thoughts?
>blue virginia
lol
>>74796699
Polls show it to be competitive.
>>74796513
>Arizona not voting for the man who wants to deport mexicans
Kill yourself.
>>74796513
Berniefag here, that seems pretty optimistic for Shillary.
>Georgia
>blue
Nope.
Actually, looking at this map I'm even more confident that she will be BTFO.
>>74796747
All the shit Fed workers that ruined NOVA will keep VA blue for a looooong while.
AZ blue? Please.
>>74796513
>arizona
>blue
>>74796513
>that state
>that color
i'd laugh my ass off. plausible map at this point.
>>74796513
we could get AZ
>>74797031
came here to post this
>>74796513
I live in Georgia, no way it'd be blue. Arizona wouldn't be either. Florida is debatable though.
>Georgia
>blue
>Georgia
>blue
>Arizona
>Blue
>Michigan
>Red
niggr are you even trying
I'm nearly certain that Georgia hasn't voted blue since 1960. LBJ betrayed the south and it's been Republican since 1964.
>>74797331
Jimmy carter, homie
>>74796513
>blue GA and blue AZ
Nah
>>74796513
Fuck you Illinois, and fuck you Obama.
>>74797377
Oh yeah he was from there wasn't he? Idk if I'd count that then because it's basically just home cookin'.
>>74797284
Michigan probably blue but I could see my state maybe being red this time around.
>>74797398
Reminder that Illinois is a state that literally got caught selling senate seats
>>74797377
Jimmy is from Georgia, so he doesn't count.
>>74796513
I got Trump at 272.
Gave him AZ, GA, VAG.
Gave seahag PA and MI.
>>74797677
still, most of our governors in the last 50 years were dems, even our current governor switched to the Republican party before he ran for governor. the days of the southern Democrat are over though.
If it's Trump vs. Hillary then I think these are the states up for grabs.
FL
MI
NH
NY (He just needs like 15% of the City to support him, and Upstate will will do the bulk)
OH
PA
VA
>>74796513
>Arizona and Georgia
>blue
Hot damn, that's some spicy autism, my friend
>>74797856
Please do not refer to your future president as a seahag. Yes I can see us winning by our traditional rust belt route too.
>>74796513
Trump is currently ahead in Jawga you stupid nigger.
>>74798006
Lol at NY.
>>74798229
but not by much which says something
>>74796513
Nevada will vote republican you imbecile
>>74798006
There are more cops, firefighters, construction workers, truck drivers, etc. in NYC than anywhere else. We got this.
>>74798006
I think he can get some New York Juden to do some campaigning for him in NYC. He's got lots of powerful Juden friends that could help him get just enough in the city.
>>74798276
>Implying that Trump goes down in the polls at all rather than up
Clinton can pretty much only go downhill, Trump is the opposite. If Romney took it, Trump can.
>>74796513
flip NV and GA
>>74798502
But there are more Latinos in Georgia now than in 2012 and Trump will do even worse with them than Romney did.
>>74796513
>GA
>AZ
>NH
K.
>>74797014
nice meme. aren't enough people in NOVA to turn the whole state blue.
VA went red much harder for Bush than it went blue for Obama. Obama, an infinitely better candidate than Hillary, barely defeated Mittens "Mittens" Romney in 2012
VA will be red this cycle
R8 me
>>74798242
Trump is from NY. If any Republican has a shot it's him. Trump has a lot of support upstate. Tons of signage everywhere and more than just bumper stickers and window stickers. I saw a boat the other day that had a giant TRUMP 2016 cover over it.
Hillary is a mess.
>>74798750
No way VA will be red. It's staying blue from now on. Here's my other prediction for Hillary without AZ or GA.
>>74798809
I am in Texas. We're not going blue m8. It's sad to say. I'm like one of the few Obama and Hillary supporters I know.
>>74796513
Why the hell would Georgia and Virginia go blue?
Niggers aren't voting, there's not a magic mulattoe running for president this time.
>>74796957
Come home, white man.
