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Trump's 15-state strategy
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You are currently reading a thread in /pol/ - Politically Incorrect

Thread replies: 159
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Do you think it will work?
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>>75786567
What does the color coding represent?

Why would he even bother with West Virginia? There's no way that they vote for Clinton
>>
>>75786757
blue = solid democrat
light blue = leans democrat
yellow = swing state
red = republican
>>
>>75786567
NH? Maine? CT? VA?
NY should be dropped CA too.
>>
>>75786567
but that's not 15 states
>>
Psychological warfare, he wants to make Hildebeast compete in every state.

From a purely polling perspective FL, OH, OR, PA are the only states on this map Trump could flip
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>>75787072

I think they're pointing out the unusual ones in his strategy.

For comparison, according to Nate Silver's map (the guy who called the last 2 national elections right), these are the states Trump will lose.
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>>75786975
Maine is full of people dumber than Lobsters. No telling what they will vote for.
>>
Trump could win CA if we removed San Francisco from it...tempting thought...
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>>75787453
>Nate Silver
>>
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>>75787453
>Nate Silver
>>
>>75787453

>Nate Bismuth
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>>75787453
>Nate fucking Silver
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>>75787453

It'll be interesting, and shocking, if 3 Southern states go blue besides Florida.

It'll signal the slow end of the "Southern Strategy", if the Democrats make inroads into the heart of the GOP's solid territory.
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>>75786881
hes winning in Oregon, its pretty funny.
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>>75787453
>Arizona going blue during an election where immigration is at the forefront
>Georgia going blue
>North Carolina going blue
Jesus fuck you're retarded.
>>
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>>75787453
>Nate Silver
>>
>>75787453
Nate Silver also said that Trump was a joke candidate that couldn't possibly win the Republican Nomination, refusing to accept what was plain as day right up until Cruz and Kasich dropped out.
>>
Here is my map, /pol/: http://www.270towin.com/maps/qZGNV
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>>75787453
>losing georgia
U wot m8?

I helped recall our corrupt spic governor and elect the Governator, Trump has a slim chance if he puts out his case for immigration to the norteƱos, because they don't like wet backs either.

Highlighting the murders of Mexican Americans and black by scrap wet backs could win him some votes. If he can get that message on the mainstream airwaves.
>>
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here's my map
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>>75787921
probably wont last desu, i imagine there are a lot of bernouts registering protest votes against hill the shill that will ultimately bend the knee by november

it's fun to dream tho
>>
He's also over 30% with Hispanics...that's higher than what Mittens got
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>>75787997

>goal is middle of May
>May 3

Is there anything he can't do?
>>
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screencap this
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>>75786567


he wont win Florida, he pissed off the Cubanos
>>
>>75788672
>http://www.270towin.com/maps/qZGNV
Trump's real problem is all the dumbass PC white women who don't won't to "offend" anyone and vote Democrat.

If he gets over 60% of the white vote he wins period, he needs to improve his polling with whites
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It's fucking brilliant.
People saying it isn't are retarded.

He purposely included states like NY and CA to pull away attention from states like PA, NJ, and Oregon.
If Trump said "Yeah, I'm gonna target PA and make it red." suddenly it would be the talk of media and how he can't do it.
But if he says "PA is one of the states, but you know, I REALLY think I can get New York and California ya know?"
Now their focus is entirely on the far-left states and they think it makes him look weak for thinking he can get those states.
>>
>>75788921
>beat Florida's own Cuban senator
>h-h-he pissed off the cubanos!
people who think cubans and hispanics have similar voting patterns are retarded
>>
>>75788802
>Alabama blue
>TEXAS blue
>South Carolina blue
>Kentucky blue
>Kansas blue
>Arkansas blue

I swear, you might actually have Down's Syndrome.
>>
>>75788937

He does much worse with college-educated whites.
>>
>>75788921
One of my best mates in the U.S. is a Cubano, he absolutely hates wetbacks and voted for Trump.

Hispanics aren't monolithic, there is a big split in voting patterns between the white (Spanish) and nonwhite (Latino) ones
>>
>>75788945


And he does have a chance, at least in NJ and maybe more.

Really makes you think...
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>Their state doesn't decide entire elections
How can anyone besides Florida and Ohio even compete?
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>>75789027
There does appear to be some difference.

