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R8 my election prediction
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You are currently reading a thread in /pol/ - Politically Incorrect

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R8 my election prediction
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Make your own -- http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/create_your_own_president_map.html
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>>79441491
My state Virginia won't go for Clinton. New 2014 voter ID laws, and Clinton isn't Obama and won't get the turnout she needs to win. If she picks our Criminal senator Tim Kaine, she will lose even worse. Virginia is out of the question for Clinton.
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Probably something like this.

>>79441727
t. Romney in Ohio & Wisconsin
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>>79441727
What about all those criminals that your governor is allowing to vote?

I heard there were like 200,000
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>>79441822
Is it really possible that Trump could win PA and not win FL and NC?
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>>79441843
Doesn't matter. Not all will vote for Clinton. She has no chance here.
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If Trump picks a military man he will win Virginia by 8 points. If he doesn't he will win by 4 points.
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>>79441906
That's good to hear.

I've never spent much time in Virginia outside the DC suburbs (New Somalia) so maybe I don't give you guys enough credit.
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>>79441491
Rate my prediction.
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>>79441901
I think it's possible.

NC and FL are a lot less white.

Obama didn't have an advantage with white females in 2012 so he lost North Carolina, Hillary does this time around.

So Hillary has an advantage w/ non-whites (lots in NC & FL) and white females
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>>79441901
No
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>>79442013
pretty great m8 i r8 8/8
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>>79442012
Would be worried with any other candidate other than Clinton, but she isn't liked here. Maybe Trump would lose against O'malley or Webb, but not Clinton.
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>>79441843

lol he thinks the criminals will vote for Trump, he's nuts.
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>>79441901
No it's not he is an idiot he has NC blue don't pay attention to him
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>>79442175
>>79442012
Are you guys retarded? VA is the state that almost voted for Rubio over Trump.

NoVa is just too large and too anti-trump and pro-clinton

It's also educated so they'll definitely turnout.
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>>79442209
If no one gets 270, the House votes.

The Speaker of the House has endorsed Trump.

>win win!
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>>79442253
Last 2 polls show Hillary up in NC
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The actual result, not that I'm happy about it.
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>>79442019
Are you stupid North Carolina will go blue when hell freezes over
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>>79442305
RCP average for NC is Clinton +.07

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_clinton-5538.html

If there's a state where lots of white people who haven't voted in 20 years (and therefore aren't polled) will come out for Trump, its NC

>>79442410
This /pol/lock knows what's up
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>>79442305
Ya and I've seen polls with trump wining Oregon doesn't meen it's going to happen
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>>79442477
>0.7 typo
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>>79442410
I don't think it will go blue but don't be surprised if it does.

I'm here in NC and there's a lot of rage over our idiot Republican governor.
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>>79442256
Too much baggage around here. Her buddy gov Mcauliffe and Criminal Kaines approval ratings are in free fall. The military presence is just too strong for Clinton to overcome. The reason Virginia went for Obama after Bush, is because Military members were pissed with establishment Republicans. Trump isn't the establishment, and has favorable numbers among Military members. NOVA doesn't decide Virginia. Military members do, and there are plenty up there. It's too much for Clinton to overcome, especially after Benghazi.
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>>79442502
Only two polls for Oregon, both with small sample sizes. One Clinton +11, the other Trump +2

Oregon is the kind of state where disgruntled Sanders people in Portland might not vote at all, while turnout among "NW Front" people in the Mountains could be huge.

All about turnout.
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>>79442645
I mean does anyone outside of charlotte and asheville really want clinton
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>>79442409
I really don't see Iowa ever voting for Hillary Clinton
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>>79442409
The only thing I disagree with is Colorado, unfortunately.

Percentage wise maybe Trump gets closer than Romney did, but definitely not electorally.
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>>79442687
I'd like to see it happen don't get me wrong but I don't expect it. At least I know my home state of TN will be red
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>>79442687
Trump just puts too many states in play. Michigan,PA,Maine,Oregon. Clinton is in serious trouble.
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>>79442784
I live in Raleigh and it's filled with berniefags.

>>79442805
She's up by 14 in the latest.

>>79442866
I actually made Colorado red by mistake I definitely agree.
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>>79441491
delusional
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>>79442477
>If there's a state where lots of white people who haven't voted in 20 years (and therefore aren't polled) will come out for Trump, its NC

Well if they haven't registered to vote they don't matter.

>>79442410
Shut up Poland nobody cares about you

>>79442678
>Her buddy gov Mcauliffe and Criminal Kaines approval ratings are in free fall.

Do you have any actual proof of that

>NOVA doesn't decide Virginia. Military members do, and there are plenty up there. It's too much for Clinton to overcome, especially after Benghazi.

Benghazi literally happened in 2012 and guess who won Virginia? Obama.

