[Boards: 3 / a / aco / adv / an / asp / b / biz / c / cgl / ck / cm / co / d / diy / e / fa / fit / g / gd / gif / h / hc / his / hm / hr / i / ic / int / jp / k / lgbt / lit / m / mlp / mu / n / news / o / out / p / po / pol / qa / r / r9k / s / s4s / sci / soc / sp / t / tg / toy / trash / trv / tv / u / v / vg / vp / vr / w / wg / wsg / wsr / x / y ] [Home]
4chanarchives logo
VENEZUELA GENERAL /VG/ - SOON EDITION
Images are sometimes not shown due to bandwidth/network limitations. Refreshing the page usually helps.

You are currently reading a thread in /pol/ - Politically Incorrect

Thread replies: 255
Thread images: 48
File: 1463359549306.jpg (57 KB, 599x472) Image search: [Google]
1463359549306.jpg
57 KB, 599x472
>Venezuela president Nicolás Maduro declares state of emergency
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/may/14/venezuela-maduro-emergency-powers
http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/15/americas/venezuela-slide-into-crisis/

>Venezuela’s right-wing opposition coalition, the Democratic Unity Roundtable (MUD), turned over 1.8 million signatures in support of a recall referendum against President Nicolas Maduro to the National Electoral Council (CNE) on Monday.
http://venezuelanalysis.com/news/11960

>Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro urged supporters to launch a general strike and "rebellion" if the opposition succeeds in ousting him from office in a referendum.
http://www.dailysabah.com/americas/2016/05/02/venezuelas-maduro-calls-for-rebellion-if-opposition-ousts-him-in-referendum

>Dying Infants and No Medicine: Inside Venezuela’s Failing Hospitals
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/16/world/americas/dying-infants-and-no-medicine-inside-venezuelas-failing-hospitals.html?_r=0

>Mobs in Venezuela have stolen flour, chicken and even underwear this week as looting increases across the crisis-hit OPEC nation where many basic products have run short.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/13/venezuela-looters-target-chicken-flour-amid-worsening-shortages.html

>Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro announced undefined “military exercises” for the embattled nation, just a day after pledging to prolong his government’s special emergency powers.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-14/venezuela-plans-army-exercises-as-maduro-seeks-to-prolong-powers

>The United States is increasingly concerned about the potential for an economic and political meltdown in Venezuela, spurred by fears of a debt default, growing street protests and deterioration of its oil sector, U.S. intelligence officials said on Friday.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-usa-idUSKCN0Y42MT
>>
>Venezuela's president threatens to take over idle factories and jail their owners following a decree of emergency powers this week
http://www.usnews.com/news/business/articles/2016-05-14/maduro-threatens-to-seize-idle-venezuela-plants-jail-owners
http://www.reuters.com/video/2016/05/15/maduro-threatens-takeover-of-private-com?videoId=368503990
http://www.dw.com/en/venezuelas-maduro-sees-conspiracy-of-the-bourgeoisie-in-factory-shut-downs/a-19258912

>Pope Francis has sent a letter to President Nicolas Maduro urging him to work to solve the country’s problems.
http://www.cruxnow.com/church/2016/05/02/pope-writes-maduro-to-demand-action-on-venezuelas-woes/

>Opinion: Bolivarian socialism is quite obviously the worst economic policy anyone has tried to impose on a country since Robert Mugabe decided to take Zimbabwe back to the Stone Age.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2016/05/14/congratulations-to-bolivarian-socialism-at-least-venezuela-hasnt-run-out-of-tear-gas-yet/#6bede92e450a

>South America’s first high-speed train, powered by Chinese technology, was supposed to crisscross Venezuela to bring development to its backwater plains in a model of socialist fraternity. Now all but abandoned, it has become a symbol of economic collapse — and of a strategic relationship gone adrift.
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2016/05/15/business/chinese-bullet-train-project-in-venezuela-stalls-as-alliance-derails/#.Vzi5B5ErKM8

>Venezuela accuses US of plotting coup as Washington warns of 'imminent collapse'
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/venezuela-accuses-us-of-plotting-coup-as-washington-warns-of-imminent-collapse-a7029386.html

>Venezuela accuses US of plotting coup as Washington warns of 'imminent collapse'
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/venezuela-accuses-us-of-plotting-coup-as-washington-warns-of-imminent-collapse-a7029386.html
>>
>"Washington is activating measures at the request of Venezuela's fascist right, who are emboldened by the coup in Brazil," Maduro said during a Friday night broadcast on state television.
https://www.rt.com/news/343010-venezuela-emergency-us-plots/

>Venezuela's socialist government on Thursday condemned the impeachment of Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff as a U.S.-inspired mockery of popular will and a menace to Latin America's now-diminishing leftist bloc.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-politics-venezuela-idUSKCN0Y32U5

