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/bet/ Golden Rules Amnesty Edition
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Previous thread: >>63975892

>Helpful links
http://pastebin.com/mDAydpyK

>/bet/ wiki
http://slashbetslash.wikia.com/wiki//bet/_Wikia

>FAQ and abbreviations list for those new to /bet/
http://pastebin.com/tPXwjDi6

>Help for gambling addiction/suicide hotlines
http://pastebin.com/SVqUYKbf

>/bet/ approved spreadsheet for tracking your bets
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/tools/betting-tracker-excel
>>
>1.1) Have a good understanding of what you're betting on.
>1.2) Value is key. If your well and truly thoroughly researched judgement shows a substantial mismatch against the odds you're offered then play.
>1.3) Value runs across all odds. If something is priced at 20/1 when it should be 12/1. it's value. If something is priced at 8/1 when it should be 4/1. it's value. If something is priced at 6/4 when it should be Evens. it's value. If something is priced at 4/6 when it should be 1/2. it's value. If something is priced at 1/3 when it should be 1/16. it's value.
>4) You're a trader/investor. Not a gambler. This isn't a fucking game.
>5) Never chase. If you lose, you focus on why you lost. Not on how to make it back.
>6) Don't fight every round. Some markets have no edge. Some days are edge free zones. If you're not positive you're getting value, leave the fuck out.
>7) Keep a record of EVERY bet. Categorise every bet in as many ways as you can. Day of week. Sport. Location. Stake. Price. Perceived value. Drifts. Lengthenings. Weather.
>8) If you're making a consistent profit over a matter of days, weeks or months even, it doesn't mean you've figured the game out. Never get complacent and always keep an eye on potential weaknesses.
>9) Be healthy. Get rest. Eat well. Exercise. Be sober during research. Be puritanical when playing. Like all other sports, gambling is as competitive as shit and you're going to lose if your opponent (bookie/backer/layer) is tighter than you.
>10) NEVER FOLLOW OR RELY ON TIPSTERS. Anywhere. Anyhow. Under any circumstances***

>#BONUS) Slag tennis. Not even once.

***I understand this goes against what is a staple for many a modern punter. As such, this rule is to be taken or left according to one's whims and discretions. Nevertheless, I have included it because a) I am from a different generation where all tipsters were shysters. b) It contravenes rule 1.1- If you have a good understanding of the event then you don't need a tipster.
>>
>>63992445
Yeah I just follow paid tipsters and do well, got a bot for betfair to get money down quick but don't 100% rely on it.
>>
>>63992861

Do you pay for these paid tipsters?
If so, how do you choose which ones to pay for?
>>
reposting since i didn't notice the post count;

taking canberra slags -1 starts in an hour

canberra returning home after a month, coming from a nice 4-1 away win, brisbane with 4 defeats in a row after winning opening 2 games, last two have been 0-4 defeats

both teams will see the return of a few internationals, though i can imagine the better ones being from canberra considering they won the title last year, striker Kete is doubtful for the hosts.

32 degrees and a red hot team returning home against struggling slags on suicide watch
>>
>>63993038
Yeah I pay 3 tipsters, all have proven track records, but if I couldn't get on the tips within 1 minute of receiving I know I wouldn't be in profit, but I have an instant system for bf and hopefully bd soon.
>>
>c u c k a l i e r s
>>
who were all those blokes in the last thread saying cavs -4.5 was the pick???
>>
>Davis 8 Reb
>8min left to play
sweat.jpg
>>
so is lebron james just shit now? He is missing almost everything. Only thing he has been strong in is passing
>>
>>63993811
who are they?
>>
>>63994149
dont i look stupid
>>
>>63994494
he engaged god mode
>>
/ב/
>>
BEGGING for OT in this Pels-Cavs game
>>
>>63993910
could still cover in overtime
>>
>>63994149
crazy to think how many points he could have had if he was making his usual % of field goals, would have had like a 50 point+ game
>>
>>63994615
This isn't far off his usual % of field goals
>>
>>63994548
yeah nah
>>
>>63993910
Kek that was me, tears if you didn't cash out for profit and then back the pelicans like I did
>>
>>63994724
>lying on a Sao Tomean birdwatching forum
>>
>>63994724

i bet u did m8.

tbf though i dunno why any of you aussies were listening to a brit for basketball tips
>>
>>63994770
Listen here, slug, I have a 71% success rate with basketball bets. I was wrong on this occasion but being a brit doesn't make me any less knowledgeable about basketball. I bet you think you know more about being a criminal then me because you're Australian too kmt
>>
nba has put me on suicide watch today lads, two bets which looked certain to come in rekt by late comebacks
>>
>>63992642
Won, thank god.
>>
>>63994906

71% doesn't mean shit lad.