>>79442967
You guys are fucking retarded
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>Trump winning CO

>Hillary winning NM
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>>79442409
If you want to be more relistic at least make Florida and Ohio red, Iowa also
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>>79443061
I'm an American you fucking idiot I said my home state is Tennessee
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>>79443061
NC: They will register to vote this time for the first time since 2004 or 1988, is what I meant to say.
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>>79443228
Trump really didn't even get that many new people out to vote, he just got general election voters to vote in the primaries
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>>79443061
In 2012, Obama won by lying about Benghazi and lying about Russia

>The 1980s called, they want their foreign policy back
^^ he said about Russia

>Osama bin laden is dead, GM is alive
^^ he said about "winning" the war on terror and fixing the economy.

All of that is clearly evident as bullshit now
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>>79443121
>Florida against Clinton

Iowa has Clinton at a massive lead and it's hard to see that changing.

You may not be crazy about Ohio but I expect Ohio Repubs to ultimately not be able to stomach Trump.
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>>79443387
You are referring to one poll with a sample size of 600 people about Iowa.

The second-most recent poll only has her up +2

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_trump_vs_clinton-5597.html
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>>79443387
I don't think they like him but they hate Hilary more in Ohio and Trump has Florida she only will win dade county
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>>79443331
Trump's whole campaign is based on the idea that he can appeal to enough disgruntled white people in the rust belt and in the South who haven't voted in 20 years to push him over the top.

If that assumption is wrong, he's doomed.
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He'll flip New Mexico. I can feel it in my bones.
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>>79443387
John Kasich is the governor, and he used to work at Lehmen Bros., he is not representative of "Ohio Republicans"
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>>79443355
Ok, that doesn't change that Romney still lost

>>79443606
Ohio voted for Hillary and against Trump.

They voted for their pro-TPP pro-NAFTA governor.
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>>79443665
Messed up muh crop.
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>>79443121
>Iowa has Clinton at a massive lead and it's hard to see that changing.

Haven't been paying attention to the polls lately, have you?
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Trump has little to no ground game in the swing states. I'm afraid the fix is in. Hillary will win.
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>>79443774
too close for comfort, yo.

In a scenario where he's going to win NV and NM, I can't see him not winning NC, IA and CO
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>>79443606

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_clinton-5635.html

Lol, no.

Trump's going to get slaughtered so bad in November. People will talk about this election on the scale of how lopsided the '84 one was.
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>>79441491
PA won't go red this election. Too many nigs and welfare queens on either end to get past, even though the entire state is red otherwise.
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>>79442289
Ryan will pull some sketchy shit if that happens. He'll ask everybody to write him in.
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A demonstration is scheduled in Brazil for July 31 for the impeachment. I could go with a pro-Trump sign, to show that not all latinos are wall jumpers Mexicans. Do you thing it is a good idea or a "fuck off, Brazil" one
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>>79442805
Farmers want gibsmedats. They don't give a fuck about anything else.
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>>79444143
The American news literally doesn't report anything about Brazil
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>>79443898
He has reputation, and more conservative Hispanics in Nevada.

Clinton won't get much turnout from New Mexico, there's just so much chronic apathy here, especially among her demographics (spics and yungins). Pic very related.

Colorado is a toss up. I know it certainly leans left, but most of the Colofags I've spoken with support Trump. Maybe I'm just too deep in the hug box, who knows.

NC is similar, but there's no way he'll get Iowa. The Republicans won't show up at the ballots out of saltiness.
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my prediction

He needs to turn PA or MI red or if he can get Colorado
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>>79444143
>Endorsing a candidate who despises your ethnicity

How could you be a bigger cuck?
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>>79444032
Cubans are probably worried about him stepping the wet-foot dry-foot policy.

It's doubtful that he'll win Florida.
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>>79444081
Even NBC has PA rated as a "tossup"

http://www.270towin.com/maps/nbc-battleground
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>>79444469
Now that we are reopening legal travel to Cuba, how have we not removed this policy yet????
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>>79444455
Fuck off shill. Beaners=/=monkeys.
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>>79444455
Nice dubs, fool
>despises your ethnicity

What the fuck are you talking about, I thought Brazillians were white
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>>79444436
>Losing NH
Nah family, they love him. PA is also a fair red.
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>>79444753
Even the rural upstate part of Maine that for some reason has a separate vote might go for Trump
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>>79444753
>>79444835
I was being conservative if he lost I would imagine a map something like that
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>>79444436
PA and CO are both within reason for Trump

He visited both of those states this week, which means he is trying.
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>>79441727
Another Virginian here and poster is right, it will be red and there is not doubt about that...
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>>79445035
Kek in our dreams
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>>79445035
inshallah
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>>79445035
>Giving him the entire PNW.
Shit, little much even for the God Emperor desu.
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>>79441491


It's hard to get a Trump win, even by giving generous big wins like Ohio and Florida to him (which currently favor Clinton).
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>>79445187
Oregon is possible, IMHO

Washington state is a bit of a stretch, unless all the Sanders supporters vote for Jill Stein or Gary Johnson
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>>79445035
I wish.
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>>79445187
Washington and Oregon were balls deep in the Sanders camp.

