NEW POLL SHOWS HILLARY WITH 13 POINT LEAD OVER TRUMP
BTFO!!!!!!
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0ZL2S6
Anyone who thinks Trump is going to win doesn't understand how the electoral college works.
538 is already projecting his chances at a mere 19%
>>79948506
>http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0ZL2S6
Wheres the polling data you fucking leaf?
I love this leaf. It's like having my own pet retard that I can laugh at daily.
>oops we oversampled democrats and grossly undersampled independents again xDDD
>>79948506
She's killing the soldier just like she's killing the dab
Canada pls
>>79948705
>taking anything Nate Bronze does seriously at this point...
>>79948705
>muh palm reading
>>79948705
Anyone who thinks Trump will lose doesn't understand how Democrat voters don't actually show up to vote.
Polls and projections are meaningless because they don't take that into account.
>>79948769
Is Hillary /pol/?
Not for long
>>79948705
>538
>youknowwhatIdon'tevencareanymorebaitfish.tga
>>79949057
What reason do you have to doubt the robustness of his general election models? Sure he got the GOP primary wrong, but that is a different beast.
>>79949110
Of course he takes that into account.
I just don't want you guys falling into the same trap as in 2012 when people thought Romney and Obama were close, nearly 50/50, when in fact Obama was far and away the favorite to win.
>>79948925
Yeah, leafs can be entertaining with their shitposts.
>>79948932
yea iowa all over again. can wait until we get a debate . hillary does poorly in every debate
>>79948506
>The online national poll of 1,441 American adults had a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of 3 percentage points.
>1,441 American Adults
This is why I don't like polls.
>>79948769
>Red pilled Hillary
I know Hillary was more of a center right conservative before she started going full left to pander. I hope the real Hillary is revealed during her presidency. Maybe it won't be so bad.
>>79949289
>Maybe it won't be so bad.
You ready to serve in the Great Syria War?
>>79949208
>Sure he got the GOP primary wrong, but that is a different beast.
Go to bed, Nathan. You're drunk.
>when in fact Obama was far and away the favorite to win.
By what margin did Obama win again?
>>79948506
"Among Clinton's supporters, nearly half said they were backing her because "I don't want Donald Trump to win."
Yeah this doesn't really make her seem that good, kinda just proving that the media is brainwashing you morons.
>>79949289
>looks up to Merkel
>corrupt
stfu bitch
>>79948506
Trump messed up when he refused to do the "dab". Why is a raysis and bigot?
>>79948506
>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e-TPn0C1LXw
Didn't the email leaks confirm that Trump had 200% more popularity then Clinton and that her camp had to pay off the media to publish bullshit polls over him and Cuckie Cuckers?
>>79949289
Maybe Ahmeds' cock will taste to your liking as well.
>>79949424
Alright I'm assuming this is a shitpost but I'll bite:
How are primary elections and general elections in any way similar? It's not the same type of vote (primaries and caucuses), sequential rather than all at once, variable number of candidates, often limited to one party, etc. the list goes on.
The fact is that Silver's model got every state right in 2012, and in 2010, got almost all of them right (and all his incorrect predictions fell within the margin of error given).
And secondly, margin of victory doesn't correlate exactly with chance to win. Would you say someone with a consistent 80% in the polls vs 20%, only has an 80% chance of winning? His chances would be nearly 100%.
He gave Obama a 90.9% chance of winning in 2012. He predicted Obama would get 50.8% of the vote with a 0.4% margin of error; Obama won with 51.1%. But that in no way means Obama had a 51.1% chance of winning.
>>79949784
[Citation Please]
>>79948506
>one post from this id
>>79948506
I would rather vote and Trump lose than not vote at all. Keep trying shill
>>79950018
>This nigger thinks that Silver is always right
HAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAAHAHAHA
>>79949349
>>79949463
>>79949867
I'm not voting for her morons. I'm trying to pull serious mental gymnastics to make her out to be redpilled in the event Trump loses. It can't end like this.
Hillary is literally more redpilled than Trump you idiots
>>79950018
>Alright I'm assuming this is a shitpost but I'll bite:
No Nate, YOU are the shitpost.
>How are primary elections and general elections in any way similar? It's not the same type of vote (primaries and caucuses), sequential rather than all at once, variable number of candidates, often limited to one party, etc. the list goes on.
Sounds like a whole lot of damage control there, buddy. Nate Cardboard is a God damn retard who cannot do his job apparently.
>The fact is that Silver's model got every state right in 2012, and in 2010, got almost all of them right (and all his incorrect predictions fell within the margin of error given).
Wow, he predicted the first black president would get a large enough turnout against Mittens. What a genius!
>And secondly, margin of victory doesn't correlate exactly with chance to win. Would you say someone with a consistent 80% in the polls vs 20%, only has an 80% chance of winning? His chances would be nearly 100%.
All right buddy, I see what you're doing with the numbers to support your theory.
>He gave Obama a 90.9% chance of winning in 2012. He predicted Obama would get 50.8% of the vote with a 0.4% margin of error; Obama won with 51.1%. But that in no way means Obama had a 51.1% chance of winning.
