Filipino college football edition
Thank you based Skender for the fix subedition
Previous thread >>64109941
>Helpful links
http://pastebin.com/mDAydpyK
>/bet/ wiki
http://slashbetslash.wikia.com/wiki//bet/_Wikia
>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
http://pastebin.com/tPXwjDi6
>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
http://pastebin.com/SVqUYKbf
>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/betting-tracker-excel
you forgot the subject m8
>>64128219
fug
>>64127780
3 of the 4 losses for the vikings this season have been by 17 points or more, now i wouldnt bet the cards at -10 either but im not trusting that flag on this sport
So is this a college football thread or not?
>no subject
>not Skender OP image
You done goofed, friend
>>64128262
tears
dismal draft for Digital Chaos, DO NOT BET ON THEM
The only bet on tonight's NFL is Over 46 total points
>>64128270
>Not looking forward to filipino football just as much as you enjoyed the Skender fix
Had a long hard look at myself and come to the conclusion I might have to sit out the rest of DACember. Dire month.
>>64128229
Genuinely upset with you what the fuck is your problem
>>64128219
*laughs*
Brazil?
>>64128294
>carried nowhere
yeah enjoy
>>64128311
My autism isn't high enough.
This never would've happened if I'd just left it to the shitposting anon.
>>64128294
I was only here for the first games, then missed the rest because I had uni to go to. Where carries them? I see some on Betfair and Mara but those arent ideal
>>64128270
>can only profit from fixes
zzzz Ross will end your career one day
could have been a huehoop J U D G E if caixas didn't score 4(four) points up untill the last minute in the 4th, utter utter
>>64128336
I bet I can find 3 or 4 bookies carrying come kick off
>>64128339
betfair, mara fonbet,, uni sometimes, skybet sometimes, 10bet sometimes,
Spoonfeed me pls.
delete this
>>64128352
I can spot Ross from a mile off, lid
>>64128364
>no liquidity, £10 limits, no account, no account, fair enough, will pull after 5 min
Cant be helped I guess. Betfred or Boyle?
>>64128339
You gonna be about for them tonight lid. Been bretty profitable so far.
I M P O R T A N T
Rank these in order of shrewdness;
Mackers
Rossy
Peter Webb
MetaKnight
Euan
Tom Newnes
Caan Berry
Will Wilde
J West
who /argieslags/ here?
Not betting on them, just unbelievably attractive women.
>>64128395
>Betfred or Boyle?
honestly never checked them but really wouldn't surprise me if they did.
>>64128414
Peter Webb
Caan Berry
J West
Rossy boy
Mackers
Euan
Tom Newnes
Metaknight
WIll wilde
>>64128414
shrewdenss rankings:
1. metaKnight
POWER GAP
.
.
999. everyone else LOL
>>64128414
>caan berry
literally whom
>>64128395
>no bubblegum accounts
>can't beat asia
so what do you do?
>>64128421
but none of those are attractive except 3rd from right
>>64128421
#5 Made loading that 2MB PNG on my 3rd world connection worth it.
>>64128360
forgot slip
365 STILL have the trinidad + on a 1.95 along with 1xbet while other bookies all 1.76 or less shaking, what do they know, what are they thinking right now?
>>64128490
Wasn't the best pic in fairness tbqh. Was rushing to get one so couldn't be picky.
>>64128495
Got anything on Vikes @ Cards tonight mate?
based catolica
Anyone here know a thing or two about Biblatex?
>>64128490
Its what the vast majority of girls look like without make-up. I'm sure most of them scrub up well
re-backing tolima, been pressuring for the last 15 minutes junior barely got out of their own half
>>64128479
Bit of a poor mans peter webb, pro trader with his own software.
-.5 cardinals first quarter and -7 fh imo
>>64128364
What is the bet?
>>64128534
Nope. Vikings defense is banged up other wise I would have taken the Cards u28.5 points. Might get on the spread if the Vikings somehow score first and manage to drop it a bit.
Cardinals have scored in all but 4 quarters all season. They scored in 3 in each game against the Steelers, Lions, Seahawks and Bengals. In all 4 games, they didn't score in the first quarter.
