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Will Trump win? These are the latest polls
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You are currently reading a thread in /pol/ - Politically Incorrect

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Will Trump win? These are the latest polls
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They only poll people who are active voters in previous elections. A huge portion of trumps support comes from people who haven't voted in a long time or at all. Plus Trump is getting 14% of the democrat voters and Hillary is only getting 10% of Republicans. It's too early to tell however for either side but it's neck to neck with Hillary probably having a slight edge
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Trump puts so many states into Play. PA,Michigan,Wisconsin,Minnesota,Maine. The entire rustbelt to work with. Plenty of time.
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Just need a few more HAPPNINGS.
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He will lose.
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>>80791980
Agreed about the rust belt. To improve this map, he needs to go after OH and PA.

>>80792129
Trump has a lot going for him. People think he knows how to manage the economy and they thing he's the best to fight terrorism. Both are important issues. Now he's claiming to be the law and order candidate which I also think will boost him with independents.
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I consider both Michigan and Ohio swing states right now. Trump supporters are just lurking atm, waiting to pounce come Nov.
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>>80791980
lol, /pol/ is so delusional.
PA, MN, WI, MI, and ME will never vote for trump. He is certainly welcome to waste time and money in those states though. Meanwhile, states such as NC, AZ, and GA will slip away from him.
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>>80791980

>Minnesota

That state's only gotten bluer since 1980.
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>>80791581
>state
>color
Yeah fucking right
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>>80792510
This is just as stupid as saying Trump will win MN/ME. Trump will not lose AZ/GA. PA is absolutely winnable and if he does, he wins the election.
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>>80791581
Looks like a pretty realistic map.

He will probably lose.
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>>80792510
Thank you for taking the time to Correct The Record.
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>>80791581
Is this really the latest polls?

You are giving me hope
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>>80792622
AZ has a fuck load of legal Mexican voters. The latest polls have them virtually tied there.
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Too early to say desu, hasn't been any debates or anything
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>>80792898
Legals that vote for more illegals really piss me off.
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>>80792826
To be fair, he has a 5 point lead in FL and only a 2 point lead in IA. But that's better than losing.

>>80792898
I really doubt it. The only way Trump loses AZ is if Johnson gains a shitload of support and has appeal in AZ due to being the gov. of neighboring NM.
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>>80792979
Of course they'll vote for illegals, considering Trump said some extremely inflammatory things that really piss off all Mexicans, legal or illegal.
>>
Looks like Bernie is going to win:
https://medium.com/@Starkweather/by-endorsing-hillary-bernie-may-have-positioned-himself-to-win-the-presidency-e4ed85dffdf1#.6sbjs4rdf
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>>80792622
Republicans say PA is winnable every four years. The demographics are just not there. I mean, yes the results are always close. So its worth a try, but realistically I just don't see it.
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>>80791581

He NEEDS to win this nigger/white trash infested shithole or it's gg.
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>>80793115
He never said anything bad about illegal mexicans. Havent you read his real comments by now? Jesus its like you only listen to the msm and never check stuff out for yourself.
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>>80793260
>Legal mexican immigrants

Sorry im already drunk
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>>80793145
He's got the best chance in years. It has been trending red lately and his message about defending the American worker could resonate there
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>>80792510
GA will be red. Trust me.
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>>80791796
>have voted in every election since I turned 18 in 2009
>never get pollsters

Fucking cunts
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>>80793260
It doesn't matter what he actually said. What matters is how people felt when he said it.
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>>80791581
It never ceases to amaze me looking at this map and seeing the numbers.

I know how politics work but this is just stupid.
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>>80791581
a lot of those blue stated will be trump, no question

MI, PA, possibly OH and some of new england
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>>80793115
Inflammatory my ass. Nonwhites despise freedom of speech because they fear the truth. In Islam, slander is redefined as making truthful statements that the subject would not want known.
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>>80791581
i know Trump has florida locked down.\
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>>80793260
Doesn't matter desu

The perception is there
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>>80793310
>since 2008

who cares

all that matters in southeast PA which is half of PA's population and that is solid Hillary country
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>>80793424
He really won't win MI. If he somehow manages to, that would be a huge landslide. It doesn't look like that's going to happen.

>>80793495
FL isn't locked down, but Trump has a small lead there right now.

