so /pol/, what are you planning to do about this? Other than putting fingers in your ears and claiming polls don't matter, of course.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Trump has less than a 20% chance of beating Clinton in November.
>>79205947
Brexit had similar odds.
>>79206200
Brexit was speculated to have a 90% chance of passing. It was an even longer shot than Trump.
That's polls only
Polls plus forcarst has it as 25%
That's 1/4. That's not bad.
Gas the kikes, race war now?
>>79206381
you mean not passing?
Why 80% only?
If the polls are always giving Clinton as leading, why not say 100%?
>>79206381
>>79206200
>Brexit polling
>American polling
Completely different
>>79206200
>>79206381
>>79206411
so hope that there's an upset and he luckily wins? Aren't you doing anything to actually help Trump-sama anon?
>>79206381
>I make up statistics because the real ones scare me
>538
The people who were completely wrong in the primaries about everything?
>>79206636
When did we say we wouldn't?
>>79206606
you mean yours are controlled by the (((media))) to an even greater extent than ours? i completely agree
Nate Silver runs 538.
>Silver
>>79206200
>comparing a single issue referendum in an 87% white country on the other side of the ocean to a general election in a 63% white country.
How much different will a Hillary presidency be than Obama? Should I start hording 80% lowers and 30 round AR mags now just to be safe?
>>79206694
They predicted that Trump would only end up with like 1,100 delegates at best. They're a joke.
>>79206200
No, it really didn't. The biggest error in polling on Brexit was assuming undecided voters would break for Remain, and no data from before this vote was really relevant. There are barely any undecided voters in a Clinton v. Trump matchup, and we have a huge amount of reliable voter data on presidential elections. You cannot compare the two.
>>79206381
the brexit polls were pretty even the day of the vote. it was pretty much a coin toss. In the brexit predictions, the markets were wrong, but not the polls.
If you truly want a reactionary pushback in politics, you should probably be happy Hillary wins. The huge difference between the electoral vote and popular vote (if that pic can be trusted at all) is even better. Another 4 years inside the pressure cooker will make the next outbreak even more powerful and more concentrated. 2016 is the prelude, 2020 is the big event.
Not that it really matters to most /pol/ users anyway. The simple truth is that white conservative americans have lost the culture wars. Demographics assure that whatever Trump-esque pushback happens (if it happens) will be nothing more than a historical footnote. Just 4-8 years of minor delay in the grand trend of turning America into a brown, ultra-liberal society.
>>79205947
>538
I know it's retarded bait to get /pol/ riled up, but c'mon.
>>79208488
And I can't wait till it happens and you pathetic people with nothing but your race to feel good about can finally be put to rest, or go make your own sad country somewhere else.
>>79206998
She will absolutely be harder on guns, I think. I'm a liberal commie pinko but I've never understood gun-grabbers. I think half of them might actually WANT a civil war, the violent fucks.
>>79206998
I imagine she'll take exactly as many of your guns as Obama did: zero.
