics and Florida. Cubans and Colombians are Republicans. In 2012 Romney only got 55% of the Cuban vote. Trump will get 70% or more because of Obama's shenanigans in Cuba.
>>73404911
His Turnout will be legendary and the anti-trump turnout will not be there in 7 months
>>73405174
Trump could win vermont because 60% of Bernouts refuse to support shillary, opening the door for Trump to takeover since he won Vermont. Same with New Hampshire.
The Mormons however have no choice in the general- Trump or no one unless Romney runs a third party campaign in the state of Utah alone.
>>73400709
>People ITT unironically think AZ, GA and NC and will go blue vs Trump
What does it feel like to be this new to politics?
>>73405205
how can trump win if this map is correct
>>73405014
This is just wrong leaf. He is polling at 30% with Hispanics. No different than any other Republican would do.
>>73405174
Utah is conservative in the super cucky neocon way.
>>73405178
True, but you have to admit that this is a very real possibility. Apparently Romney is meeting with ( ( ( certain groups ) ) ) as we speak and could be planning something. And then you have Paul Ryan refusing to endorse trump too. I think the cucks could be planning on co-opting a 3rd party like the constitution party in order to throw the election.
Utah will probably go red, but it's still worth speculation.
can everyone agree that it's more likely for trump to win florida than it is for him to win pa
and it's more likely for him to win ohio than it is for him to win pa but there is a link between the two
in other words if he doesn't win ohio and florida he's fucked
>>73404893
Went for Obama in 2008 and 2012. No reason to think Trump would win there.
>>73405410
If it's based on primary turnout Trump should also have Nevada strongly leaning to him and Michigan weakly leaning to him. I don't know why they're both blue in your image.
>>73405796
It makes no difference
Trump will get enough new voters and Democrats to win, rendering the cucks impotent. This literally happened in 1980 and Reagan still won and the fallout destroyed the Rockefeller Republicans forever. The same will happen to the Neocucks.
>>73405081
Ben fucking Carson is in charge of picking the nominee, anything can happen. He might even pull a Cheney and recommend himself.
>>73405985
You should kill yourself
>>73405410
How can you possibly measure the turnout in caucus states like Iowa, where the Dems don't even release the raw vote count.
>>73405985
So only one person since 1964 has been able to turn virginia blue. But sure, it's totally a solid blue state and Trump winning is impossibru.
>>73406122
Nah he's right. And on top of that 200,000 felons can vote now. A lot of them won't turnout, but it just made the odds steeper for Trump.
what about this
>>73405812
I don't agree. PA is Pittsburgh on one side Philly on the other and Alabama in the middle.
The exit polling in PA was amazing, He out preformed Romney with non college educated whites by 6%
>>73406122
Give me a valid reason why Trump is going to win Virginia.
Even liberal Democrat Van Jones from MSNBC and CNN says Trump can win Virginia,Nevada, and the entire rustbelt. Watch this video. This is what liberals think of Trump. Watch it all the way through. It will change your opinion ion Trumps electability.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DHLp-P5cayw
>>73406400
According to that, Trump has 0 chance.
>>73405812
No everyone won't agree. PA has a lot of white and black workers (as do Michigan and Ohio) who are traditionally Democrats but Trump appeals to them. He also appeals to the coalminers of the appalachians who are ALSO traditionally Democrats. He will win every state that has Appalachians south of New York because the coal miners in VA and PA will contribute heavily to a swing in his favor.
All counties but the ones containing Philadelphia and Pittsburgh will be solid red on this map in 2016, especially that one weird blue one in the middle of the map.
sad truth, Trump flipping PA is a delusion, last time it went to the GOP was in '88, and Trump does not have the Reagan appeal, Trump's character is completely opposite to Reagan;'s
remember this prediction
>>73406331
The felons are literally completely irrelevant
>>73406463
Give me a valid reason why a state which was solid red for 50 years and then blue for 8 is unwinnable.
>>73404968
http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/06/politics/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-vice-president/
>>73402325
>>73401608
>>73400709
>Trump won't win Florida meme
Stop.
>>73406787
this dude is probably right
>>73406400
That map is gay, I hate the Bush map. And why are you using the fucking 2008 map anyway?
>>73405911
Or PA. Pennsylvania is key here.
>>73405265
It's true he hath spoken and it's true. Doom upon us all
>>73406787
>>73406890
Though Florida may be marginal, wouldn't make a difference in the end
>>73406787
>>73406890
>Florida
>Blue
>PA
>Blue
>>73406400
Wisconsin isn't going to vote for trump. They're a bunch of cucks who care more about cheap illegal labor and dairy subsidies than anything important.
>>73406890
On what basis, retard?
>>73406787
Except of course the vast industrial and coal mining regions which were traditionally Democratic and full of unions which will swing for Trump in the general. Yeah he's totally the opposite of Reagan. Except the part where those working class Democrats love him.