>>80793572
Polls have PA tied, which is bad news if you're Hillary. It doesn't mean Trump will win, but it proves that it's competitive.
>>
Trump is actually ahead in Maine's second district, which would mean he'd get one electoral vote from there

Also recent polls from Ohio and Pennsylvania and Virginia and Michigan have him closing the gap once again

Being that Florida's most recent poll has him in the lead he'll probably be ahead in the rust belt states by october at the latest

Also he's behind in Nevada, yet the Republican candidate for Harry Reid's seat is ahead- Trump will probably pull ahead in Nevada if the Republican senatorial candidate remains ahead
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>>80793704
>>80793572
If you don't think he'll win PA and VA you're delusional

Coal country is traditionally full of holdover Democrats and plenty of Appalachia went for Obama in 2008 and 2012

Hillary has stated she wants to gut the coal industry and all the coal miners voted for Bernie. They're not idiots and they're not voting for someone who hates them.

>muh Philadelphia

Niggers aren't going to turn out like they did in 2008 and the white working class will and for Trump, Trump winning a state where the electorate is 85%+ white is a bygone conclusion
>>
It's either Hillary or no thermonuclear WWIII

Choose wisely!
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>>80793145
The demographics have not only shifted, but additionally all Republicans since 1988 have been establishment asshats who blatantly hate the working class

Trump is the first guy since Reagan to pander hard to the working class, you're delusional if you think they're voting for the wife of NAFTAman
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>>80791581
The election system in this country is a joke. 99% of the country is held hostage by a couple big cities on the far outskirts of the country that are culturally and ethnically the opposite of the majority of the nation.
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>>80794310
I blame california mostly for the big swing in voting.
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>>80793310
oh baby
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>>80791796
>posts in a polling thread
>doesn't know how polling works
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>>80792898
>>80793387
You dumb 19 year olds do realize that Arizona literally passed a bill to deport the shit out of illegals in 2009 right? And that 600,000 illegals left the state after that?

If AZ was ever going to vote Democrat on the basis of Republicans hating illegals it would have been in fucking 2012.

>>80793036
Hillary has 2-3 point leads in VA, PA and OH- what's your point?
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>>80793572
I disagree. I live in Montgomery County and I've seen and know way more Trump supporters
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>>80793310
Notice how the blue bits are where all the votes are.
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>>80793036
>AZ liking NM

HAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAH
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>>80794283
Nah, the most populous part of PA have become more blue and less white.
>>80794310
I love how you call the most populous places in the country, "the outskirts". Especially when these "outskirts" create the jobs and cultures that allow the rest of the country to exist and prosper.
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>>80794510
Who YOU know, doesn't matter.
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>>80793168
I have family who lives there and they're all Berntards. Makes me sick.
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>>80794361
>>80794310
Trump will win California in 2020 after the illegals are deported

Sure California technically bans non-citizens from voting like every other state, but in practice if all you need is a driver's license for id and California mysteriously has a white turnout of only 52% in 2012 despite 62% of registered voters being white and a total turnout of 70%- the highest in the country- it's pretty clear that anchor babies and liberals at the polling stations are willfully not bothering to check whether someone is a citizen or not

Texas by the way has a turnout of 60% of their voters in 2012 whereas the national average was 55%. Yet liberal transplants from California to Austin claim that Republicans are attempting to "suppress the vote". That sounds suspiciously like "DON'T HAVE VOTER ID LAWS- THEN WE CAN'T ILLEGALLY LET ILLEGALS VOTE!"
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>>80792560
actually it slowly becoming redder, if only we could slow down the onslaught of rapefuges being forced on us.
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>>80791980
I think he has a chance with VA, I feel a lot of people in NoVa are starting to get redpilled, which is all you need to win VA
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>>80791581
>he'll never be republican candidate
>he'll never win florida

Now that those two major obstacles are out of the way he has a strong chance of winning
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>>80794866
VA will win because obama fucked the Hampton roads area hard.
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>>80794636
The heavily populated suburbs around Philadelphia are all 80%+ white and there is no reason to expect them to become more blue. Your claims are literally the opposite of reality.

>new york city creates jobs guise

Hello shill
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>>80794866
This "NOVA controls the state" meme needs to die. Nigger turnout and redneck lack of turnout creating the spiderweb of blue counties in the southern part of the state is why Obongo won.

All you need to win is to get the rednecks to turn out again like they used to.

If that fuckhead Sarvis didn't constantly spoil elections we'd have a Republican governor and a Republican senator.
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>>80795098
>leaf
>"obongo won these states, clearly winning them is impossible" meme
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>>80792343
I'm going to Michigan to visit family in a few weeks. Gonna try to redpill as many as I can.
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>>80795098
Whoever made this knows nothing about politics.
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>>80791581
I think he's getting Ohio and Pennsylvania. Plus things are only going to go more in his favor when he demolishes her in the debates.

>>80791796
>Hillary probably having a slight edge
How? There are no Hillary supporters. Everyone across the country is reporting the same thing. They see a ton of Trump support, a little Bernie support, and no Hillary support.