>>74798680
too bad they can't vote
>>74797014
NOVA is fine, I live here. It's blue yeah, and federal workers play largely into that. Honestly what would ruin this area is if a really conservative candidate took all their jobs away, cause there's not enough private sectors jobs to replace them.
Doesn't stop me from voting conservative.
>>74798958
Trump is a dangerous loose cannon we can't afford.
>>74799126
Yes they can.
>>74798865
most of new york live in nyc and rochester. please take a look at the demographics and polls from those areas. The rest of the state doesn't matter.
source: live in nyc, born in rochester.
>>74799103
Minority voters have been turning out in huge numbers for HRC.
>>74799240
Also it's not like NYC/Rochester are the only blue areas of New York. Half of Upstate is still blue if you look at election results.
>>74798958
Hilary is a mistake.
>>74798282
You are the imbecile if you think Nevada is going red.
>>74798750
Nope. Remember, everyone in northern VAhad a job which depends on the federal government maintaining the status quo. They will vote Hillary.
>>74799180
>Shillary
>NC
Map, dismissed.
>>74799094
Hush, lil cuckie.
>>74799094
>It's sad to say. I'm like one of the few Obama and Hillary supporters I know.
>being this fucking gay
>>74796513
>florida
>red
good luck. blacks and latinos are all for hillary. 60% of whites are R but good chunk wont vote for Trump because muh Jesus and the latinos, lib whites, and blacks combined can't be beat
>>74799094
Curious, where in Texas do you live?
>>74799094
Are you still in the closet?
>>74798680
Obviously enough people support him in Georgia for him to be ahead there. Hillary's lead has evaporated and the conventions haven't even happened yet. Trump is still tying up loose ends with the GOP and has already Hillary lost her lead. He's barely even attacked her and it's neck in neck. Most people thought that if Trump was going to gain at all, it would be in August, September and October, but Hillary's big lead that everybody was talking about has evaporated and there's still 5 months until the election. It definitely is still too close to call at this moment and I honestly don't know what will happen, but Hillary and Trump are still dealing with their own parties at the moment and haven't went head-to-head very much yet. VPs aren't even decided yet either.
>>74798809
Shit
>>74799216
not here, hombre. they check ids. at least in my county, can't speak for shitlanta
>>74799550
>>74799094
Austin, I'm calling it now.
>>74796513
Run the model: https://www.americanhistoryusa.com/campaign-trail/
A couple dozen times and you tell me
Also bear in mind that if Michigan goes red, its likely that Virginia, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and New Hampshire go red too
>>74796957
The odds of GA going blue are better than PA going red.
Thoughts?
>>74798996
>>74799423
unlike you armchair political scientists, i actually live here and know that the nova meme is completely exaggerated
>>74799993
>Clinton with around 56%
Unlikely but in this scenario you should make Montana blue, probably even South Dakota too
>>74799799
Fuck off m8. No way PA, OH, and FL go Trump. Hillary has a good shot at NC, GA, and AZ too.
>>74796513
Gimme a r8 niggas
>>74799550
Beaumont-Port Arthur Area
>>74800143
OH, PA and FL are already on the knife's edge (in particular, OH tends to favor Trump), Virginia will take a bit of a feat to turn, but once it goes through, New Hampshire turns lean red too
>>74800143
>florida
>not going trump
loving
every
laugh
Is Trump really going to win!?
YES!
implying it wont be 2012 all over again
>>74800211
disturbing but will never happen.
>>74800395
That is what I am expecting.
>blue Arizona
>>74800211
Bretty gud, but by the time you get Michigan, NH goes red too
>>74799993
This is pretty much what I'm expecting to see happen.
>>74800395
This has literally never happened in all of US history.
>>74800672
It will in 2016.
>>74800672
either way i expect it to be another landslide election
>>74796647
stop lowering the number, it's fucking 63% white if we don't count Alberto Barbossa and Spaniards, 73% if we do.
>>74799094
>supporting Obama and Clinton
Are you fucking retarded?