>>73406955
agree
i think it would be fair to say that if trump doesn't win at least two of those three states then he's fucked
>>73407092
because nothing cool ever happens
>>73406512
Its a map of the United states.
>Again, what matters in a general election is who wins swing states and who turns out their base. So let’s see how things look in a head-to-head between Clinton and Trump:
>Remember the majority of swing states that Hillary has either decisively lost or tied in? Six of these have voted on the Republican side, and Trump handily won half of them (New Hampshire, Nevada, Florida). Trump also carried all of the swing states that Clinton won in except Ohio–and in that case, he nearly defeated a sitting governor with an active campaign infrastructure still intact from his recent re-election. Kasich only managed to pull off a victory at the 11th hour, after Rubio instructed his voters to vote for the governor instead. In Florida Trump managed a landslide victory over Rubio on his own turf in the process and secured an endorsement from current Florida Governor Rick Scott. As for the solidly-red southern states that comprise most of Clinton’s pledged delegate lead–guess who carried all of these rather decisively on the Republican side, and often with record turnout? That’s right, Donald Trump.
>That is, Trump is likely to decisively beat Clinton in virtually all of the states that she has performed strongly in so far, and seems poised to win many of the states she lost as well. This leaves her relying heavily on the solidly blue states, which overwhelmingly voted against her in the primaries, suggesting that enthusiasm will not be high with her base. Forget national polling. When one takes a sober look at the electoral map—at who can turn out their base in solidly partisan states and appeal in swing states, based on how the primaries have turned out thus far, the edge is cleanly with Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton.
He will be president leaf, his turnout is amazing
http://www.counterpunch.org/2016/03/18/hillary-clinton-will-lose-to-donald-trump/
>>73400835
>hurr durr he hasnt started on her xD
Hillary has been attacked by Republicans for two decades
fuck off
>>73407043
>>73406591
>>73405879
>>73405725
>>73405457
>>73405324
>>73404707
>>73404505
ABSOLUTE
DELUSIONAL
TIER
I
E
R
Trump WILL NOT WIN PA or MICHIGAN. PRIMARY TURNOUT =/= GENERAL ELECTION TURNOUT
This is what the electoral map will look like.
>>73406400
yeah. that's about right.
Among the "must haves" I think the only one Trump could lose is Ohio. He's gonna campaign there like mad.
I'm NV and it could go Trump.
>>73407235
dude
>replying to a Canadian with all that
honestly are you fucking retarded?
>>73407329
>PRIMARY TURNOUT =/= GENERAL ELECTION TURNOUT
uh yeah, exactly.
Trump ran circles around Hillary in Ohio, even coming in 2nd behind Kasich.
He was within 20,000 votes to her in PA, he'll swing 10,000 Republicans, 10,000 Sanders + a whole lot more.
I agree with you on Michigan.
Here's my prediction.
>>73407483
>I'm NV and it could go Trump.
lol fuck off, where do you live? reno?
i live in vegas and EVERYONE hates him
>>73401476
Spics and niggers will vote to stop Trump. Don't underestimate the brainwashed nog.
>>73407566
lol, PA isn't going blue either
PA is fools gold for republicans because every year they say "hurr durr we'll get PA cuz working class democrats amirite xD"
but it never happens
every recent poll in PA shows Hillary up
>>73407572
I'm LV and everyone loves him.
I don't frequent gay bars, though, so you might have a different perspective.
>>73401821
We've been cucked
>>73407064
This tbqh Familie. The red is the broadcast range of Charlie Sykes et al, and where the majority of voters live. No way it goes to Trump.
As a funny aside, I live in literally the most Jewish town in Wisconsin (Shorewood), and I looked at the village website to get the vote tallies after the primary. Out of several thousand votes cast, barely a quarter were cast for any GOP candidate. Just 329 for Trump.
>>73406304
And he happened to be the most recent one. 2012 results certainly tell you more than 2004 results in terms of demographics and political trends. There aren't any major factors that would suggest towards a Trump win in Virginia.
>>73404911
Florida will go red... I live in South Florida and everyone I talk to is voting Trump... For what it's worth, the only bumper stickers and signs I see are for Trump... The rest of Florida is a bunch of rednecks... Trump will win Florida
>>73406400
I think he he's more likely to win PA than FL.
>>73407926
where the fuck do you live??
when i went to his victory rally it was basically older white people who already vote heavily for republicans
>>73407329
>Hillary has been attacked by Republicans for two decades
Yes, the same calibre of dogshit Republican politicians who were destroyed in short order every single time Trump took them on head to head in the race.
Whatever you think of him, Trump is not your average Republican politician.