Every single state that Hillary wins will only be won through cheating. Nobody likes her.
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>>80794986
New York City creates more jobs than Wyoming and Idaho. That's for sure.
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>>80794510
Montgomery County here too, I've only ever met 2 Hillary supporters. On the other hand I've met tons of trump supporters, I think he definitely can win PA
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>>80791581
Why hasn't California been cut into pieces in terms of electoral college?
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>>80791980
No Republican has ever won without Ohio.
He needs to put as much effort as he can into that.
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>>80795203
Then why does Virginia continue to elect democrats, even during mid-terms.
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>>80791581
I think that's a more or less accurate map, but I think he's got Ohio. He would still need to flip at least 10 more votes, which will be difficult.
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>>80795812
I live in Virginia, the niggers were the reason Obungo won it. This year is different.

Lock Trump in for Virginia
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Everybody with half a clue knows Trump has already lost but the media needs to keep you guys thinking it's an actual competition or you'll tune out and they'll lose a lot of advertising revenue
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>>80793260
>responding to leafs
>>
>>80792898
Coming from someone who doesn't live here, you don't seem to be aware of how Arizona works. During the winter, we have all the retirees come down here, fleeing the winter hell of their respective mid-west dwellings. They all vote Republican. These initial polls will mean nothing because once they get down here and start participating in the polls; you will see a heavy lean towards the republican party here.
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>>80795908
I know blacks won't vote as much as in past elections, but how can anyone reliably predict how much their turnout will decrease? Won't the chimpouts have a good chance at increasing their turnout? Or is it a return of non-voting whites that will win Trump states like Virginia?
>>
>>80791581

http://theweek.com/speedreads/635154/majority-americans-think-clinton-should-have-faced-charges-poll-finds
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>>80795908
Obama was not running in 2014 when Mark Warner won his reelection bid. If a democrat can win a statewide election during the mid terms, I suspect Hillary can win Virginia as well.
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Current state of safe (>5%) states.
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>>80792560
Maryland is a fucking shithole.
Why can't I move out?
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>>80792510
You're retarded.
PA has always been a swing state and with the decline of Steel Pittsburgh and the "pennsyltucky" region are turning to the right in droves.
Plus the downturned economy and lack of any help from the Federal gov the last few years disenfranchised a lot of people
but most importantly PA people are sick of liberals.
NAFTA killed our state, and Clintons are the NAFTA family.
Bill also refers to us as "Alabama in the Middle"
and after Obongo called us all "rednecks who cling to our religion and guns" the state's willingness to tolerate liberals is eroding fast.

Philadelphia doesn't have enough votes to hold the state alone and the Democrats don't get that.
We're not Illinois, New York, or Michigan.
You actually need to address the people of the state here, not its biggest city.
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>>80792560
>that map
what? why would georgia and west virginia be one of 5 blue states
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>>80794108
This
A post NAFTA PA is weary of another Clinton.
>>
>>80791581
gary johnson might win new mexico 2bh
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>>80795597
And the resources of those states allow NYC to exist

>>80795811
Because of this fucktard

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Sarvis

Libertarians are the reason Cuccinelli lost in 2012 and Gillespie lost in 2014, Sarvis got 6-7% in both elections. Yet Johnson only got 1% in 2012.
>>
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>>80796341
... and with the rest given out.

Trump has recently put two more states in play, but is losing ground in the other states already in play.
>>
I haven't been keeping a close eye on polls because it's so early but wasn't he really close in Colorado too? (-1 last I saw)
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if dindus vote hillary might win by a landslide
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>>80796725
>if dindus vote
>if
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>>80796725
It all depends on which president gets BLM sympathizers
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>>80791581
Prove me wrong you ignoramus!

protip:

>you can't
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>>80791581
Fucking cucked North East

idk about Maine though. Or Virginia..
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>>80795203
I live in NOVA near Tyson's.
All the houses in the neighborhoods have Army, Marine, American, and Don't Tread on Me flags.
To me that indicates more of a red presence.
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>>80791581
ist it even worth voting trump when youre in a state that always votes blue?
>>
Michigan is an easy state to win. All you have to do is bring roads, schools and jobs and to Michigan and you have their vote. That's all they care about.

Ohio can be won by Trump because whites will unite for him and he promises more jobs.
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>>80796717
Average in CO is 4 points.
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>>80796958
you'll kick yourself in the ass hard if it was close.
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>>80796251
>56% think she should have faced charges
This is critical, and just look how many people turn out to Trump rallies versus that of Hillary rallies.