I'm gonna take the Cardinals to score in every quarter @2.5
If I can get on in play (I'm not sure if it's offered) and they score in the first quarter, then I'll probably reback.
Also taking Over 46 total match points.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fjFzUVCQ1vM
thread song
>>64128887
underrated post
>universidad catolica backers
pmsl
>>64129029
Imagine.. beady eyes.. worldie.. etc.
What is the NBA D-League and why does no one bet on it?
>>64129082
development league, kind of like an academy except it rarely produces NBA quality players, most players drafted start on the bench for the first team.
>>64129029
>universidad catolica non-hedgers
smhliwo(shaking my head lids it was obvious)
>>64128796
dumb brit question: for american football betting a "score" includes field goals yeah? its not just touchdowns?
>>64129149
>forgetting the slip again
what a silly man i am
anyone on the clips tonight? they're on my mental blacklist but considering the current state of both teams @1.88 seems +ev
>>64129150
Correct.
>>64129150
Yes. Everything. Safety for 2, field goal for 3 and TD for 6
>New Zealand drift
scared lads
>>64129205
I want to but something tels me they will collapse at some point and the bulls play great defense
So what is everyone here studying in college because they've realised a career in betting isn't sustainable in the long term?
>>64129359
it is sustainable if you are following metaKnight's tips
>>64129359
Engineering. Won't get any more specific than that, in case the other Danish anons want to track me and down steal my roll.
>>64128057
He's just lost on Sport Boys +0.5 FH
>>64129390
>metaknight's first shrewd tip that i didn't get on will spawn waves of shitposting
oh boy
>>64129457
>betting against the strongest
foolish
>>64129457
>tfw I followed that 'tip'
>>64129516
>following mackers main group bets
seriously, it is genuinely -ev long term.
>>64128460
Here's your (you)
>>64129556
>>64129516
was watching the stream a bit since im on overs and sport boys should have definitely scored 1 atleast, it's just that curse of the mack is too powerful
>>64129556
Can someone start leaking the non-admin bets too but for the purpose of laying.
>>64129606
I do post a lot, look out for my trip.
>>64129556
I definitely agree now, it's when I see him putting a few k on it gives me an unwarranted sense of confidence in his tip
>>64129710
i pretty much just follow matt howard/tom spiers
>>64129855
need howardleaks like AIR
So lads, when do these money trains yousually kick off?
>>64129996
you tell us
>>64129996
Typically they've always been late by about 25 mins or so
>>64129996
Always much later than scheduledd. Only country as bad as America for kick off times.
absolutely desperate for a tolima goal for le hedge, they've been baiting my bets so hard
>long period of dominance in the 1st half
>absolutely woeful second and when they start picking it up they concede
>absolute barrage of shots and DAs after they concede
That + is massive with very little justification
>-7.5
Welp time to watch the NFL it is.
>>64130300
Only that big because Lyceum only lost 1-0 to San Beda though but they were dominated all game and a miracle they only lost 1-0. I do think they'll win but the + is a large imo.
>>64130286
prolly cause Lyceum Vs San Breda was 0-1 and San Breda Vs Mapua was 17-0
>>64130344
Exactly but the 1-0 scoreline was not representative of the game
Sites?
>>64130339
Had a bit on the + and unders just because Lyceum doesn't seem to have a lot of fire power. Only beat University of Perpetual Help System Delta! 2-0.
>Disallowed goal
WORRY.JPG
>>64130369
Think it probably was, saw a bloke live tweeting from the game saying San Breda where lucky not to score a couple of times. Either way, I'm not gonna be surprised if this ends 4-0 or 10-0+ desu
Have any of you guys ever attempted to write a program that predicts the outcomes of games using certain variables and factors that could influence the outcomes of games?