Are Cubans the uncle tom's of Hispanics?
>>
>>75789027


I love how /pol/ is riddled with contrarians that dont read up at all, The lib media is right in stating that Trumpfags tend to be white doods without college degrees.
Listen you stupid faggot, of course all spics vote for different parties depending on where they live. In southern florida and parts of the Southwest they're republicans. In the Northeast, Chicago, LA they vote democrat. If you read the local reports (ie Miami Herald) there is a general consensus that the Cubans dont like Trump.
All the meme magic in the world wont save Trump unless he gets the spic vote
>>
>>75788945
He's within margin of error in Jew Jersey and Michigan, also winning in Oregon.

Going after CA and Jew York opens up the back door in PA, MI, and NH which are going to be critical states this cycle.
>>
>>75789033

Nah. He just ripped off a checkerboard pattern.

At least with Nate Silver's map I can find a large number of potential Democrats (via other maps) through African-American and Hispanic-Americans populations in North Carolina, Georgia, and Virginia.
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>>75789564
Cubans fucking HATE commies.
>>
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This is the most likely outcome, assuming Clinton drops her spaghetti at least once during a debate, and Trump can really hit home with the ads for Pennsylvania.
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>>75789626
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>>75789576
Bullshit. They vote democrat accross the board. In Florida it is a little different, but they're still democrats.
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>>75787453
I called Bush getting reelected, Obama being elected and reelected. I also called the last 7 of 8 superbowls and all I do is watch the finals.

If your criteria is "got the last two right", is my guess worth more than Nate Silver's?
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>>75789819
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>>75789703
>NH
>Blue

I'd say Clinton is favored to win 55-45%
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>>75789819
Alright, so I understand the idea of "They live around the nogs, so they vote Republican" However, how is it that sheer numbers don't overwhelm the deep south? There would have to be at least SOME Conservative blacks, r-right?
>>
>>75790096
Like 40% of the nigger population is felonious, they couldn't vote even if they wanted to.
>>
>>75789861


Cubans have always been stalwart Republican voters but their numbers are falling as the newer generation have become more liberal and dont care about Castro. Also, new influx of non-cubans to southern florida changed the dynamics.
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>>75790033
>>75789819

I doubt it's coincidence that the 3 Southern states Nate Silver predicts will go blue have the largest concentrations of blacks & Hispanics together.
>>
>>75789576
>Hispanic
>Cuban
you're a retard
>>
>>75789703
There are too many niggers in PA and VA

Trump leads in CO already, he could win NV and NH no problem. Any state with lots of niggers will vote for Hillary, they don't want to lose their handouts
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>>75789861
Cubans are the only significant Hispanic group which is not reliably Democrat.
>>
>>75790096
Probably some, but not really. Republicans are racists, so they vote democrat.

This was one of the democrats greatest victories, the way they branded republicans.
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>>75790303


since when are Cubans not Hispanic/Latinos?
and how come Trumpfags always show off their level of stupidity when it comes to common knowledge
>>
>>75790251

Yes, and the bulk of Trump's support still comes from non-college whites (a percentage of whom will almost certainly hold criminal records).
>>
>>75787453
>Silver
>>
>>75790556
Maybe you should go look up why Cruz and Rubio couldn't win the hispanic vote.
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>>75790325
Niggers don't vote. The only reason they voted the last two cycles was because King Nigger was running.

Only catty old black women give a shit about shillary, the men will not bother to vote. VA is probably lost because of the government worker cucks that have moved in over the last 20 years as the size of our bureaucracy has balooned, but PA will be in play.
>>
>>75790556
Hispanic =/= Latino

Hispanics can be white (i.e. Spanish). A lot of Cubans, unlike Mexicans, don't have any native ancestry.
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>>75786975
He's close in NH and California is only blue because of disaffected whites. If Trump is able to rally usually disillusioned and apathetic whites he can take CA. Dems are trying to give illegal spics the vote for a reason.
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>>75790767

Trump is driving Hispanics to become citizens.