There is clearly much more Trump support - But Hillary has the establishment on her side and there will be cheating in her favor.
>>
>>80795698

CA is the most populated state therefore they get more electoral votes. They also have a lot of house votes.
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>>80796958
Move to a swing state, cuck.
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>>80796344
Most jews
Most money
>>
No to derail a thread but does anyone have that ss about why you should never piss off white people? About how we fought each other for centuries then when we were bored we took over the world and when bored again we started the two largest wars known to man? I've googled and still can't find it or even know what to search for. Thanks in advance anons.
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>>80796023
Yes fellow cuckservative DRUMPH will NEVER get the nomination I CAN GUARANTEE IT
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im just gonna say that harper was beating trudeau that month last year
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It will be a low turnout election which favors Republicans.

Low turnout because of all the drama. People naturally avoid conflict and this election has a lot of conflict.
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>>80794310
It wasn't always this way. Elections used to be nuts and swing back and forth. Compare LBJ and Nixon's landslides; they were less than a decade apart.
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>>80796704
that map is laughable.
especially since it isn't even august yet
>>
Parts of Ohio (swing counties) are already being deluged with non-stop anti-Trump ads.

The content is all clearly geared towards scaring/guilting/emotioning white women.
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>>80797333
Doubt it; more people hate Trump than love him; so they will actively go out and vote for Shillary, just so he doesn't get in.
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Prove this wrong.
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>>80796287
Your suspicions are wrong you fucktard, Warner won by less than 1% and less than 50% of the vote with a Libertarian taking 6% of the vote

Additionally the Republicans have regained control of the Senate, forcing Terry McAwful to work with them. McAwful is also under investigation by the FBI for corruption related to the Clinton Foundation as he is a Clinton ally. How the FUCK will Hillary win a state where her friend the governor is directly connected to her own corruption?
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>>80796958
Have a sense of pride lad! Fucking vote Trump!
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>>80791581
Trump will win
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>>80791581
>Trump says and does stupid shit
>"It's just for media attention and in order to make sure that evangelical crazies will vote for him, It's all part of his master plan and he'll act more serious come the general"
>He's still doing the same shit and tanking in polls

You better turn this boat around right quick Mr. Trump, time is ticking
>>
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>>80797502
north carolina going blue. proved you wrong.
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>>80797502
what a shitty map
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>>80795098
>GOP best scenario
>VA red, OH blue

0/10 apply yourself
>>
>>80796958
Im a new yorker that is voting trump. I don't care if my vote doesn't really matter. I am voting for the better candidate.
>>
>>80797333
Democrats, women, and weak-minded people in general avoid conflict. They can't stand debate. They hate the possibility that they might be wrong - Even though they're wrong about almost everything they believe.

Republicans, libertarians, independents, free thinkers, and just intelligent, alert people, who aren't afraid of conflict, and actually like to hear alternate opinions and are open to the possibility of being wrong, know that this election is critical, and will determine the fate of the country. It's either Trump and a golden age of prosperity and development, or Hillary and WWIII.
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>>80797452
>more people hate Trump than love him
The same is true for Shillary.
>>
>>80797502
>OH , PA red
>NC blue

You must be some illegal spic from california if you're this dense about USA demographics
>>
>>80796725
>Obama winning a landslide in 2012

It is extremely unusual for turnout to decrease under an incumbent president. Additionally the projections assumed that 99 million whites would vote but only 93 million voted.

If whites turn out then even if Hillary manages to maintain black voting levels at 2012 she will lose because whites were 73.6% of voters in 2012 but turnout in 2016 would surpass 100 million whites and make up 76%+ again if Trump manages to get the whites to turn out in his favor

This election hinges on whites, blacks are irrelevant
>>
>>80797452
Just as much can be said for Hillary. Which is why it will be low turnout. Most people aren't that politically engaged, they vote because they're supposed to and with no concept of strategic voting. If voting is a dirty word because of all the vomit in the news, people won't vote.

>>80797502
If Trump won PA he would win NC
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>>80797502
>Utah is light red
>NC is light blue
This map is retarded.
>>
>>80796940
Trump is shilling hard for the military because they're a key vote in this state what with all our military bases and the Pentagon
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>>80791581
>Will Trump win? These are the latest polls

No they're not.
>>
>>80797502
MOfag here

We'll be red.
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>>80797903
I live in Raleigh and there's a lot of blue in the Triangle and Charlotte, which was what won it for Obama in 2008
>OH, PA red
Not to mention the rust belt hates Clinton
>>
>>80794310
Same as the UK in some ways though ours is slightly better. It's all fucked really.

We all AV+ or some other decent form of PR.
>>
>>80797452
>more people hate Trump than love him
This isn't true, and the haters are actually helping Trump.
http://thelibertarianrepublic.com/trump-enter-the-dragon/

The anti-Trumpers go on facebook and make a bunch of shitty arguments, and really mild-mannered, non-confrontational, non-political people see their absurd and irrational arguments, and it wakes them up and makes them want to vote Trump.
>>
>>80797988
Utah light red, instead of dark red, isn't entirely unplausible. The mormons HATE Trump. That's how much religious fanatics they are.