If you beat on teams with winning records at home you'll end up with a % around that, but with fuck all returns.

As evidenced by your retarded bet of -4.5 on the cavs you clearly know fuck all about the NBA
>>
>>63993114
nice tip m8, got on that at 2.40
>>
>>63994967
>he doesn't bet in-play on NCAA and NBA
>>
>>63994967
>it lost therefore it was a bad bet
>>
>>63995051
This is my favorite meme
>>
>>63995104
Mine too, I've been waiting for a chance to use it today
>>
Mara is offering the San Beda game. Get your tenners on.
>>
>>63995182
4 goals in 15 minutes, surreal.
>>
lads, lads, lads. It's time to place your value bets for the morning.

TRIGGERING EXTRA LARGE STEAK SPECIAL MVP @ 3.2
>>
>>63995340
Why? I don't follow Dota but I want some reasoning
>>
>>63995340
>>63995362
i do follow Dota and i dont know what this means
>>
Best DotA players in Korea = MVP
4Cl = 3rd best swedish team

Korea > Sweden in vidya games

MVP will win
>>
>>63995398
Then why is 4Cl @1.33? I want to believe you though
>>
CMON MELBOURNE
>>
>>63995469
freak goal, in tears desu. Melbourne should turn it on now though.
>>
>>63995398
korea arent that good at dota 2 though. The game isnt really popular there. Swedish teams have won internationals.
>>
>>63995479
Hopefully lad. Got dnb so would be mad with a draw either
>>
>>63995498
>>63995398
No way lid, I looked up some results and 4Cl beat MVP in straight sets (is that a thing?) a few days ago
>>
>>63995558
yeah I thought so. Both teams have quality players but im fairly sure the price is justified.
>>
Was losing 2-0 at half part of the plan?
>>
A-league is fucking crazy, melbourne are on top of the ladder and getting BTFO
>>
melbourne will win desu
>>
>>63995398
Take your shitty esports tips and git out
>>
any good bets tonight lids? Feeling degenerate gotta chase losses from NBA and the inevitable melbourne loss
>>
Is Melbourne dnb THE bet?
>>
>>63994967
Are you the same Aussie that said that Sacramento would win last night because they were at home even though they were in Mexico City?
>>
>>63995737
>any good bets tonight lids?

Cricket is about to get rolling.

This pitch is turning into a minefield.
>>
>Melbourne
>>
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>Melbourne "Victory"
>are losing
>>
its pretty obviousy why melbourne are losing. Why would they want to win for a city filled with seething leftists and degeneracy?
>>
wtf for friendly?
>>
all these fucking chances for melbourne, they must score
>>
>tfw over 3.5 for well/melb
>tfw the goal was called back
>>
>>63995856
probably going to come through for you desu
>>
lets hope so. My roll has been getting smaller and smaller. Got Melbourne tomorrow on a multi. 4x my investment if they get up.
>>
anyone got a good stream for aussie soccer? firstrow is choppy as fuck for me.
>>
>>63995921
http://cricfree.tv/watch/live/wellington-phoenix-vs-melbourne-victory-live-streaming

not great quality but hasnt dropped once
>>
>that miss
BTTS no fix in
>>
>>63995937

cheers mate.

so many opportunities. come on cunts.
>>
>ref faking injury to kill time for wellington
>>
>>63995970
im actually so butthurt about it, ref even missed a clear penalty.
>>
>>63995988
What clear penalty did he miss?
>>
>>63996038
glen moss had his legs hacked out in the box.
>>
>>63996043
>glen moss had his legs hacked out in the box
The keeper for Wellington was fouled in the box?
>>
>>63996051