That will increase their voting numbers in Virginia, Georgia, and North Carolina.
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>>75789488
Trump will win without winning you delusional faggots. Stay cucked by Philly.
>>
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>>75790325
That's not true. Virginia is about to overturn that law with the 200,000 felons voting. It's a solid red state, the Suburbs of DC are more extensive into Maryland than Virginia. And as for my home state of Pennsylvania- I live 15 minutes from a 56% black town, and in a county that voted Obama twice. NOBODY speaks about Clinton positively here, the only blacks I hear discussing politics were Bernie or bust. I can't speak for Philadelphia, although I do know the rest of the state is fucking tired of them, and wants to stop capitulating elections to that scum shack. Half the registered Democrats here are just dopey farmers who fell for the "Le common man" meme, meaning nothing's set in stone for them. The other 50% is already a negligible number, and even then they're split between Clinton and Bernie.
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>>75791013
>Trump is driving Hispanics to become citizens.
this was proven false by Pew
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/05/13/immigrant-naturalization-applications-up-since-october-but-past-years-saw-larger-increases/
>>
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>>75790448
Wasn't that LBJ's doing? How isn't that guy remembered as the Nixon of Democrats? He was an opportunist cunt tb h.
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>>75790767
I will depress the turnout accordingly. Sounds like Trump's main issue is the women. Something about estrogen makes you repelled by patriotic feelings. He needs to get over 50% of college-educated whites. That means 40% of CE white women.
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>>75786567
Ohio is not a swing state. Trump has Ohio locked up. Pretty sure he's got PA and WVA as well.
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>>75787453
>Thirty pieces have been deposited into your account for being such a good goy
>>
Trump isn't winning Pennsylvania.
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>>75791130
>Half the registered Democrats here are just dopey farmers who fell for the "Le common man" meme,
this
the problem with USA's two party system is that a democrat in a state like PA would be a republican in CA.
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>>75791285
not quite.

Trump's main issue is keeping disgruntled Bernie voters from supporting Hillary.
>>
>>75788710
AHEAD OF SCHEDULE AND UNDER BUDGET
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>>75791285
>Sounds like Trump's main issue is the women
He does better with women than Hillary does with men.
>>
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>>75787453
>Nate Silver
>>
>>75791285

He also needs more college-educated whites.
>>
>>75787453
>(the guy who called the last 2 national elections right)
last 2 US presidential elections*
he repeatedly flubbed the UK ones so badly that he walked away from UK politics after being laughed at

and
>predicting obama would win after 8 years of bush
wow so hard!
>predicting obama would beat mittens after he insulted 80% of the country and is a mormon
wow so hard!

nate silver is a hack
>>
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>>75791130
Oh, and on top of all that, someone did some calculations, it turns out Trump would only need 1/20 blacks of PA if the expected voter patterns hold true.
>>
>>75789033

>not understanding satire
>taking the bait

i swear you have aspergers.
>>
>>75791584
I'll give him the first Obama term. McCain had every chance to win until he picked Palin and got roasted.

Second term was an easy call. The first one, not so easy.
>>
>>75787706
>>75787760
>>75787835
>>75787856
>>75787997
He is always right.

>>75788133
Trump is a joke candidate. The joke is the party being steamrollered by a fucking muppet with less hope of winning the election than Mitt Romney had in 2012.

Unless Donald Trump can turn into a nigger or have a sex change before November he is not going to win.
>>
>>75791853
>>He is always right.
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article50606.html
>>
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Screen-cap this
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>>75791285
>n-not his fault it's e-estrogen

Maybe if Trump didn't explicitly insult at one time or another all of women, blacks, Hispanics, and liberals.
>>
>>75791853
>Unless Donald Trump can turn into a nigger or have a sex change before November he is not going to win.

he's not going to become a British citizen.
>>
>>75788945
>no matter what trump does he's a genius to poltards

I get that you are retarded so everything seems like a stroke of genius to you but you should try not making random justifications for his counterintuitive actions.
>>
>>75786567
its not supposed to work. trump is holding the candle for the clintons. wake up already
>>
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>>75791809
>>
>>75786567
Trump is beating Hillary in Oregon.
>>
Considering the massive number of Hispanics within Texas now, I'm surprised no one suspects it might turn blue.

Look at those numbers.
>>
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>>75792036
t. Former USSR satellite
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>>75792036
/pol/ is a Hillary shill board that pretends to like Trump for the meme value.