>>64130457
>>64130369
*meant to say Breda were lucky not to concede a couple of times
>>64130462
Its a fools errand unless you're being ultra autistic about it. With no exaggeration anything you do will be less reliable than something like using football manager to predict it and I'm certainly not saying that would be reliable.
reddit thought they had a program for predicting overs or ounders just by writing in a spreadsheet goals scored ay home and away, goals conceded home and away and a handful of other minor variables.
value again on DC @ 3.25 GOGOGOOGOGGO
>>64130600
ON HUGE EEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEASE
>>64130600
ouch, well value just got blasted out. don't trigger anymore
>>64130488
Fair enough, I only watched a shitty rball and I'd be lying if I said I sat there and watched it the length of the match but it seemed to me San Beda were well on top. Still I've had a medum on the + and I'll just live with it if it loses.
>>64130569
I'm seriously thinking about it, it could be a fun little project and I can program. The information is out there, statistics and what not.. only thing you'd really have to figure out is what really influences a game. But you're also dealing with the psychology and momentum of players. Unless there are articles or social media accounts available about the players, it's hard to predict how the players are feeling (as another factor for potential success).
MAPUA
A
P
U
A
>>64130725
you're also competing with the betting companies who are doing the same thing with vastly more resources
Mapua handi's desu.
>>64130725
>only thing you'd really have to figure out is what really influences a game
yeah sounds easy lid
>>64130757
Are you referring to matchfixing?
>>64130695
Exactly the same man, I'm small on the +.. Just thought I'd let you know.
>>64130762
I never said it was going to be easy, but I don't mind a challenge. Even if I could get it to a 90% success rate I'd be satisfied.
>>64130914
>90% success rate
Kek you'd have an algorithm worth millions if you could achieve that lid
>>64130968
Well, let's see shall we. I'll keep you guys updated.
NZ getting btfo
>>64130725
Put it this way: I did an extensive player-based model using response surfaces for EPL. With up to 20 variables for each player scrounged out 54% WR for overs/unders.
That is just on the cusp of profit when dealing with 1.91 odds, and as a small time bettor I can't make enough bets to cover the risk.
Where do you bet at philpine soccer?
>>64131029
How much have you looked into this already?
>>64131113
Marathonbet, Fonbet, Betfair. As far as I know.
>>64131065
Thanks for your input. I haven't yet figured out an algorithm, but I'm first going to focus on collecting the available data; the interpretation of data is another thing though.
Finding the correct variables to work with will most likely be the biggest challenge. I mean, it could be the weather (since some football teams prefer rain to pass the ball around faster) and other minor details that could influence things.
I know it's going to take ages and it might not yield the best outcomes initially, but you could have the machine learn and correct itself too; so either way, it's a fun project, especially since I'm invested in /sp/ related activities a lot.
>>64131181
See above.
http://uk.soccerway.com/players/arnold-peralta/97531/
http://www.canal6.com.hn/destacado/ultimahora-asesinan-al-futbolista-hondureno-arnold-peralta.html
F
>he's not on Vikings +13 @ 1.80
who /uac/ here?
>>64131256
>Mara
>Fonbet
Literally beneath bubblegum.
It's only on the exchange too, how many people are backing the other side here? Can't imagine there is much liquidity.
>>64131321
i'm on az +14 .;
>>64131321
>making up lines
>>64131404
at what odds, 1.04?
anyone getting on T & T +6.5?
>>64131270
Well this might of some interest to you then
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2200795-mugs-and-millionaires-inside-the-murky-world-of-professional-football-gambling
>>64131334
A few thousand
metaknight do i cash out?
>>64131460
mad?
>>64131523
was gonna go o6.5 match goals, was wondering what /bet/ thought
>>64131523
On +6.75 myself with a small stake.
>>64131523
Based on their showing the other night USA -6.5 seems more tempting but I'll admit I haven't checked team news.
>>64131523
i am because slovakia told me to
>>64131523
If theres one team i cba with in world football its the us womens team. Never know whos going to show up
>strongest still 1-2
surreal, still up from o2.5 but that u3.5 and u4.5 would make me almost break even for today
s t e
t
e
>Didn't get on Brown TD anytime @2.2
>>64131270
Good luck m7. At the very least, it's a bit of fun and I've definitely learned a lot about statistical analysis just from doing this.