Still, I agree that it's highly overestimated that mormons would switch to D out of pure spite. They will fall in line soon enough.
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>>80797160
Pls answer.
>>
>>80796341
This is more interesting than the OP. And as a BRIT you know that polls mean fuck all. I hope with Are Nige going to the US along with some of the big right wingers from Europe they'll gain some more votes.

For anybody here who is shilling for Trump and for the rare few who actuall get off their fat arses and go out and do some work...

You NEED to go after the 'never voted' people. They're the people who will win it for you. They're the ones who won Brexit for us and they're the one's who you can convince to come out and vote for Trump but it will take effort and money.
>>
>>80797333
>le low turnout meme

Then why was there a turnout of 57% in 2004 which set a new record?

Why was turnout down to 55% in 2012 from 58% in 2008?

Low turnout and high turnout favor either party, it does not exclusively favor Democrats. This will be a high turnout election and set a new record as whites turnout in droves to vote Trump.
>>
>>80791581

This is a real bad sign for Hilary if it is representative and true. Trump never polls high in between significant election dates. But he engineers the media and the crowd to go all for him the day of and crushes the competition. Trump is going to go all out when it matters like he has done this entire election and these states are going to flop blue to red on a large scale.
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>>80796830
>BLM political as fuck atm
>dindus will vote en masse
>you need to get the white working class out to vote
>can only win if you get the 'never voted' out.
>GOTV

And let Farage help. He's coming over for the convention, let him speak, let him appeal to the people. He won Brexit for us and he can win Trump for you.
>>
>>80797425
I'm sorry you find reality distressing.
>>
>>80797502
NC will be red. Trump wins
>>
>>80791796
>. A huge portion of trumps support comes from people who haven't voted in a long time or at all

Every hispanic I know is voting for Hillary, and most of them haven't voted before.
>>
>west virginia has gone from democratic to republican
>virginia has gone from republican to democratic

net positive gain for dems
>>
>>80796522
Because Carter was from Georgia and WV was historically a bluestate

kids these days
>>
>>80793421

>large empty states have less points than small dense states

wew whoda thought
>>
>>80798585
That's interesting, because a slight majority of Hispanics I know, are all voting from Trump. What state are you in?
>>
>>80797028
There was cheating for Brexit and we still won, by a small margin admittedly, but it was a win.

We literally had the whole fucking world against us. Every bank, every country, basically every politician from around the world, LITERAL OBAMA, all of the world's banks telling us we'd be poor, our own leader telling us it would be WW3 and we'd be in poverty.

We still won. Hold out hope lad. You can fucking do it. I've commented the same a lot tonight but you lot need to GOTV of the young, white, working clas. You need to FORCE the people who have never voted to get off their arse and go out and vote. You got this. If we can do it, the USA can too.
>>
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>>80797393
That was from a time when people voted on policy, not memes. More and more people actually say they're afraid of the other party. Thank God we validated fear as a valid argument for policy.
>>
>>80798257
I'm guessing many won't vote out of spite.
>>80798543
see >>80798056
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>>80792510
>any state turning from red to blue this election
>>
>>80793168
Ohioan for Trump here!
>>
>>80792510
Just cause Atlanta will be blue does not mean GA will not be red
>>
>>80798585
>live in some shithole like California or New Mexico
>WHOA HISPANICS WILL TOTALLY BE RELEVANT IN THESE BLUE STATES

Trump is winning Hispanics in Florida, your opinion is fucking irrelevant. He'll also get 40%~ of Hispanics in Texas because they're fucking tired of illegals.

Additionally they were projecting 99 million whites voting in 2012 but it was only 93 million- down from 96 million in 2008.

If we assume a resurgence in turnout there will be 102 million whites voting- easily dwarfing any new Hispanic voters.

>>80798641
WVA is hard red, Virginia is at best a swing state and more likely a red state if Trump swings rednecks and coal miners who still vote Democrat into his category.
>>
>>80798840
If Romney won NC over Obama then I'm 100% certain that Trump will beat Hillary. It may be close but all in all it will be red this year.
>>
>>80799118
That guy is clearly a shill
>>
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>>80791581
California is a decaying state that has no right to vote.
>>
>>80792898
As someone who lives in AZ year-round, you have no idea what you're talking about. It's not turning blue yet. We have local politicians who run on an anti-Mexico platform and do well. Republicans already had more primary votes here than democrats did. Not going to change yet.
>>
>>80798461
only possible landslide scenario
>>
>>80799522
Average gives it to Clinton by 1. That said, there aren't an awful lot of polls coming out of AZ so that figure has margin of error of +/-lots
>>
>>80793119
Sanders supporters relying on judicial watch and trey Gowdy