I dunno what he is talking about but Manny Muscat had his foot way upon Kalfallah and pulled out last second, barely any contact but should have still been a foul for reckless challenge.
>>
>>63996051
sorry it was Khalfallah, even the commentators called it a penalty while watching the replay
>>
>>63996069
Thought it was a penalty in real time, but on replay thought it was the right decision. Barbarouses went down way too easily
>>63996084
Ya it was a little strange. Ref put his whistle in his mouth and looked like he was gonna give it but never did
>>
>>63996069
nah different incident later on, when he stayed down for a while
>>
I can't get a bet up /bet/. Making me depressed.
>>
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Some subtle Russian match fixing.
>>
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Didn't expect Goes-Bigua to be THAT close

On the other hand Welcome +29.5 is a godsend. Now I know what you mean with special. I literally didn't put my whole bank in because I was expecting the Philippines matches to start
>>
wtb in the Aussie match?
>>
>>63996222
Brisbane DC lad.
>>
>>63996207

sorry i dont speak spic
>>
>>63996239

Thanks, m8.
>>
>>63996222

over 2.5
>>
>>63996264
No problem
>>
If Sandown runs to time, which is usually 5-10 mins past post then trading Chepstow will be out of the question today.
>>
alright. 2 more goals.
>>
Yessss, go Brisbane. Oh boy what a rush.
>>
I don't watch soccer but I bet o2.5. Whichever team scores next, I become a fan.
>>
>>63996270

Thanks too, Aussie m8.
>>
>not a penalty in the box
>>
What is THE footy bet for today. I know you lids have some top flight bets, don't keep it a secret.
>>
interchange lady is a qt3.14
>>
>>63996684
Utrecht -0.25
>>
fuck yes. finally a bet up. Guess I'm a Wanderers fan.
>>
What is THE Barclay's Premier League bet of the day.
>>
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>>63996742
>>
>>63996801
I've gone
west ham v Man U: draw
Arsenal: win
Leicester: win
>>
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>>63996801
Brilliant mate, I love it
>>
>>63996801
>city over Stoke
Have you even checked the weather?
>Swansea over lestah
>>63996816
>arsenal win
>>
>>63996817

>he actually did it the absolute madman

good luck to us both.
>>
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>>63996816
I think you picked a winner.

Let's go anons win me some money.
>>
>>63996834
Haha which doubles pair will win
>>
>>63996817
>>63996801

City have won only 1 in the last 6 games away at Stoke. Aguero is out

Swansea are in a relegation battle and tactics have been sussed out by every team in the league.

Chelsea and Southampton should win
>>
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Level stake unders in most Scottish games and you end up in profit. Miss out all the postponed games and games in Aberdeenshire. Also swerving the East Stirlingshire game because of the gamble on Clyde and overs.
>>
Morning all, I've got three selections today on the jumps. Had a very strong weekend last week (though I don't believe I posted anything up) so hopefully I can repeat it today.

13.55 Sandown King Henry VIII Chase - Bristol De Mai 13/8

Rated 146 over hurdles, BDM was always intended to grow into a chaser, and he's made a good start to the swtich. Last time out he produced a scintilating round of jumping at Warwick to win by 19 lengths, and he receives 6lbs from todays rivals. Jockey Daryl Jacob takes the ride and seems very confident, describing him as the 'best horse in the race.' As De Mee opposes and looked in good shape when going down to More of That last month but I have a suspicion that he may want further than todays minimum trip, and the weight allowance will help our selection.
>>
15.00 Sandown Tingle Creek Chase - Vibrato Valtat - 2/1

A couple of weeks ago it looked like we had Un De Sceaux, Sprinter Sacre and Simonsig lining up for the most mouth watering renewal of this prestigious 2m chase for years. Now they've all pulled out and the race has an underwhelming feel to it.

The rest of the runners are all decent but flawed animals. Josses Hill never really fulfilled its promise whilst novice chasing, and Mr. Mole remains an enigmatic chaser who I don't believe can be relied upon. If returning to his best former champion chaser Sire De Grugy has the raw ability to win this, and trainer Gary Moore is reportedly happy with his work back home...but I think SDG's best days are long gone. Third Intention lacks class, whilst Somersby is too often the bridesmaid and has age against him - though the horse is full of class. Special Tiara has been gambled well but was still beaten at last years champion chase by Somersby, otherwise his best bit of form seems to be an overrated 6 length beating of a knackered Sprinter Sacre.