You are very much correct in that finding the strongest correlating variables with winning (or goals scored) is a hard challenge, and that's why I started initially with a regression methodology, i.e. use the historical data to find what variables have the most influence on the outcomes.
>>64131820
Everything Ste says is correct.
>>64131820
man mackers really has the worst attitude
down hundreds of thousands of dollars yet he's always right
>>64131820
Literally retarded. River Plate didn't pick up form until the end of the group stage. They tied at home vs a Peruvian team ffs. Altitude is really not going to change a match that much.
>>64131820
>Also Bolivia national team been Argentina (With Messi playing), 6-1 in this exact stadium
>would be a for give conclusion
It's like trying to read a fucking Croatian speak English
>>64131539
Cheers, still reading, but:
>they do their analysis on a team-by-team basis. They record every stat you can imagine and have a lot of programmers working out what price they should be betting on.
I'll probably be doing something along these lines, only basic at first.
>>64131886
>i.e. use the historical data to find what variables have the most influence on the outcomes
Yeah, that will be my first job. I think it'll be a never ending challenge though, however, it's good that you don't have invest to see whether you're right. The outcomes will come and your machine will learn anyway.
>>64131820
>the bookies have no knowledge of geography
>>64131550
DAC
>>64131820
Ste is bang on the money, Can't understand why Mackers is arguing.
For all Mackers knows half the visiting team live in the high altitude part.
He is right about copa Lib but it onlt strengthens Ste's argument because those teams live in a country where max altitude is like 1500m and they very rarely play above that as opposed to Bolivian lads who might live at high altitude and will frequently play at high altitude even if their home side is low altitude.
>>64130462
reddit did
for example it predicted a match to go 2-1 and to bet on u2.5
>>64131930
do you know personally how much he is down?
>>64132031
every day they post screencaps of him going batshit 'DOWN SO MUCH I'M CHASING WITH 80k'
so I suppose it's a lot
>you now remember the 2014/early 2015 meme of "Fuck off Mackers is up (insert insane sums) this hour"
>>64132055
>>64132031
He is down around £800k since JUne.
>>64132096
Was a million at one point but he's still about even for the year
>>64132113
few more weeks left
feel an implosion coming
>>64132150
>>64132113
Think he's down about 10-20k for the year. With only a couple of weeks left to chase himself into the green and many of those days having nothing but shite on, we could be in for a fun time.
>T&T game isn't kicking off for another half hour
Top kek
The one thing I love about the United States is they are always so punctual with their kick off times, unlike those fucking Euros.
wheres the cricket guy? is it worth re backing new zealand at 2.0
need administration like AIR
>>64132251
Wtb?
>>64132195
>inb4 he wins an insane sum on some lotto shite and spends all of 2016 bragging how profitable PGA was in 2015
>>64132291
Wew la, you do realise you can cashout?
>>64132276
I just wish we had as many bookies as them
>>64132291
i want to bet on that and join in the fun but i hate having a bet hover around in my bet slip for months
>>64132312
Sounds about right tbf
>>64132346
I can't cash out though. That's in the cash out section but it is just 'Unsettled'. They still have the market closed.
>>64132346
You can't, cash out has been suspended for days
>>64132306
Fancy US slags -2.75 FH
>>64132383
please no
>>64132359
>there is only one bookie
Odds been cunted anyway
>>64132410
*spasticated
>>64132378
>>64132379
Huh well I just cashed out the next day for penny losses because of the price drop.
Surely if Notts administration was a lie then there is huge value on teams beneath them to be relegated right now?
Hi lads. Quick survey.
What is your IQ and how much are you up in the last three months?
(Remember there is no need to lie on the internet)
>>64132452
Also adding "do you think Notts Co will go in to administration?"
>>64132452
Around 125.
Up maybe a few hundred from late september, October & November were shit. December been decent so far. Need spring like AIR.
Which beady eyed mother fucker is lumping on USA?