>>74798547
I think NH too
>>74799153
>hillary
>Ohio
Top kek
Hillary might well win GA and AZ, if Trumps shits up his campaign with stupidity and his big mouth being a political novice not knowing when to shut up. And Trump might well win PA and MI, if he runs a good campaign and Hillary gets fucked by the FBI or some other outside force or the economy goes muy malo. But there's no senario where Hillary wins GA and AZ *and* Trump wins PA and MI all in the same election. If Hillary is carrying GA and AZ it means she's already won PA and MI by double digits, and it Trump is winning PA and MI it means he's already safely ahead in GA and AZ. People on here act like state races happen in a vaccuum without being affected by the national horserace. The biggest predictor of a state's outcome is the national topline polling numbers adjusted by a factor of that state's partisan makeup. GA and AZ are much more republican than PA and MI so they're not going to end up on opposite sides. And no, Trump is not going to play in NY just because he lives there. NY is deep blue by the number of registered voters.
>>74800624
True, the only thing is that Michigan is a Rust Belt state that has stayed Democrat because of Muslims, Detroit negroes and unions splitting the white vote. This year the white vote will be more united due to the fact that unions are defecting from Democrat support to Trump and the negro turnout won't be on Obama levels. NH is full of middle-class white cucks far removed from the multi-culti jungles of the South and the Rust Belt NE, there's a good shot of them going red though but Michigan is pretty unrelated as far as NE is concerned.
>>74800941
No but you must be if you support Trump. Hillary will defeat him in November and Obama's legacy will remain in tact.
>>74800672
country in 2012 was already highly polarized. The swing vote is just a meme so you know. i expect it to stay the same way.
>>74799993
You're a fucking retard
>>74800636
>if only
thoughts?
>>74801106
You are really really stupid
>>74799094
>I am in Texas. We're not going blue m8. It's sad to say.
Do us a favor, either go back to California or kill yourself.
My personal opinion
>my opinion matters
Well fuck you too
>>74801336
>Uragay
Why are you so up to date on American politics, m8?
>>74801429
I follow US politics since 2004
>>74801336
>Colorado dark blue
>Pennsylvania leans red
outside of that it's pretty good.
>>74801106
You literally support a fucking criminal
>>74801485
URAGAY
>>74801336
PA going red
top lel
>>74801485
Any reason why?
I mean I try to be aware of world politics but I could never draw a map of European voting positions, for example.
>>74798242
i live in albany and there is an insane amount of trump support here.
>>74801607
Since the steel mills and coal mines started leaving the state is going red.
>>74801531
She has never been arrested or charged. She is a victim of the vast right wing conspiracy against her that has been going on since Bill was governor of Arkansas.
>>74801485
Then you'll know that Pennsylvania has not gone red since 1988 despite Republicans saying they will win it every four years.
>>74801679
Tell that to the 4 dead soldiers in benghazi, and the thousands of dead Serbians
>>74796513
1. Arizona will be red.
2. if alabama is red, wouldn't georgia be red as well?
3. wisconsin would be red
>>74801326
I've lived in Texas my whole life but I was born in Connecticut so maybe I should go back there. Never been to California but I'd like to.
>>74800056
>unlike you armchair political scientists, i actually live here and know that the nova meme is completely exaggerated
Then why did the counties and independent cities around DC go for Rubio? People that suck on the government teat aren't stupid.
>>74801746
Trump's greatest strength is in the rust belt. More so than any other Republican, his anti-immigration and protectionist stances appeal greatly to the old workers there.
PA is certainly in play. I think it's too early to call one way or another, but PA and OH are very much in play for Trump this year.
>>74796513
TRUMP will win NH
>>74801656
>albany
you cause NYC isnt about 85x as populous as your tiny city
>>74801762
Benghazi is a media manufactured non-scandal/partisan witch hunt. Serbia deserved it for genociding Bosnian Serbs.
>>74801930
no way
Romney practically lived there and did not win it.
>>74801746
Its trending red, also every time I ran the simulation with American History, it was always easier to turn PA red than VA and a lot more cost effective, followed by FL which turns red even easier but which is not exactly cost effective (it starts very faintly bluish in the simulation)
And its an old model from MARCH, back when Trump was dead in the water against Hillary
>>74801935
we should really be a separate state. fuck the city.