>>73407821
>every year
But this isn't just "Every year"
Trump is crushing it in voter turn out. Democrats are DOWN. Trump was right on Hillary's ass in PA. All he has to do is unite the Republican party, not "working class democrats"
He's got it in the bag.
>>73407329
He's going to win every swing state and turn a couple blue states
>>73405174
>Utah
>not Oklahoma
oy vey
>>73407821
It doesn't matter Trump will turnout his base Hillary will not.
She lost to a nigger and she almost lost to a 70 year old Trotskyist
While on the other side Trump has record turnout with non college educated whites. He is polling at 66% with them
this ain't good
if the trump could win pa/wisconsin meme is wrong
and he also doesn't win florida
even if he wins all of the other toss up states
he still loses
>>73408548
Trump winning Florida isn't a meme, its fact.
>>73406827
8th in per capita income, pretty pro-establishment on both sides (yes, Trump won there, but only by 3% and with 34% of the total vote. It was Rubio's second best state), 10% Hispanic (might not seem like much but it does make a huge difference in battleground states).
>>73400709
>high amount of minorities
Many of whom can't vote.
Also Cubans don't like Hillary. She is distrustful of us and we of her, especially after pushing Obama to sell out to the bullshit "relationship" he's developed with Castro's regime.
>oh yes this is a victory for the cuban people and for america
>[press releases from luxury hotel chains intensify]
>>73408231
>Trump is not your average Republican politician.
Yes he is, he attacks her on the same basic shit every other republican does
>hurr durr benghazi
>hurr durr clinton foundation
>hurr durr bill clinton
He's far worse, and the problem don't even compare those republicans to Hillary
Hillary has been attacked by Republicans for decades, Trump will be no different. Those people didn't know how to handle Trump.
Trump has already tried to attack Hillary. When he tried that woman card bullshit, it back fired massively.
>>73408237
>Democrats are DOWN.
Yes, because of the fact it hasn't been the democratic race that has been airing on MSM 24/7 or has been in the political discourse 24/7 for being a joke.
The democratic race has been Hillary's since super Tuesday and hasn't been competitive since.
Hillary will get all the anti-trump turnout the needs later on.
>>73408268
I'm sure you believe Trump will turn NY red too, right?
>>73408543
She didn't lose to Bernie at all, she's 300 delegates ahead and millions of votes ahead and she won the popular vote against Obama (or it was at least close).
>>73408798
>Many of whom can't vote.
>http://thehill.com/latino/277824-hispanics-in-swing-states-create-daunting-electoral-map-for-gop
>>73408880
HUR DE DUR
The math is what it is.
>>73408058
Let's say I visit death valley on the one day every 5 years or so that it actually rains there. I proclaim "WELL ITS RAINING TODAY SO THEREFORE IT WILL CONTINUE TO RAIN FOREVER. IGNORE THE LENGTHY DROUGHTS THAT CAME BEFORE TODAY"
>>73408880
There's so much shit to attack Clinton for but Benghazi is a retarded meme.
>>73408973
<Sage leaf threads
>>73408880
>Hillary will get all the anti-trump turnout the needs later on.
She's already beating Trump in the polls, and that lead is sinking rapidly.
The closer the MSM gets to the General Election the more Trump won't & can't be taken as a joke by your precious Liberal Media.
>>73406787
Cnn had something about how trump has more votes than reagan during the primary and no republican has secured the nomination this early in the race
>>73400709
Hillary will either drop out of the race due to illness or she will go to prison.
She suffers from Multiple Sclerosis, and has been hiding that fact for at least 5 years.
Bernie is so old he may not make it to November.
Trump wins.
>>73409361
>She's already beating Trump in the polls, and that lead is sinking rapidly.
wut are you talking about that BS rasmussen poll?
The polls have stayed pretty consistent and a CNN poll showed her up like more than 10
>>73409495
She's choking.
Sorry pal.
>>73400709
Is there any correlation between pic related an states voting for/against Trump?
my predictions
they may not be the most accurate though, trump may be able to turn NH, CO, NV and VA red, maybe even some traditionally blue states too, Ohio is also a coinflip imo, we´re too far from election day anyway, anything could happen
>>73400709
niggers hate bern
Der Trump will get like 30-40% of them if bern wins the dem nomiation
no dem can win without niggers putting them over the top
>>73409802
They would vote for a KKK grand wizard if he were the Dem nominee. There's no way more than 10% of the black population will vote for a Republican in the next 50 years.
>>73402325
>implying cubans give a fuck about mexicans
>>73409272
there is no fucking reality where Trump gets the same nigger votes as Romney with the same Turnout as Obama
>>73409495
Hillary is now at a single digit lead and she used to be in a double digit lead a month ago
>>73409760
Sorry.
>>73410106
The Republicans historicly get 12-15% of the black vote. Obama was different...He was the first black president, I can't believe so many black men voted for Romney,
>>73408020
Green Bay here, Looks like I'm moving West
>>73408020
Single out Manitowoc county and make it blue.