>>64132452
256 IQ
Up £7.6 million
No Notts aren't going down
This person is itk
>>64132452
8+ and 8+
>>64132449
No because the favs for relegation are still favs and their prices have barely changed if at all
>>64132592
>going down
Mean't admin, same thing, fuck it.
Hi lads. Quick survey.
What is your cock size and how many times have you had sex
(Remember there is no need to lie on the internet.... I'm looking at you 'le 8+ man')
>>64132452
There's almost no possibility to take a legitimate IQ test online so I don't know.
>>64132602
ZING
>>64132662
6 inches
Twice
>>64132617
That isnt true at all they moved considerably.
>>64132662
>how many times
do you mean how many people? because it is hard to count the exact number of times I have had with every gf.
>>64132662
7.5"
Can't even remember how many slags I've fucked
>>64132592
>ever believing anything a woman says
top kek
>>64132720
Yeah lets say how many people instead, didn't think that many of you DAC bastards would've had many girlfriends tbqh
>>64132592
pmsl
that's my mums friend, asked her to post this to keep the odds higher, was topping up for days.
slags stream where
>>64132767
Most of the people here at night are somewhat normal.
It's the Neo-Marks who are the shitposting weirdos that lurk in the day.
Joes pretend favourite team CSD Communicasiones are up double da's, 3-0 shots and evens for the win
Why aren't you on?
>>64132662
6 inches, 14 women.
Will the bulls hold out to secure the W?
>>64132662
5 inches 11 women
>>64132778
http://drakulastream.tv/soccer/usa-w-vs-trinidad-and-tobago-w-drs3d570a
>>64132662
7.5 & 14 women.
>>64132827
goal as posting ill
>>64132662
6 and a bit
2 women, 1 man
>>64132662
7 inches, 10+ women
>>64132452
about 130
just started less than a month ago, from 50 to 100, to 15, to 170
>>64132991
Le 8+ man has evolved
How are the double digits treating you lid?
>>64132662
Slightly above average and I haven't kept count
MAPUA
A
P
U
A
+6.75 looking comfy as fuck
>>64132991
2+ more in the last few weeks? Tell us about it.
>>64133077
Disallowed... kek
>>64132452
High school tested 122
Almost 2k
I hope so for whomever needs it.
>>64132662
7.9" :^)
14. Might add one tomorrow.
>>64128201
Just here to say that this picture never fails to make me giggle.
why has this us game not kicked off yet?
>tfw 610 matches on tinder
>tfw you could bet Tim Means via decision @ 2.50 and Team Means via KO/TKO/Sub @ 2.50 for sure profit
Literally no way he loses this.
>>64133180
It was delayed an hour for some reason and >American games starting on time so an hour is likely more than an hour
>>64133224
How sure are you?
>>64132991
I've only shagged one bird at uni and I've just started third year. Swear I'm not even bad looking or that autistic. Someone with better chat or better dressed or more personality is at every club/ on every course.
How do you do it?
>>64133291
ffs
cant even be arsed, off to bed.
>>64133318
I'm sure. If Howard didn't pull out of his fight with Thatch he wouldn't be in the UFC. He looked terrible in his couple recent fights.
>>64133319
Do you actually speak to girls?
>playing a back 6
>>64133319
Just need more balls and confidence desu. Its a numbers game really cause it doesn't matter if you get pied 10 times in a night if you end up with a bird at the end of it
>>64133319
Club nights at the student union are the easiest places in the world to pull
>>64133318
Told ya.
>>64133319
Confidence mate, that's all it is. Never be afraid of rejection, if a girl says no... you just suck it up and go talk to another one.
What's best Aussie bookie for sports betting odds? Also is there any bookies with live online inplay?
Tired of phone calls tbqh
>>64133424
this, total numbers game.
>>64133114
>I hope so for whomever needs it.
Cheers mate.
>7.9
Fuck off. That's literally in the top 0.01%. Post pics. No homo.
>>64132482
"no"
>>64133319
>be drunk
>flirt and dance with a drunk girl
>???
>profit
ITS STARTED
>>64133539
>can only profit from fixes
>can only fuck girls when theyre absolutely smashed
would pay a large stake to see you dancing too.