>>74798006
I don't have much faith for Jew York senpai but it would be the cuckening of a lifetime of Trump beat Hillary there.
>>74802000
You are correct to some degree, NH will only turn red if Trump manages to get around 49 (just a bit more than 49 actually) to 50%
>>74798282
>nevada is the home of every insane fucking progressive
Barney Frank, and the other kike with the glasses
>>74802000
>If Romney couldn't do it than Trump can't
You realize that Romney is the weakest republican nominee in history right?
>>74798006
Have never seen New York turn red in the simulation, Trump (and Hillary for that matter) seem to have a ceiling of 56% in it, which is insufficient to get New York even close, it gets up to 46-50% close, but Hillary still wins
Its even more lopsided in California, Hillary still wins with 51% at Trump level 56% national
Also I hope you guys know that having certain districts voting for 80 years straight democrat is literally the definition of a one party state bullshit thing and hope you choke on a mountain of dicks
Am looking at you, Kings district of New York
>red Michigan
>blue Arizona
>blue Georgia
What is this nigger doing?
>Implying this wont be the results
degenerate
>the last time some of the districts of New York went red was back when Calvin Coolidge was elected
Not even the Soviet Union lasted this long, just getting that outta my chest
>>74802584
Two party politics are wonderful. Don't need to convince them that you're good, just that the other side is bad.
Republicans are bad for the status quo in really dense cities.
>>74802689
Districts, maybe. But the state went red with Reagan.
>>74802685
>tfw I live in Virginia
>tfw Chesapeake 757-fag
>overwhelmingly red because the military fucking hates Democrats
>get cucked by NOVA in 2008 and 2012
People forget how much of a failure the Bush presidency was, the Republicans lost a lot of trust in VA. That's how Obama got us in 08. He won in 2012 because Tea Party fags were obnoxious retards and no one likes Mitt Romney. I'm petty certain Trump is going to take VA given the enormous primary turnout being overwhelmingly in his favor (except in NOVA where they voted for Rubiotron, again, fuck those cunts).
Have faith /pol/acks.
I've successfully predicted the outcome of the 2008 and 2012 elections perfectly. I have no proof of this, but you'll just have to take my word on it.
Here's my 2016 prediction.
Pennsylvania will be the "Florida" of 2016. Whoever takes PA, wins the election. I do think Trump's populist appeal will put him over the top. Also, Clinton's comments on coal miners will hurt her badly in the rust belt.
>>74802755
The South was literally 96% Democratic during FDR and you don't see me complaining as much about it
But 80 years of democratic one party rule in parts of New York? What in the actual... whatever
Uruguay used to be a two party system, and still kind of is, just differently, and I never saw that kind of political stagnation
>>74802859
I think NH can be red
>>74796513
Switch the following 4, and it will be more realistic:
AZ and GA switch to red
PA and MI switch to blue
>>74802859
New hampshire has a possibility of going republican mate. Especially with the poll done in the north east that said 40% of sanders supporters up there would vote Trump.
>>74796647
The difference is that the USA was 100% non-white 500 years ago European countries were 100% white 50 years ago. Yet your paternal bloodlines are already dying out. The 200 million white Americans aren't going anywhere, but you cucks are already 10-20% muslim.
>>74802964
Again, the democrats win in those districts because of the HEAVY demonetization of the Republican party, especially towards minorities.
Which is funny cause Northern Republicans were essential to the passage of the Civil Rights Act, and it was Southern Democrats that nearly killed it.
>>74803065
>>74802980
Possible for sure.
>>74803103
This. The US was founded as a melting pot of cultures and races. Germany's historically been homogeneously white
>>74802179
I used your model and Hillary won with the exact same map as 2012. :)
>>74802838
also worth mentioning that even though liberals are being loud (as usual) in their criticism of Trump that Hillary Clinton is a swear word outside of Democrat enclaves. The majority of the country hates her guts.
>>74803065
Those Sanders voters are legit retards because Trump is literally the opposite of Sanders except for the semi populist message Trump has
>>74799279
>HRC
>who might this be
>>74803279
I seriously thought this map was saying that there's a giant Israel out West in my country at first.