This leaves our selection, who took very well to novice chasing last season. Though well beaten in the arkle I can't help but feel that had he not tried to take on UDS he would've been closer than the 13 lengths implies, and it was no surprise to see him reverse form with that days second place Gods Own when reappearing at Exeter in November. The yard have an excellent record in this and I think it has a very strong chance with improvement still to come.
>>
15.20 Aintree - Grand Sefton Handicap Chase - Poole Master 8/1 ew.

The Pipe yard probably aren't firing on all cylinders this year, but I think they've got a good one in this competitive affair. Initially I looked at Rocky Creek, being the class horse in the race dropped down, but I'm not going to bet on a two time national runner conceding all that weight. Poole Master was well beaten on his reappearance this season but probably needed the run, and he goes again here only 2lbs higher than when he won it last season. I'd be very disappointed if he didn't at least make the frame, so at 8/1 he's a good ew prospect.


Best of luck to all that follow!
>>
>>63996959
>>63996986
>>63997012

i'll chuck a few bucks on them. see how you go. Thanks for the write ups.
>>
>>63997012
What do you think of Soll for the Becher?
>>
>>63997063
I haven't had the time to make a proper opinion about the Becher desu...if pushed I'd go for Portrait King, his form on soft and heavy is 14P21P. Then again I haven't done in depth analysis on the other lot so there could well be a horse who loves the mud just as much! I think he's on much better weight terms with Soll this time out so I'd go ew on PK, but as I said, that's if I had to bet and its not a strongly informed opinion at all - wouldn't put anyone off their own selection.
>>
Lads, lads, lads. How is everyone doing on their dota bets so far?

Empire SURREAL
>>
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>>63996817
pic related for good luck my fellow mug
>>
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>>63996959

ON
>>
>>63997339
>city
>chelsea

yeaah idk man
>>
In what world does Eastern District W -1 lose?

Need a goal like A I R
>>
>>63997304
Le aftertime dac man
>>
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>>63997355
pic related and
>bournemouth
>>
>>63997372
I think it's unsafe man. Could easily see city go 0-0 or even 1-1, and you never know with chelsea. Still got hazard captain in on fpl this week tho
>>
>>63997363
Hup
>>
>>63997363
Please tell me you managed to find value I was talking about a few days ago during the USVI/good times discussion
>>
>>63997390
>and you never know with chelsea
Think they've improved their play a lot lately. They're at home vs a DIRE Bournemouth side who are missing half of their entire squad due to injuries and suspensions.

What game would you put there instead?
>>
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Still seething after someone talked me out of this accy on wednesday. Would have won €3000
>>
The last 3 lux tips in PGA have lost

Must be why he's always aftertiming
>>
>>63997453
Tears. Forgot to look at the league I think it is because there was only one game today. They down on rball and winning by a few?
>>
>>63997460
I know chelsea isn't as bad as they were, but they haven't convinced me yet.

I'd say both liverpool and arsenal are safer, even with their injuries.
>>
>>63997513
There is in fact 2 games today in that league but only 1 was priced.
>>
>>63997363
REFUND
>>
Would be on under 2 goalline in Rwanda vs Uganda if I could get on, currently 1.875 Bet365
>>
How shit is lux pmsl
>>
>>63997460
how much you lose on Everton last week lid
>>
>>63997619
Nothing I was on dnb
>>
>Man Shitty
>>
LGTSS
>the city of Manchester
>Manchester Shitty
>Shitihad
>>
>Man city
>>
>>63997805

man city next goal is THE bet
>>
>>63997355
>>
>>63997865
>>63996819
I was here first
>>
In what world does City -0.75 from 0-2 not win? This is a mainstream large.
>>
Bankrolling Leicester to win the Prem. Who's going to stop them?

>Man Shitty - losing to stoke
>Lelverklopp - a meme teme
>Arselel - injuries
>Man Poonited - LVG will Moyes out after January
>>
Kurt Drago just tipped a small on Gzira -2.25 and an increase to medium if/when it hits -2
>>
>>63997916
isn't league bets raked to shit?
>>
>>63997993
It's a lock m8
>>
>>63996816
>>63996834
>>63996801
>>63996817

have a (you) lads
>>
>>63997932
Kurt drago is a gormless retard
>>
>>63998036
Please have sex, Kurt is a judge on Maltese football. You must have missed the cup fix he posted a few days ago, you sad little slug.
>>
Large staking VGA St Maur +0.25 from 0-1 down
>>
BUBBLEGUM GUIDE