>>64133319
you gotta hunt that pussy go after it dont stick with people you know, go on a mission to get a bitch by yourself
>>64133575
>trusting a sober girl in a club
Worried for you mate.
>>64133539
>being a rapist
>>64132662
5.5
lost count
22 partners
23 years of age
what is THE bet for nothcutt, he wins in the first round?
>>64133575
>he thinks the skill in dancing matters
>he doesnt know its how you talk to her before and after
its not that hard to grab her hips and move in sync with her m8
>griffin ejected
fuck why didnt anyone say something, could have bankrolled bulls ML
>>64133690
>talking in a club
>>64133539
spot on
>>64133704
because this place is full of retarded autistics talking about their lack of sexual experience, instead of a good old den of degenerate gambling
>>64133653
I actually noticed his odds increased in last 3 hours from 1.010 to 1.10 while Cody's dropped from 10.00 to 7.00. I'm not sure what people are thinking. I'm sure Pfister is the best wrestler he's ever faced, but I doubt he can do anything to Sage.
>>64133319
Just put yourself out there lid. Rejection is the expectation. Acceptance the exception.
>>64133495
N-no.
>tfw your girlfriend always gives horrid oral where she scrapes the entire area with her teeth
>tfw random birds give world oral making you want to drop your girlfriend
>>64133716
>not shouting at her if shed like a shot
>not letting her pick the shot while you buy it
>not asking her if shed like to go dance
>not doing as i stated
>not turning her around after some time of "dancing"
>not just kissing her without hesitation
picking up whores in the club is literally as easy as winning money on the vikings tonight
if you ask them if theyd like a shot and they say no, theres no chance of you going home with her anyway, if she says yes then youre halfway there m8. the only way to not go home with her at this point is to completely screw it up or smell really bad.
>>64133319
man you're in a betting site and you're asking what's the deal with girls?
picking up girls is probably the most +ev activity out there. if you get rejected you lose absolutely nothing, instead you gain experience and you avoid wasting time. if you win well, you win
>>64133690
>talking in a club
Guarantee you she doesn't hear a word you say
>>64133770
I refuse to believe your dick is that big.
That's genuinely too big for most girls to even enjoy.
Mine is about 6.5 x 6 and most girls I have been with have been tight as fuck and had it 'hurt' them.
Will be seeing so many of you in two weeks :^)
>>64133770
>tfw your girlfriend always gives horrid oral where she scrapes the entire area with her teeth
I know that feel all too well
>>64133956
/bet/ meet will be mint m8, can't wait!
>>64133901
Meh, it does happen lid. A very close mate of mine has a 10inch... over 7 on the flop, he's really bashful about it and only lost his V plates at 24. (to a 6ft5 woman lel) Said he'd rather have it half the size if he could
Can't believe Mapua still on a +1.5 on fonbet, they might still win this.
>>64133956
>>64133998
What's this?
>>64134026
up a fair bit on this game, handis have been more than generous
>>64133901
Better believe it. I'm Afro-Dominican and 6'4 if that helps with the credibility.
Had an ex-girlfriend who rather did anal because it hurt less then when I put it in the front.
>>64133993
>That image
So true, kek.
>>64134054
Euan has invited us all to his for NYE, gonna have a few beers then hit the clubs.
Next match goes double figures, doesnt it?
My cock is 5 inches and really thin
Retirement stake on under 6 in the USA game.
>>64134098
Very very likely.
>tfw fucked 4 different women that weren't whores, ugly or drunker than i was
>literally never had a gf, handholdless
is this a bad thing?
disgusting refball, trinidad gk got the ball first and got karate kicked reeee
>most powerful race
>filipino
I don't fucking get it. This is legit giving me autism
Trader having a MARE.
>>64134098
Oh yes
>1-0
welp trini slags will be heartbroken now and the floodgates will open, they know they've already lost
+handis getting BTFO
>that penalty given in the US slags game
Loving. Every. Laugh.
Slag officiating is truly dire
>>64134158
>fucked 4 girls without holding any hands
what the fuck man