>>74800211
if MI and WI are red, NH and NV would be red as well. maybe even VA too.
then you have the a trump landslide electoral map. (54%+ of popular vote)
>>74799960
No they aren't. Both Georgia Presidential polls were done by incredibly left leaning news outlets based in Atlanta: WSB and AJC.
>>74803362
bernouts dont care about the issues they just came out for bernie because it was cool to do so. Very few of them were going to vote anyway.
>>74796957
another berniefag here, mi is definitely going to go to shillary - she sucked flint's collective dick (and politicized the issue rather than condemning snyder's personal incompetence)
>>74803362
I'm one of those Bernie supporters, and let me tell you, there's only one reason why we will vote for Trump:
>He is anti-establishment, which is huge for a lot of young voters.
>>74802838
>enormous primary turnout
This means nothing in the general.
>>74803228
What's funny is that it isn't even because of minorities, I believe
I think its got more to do with German Americans, Judeo-Americans and Irish Americans just siding with the democratic party and literally setting up a factory of votes
Then it somehow getting replaced with minorities as time goes on and the old 'whites' become more and more republican
>>74803291
Well, yeah, that scenario (March 2016) has a high rate of success for Hillary (around 67% of all matches are won by her)
The thing is, that was back when Trump trailed in polls, and I believe we are in for a wild ride these coming months, up and down
>>74796513
I bet you're close. I'm hoping it's 2000 close and Trump demands a recount and shit.
>>74801171
trump has a 57% disapproval rating, hillary has a 53%
i think we're going to see a very low voter turnout this year
>>74803279
wat?
>>74803493
Not me that's for sure, it's a shame that many of his supporters probably just heard free and flicked towards him and this is coming from a huge Bernie supporter
This would be a lot of fun here.
>Trump strong in the Northeast and Midwest due to his populist appeal.
>All the old women come out to vote in Florida for Hillary, keeping it blue.
>Virginia becomes less of a swing state, and more of a likely Democratic one.
>Trump does surprisingly well in Nevada and Colorado, in spite of the latino vote.
269-269
>>74799993
Almost >74799999
>>74803665
>supreme court ties now that Scalia's ded
That could get ugly real quick
>>74803819
You realize that Florida is going red this year right?
>>74803778
Johnson! Johnson!
>>74803819
Nevada and Colorado won't go red before Florida and Virginia though, unless voodoo magic happens
>>74802859
Chances are not good that Trump will get both OH and PA.
PA has gone blue in every pres. election since 1992, and OH has gone blue in all but 2 of the pres. elections since 1992. Trump is hugely unpopular with minorities, and is not doing well with women -- so the only hope Trump has in OH/PA is a huge increase in white male turnout among those whites males who haven't been voting in the past. Possible, but not likely.
Other than that, the rest of your map looks good.
>>74803839
>Civil War breaks out
>Military rallies around Trump, installs him in the White House
>>74803559
Do you know anything about their policies? I am going to sit this election or I refuse to vote for the establishment or anyone on the far right
>>74803362
they want anti-establishment more than they want socialism. so they'll take trump over hillary.
some bernie supporters are retards, but so are some trump supporters. but what they share in common is the belief that the people who have been in charge for the last 30+ years have fucked us and we need to shake things up a bit
My prediction for the 2016 electoral map.
>>74796513
you're fucking nuts if you think Clinton will win Georgia.
>>74797331
They voted for Clinton in 92 but that's it I think
>>74801607
>PA not going red
do you even small town/city bar bro?
>>74804169
Switch NC and VA
>>74804106
Trump's good on trade and guns. You can say I'm a pro-gun liberal.
>>74804169
>NC blue
I wish this meme would end
>>74799960
last election, the gap in GA was wider in favor of R (8%) than the gap in PA (5.5%)
and that was with romney vs. incumbent
>>74803819
correct result
wrong method
>>74804274
>Ohio
>Blue
>>74798399
He lost to Kasech in Manhattan. That's tragic.
>>74804227
I'm just portraying the worst case scenario mate
>>74799993
>Texas
>Blue
Kill yourself
>>74796513
There is no way Arizona isn't going trump, God damn illegals have to go back
Would anybody argue that this is Trump's best-case scenario? Are there any blue states on this map that you could see flipping for Trump?