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1vC0HV1oOOwiDdmufn4CJX4Nrsg4B8MUwBLWE5i5oRN0/edit?pli=1#gid=0&vpid=B2

>>63992376
I know you are an old punter but /bet/ has Euro odds as its lingua franca. Anyway I'm away off already cause newfriends and their stupid muggy accys are ruining MOTD for me
>>
>>63997932
FATDADDY
A
T
D
A
D
D
Y
>>
Need a Gzira goal like AIR
>>
KURT DRAGO WANTS 10K ON GZIRA -2
>>
Kurt making me sweat but he says wind is behind Gudja this half
>>
>>63998355
Not even windy
>>
>>63996801
>>63996817
>city
>away at stoke
>betting on sports you know nothing about
>>
>>63998468
He's at the game you lying piece of shit
>>
>>63998609
Screenshots the thread

10mph wind
>>
>all this Kurt shitposting
I don't get it, I'm in his group and he's not tipped
>>
>>63998623
>I trust google over someone actually at the match

Please have sex
>>
>>63998648
>no screenshots

You can stop shitposting you pathetic little slug.
>>
1111111111111

Wish this pathetic little man would stop trying to put people off great bets like he did with Hungary yesterday
>>
Kurt Drago SURREAL, almost as good as Euan.
>>
>>63998696
>No screenshots
>No trip
What's the point in your posts? Nobody will follow you
>>
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I'm gonna be rich, lads.
>>
>>63998746
You see if you make ludicrous claims as anon without backing them up it allows you to shitpost when they come in or disappear silently back into the anonymous masses if they lose
>>
kek, rebacked the -1.5, proceeded to check the thread and get slight regrets and then a goal surreal

someone post the result of the first horse race that tripanon tipped please
>>
>>63998830
But imagine having such a pitiful existence you find this fun, maybe, instead you should go outside and have sex. Would be nice if more tips were posted but with reasoning and some credibility rather than this constant shitposting by some spotty nerd.
>>
>>63998785
"mas de" is more than, right?
>>
>>63998901

Yes.

Over 2.5 goals.
>>
>>63998839
lost
>>
Imagine complaining about good tips from reputable tipsters being posted here just because they aren't mainstream games. Pathetic.
>>
>>63998785

ayyyy happening desu imo
>>
Is there a way to get Bayern to win & over 2.5 on bet365 when the line is Bayern & over 3.5?
>>
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>>63999088
>>
>>63999111
>combined bets on mainstream matches on 365
-ev almost every time, but to answer your question i don't think they offer multiple goal lines for this bet. marathon does though
>>
>he isn't having a cheeky tenner on sunderland at 11/1
>>
>>63996834
you are such a fucking addict I have no idea how you haven't pissed away your roll yet.
>>
>>63999345
West ham, Bournemouth, sunder and villa accy
cheeky 5568/1
>>
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>City BTFO
>main accy BTFO before the 3pm kick offs even start
>>
>>63999408
surreal

>>63999411
>betting on early prem kick offs
>>
>>63999408
on large
>>
Need a City corner like W I N D
>>
small on sire de grugy e/w
>>
>>63996817

JUST
>>
>>63999411
>betting on the premier League
there's your problem lad
>>
>>63999674
>he didn't lay city
>>
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Tears if you're not spending your afternoon making W I N D bets
>>
Is this what I have died for?
>>
>>63999741

/bet/ has been fairly decent recently if you go back the last few days. Weekend/bet/ is not representative of regular /bet/
>>
Lux after timing again
>>
Why shouldn't i be on Tottenham @1.8
>>
>>63999732

True genius at work here.
>>
>>63999892
No he didn't. I'm the only one allowed to post this, I only post it when he does actually aftertime.
>>
>>63999936
Who are you? I started it
>>
Getafe handicap is a large. Real Madrid will be deflated after being disqualified from the Copa del Rey.
>>
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who /freemoney/ here
>>
>>63999895
Because it is a correctly priced mainstream game that may see short term gain but at least in the long term will ensure you lose money.
Bet on it if you want, we can't stop you and its your money but don't ask us to give you advice when its clear nothing we say will stop you from betting on it anyway.
>>
9s for Euan
>>
Shaking at this East Kilbride price
>>
>>63999687
>he didn't lay city
no, but I did lay your mum last night
>>
>>63999970
I started it you melt and as far as I was aware I'm the only one who's posted it. Searching the archive I remember all of my posts, including the one where I misspelt goal and the one where I humorously claimed he had broken a world record for aftertiming.
>>
>>64000015
Then you have horrible standards
>>
>>64000006
Tez weather m8. Wind will definitely affect the game

>>63999994
Thought that counts.