>my sides
>>
>>80798461
This could only happen if clinton called someone a nigger on tv

I would love to see my state red though
>>
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>>80793310

PITTSBURGH!
>>
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>>80795538
You actually think no one supports Hillary? She has tricked millions of people into falling for her liberal messages and to ignore her past crimes. Trump can gain the edge on her in the coming months though. I can't wait for the debates.
>>
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>>80793310
>Filthadelphia
>>
>>80798767
>There was cheating for Brexit and we still won, by a small margin admittedly, but it was a win.
I definitely draw a comparison between the Brexit situation and the current political situation in the US. I think that even with all the election fraud, (Hillary ALREADY cheated against Bernie in California) the globalists' plans are falling apart and Donald Trump will be the next President.

>young, white, working class
That would be me. I used to work in the coal mine and I want my job back. Hillary plans to shut down more mines.

>You need to FORCE the people who have never voted to get off their arse and go out and vote.
I have already convinced several of my friends to vote Trump. I hope others around the country are doing the same.
>>
>>80798899
You probably votes for Kasich with the rest of the mudbloods.
>>
>>80792510
Pa resident here.weve had record number of party affiliation swaps.trump wins pa despite filthadelphia being a chimp sanctuary.
>>
>>80800196
The average is irrelevant, Arizona passed a bill that allowed for racial profiling of Mexicans in 2009. If they were going to go blue it would have been in 2012 not in 2016 when Trump is saying "mean things". Republicans won by 7 points there in 2012, that's a pretty thick like my dick margin to overcome. And that's considering that winning presidents usually do better in states won by the other guy than the other guy does in states won by the winning president, so Trump will probably increase his lead in Arizona to 55%.
>>
>>80800768
>You actually think no one supports Hillary?
I'm obviously being hyperbolic, but where are all these supposed Hillary voters? We're being told that she has the majority by all these polls. I'm not buying it.
>>
>>80796704
this is pretty much how it's gonna go. Hillary is actually within 4 pts in Georgia too.
>>
>>80798461
maybe 50 years ago lmao
>>
>>80794609
You mean where all the spics are.
>>
You think votes matter? This was clear after Ron Paul didn't get the nomination.

Inb4 it was close, but Hillary still won.
>>
>>80801233
She won the fucking nomination against Bernie Sanders who so many people vocally adored.

Hillary supporters are the silent majority.
>>
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>>80796704
>>
>>80801542
Ron Paul didn't get the nomination because he couldn't play the media, the media played him.
>>
>>80791796
Trump is getting 25% of blacks. 40% of wetbacks. And literally all of Bernie voters will stay home. And he won half of all democrat primary votes.

Hillary will not and cannot win.
>>
>>80792560
How did california go so far left? Such a beautiful state to be destroyed by Democrats. Very sad
>>
>>80798056
We're you here in 08? Remember all the mass hype for Obama, signs and shit everywhere. Nothing more than tepid open support for Hillary even in bluest of areas this time around.

Look whats happened since then. The state democrat party collapsed, both houses of the legislature went GOP, and both senate elections and the governor went GOP.

NC's not going blue this year.
>>
>>80798525
>muslim britbong
just sit with your assault spoon and watch the show
>>
>>80792343
I was with a group of coworkers on an Ohio college campus when I was polled who I would vote for if the election were held today. I am 100% voting for Trump, you better believe it, but I had to say Clinton in front of my co-workers because they are all crazy liberal and I have to deal with them on projects. I really don't trust liberals anymore considering how they cry rape and assault to ruin people's jobs. They think they are on a sacred quest and have no standards.

tldr: I am voting Trump but lied to a pollster because I am afraid for my job. If 3% of Hillary voters feel the same way then Trump will win Ohio.
>>
>>80798767
>There was cheating for Brexit
Well, yes. That's how Leave won it in the first place.
>>
>>80801885
>Trump is getting 25% of blacks.

Then why do I see so many redditards and hill-shills on here claiming "TRUMP ONLY HAS 1% OF THE BLACK VOTE. HE'S GOING TO LOSE IN A LANDSLIDE!!!"
>>
>>80791581
He's gonna win Ohio, PA, and New Hamps.
>>
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>>80802333
LOL Bernie sold out to Hillary and the Globalists. Trump 2016! Watch:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=0x4Htj5gfGs
>>
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>>80801885
>Trump is getting 25% of blacks. 40% of wetbacks
THIS IS WHAT TRUMPTARDS ACTUALLY BELIEVE
>>
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>>80796704
JUST
>>
>>80802556

kek "no"
>>
>>80792560
>tfw NJ will never be red again
>>
All I care about is Florida.
If Trump wins florida, he wins the election.
How many elections before 88 has florida been wrong?
>>
>>80803030

>wins florida
>still loses OH, and PA

Silly anon, trump has to win literally every swing state in order to get close to winning.
>>
>>80796908
stop fucking posting this, you're in every single one of these goddamn threads cocksucker
>>
>>80802619
It's weird though. A few months ago, he was polling around 15% with black voters.