>>74804429
new hampshire
>>74804429
NH and MI
>>74804477
Yep, forgot that one, thanks.
>>74804429
NH could go red, but WV and NV going red are a stretch
>>74804429
I think that minus Nevada and Colorado are his best case scenario. Well, he could take NH too.
CO is too much "dude weed lmao" to turn red, and NV has too many hispanics. But NH is anti-establishment and fucking hates Hillary. I remember an exit poll showing that 25% of Bernie supporters would never vote for Hillary. Doesn't sound like much, until you realize that was in February and that number is probably higher now.
>>74804429
At 53, Oregon and Washington begin acquiring a redish hue, so does New Jersey, Connecticut and Maine
At 56, WA is red, OR is red, IL is red, it goes full paint it red Donald.jpg, except for VT, NY, CA, HI and NM
>>74804534
>WV
>Ever going blue after Clinton's coal comments
topkek
>>74804429
NH isn't a blue state. they voted for Bush II
WI could switch. maybe.
Oh, and I forgot DC, which somehow seems to be made of the DNC itself and the lair of the crooked ice witch for some reason lol
>>74796513
>michigan and pennsylvania red
>arizona and georgia blue
this pic is retarded. It's almost as dumb as people saying Trump will win New York
>>74804589
but trump supports the states rights to decide on weed
and medicinal cannabis nationwide
>>74798006
Florida seems very Trumpy from what I've seen. I can't speak for the entirety of Florida, but you could drive for hours without seeing a Hillary sign here.
>>74804534
>WV going blue
you either made a mental error or are retarded
>>74804620
I feel the "WI's going Red!" is such a meme. Obama won by 9 or something and polling has Hillary up 10 or something
>>74804712
Same with NY, what are people fucking smoking? That's going blue
>>74804690
If there is one thing that is constant in the universe, it is DC going blue
>>74796513
>Clintoris not bulldozing Trumpykins by riding on the wave of people who don't know shit about politics voting cause da big nosed man on tv said he is a raysis and go wimmin!
step it up onii-senpai
>>74798006
New York is more liberal than California. You're so fucking delusional if you think Trump will win New York.
God fucking damn it /pol/. Texas might as well be a swing state.
>>74804785
I read somewhere that DC is undergoing a process inverse to that of London, its becoming whiter apparently
Which I cannot believe since the Democrat voting pattern remains the same
>>74804715
It's all about what other people think. Other people think "Republicans=weed stealers"
>>74804914
It doesn't matter is DC is 100% white males.
Look at its voting history. Always at least 80% Democrat, even when they get BTFO like Mondale and McGovern
>>74804914
its white hipsters and trustfund babbys
>>74804962
I know, its insane
Since, 2000, the Republicans' strongest year has been 2004.
This was the result in Wisconsin in 2004.
Bush only lost by 0.4%, so it's definitely do-able for Trump.
This map is based on current polls.
I believe Trump will win Florida but I'm wagering he'll lose Ohio and Virginia. With that said he'll still lose the election.
I challenge anyone to provide a more realistic map than this.
>>74805034
I honestly don't know how Democrats kept such a strong base there (filthy liberal here btw). That being said, a stronghold of 3 electoral votes isn't much
>>74805068
But the times change. Democrats have much more of a stronghold on states like Colorado and Wisconsin (for now), while Republicans have weakened the Dem's grip on states like PA
>>74801303
I'd vote for Yeb
>GA blue
In some bizzarro USA maybe.
>>74805254
my big brother kept us safe!
>>74804508
I doubt Michigan
The governor that personally poisoned Flint is a scary white Republican (this is what dindus actually believe)
>>74805175
Am at a complete loss, maybe its got to do with it being populated by disenfranchized blacks that just turned left after the 60es?
And then the whites that moved in adopted the same political ideas? Who knows
>inb4 its cultural appropriation
you're all retarded
if youre calling swing states 5 months out before the debates and who knows what kind of natural disasters, global events or gaffs will happen, then youre acting retarded
>>74805494
its white liberals who work in dc politics
>>74805428
He's saying that because slick Willy won it.