>>63999999
>>
>>64000082
Wind doesn't just affect one team you numpty
>>
Still can't believe the price of Burnley at home to Preston today, it is just a gift
>>
>>64000065
it's all the same in the dark lad
>>
meh gzira 1-0, that missed pen in the 70th was a bitter one
>>
Potential large in 2 mins
>>
>>64000117
Strange how the Kurt shitposter has piped down after a loss. I urge people not to follow him, shouts about his wins until the cows come home but doesn't mention any losses.
>>
>>63999988
down to 1.72
so small value
>>
>>64000147
Please have sex and stop putting people off bets, Kurt tipped it so don't really understand how it's my loss you dullard
>>
>>64000135
>Potential large in 2 mins
you couldn't just wait the two minutes and then post it? the mong on this board, I swear
>>
>>64000178
>Still no screenshots or info
Luxton is large on Bayern Munich btw, everyone get on, trust me
>>
>>64000213
handi or sw?
>>
>>64000213
What do you get out of trying to stop people making money? Get a life
>>
I'm on Northampton to win the first half home to Northwich

Huge wind behind them, full strength va team 4 divs below.
>>
>>63999979
Jesus
>>
On o2.5 in every Scottish game because Euan is clueless, accy pays about 100/1
>>
>>64000274
Source on wind?
>>
>>64000261
What do you get out of trying to make people lose money? If you level staked all your bets posted here you would be down.
>>
>>64000306
Stream
>>
>>63999979
unreal
>>
>Vibrato Valtat
>>
>>64000006
UP INSANE SUMS

>>64000082
Clueless.
>>
>>63999621
fug lads shouldve had more on
>>
>>63999979
did this actually hit?
>>
>>64000409
It will in 10 seconds
>>
>>63999971
1-0 LOL
>>
>>63999979
told u guys.. smdh
>>
>>64000458
congrats I guess
>>
>leicester

When WILL this meme end?
>>
>>63999971
2-0 LOL
>>
>>64000626

>taking any of Euans mainstream 'tips' seriously
>>
>>64000670
Trip on you greasy fuck, hope you're sweating over your unders tenners zzz
>>
Westt ham first goal
>>
>wasn't on leicester +0.25

feel sick desu

not even sure how they could be on a +
>>
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>Leicester were 3.0 before kick off

Bookies absolutely clueless tbqh
>>
Disgusting sums on East Kilbride under 3.5
>>
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>>64000814

Don't know what they were thinking with that one 2bh, did they think Vardy was injured or something? Swansea have won 1 in 10 games and Leicester would go top with a win

>bookmakers
>>
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>>
>>64000521
The season after they win the Champion's League, they will finish mid-table. I am from the future so I know these things
>>
Reminder that unders is THE bet in all premier league games that don't feature Leicester
>>
>>63999971
3-0 LOL
>>
>>63999971
Oops. Meant Real handicap was a large against Getafe because they will be mad about being disqualified from the Copa del Rey and want revenge.
>>
>>64001188
He forgot that Benzema pledged to score a goal for each hole that Valbuena got keked in by Pogba in the sex tape
>>
LUX LUX LUX LUX LUX
>>
>>63999408
>Villa 1-0 up
>West Ham having the better chances
>Sunderland just equalised
lookin good
>>
>>64000213
Lost
>>
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>471 minute first half
>>
>>64001410
>Banter4theWeekend
>>
>Wenger time
>>
>Not on Northwich
Cba
>>
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>>64001483
ITS HAPPENING. BET SMALL TO WIN BIG CMON
>>
Who's /bet/ got in the /cfb/ championship games today?
>>
LUX surreal
>>
Mainstream J U D G E
>>
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How is today going lads?
>>
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>>64001861
>>
East Kilbride with wind behind them now, WORLD bet
Thread replies: 255
Thread images: 49

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