That's why /pol/ hates Bernie
>>
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>>75788802
>Texas going blue

Jesus fuck are you retarded
>>
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>>75787453
>Nate Silver
>ever
>>
>>75788802
>Texas blue
Get out of America
>>
>>75792233
Keep in mind how sparsely populated a lot of these counties are, especially in the Valley, West Texas, and Panhandle.
>>
>>75792233
Yeah except they're not citizens and can't vote.
>>
>>75791991
except he's right
any candidate could be running against hillary and get similar numbers for women

1. women overwhelmingly vote democrat in ANY election ā€” 2012 gave them a +12 favor of Obama over Romney. Women are more likely to be poor and poor people are more likely to vote democrat.
2. hillary is a woman, a lot of women are solely voting for her because "muh vagyna"
>>
>>75792314

Says the guy who didn't even look at the map.
>>
>>75792233
Literally the only purple county with more than a couple thousand people is El Paso.
>>
>>75786567
Speaking strictly in terms of politics, it would be stupid to ignore the remaining 35 states in favor of just 15.
>>
>>75792233
How many of them are actually legal?
>>
>>75787453
>Nate Pebble
>>
>>75790899


Not taking your shitpost bait my Oz friend
With your logic I suppose Abos are true Australians since they're native
>>
>>75792031
In your country he would be more likely to be elected if he were a nigger or woman. You elected the nigger twice, now you are electing a woman. In 8 years time when Hillary goes you will be electing a Mexican, then after that a Muslim, then after that a transexual, then after that fuck knows.

If aliens came to Earth dan started living among us like Alien Nation, you would elect one of them.
>>
>>75788802
low quality bait
>>
>>75792608
KHAN'd
>>
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>>75789033
you're retarded
>>
>>75788802
>Florida
>Republican

They elected the nigger twice.
>>
>>75792608
>In your country he would be more likely to be elected if he were a nigger or woman.

*Looks at past presidents*
The fuck are you talking about?
>>
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>>75792501
That's modern politics. That's what the electoral college and gerrymandering do to a country. It's awfully sad to see so many people isolated, basically just telling them their vote doesn't matter, although until we can get a fair election system in place, that's how it's gonna be.
>>
>>75792492
Bexar County has San Antonio, which is a larger city than El Paso.

Don't speak if you don't know what you're talking about.
>>
>>75792266
expat living here. anyway seeing things from afar helps, you should try it. the teather is for the people inside it
>>
>>75792748
That's fair, but if the Democrats were smart - which is as of yet undetermined - they'd go with a full 50 state strategy. The DNC and Clinton have the money.
>>
>>75789564
>>75789695
Makes sense, doesn't it?

Consider why they left Cuba in the first place.
>>
>>75792651
It is the same principle. Women and ethnic minorities make up 62% of the US population. Trump has no hope whatsoever, just like London is full of Muslims so they elect a Paki mayor.
>>
>>75793156
>I have no idea how US elections work and think the minority vote is worth something
mitt romney, is that you?
>>
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>>75787453
>Nate Silver
>>
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>>75793156
>Women
So fucking many of them just vote for whoever their husband tells them to it's not even funny. I would only guess that about 30-40% of them actually form their own opinion. It's a fair split.
>The UK tries to discuss American Politics
You don't see me acting like a fag in Brexit threads, do you?
>>
>>75793156
While women and minorities vote Democrat for the most part, there is a sizable minority of them who vote Republican. IF ALL women and ALL minorities voted Democrat, your argument would be valid. But, they don't, and you're literally a retarded limey fuck who knows zero about American politics.
>>
Texas could be turned blue.

The Republicans are fighting each other within the state, the price of oil has damaged the economy of Texas, the GOP has reached peak voting strength, and the GOP hasn't reined in corruption enough within its own ranks.

The Democrats just need 35 percent of the state's white vote in addition to their existing base of support, and they have Texas.
>>
>>75790303
>Hispaniola
>>
>>75791013
The kind of Hispanics that would oppose Trump aren't even eligible to be citizens.

Also, your assertion is unfounded in the first place. There has been no unusual increase in citizenship petitions.
>>
ADD MARYLAND YOU FAGGOT

WE PLAYING ON MAXIMUM DIFFICULTY
>>
>>75792035

>random justifications for his counterintuitive actions.

look up "think past the sale" and then tell me if this seems random.
>>
>>75791952
Fucking District of Coonlumbia
>>
>>75789576

Democrats need the spic vote to win. Republicans do not.