They're extra fanatical and hate Hillary enough to flip the states.
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>>79445035
more like
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>>79445320
>Kansas
>Hillary Clinton
Areyoufuckingkiddingme?
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Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are absolute must wins for Trump.
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>>79445035
> Trumps wet dream
>>79445320
> Hilarys wet dream
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>>79441727
>>79445145
I hope you guys are right. I'm fighting tooth-and-nail down here in the Land of Enchantment. Good luck.
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>>79445187
Reminder that Hillary Clinton only got 7,140 votes in the Washington Democratic primary

>Trump got 403,003
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>>79445419
The most probable map for a Trump win imo.
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>>79445246
Orlando shooting gave him Florida. It's red.
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>>79445499
Caucus != Primary
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It's gonna end up being this, and anyone saying otherwise is deluded. Screenshot this.

Enjoy the next few months Trumpcucks. We're getting shitty Clinton for president.
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I live in New Jersey (the state which voted for Gov. Sandwiches twice, BTW) and I see Trump bumper stickers and lawn signs on the regular. Literally never seen anything for Hillary, but lots of Sanders.

>Goldman Sachs is here though
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>>79443881
>the fix is in
Speaking of, have any more of Trump's staffers quit the last hour or so?
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>>79445587
Washington actually holds both
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>>79441491
I'm CO and will vote anything but Clinton. I don't see CO turning red, though.
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>>79445639
>Donald "I don't care" Trump
>Losing Florida and Pennsylvania.
Yeah, nah.
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>>79441491
Pennsylvania, Ohio and Colorado will go blue
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>>79445577
Did you pay any attention to anything outside of /pol/? People thought his handling of it was abhorrent. It hurt him.
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>>79446063
That's what the television said. Not real actual human beings.
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>>79445963
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>>79442967
You're a fucking idiot, Trump is only wildly popular with a few people. Fewer than you'd think. Barring anything coming out of the FBI or some new scandal, it's going to be a slaughter.
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>>79446160
I've talked to people and I've seen various other news sources. You guys have a problem where you think anything that isn't on /pol/ is a shill, unless of course it confirms your prior held beliefs, like shitty Breitbart.
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>>79446160
I just said it and I'm a real actual human being
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>>79445639
>North Carolina
>blue
Not with our handy-dandy voter ID laws!
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>>79443121
Ohio Republicans aren't Trump type Republicans
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>>79446287
Thanks for the update CNN
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>>79446063
The news said the people hated it. Did you see gun sales, especially in homos, after the shooting? They're buying weapons, not hijabs.

I know, I know:
>muh MSM! Muh they hate Donny!
But the news says what it wants to, and they said people said he's bad. We'll see in November, but many people are finally getting sick of the terrorist's bullshit.
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>>79446342
There are a lot of old Jews in South Florida who are really fucking scared of terrorists

There are a lot of hicks in South Florida who really want to blow up muzzies

Also Florida has a Republican Governor and 1 Republican senator.

I don't think it is outside the realm of possibility for Trump to win.
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>>79446514
>hicks in N florida
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>>79444364
>most of the Colofags I've spoken with support Trump.

You're delusional. Trump is going to flounder, his ground game is weak and he keeps shooting himself in the foot. Anecdotes don't beat polls.
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>>79446663
>his ground game is weak
It's July 1, the conventions haven't even happened yet. It isn't ground game time yet
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>>79446578
We have our fair share down here
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>>79445320
>Missouri not voting the same as Arkansas
I doubt Missouri will vote blue
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>dude weed lmaos ruiened Colorado
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>>79446663
That's my fucking point "anecdotes aren't people", I marked Colo as blue on my map you idiot.

Please, stop at any time.
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>>79446942
You guys still have scenery and shit. It could be worse.
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>>79446942
California refugees ruined Colorado

t. California refugee that didn't ruin Colorado
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>>79447259
>that didn't ruin Colorado
You already admitted to came from Commiefornia. You don't have the strongest case.
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>>79446731
Hills campaign is already miles ahead of Trumps, if not now then when?
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>>79447410
hillary's campaign is bloted, paying 900 idiots to sit in a huge expensive building in Brooklyn

"miles ahead" in staffers is a weakness in the age of Twitter and Youtube
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Trump is going to choose a good VP and will stomp Hillary in all 3 debates and will reduce Hillary to coughing fits.
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Even after giving Trump generous wins where Clinton polls higher (Florida, Colorado and NH), I can't get him to win.
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>>79447920
Clinton's lead in OH is slim, senpai
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_clinton-5634.html
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>>79441491
Probably something like this
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>>79447395
I'm not a liberal.
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I don't know a lot about these crazy maps you radical kids are doing now-a-days on the interweb, can I get a r8?
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>>79447833
>thinks Oregon and Maine will turn red.

You're delusional, dude.
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>>79448250
trump will not lose Georgia
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>>79448250
>New York is red
>North Carolina is blue
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>>79448344
but Atlanta is in Georgia, and that's where all the niggers and spics are wouldn't they want to vote for a democrat?
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>>79448523
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Georgia,_2014

This chickenfucker got elected
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>>79444455
He is not racist, he is against illegal immigrants. I'm ok with that.
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>>79448488
>Implying that I know what I'm doing
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I think this
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Maybe this
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It will be close
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Hopefully not this
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This is being generous. There has to be some major turn arounds for Trump to win.
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