But that was two decades ago. She'll lose GA tho.
>>74805494
Too lazy to find out tbqh
>>74805495
We're just trying to kill the time killjoy
Why the fuck does California worth 55 points?
>>74805175
If (big if) the Libertarians pull a Ross Perot this year, they may actually pull more blue voters from states like CO, WI and WA.
>>74805495
You won't prevent me from having fun this time /v/
>>74805505
Virginia and New Hampshire aren't going red m8
>>74805505
>OH and PA going blue.
Top kek
>>74805647
most people in the state?
>>74805648
Oh yeah a third party like Libertarian could and would change the game
>>74796513
I'm expecting something along these lines where Trump is Goldwater, minus Arizona.
>>74805647
A huge population of smelly beaners.
Is /pol/ finally accepting the reality that Trump can't win?
>>74805711
im waiting to see if bernie goes 3rd party
he wont, but who knows
>>74805821
>virginia
>but not ohio
when will this meme end?
>>74804191
Any state with a ghetto city or two goes blue nowadays
>>74805821
Yeah ever since he couldn't win the primaries due to his racist rhetoric : ^ )
>>74805648
MCAFEE
C
A
F
E
E
>>74805648
>2016 will be the year of the libertarian they said
>Rand Paul totally got it in the bag this time they said
>>74805787
Tennesse will still be red, so will be WV, quite probably Kentucky, Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma, in the worst case scenario
>>74805849
100% he won't. But it's all about what his supporters will do.
>>74805927
I said pull a Ross Perot. Not win.
>>74805787
>texas
>blue
Hillary is no lbj
>>74806041
Also
>libertarians not fucking up the republicans in the end rather than the dems
Maybe when the democrats start becoming the center right party while the republicans become the far right nationalist party and USA becomes a proportional semi-parliamentary republic in 30-40 years
>>74796513
>trump losing his home state
>trump losing georgia
>trump losing any border state except maybe california
>trump winning pennsylvania
Shit map.
>>74806232
On the flipside, Trump can claim FL is his home state and say he'll win it lol
>>74796513
>blue georgia
>blue arizona
>blue virginia
Illinoisian here, fuck this state in the ASS. I hate it here so much, but can't wait for Mr. Trumps presidency and my departure from this shithole to an island in Florida.
>>74806232
>>trump losing his home state
NY was the second bluest state in 2012. It might be a little closer but he can't turn it red.
>>74804359
And the Bronx Republicans went for him 80+ percent I think. He doesn't need to win NYC, he just needs to get about 15% or so like the guy above me said and the upstate NY can put him over. Also remember that Trump is polling higher with black people than Mittens did and less blacks will be enthusiastic to vote since Obama isn't running, resulting in less turnout for Hillary's only electoral weapon.
>Arizona and Georgia
>blue
M8...
>>74796513
Iowa Michigan Ohio Pennsylvania North Carolina and Florida will all go for Hillary
Say it with me now
"President Hillary Rodham Clinton"
>>74796513
>Michigan
>Red
>Georgia
>Blue
>Trump losing home state
???
Screenshot it.
>>74807071
As a Trump supporter, that's a rather optimistic map for Trump. I think he will win, but not by that margin.
>>74803519
True, but considering that unions are dumping Hillary and going for Trump, black turnout being lower with Obama's absence and Trump polling higher with blacks than Romney, I think he's got a shot at MI. Romney lost by 400K votes, which sounds like a lot but I think those factors could swing it this year. Wisconsin is a similar state. Kerry beat Bush there by only 11,000 votes and the fact that unions are going for Trump is huge because they are the ultimate splitter of the white vote in my opinion. Republicans would have working class whites locked down nearly 100% if it weren't for unions pushing their members to vote Democrat and have their jobs outsourced anyway.
>>74807071
New Mexico New Hampshire and Iowa are locked up blue already
>>74806099
I just expect the Democrats to play a game where a Trump presidency would turn US allies into enemies and put a target on our backs. Expect a lot of "Daisy"-esque ads.
