Post your most realistic prediction for the 2016 election as a 207towin map.
I'm a Trump supporter but sadly this is how I see the outcome at this point.
utah is going for hillary huh? how fucking high are you??
History doesn't teach us much here except that the North East is very Democratic.
>>73358043
Trump is behind massively in WI, NH and FL
>>73358131
Trump is already leading Clinton in Colorado, anyone who has Colorado blue is deluding themselves.
>>73356874
>>73358043
>>73358131
retards, atleast post something accurate
>>73358131
He's not behind massively in FL. He's just behind 20,000 votes to clintons. We have a shot at flipping it.
>>73358131
Polling doesn't matter at this point, after both conventions have been held and they've had their first debate is when polling can be taken realistically. I based my map off of historical trends and raw voter turnouts from the 2016 primary races with both parties.
>>73358384
Almost got me
>utah
>georgia
>pa
>florida
>blue
get the fuck out
>>73358384
Great B8, asshole.
>>73357939
wtf happened in 72
was nixon that good?
>>73358388
Trump HAS to win FL.
Game over if he doesn't.
>>73358986
<div align="center"><a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/qjwvo"><img src="http://www.270towin.com/presidential_map_new/maps/qjwvo.png" width="800"></a><br><small><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="http://www.270towin.com/uploads/3rd_party_270_30px.png" alt="" /> Click the map to create your own at <a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/qjwvo">270toWin.com</a></small></div>
I don't think so. Would be so great to see a tie
http://www.270towin.com/maps/M3OrN
>>73358940
Southern strategy senpai
>>73358940
George McGovern's campaign was a disaster.
>>73356874
>I'm a Trump supporter but sadly this is how I see the outcome at this point.
Lemme guess, you're a #CruzMissile now? Or you #FeelTheBern(out)? Or you're a #(S)Hilldog?
>>73357533
Utah Republicans are huge moralfags. It's an interesting supposition.
Kind of incidental to this thread but OP's map reminded me of it.
How did Obama win that congressional district electoral delegate from Nebraska in 2008?
>>73358131
Nope.
>>73356874
How about we post the least realistic predictions?
>>73362266
What's the deal with New Hampshire? Why does it vote red sometimes?
>>73362544
Live free or die, nigga
It's the only semi uncucked state in NE. Gun rights, legal fireworks, and low taxes.
>>73356874
>MO, GA, NC, OH, UT going blue
heh. MO has a chance of going blue if bernie was the nominee, but thats about it
the polls in regards to FL are so inconsistent atm, well actually they all are. a poll was released a few days ago saying trump was in front in WA. fucking WA.
can a friendly burger explain to me the "split electoral votes" in NE and ME? is it related to congressional districts or something?
>>73362656
>Is it related to congressional districts?
Yes. Now tell me how to share my 270 map on this joint my shitposting friend
>>73363413
i think most people ITT just take a screenshot of it
you know how to use paint, right?
this is what happens if the vote were tomorrow
this is from me going through every available statewide poll on RealClearPolitics
if things stay the way they are, Clinton wins by a huge margin
Trump was only 5 points ahead in MISSISSIPPI
>>73358940
He didn't resign for no reason. Serious shenanigans in a hotel called watergate, you may have heard of it.
>>73356874
Honestly GOPe is gonna cuck themselves into a liberal supreme court and a disaster in the middle east.
>>73364038
>>73358986
He was leading in Florida until April, when Primary shit heated up.
If the Dems had a mildly-capable candidate, yeah, he'd probably be fucked, but Shillary is already trending down again there, so he'll be fine.
>>73363632
Fugg dat shit, too much work.
>>73362159
They'd vote republican even if it kills them
how the fuck does trump win?
>>73365243
>how the fuck does trump win?
He would have attract white non-voters from the Rest Belt. And be large enough to balance any non-voters scared into voting for Hillary.
>>73356874
https://soundcloud.com/couchtruthing/lets-make-america-great-again
>reminder that polls and predictions in fucking MAY do not matter.
>We'll create jobs growing alligators in florida
https://soundcloud.com/couchtruthing/lets-make-america-great-again
>>73365544
>the Rest Belt
You mean the people who hate the shit out of Bush?
Good luck.
>>73365544
the rust belt is the key. i live in upstate ny and it is pure trump country.. if he can get states near us like ohio etc he could pull it off. it's all about jobs and i think florida will be his also
>>73365824
>You mean the people who hate the shit out of Bush?
>Good luck.
IIRC, the rural areas vote GOP into years. It's the cities that voted for the Dems.
so he wins the rust belt, now what?