Trump needs to court white voters and coax them out to vote.
>>
>>75793428
>While women and minorities vote Democrat for the most part
>for the most part

70% of blacks vote Democrat, disregarding Obama. Women vote Democrat more than Republican by 16%. There is no hope of Republican president now or in the near future, the gulf is simply too massive.

Donald Trump has two routes to the White House. Either he puts on a Rastafarian hat and has a racial awakening, or he cuts off his cock and starts dressing like a woman.
>>
>>75794203
>Women vote Democrat more than Republican by 16%
this goes both ways, dumbass.
>>
>>75787453
>Nate Last Place
>>
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>>75794203
>Bongistan
>Understanding American Politics
>>
>>75792853
Bexar also has old money business spics that have been voting Republican since WWI. King Nigger only won 51.6-47 in 2012. Compare that to El Paso (65.6-33) and Hidalgo (70.4-28.6).
>>
>>75794383
>this goes both ways

No, it doesn't. A lower proportion of men vote than women.

Face facts.

>>75794462
I have watched you clowns rolling around in denial for the past 8 years as you elected the nigger, twice.
>>
>>75793651
>he thinks those spics and niggers can actually vote

Son, have you looked at Texas exit polls? Blacks are too lazy to vote here, and most of the spics aren't allowed to.
>>
>>75793662
>Hispaniola
>Cuba

you realize these are not the same island, right nigger?
>>
>>75794188

Keep telling yourself the GOP doesn't need the Hispanic vote.

White people aren't exactly breeding like Catholic Rabbits in this country.
>>
Commiefornia will not vote Trump. They are too jewed and cucked.
>>
>>75794188


If that's the case then why did the Coke Bros spend millions after the 2012 elections to focus on garnishing the spic vote? Even Faux News admitted that night that it's necessary.
Spics are breeding like rabbits and eventually will be a majority
>>
>>75794948
>>75795008

>asking me to justify the actions of cuckservatives

We need to deport the enchiladas by the millions, along with their anchor babies. That's the only way to save the Republic in the long run.
>>
>>75794823
>No, it doesn't. A lower proportion of men vote than women.

Yeah. But not only about 50% women vote for Hillary but more than 75% of men won't vote for a woman.
>>
>>75795198

And this is why the Hispanic population is going to become citizens en masse, precisely to prevent deportation.

You end up with a permanent, massive Hispanic population who are citizens and will vote solid Democrat (because you spoke so "kindly" of them).

Well done, GOP.
>>
>>75795424
The gender gap is both ways though

Woman split for Hillary like 60-40 while Men split for Trump 65-35

When women outnumber men slightly, it evens out to a tied race currently
>>
>>75788521
You may have reversed it a bit
>>
>>75795582

Wrong. I think even your mother splits for Trump
>>
>>75795532

Then all that will be left will be to promote the Deep South as a nice place for Hispanics to settle down.

Boom. Goodbye "Southern Strategy".
>>
>>75793651
Texas could be turned blue. It is possible. But, at least for this cycle, unlikely.
>>
>>75796125

You're probably right. I'd say another election cycle.
>>
>>75787453
>Nathaniel Copper
>>
>>75792233
Legal Hispanics voted for Bush at around 40%. Trump will win with Hispanic Americans that have been citizens for generations. Who cares about the "gibs me dat" wetbacks and anchor babies?
>>
>>75796615
yeah this is true actually. im not even a trumpkin after i became a cruz missle tho
>>
>>75793156
London's conservative alternative to Khan was a globalist, Kike relative of the Rothschild clan. Londoners were fucked either way.
>>
>>75786567
Why is Washington out of the question?
>>
>>75796839
>liberal paradise
>out of the question
pick two
>>
>>75797000
But it's mostly just king county
>>
>>75797116
Yeah, just like Illinois' liberal base is all in Cook county. But it's still more than enough to keep the state liberal
>>
>>75792031
I applaud this comment
>>
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>>75791952
Kek'd
>>
>>75791952
>Somalia voting republican
>ever
>>
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SCREENSHOT THIS.

Trump will sweep the rust belt, guaranteed.

Pennsylvania is a toss up, but Florida is all but guaranteed

Pretty sure the establishment shills gonna rig Virgnia, so I gave VA to Shillary. CO too.
>>
>>75791733
Fuck you stop downloading thumbnails
Thread replies: 159
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