Yeah, like what I said above. I see how you're skewing the numbers.
>>79950177
I'd say they are on the same level.
Except shillary is lying through her teeth
>nate silver
>>79950177
Explain how.
>>79948506
That pic makes me die from cringe every time.
>>79950158
You really think Trump can actually be stopped by a 70 year old felon with brain damage?
>>79950447
Hillary actually came up with the wall idea way back in 2006, this is a game changer
shes more redpilled trust me
This is the top comment on Hillarys official facebook page. Where are these phantom Hillary supporters? Why isnt she having people shill on her own facebook rather than here?
>>79950177
i cant even tell if the canadians are just shitposting or they are being paid to shill anymore
>>79950318
Skewing what? I'm just saying Trump's chances of winning are definitely less than 50/50 right now. Him being down a few points in so many of the polls equates to a much larger magnitude when it comes to chances.
>>79948506
>reuteurs polls
All of their previous polls had democrat oversampling.
>>79950528
[Citation Please]
>>79950542
Facebook would ban you
>>79950567
No one is being paid to shill for Hillary by the way. It's a Republican-funded lie and a pathetic attempt to smear her campaign.
>>79948506
>online poll
oh yeah, this is definitely accurate..
>>79950567
Ugh...
No one is being paid to shill for Hillary by the way. It's a Republican-funded lie and a pathetic attempt to smear her campaign.
>>79950608
Good point. Guess I'm now #ArtillaryForHillary
>>79950752
wtf i hate trump now
>>79950528
What >>79950631 said.
[citation needed]
>>79948506
/POL/ BTFOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
>>79950497
No. I think that Trump can be stopped by millions of stupid fucking niggers, illegal immigrants, liberals, feminists, and faggots who will vote for Hillary despite everything exposing her to be completely incompetent and corrupt. I made the mistake of looking over how fucking stupid and think skinned most people are. Its these people that will fuck us all over in the end.
>>79950631
>>79950896
its true
https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2006/10/wall-o04.html
>>79950814
Look dude, it's not just OP's poll.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html#polls
Hell, half the polls showing a Trump lead are from Rasmussen, which is known to have a Republican bias.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
>chris khan
>khan
>>79950402
(((Nate Silver)))
>>79950973
>don't believe those republican biased polls
>instead, believe these democrat biased polls
>>79950973
Polls are worthless right now. It's July.
But it doesn't matter, you're going to continue Correcting the Record regardless.
>>79950961
HAHAHAHAAHAHHAH she didn't come up with the fucking secure fence act you moron
>>79951093
breh I posted all their biases for you to look over
>>79951148
I'll give you that, the polls are way less reliable now than then will be. But the consistency with which Clinton is leading should be concerning.
Literally nothing that shows Hillary in any kind of lead over Trump matters, it's nothing but propaganda because the MSM and elites want to create the narrative that Trump's a racist fool who has no chance of victory.
It's absolutely imperative that any and all Trump supporters disregard this narrative and continue to adamantly give Trump your support and spread the hype. This is coming from a black guy who lives in CA and voted for Obama twice.
Hillary cannot be allowed to become President, it'd be the worst possible outcome for the democrat Party. That's why I"m voting Trump and encouraging all my peers to as well, voting Jill Stein just isn't enough in these circumstances.
>>79951233
>consistently biased makes it right
...
>>79951233
>the consistency with which jeb is leading the polls before the primaries should be concerning
slow and steady baby macbook pro
>>79950542
I've been playing mind games with the shills
They're off looking for the 4Chan gold iirc
Meanwhile were on a facebook chat group
>>79951184
what the fuck did u say u little bitch???
IVE BEEN WRONG
IVE BEEN DOWN
BEEN TO THE BOTTOM OF EVERY BOTTLE
THESE FIVE WORDS IN MY HEAD, KEEP SCREAMING
ARE
WE
HAVING
FUN
YET
>>79951317
What? Literally what?
>>79951342
That illusiory lead collapsed when the primary season began. We're already in the general election season.
>>79951381
>>79951464
>We're already in the general election season.
Not until the conventions are over
>>79951539
Lfmao!!! XD Drumpfs a racist so he deserves it!!!
>>79950497
Trump is going to stop himself. Hillary is so deeply unpopular that even with the entire media shilling her, the only reason she stands a chance is because her opponent is Trump.
nice b8 m89
>>79951381
Hairy arms on a girl how gross.
>>79949208
Are you retarded? No seriously are you? 2012 was no landslide for King Chimp, anybody who voted for Romney are already voting Republican every four years anyway, these people would vote for a fucking wet shoe if it was the republican nominee.
>>79952006
this, correcting for number of respondents is necessary.
she already ran the country once before. She's mot qualified tbqh
>>79951539
>>79951669
He kind of has a point. Trump doesn't get access to RNC funding until he's officially the nominee.
Certain mechanisms of the general election aren't activated until then.
>>79948506
>reuters/ipsos
>linked to Tevistock
>linked to Catalist
kek, okay bro.
>>79948506
Oversampling Dems. Get a new trick, fagbait.