I guess they don't like how he sided with police officers.
>>
>>80797333
trips

kek has spoken
>>
>>80803164
I say that because it's a trend.
Not that i'm ignoring the others but if there's a trend of secretly liking Trump then most likely the other battle grounds will be red too.
>>
>>80798461
I like you

Watch this actually happen
>>
>>80791581

>believing polls
>>
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Iowa for Trump here. My state will go red again!
>>
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>>80802619
>>
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>>80803030
Florida went for Obama by about 1 percentage point.

Ohio went for Obama by 3.5 percentage points.

He needs both of them to win the election.

These are the states that could realistically go for either candidate.

As you can see, Hillary has the advantage.
>>
>>80803264

... /pol/ has gotten so fucking casual.
>>
>>80803164
No, he HAS to win FA and OH. He can lose PA if he wins other states.
>>
>>80800830
>>80800830
I've never been a member of a party and I've never volunteered before but I'd say for Brexit I spent about 250 hours of my time leafleting, attending 'remain' meetings to shill like a motherfucker and on stands in the street. I have no idea how much my personal effort did but if I changed just 50 people's minds I think it was well worthwhile.

If you have the time, as an Anglosphere bro I plead with you to get out and leaflet, shill and do all you can to help people see the truth.

This video nearly made me cry and I want your lot to feel the same way later this year. There's another of a working class, normal white woman who cries when she finds out Brexit won but I can't find it because the media are shilling for another referendum.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqW-pWzLFfs
>>
>>80797452
In Ohio and Florida, its going the other way around. No Hillary support anywhere here in CBus and FL was hardcore Trump.

I like his odds.
>>
>>80798585
He has the same hispanic polling numbers as Romney. Yes they favor Clinton more, but it's nothing new.
>>
>>80802619
>99% would turnout to vote

Trump wont get 25% of the black vote but that poll is clearly bullshit.
>>
>>80803030
Its the le specific scenario that's always happened until it hasn't meme again
>>
>>80802333
Lad. Pls.

The whole world wanted us to stay. We were threatened with literally everything one could threaten a nation with...

If you're suggesting the leave campaign won because of cheating then you're an absolute (((((cockend)))))
>>
>>80803407
Exactly, when has florida been wrong about who will win the presidency?
Florida goes blue, democrat becomes pres.
Florida goes red, republican becomes pres.
>>
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>>80793421

God this is such a stupid response. I know I'm late to reading the whole thread but holy shit I just had to say this.
>>
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screencap this

also Flynn will be his VP, Shillary will pick Goofy Elizabeth Warren so the VP debate will be Wounded Knee II
>>
>>80792201
>>80792510

may kek smite you for this
>>
>>80797452
Disliking a candidate does not mean they will lose. A lot of people disliked Obama, and he probably would've lost if Romney wasn't an idiot and actually tried. Trump supporters are much more excited and high energy than Hillary supporters, and infinitely more so than Bernie supporters who prefer Hillary.
>>
>>80802040
The same way they hope to capture a permanent nationwide majority. Illegals. They just flood states with them and then ease voting laws until they flip to blue.
>>
>>80791581
Floroda blue
>>
>>80794310

99% of what exaclty? Grass? Dirt? Certainly not people you fucking dimwit.
>>
>>80803407
PA is a swing state this election.
>>
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>>80791581
not even one debate yet pleb

OREGON GOES RED!
14/88
>>
>>80795538
>things are only going to go more in his favor when he demolishes her in the debates.
Oh no, ol' rapey Billy is dead :'( time to postpone the debates
>>
>>80803030
>If Trump wins florida, he wins the election.
Other way round. He loses FL, he loses the election. He needs to win a YUUUUGE number of swing states.

>>80803240
15% of black vote is still tiny though.

>>80803547
I'll get onto their experts right away to tell them some random anonymous poster on the Internet thinks they're wrong.
>>
>>80803164
its a trend If one goes they all usually go
>>
>>80803996
Yes, /pol/ seems to have a hard time with this.
Florida is the key.
>>
Prove me wrong
>>
>>80803407
add PA in the grey and this is pretty accurate
>>
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>>80795455
>Leaf knowing anything about politics
>>
>>80803595
>telling blatant lies
>not cheating
>>
>>80801885
Delusion
>>
>>80803743

Honest question, do you do your predictions after huffing a lot of glue and paint?
>>
>>80803457
I've mostly changed the views of some of my more leftist peers, friends, family, etc. I definitely intend to do more, because my future rides on this election. If Trump wins and reopens the mines I can double the money I'm making now.