This is whats going to happen and this is being generous. it has normal white turnout, high black turnout with Trump getting the low end of Republican black vote, With Trump only getting 21% of the Hispanic vote
>>73403943
>things that will never happen
>>73406870
DELETE THSI
>tie 269 all
>major chimpouts from dems
>paul ryan appointed president
>full scale rioting
>civil war
>>73409361
Nigger please, she's beating him by double digits
>>73400709
Increasing white turnout produces better returns than increasing minority turnout.
>>73409460
Biden would run and win. If not, king nigger would pull some strings and become a temporary president.
>says increasingly nervous man
>>73412471
They have to pick one of the top 3 people from the electoral college vote.
The next congress, the people who win in november, would have to choose between trump, hillary, and maybe johnson if he won a state.
>Trump will increase turnout for whites and minorities
why not just say:
>Trump will increase turnout for everyone
This is the real map
ME hates Hillary and the caucus was rigged
NH is a red state
VT will not vote Hillary
NY had closed primary
NV loves guns
CO doesn't have DUDE WEED on ballot
FL loves Trump
Rustbelt will go Trump because of NAFTA
Arron Rodgers is a fag and so is WI
>Dark horse
CA goes red
>>73412945
top cuck
>>73412471
>>73412832
This would reault in a trump presidency, and a constitutional amendment to get rid of the electoral college in favor of a popular vote, but probably not preferential voting; whether itd be ratified would be a toss up, as popular vote is as unbalanced as the college, and is even worse at representation considering our parties are largely the urban vote vs the rural vote.
>>73400709
>Georgia going blue
Top fucking kek. Outside of Atlanta, Georgia is EXTREMELY conservative. We won't vote for Hillary Clitless.
>>73400709
>Arizona going blue
lol not going to happen, AZ hates illegals and in my experience a lot of democrats don't even understand how voting by county works
>>73412471
>Wisconsin going for Trump
Not happening desu.
>>73413003
Gay Bay fan detected
>>73413186
>what are Savannah, Athens and Augusta?
I still don't think he's going to lose there but it's gonna be close.
>>73401608
He isn't that far behind Clinton in votes, with three candidates in his race
You dumb fuck he's not losing ga. It's nothing but trumpfags here
>>73413422
>who is Scott Walker?
>>73400709
Georgia won't be a battleground state. Stop forcing this meme people. If fucking Obama couldn't get out the black vote enough to turn it blue in 2008, what makes you all think Shillary will be able to?
Here's an ACTUAL map of the election. Now stop arguing.
>>73413873
Even fucking Maryland has a republican governor.
>>73414052
Florida for trump lmfaoo
>>73414052
Commiefornia is fucking bullshit Tbh.
>>73400709
>>73401608
>>73402181
>>73402325
>>73402389
>>73403883
>>73404325
>>73404505
>>73404632
>>73404707
>>73405205
>>73405410
>>73405879
>>73406400
>>73406787
>>73407329
>>73407566
>>73408548
>>73409784
>>73412471
>>73414052
Why does nobody ever think he can win New York? It's his home state and he's literally New York incarnate. He's spent years helping out the "little" guys there and has spent millions renovating the entire city and building businesses. Nobody seems to think New York would ever go red but if it would this would probably be the only time in a long time, if ever again.
Why Trump loses at NY
He's a god there
>inb4 Hillary is from there too
>>73400709
>Georgia and Arizona blue
>Michigan, Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania red
Wew lad
Where do you people get this shit?
>>73400709
>VA
>NC
>FL
>AZ
>Blue
Holy fucking shit, maplefag
>>73400709
> Georgia, NC, Virginia and Florida voting for Hillary
>>73400709
>>73414529
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ny/new_york_trump_vs_clinton-5792.html
Clinton was a NY senator for 8 years. She only changed her residence half a year before the election, but the general public doesn't care about that.
>>73414529
It's too far cucked. NY might be close but realistically, since they voted for Obama in 2012 there's no way they'll ever vote for a Republican again. But I'd like to be proven wrong.
>>73401075
False. Minorities will go back to their normal turnout with no brown person running for President.
Also, women won't vote for Hillary because women hate successful women.
>>73414754
>>73414712
>>73414686
Is this an IP savvy samefag?
>>73407947
WSB also reported that Jason Carter had a huge lead on Nathan Deal in 2014. How'd that turn out? Not to mention that of the undecided voters, GOP voters nearly out numbered Democrats. No undecided Republican is voting for Hillary in Georgia. They'll either vote for a 3rd party, vote Trump, or not vote at all.
There is absolutely no chance whatsoever that Georgia goes Democrat. None. None at all.
>>73414929
>women hate succesful women
Tips.