>>73366019
He gets florida and all those nice grey states
>>73358043
Wisconsin is massive fools gold for Republicans
>>73366019
AZ, LA and GA are probably GOP locks. I think in that case, FL would go red. Probably VA and NC would vote red in this case. NH go could either way.
Note: I think Trump is a long shot, but not as bad as either the punditry and the current polling indicates.
>>73366135
>>73366226
Voter turnout for Louisiana primary
D 311,776 R 301,241
>>73356874
>>73358384
This hurts my head, but imagine the fucking election night coverage on CNN.
>>73357939
Who are the green states in the South in 1960?
Bernbots in Seattle and Portland don't vote Clinton or vote Trump out of spite, Trump wins a higher percentage of the blue collar whites in the two states' country side.
Going off the primary numbers. This could very easily pan out this way.
this is what trump general believe, kek
>>73357939
>Minnesota has been blue except in the 50s, even rejecting THE Ronald twice
Woooooooow... are they really that pozzed? No wonder they go as far as importing millions of niggers straight from Africa instead of Americanized ones.
>>73362544
It's not a complete cuckstate
>>73366287
A big chunk of Democrats in LA are only worth 3/5 of a vote though
>>73364038
Utah going blue is literally impossible, just the raw number of Republicans registered make it impossible.
>>73366666
get quints or die
>>73364177
This was my interpretation of that, the split vote would be a Hillary landslide.
>>73366622
>red NY
isn't clinton like 20 points ahead?
>>73366728
Mormans don't like Trump tho
>>73365824
Guess which Republican candidate hates Bush and killed the Bush dynasty?
>>73366622
>>73366655
If Trump gets those new States he easily wins Colorado, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, and North Carolina, and Michigan. What's with all the memes having Trump never win Colorado. He's a bit behind but it's a major swing state. It would be one of the first to turn.
>>73366784
https://elections.utah.gov/party-and-status
They aren't going to vote for Hillary
>>73358384
>CA and NY turning red
I think everyone would assume they're schizophrenic at that point.
>>73366809
>Colorado
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_trump_vs_clinton-5751.html
Old ass poll but a huge Trump lead surprisingly
>>73366772
I think so. But going off the Primary. the amount of voter turn-out favors trump. November still has to get here so it could change.
>>73366809
I don't see Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, or Michigan but it could happen.
I think Hilldog gets arrested in October.
>>73367013
surprise!
>>73364177
Are you retarded?
>>73366666
Witnessed
>>73366956
New Yorkers will turn out more for the general to vote for the Democrat than for the primaries.
>>73366956
>Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, or Michigan
Iowa, Ohio, and Michigan strongly favor Trump at this point. Keep in mind a huge chunk of Liberal support is minorities who don't actually follow politics other than that Trump is racist. Michigan was only won so convincingly by Obama because he got all the black vote and they turned out so well. Trump will make huge gains in the black vote plus black turnout will be muh smaller. Iowa is honestly a gimme. If Trump can't win a 90%+ white state like Iowa he's finished. Ohio too. Lots of whites and blacks, not too many Hispanics. Nevada has a lot of Hispanics but it also has some Trump buildings and some of the most devoted supporters.
Hillary will win. Because trump is a fucking loser.
>>73356874
>"I'm a Trump supporter but..."
stopped reading there. You guys can try all you want, but you can't stop the momentum.
>>73367505
This tbhqfami
When has Trump ever followed the predictions of how he'll do?
>>73367412
>100
>Leans D
it's an uphill battle, but he could do it
>>73367348
>>73366754
NH will be red.
Live free or die.
If the results aren't pic related I will eat 10,000,000,000 cocks
>>73365824
Trump has talked more shit about Bush than any Gop or even Democratic candidate running for office since 2000
>>73367861
They're delicious and nutritious so you should be eating them anyway, in moderation of course.
>>73367313
>Maine red
>New Hampshire not also red somehow
lmao
baka desu senpai
>>73366661
>>73367412
>Leans D: 100
These are the votes Trump will take. 291 nigger
>>73356874
It's going to be a repeat of the 2012 electoral map.
>>73368133
>live free or die meme
>>73358940
>wtf happened in 72
Democrats fucked up and chose George McGover, who was essentially the Bernie Sanders of that era.
>>73370176
The irony is McGovern had a better war record than any candidate except maybe Bush Sr.
>>73368209
Why does the midwest and southeast have so many tiny counties wtf
Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico and Maine have it right.
Meanwhile what the FUCK are places like Kentucky and Indiana doing? There is simply no way they need THAT many counties.
guys what if we start some trend on twitter to get sanders to run third party. If we can get enough people to join, he might feel loved enough to try and cuck the democrats. he isnt even one lol he is truly loyal to the socialist party