>>80803906
>time to postpone the debates
They know she can't win a debate against Trump and I think this is definitely a threat. I feel like they may be trying to instigate a race war to give Obama an excuse to declare martial law.
>>
>>80804366
prove me wrong faggot
>>
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>>80804109
i think you got it
well done
>>
>>80803743
>IN blue

>OH, FL, PA red

Seriously?
>>
>>80803743
oregon turns red
>>
>>80798300
I am one very such person. I'm twenty-two and am voting for the first time ever when time comes around.

I'm doing my part to assure Hillary gets rekt and Trump ascends as the POTUS.
>>
>>80804641
Never gonna happen
>>
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>>80803743
>>80804641
>>80804699

CO will tho
>>
Is it possible to drive to florida and write a fake address and put on my voter registration that I moved to florida and then in november drive back to florida and vote Trump?
Is this possible?
>>
>>80804479

Gladly, you fucking air head. How about we start with content from the same site you used to come up with that retarded prediction.

http://www.270towin.com/states/Pennsylvania

Let's see. Hillary is up 10 points in the latest poll on Trump and the GOP hasn't won the state since 1988.

I'm not even going to mention your other predictions because, again, they were probably made by someone with an IQ of below IQ.
>>
>>80793168
Ohio-fag here pretty much everyone I have talked to hates Hilary most like Trump and some are still Bernout that are going to write him in.
>>
>>80804957
>ignoring the 4 polls before that where it's really close
wew
>>
>>80793310
>State College
>Harrisburg
>Hershey
What the fuck?
The state boys were already red. So who the fuck is left to vote Republican in that area? Milton Hershey's ghost?
For reference as to why PA's probably going red this year. This picture says more than I ever could in words.
>>
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>>80804957
Trust me, she'll collapse by September. Trump will win. Stop getting butthurt over fake internet polls you dummy.
>>
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>>80792510
>PA will never vote for trump
you're retarded, consider suicide
>>
Are Quinnipiac polls the least biased and most accurate?
>>
>>80805077

>Hillary has been beating Trump since before Bernie Sanders dropped out of the race and the Democrat Party was united behind her.

wew lad i'm sure the dems are quivering in fear
top kek

>>80805180

You make a pretty solid argument, I think you're right after all.
>>
>>80805337
That's not true, but okay senpai.
>>
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>>80805337
We'll see. Meet you back here in November faggot.
>>
>>80805337
>believes the polls

LOL
>>
>>80793310
Philly fag here, liberal whites will literally drive busses around to pick up blacks and get them to vote.
>>
>>80803743
>Trump losing Indiana

Nigger please.
>>
>>80791581
Ohio and Pennsylvania should be considered swing since basketball americans will not voterfraud in Shilter like they did for Obabo (See Cleveland and Philiadelphia)
>>
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>>80805733
This is my updated one
>>
>>80805180
Iowa is well-educated and voted blue in 6 of the past 7 elections. It is not voting for Trump.
>>
>>80805929
see>>80805968
>>
>>80805968
New poll has Trump up by 2 points in Iowa. Bernie and Hillary supporters made up about 50% of democratic support in Iowa. Bern fags are what will make Iowa go red. Trump leads Hillary among voters younger than 50, Hillary leads with voters that are 50 or older. Iowa has Republican senators, and a republican governor that is the longest sitting governor in US history. We are turning red.
>>
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>>80805968
eat shit commie

http://indy100.independent.co.uk/article/donald-trump-supporters-are-better-educated-than-the-average-american--ZylKHlODwGW
>>
>>80803334
see>>80806084
>>
>>80805929

This map is fucking retarded.

Trump is going to have a tough time winning Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina AND Florida.

He'd be lucky to win half of those states, and he's at risk of having Georgia + New Hampshire become swing states.

Within the next 12 years, Texas and Arizona will be swing states too.
>>
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This is my personal prediction.

Trump needs to flip Virginia and Ohio, that's pretty much it. I feel Florida is solidly in his grasp.

If a more solidly-blue state flipped it would be PA.
>>
>>80806084
>>80806262
I'm a Cedar Rapids fag (just chilling), and I don't see much Shillary support. Only places I see it is in the ghetto mainly. Bernie Sanders was pretty popular here. I don't see very many Trump signs, (probably because of discrimination) but when I do, they are in working class areas.
>>
>>80806324
see>>80806262
Thread replies: 255
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