From Venezuela:

http://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Nicolas-Maduro-Declares-Emergency-to-Face-Foreign-Intervention-20160514-0002.html
http://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Behind-the-Food-Lines-in-Venezuela-20160514-0035.html
http://www.vtv.gob.ve/
http://www.tves.gob.ve/
http://www.vive.gob.ve/

oil price:
http://www.bloomberg.com/energy
http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx
http://oilprice.com/
>>
>>74124772
The wonders of socialism.
>>
First for: Brazil please post pictures of sister!
>>
>>74124772
h-happening?
>>
>>74124849

Then yeah you need a pill for excessive sweating.
http://www.webmd.com/skin-problems-and-treatments/hyperhidrosis-treatment-11
>>
File: 1433218099722.jpg (42 KB, 250x250) Image search: [Google]
1433218099722.jpg
42 KB, 250x250
>>74124772
>Latin America is a shithole
>75% of Latin American countries have left-wing governments with shitty Keynesian policies
>most, if not all, had a left-wing dictatorship at some point
>least shitty countries are centre or right-wing

>2015+1
>keynesianism
>socialism
>good
>>
>>74124687
To be fair, it's probably a family thing because I don't like foreigners either. The two girls I got (one American and one British) were to help a friend, it's a long story.
The only things I like from other countries are the literature, Japanese games and Switzerland.

>>74124910
No.
>>
File: 1444434373282.jpg (30 KB, 500x500) Image search: [Google]
1444434373282.jpg
30 KB, 500x500
>>74125084
Latin America is hot as fuck, as in skin-cancer hot, are you stupid or pretending to be stupid?
>>
>>74125216
>No.
Then how about an example pic of someone she kinda looks like.
>>
Nothing will happen.

Goodnight.
>>
have any anons here been to uruguay? Does it have a bright future? have heard;

>population values education
>mostly of european decent
>stable and high standard of living
>>
>>74125317
Like this, but with green eyes and less forehead.
>>
>>74125340

Hope you get ride of Maduro without a Civil War senpai
>>
File: IMG-20160418-WA0018.jpg (73 KB, 750x941) Image search: [Google]
IMG-20160418-WA0018.jpg
73 KB, 750x941
>>74125456
>>
REAL SOCIALISM HAS NEVER BEEN TRIED
>>
>>74125480
And fat. That cow is lazy as fuck.
>>
File: AkanePast.png (286 KB, 634x544) Image search: [Google]
AkanePast.png
286 KB, 634x544
>>74125456
>>74125480
Thank you Brazil!
>>
There is no bright future for us.
Only Death and suffering
>>
Staged coup when
>>
>>74125669
>>74125340
>Nothing will happen.
>Goodnight.

Mass starvation when?
>>
Also Venezuelans who inmigrate to the US tend to be nice people. Panama has shit tier people. And We have the best spanish so fuck off
>>
>>74125729

Is actually happening, 680% inflation would dry any country to death in ours times. Allende got 570%, Maduro have a new record and is going 1000%+ at the end of the year.
>>
For the sake of the Venezuelan people, I Hope there will be free helicopter rides for the marxists
>>
>>74125639
Be safe Venezuela
>>
>>74124772
Socialism: Not even once
>>
>>74125877
But c-cybersyn would totally work
>>
File: venezuela.jpg (60 KB, 514x536) Image search: [Google]
venezuela.jpg
60 KB, 514x536
>>74125877
>1000%
>>
File: 1435192737582.jpg (38 KB, 413x395) Image search: [Google]
1435192737582.jpg
38 KB, 413x395
>>74125859
>We have the best spanish
>chamo marico no joda pero que ladilla chamo mamawebo ejejejeej
>>
>>74125639
Strengh, never give up. We also believed that it was impossible to take Jewma out. I know your hole is deeper, but the will of the people must prevail.
>>
>>74126212
>We have the best spanish
Why are you arguing who has the better Spanish?

I don't argue with the English. We Americans just change their words and watch them suffer!
>>
>>74126212
>Fucking Panamá criticising our spanish.
>>
File: 1462457459953.png (24 KB, 235x235) Image search: [Google]
1462457459953.png
24 KB, 235x235
Fug :DD

Awwoo Id
>>
>>74126212
>>74126409

Chile have the best spanish :^)
>>
cannibalism when?
>>
File: 1442481558378s.jpg (10 KB, 250x221) Image search: [Google]
1442481558378s.jpg
10 KB, 250x221
>>74126484
What're you faggots on about,Brazil clearly has the best Spanish
>>
>>74125639
join a rightwing death squad m8 remove commies and make your country great again
>>
>>74126539
They are at the stealing goats level. Cannibalism won't happen until they run out of goats.
>>
File: Nicolae_Ceausescu.jpg (495 KB, 1055x1622) Image search: [Google]
Nicolae_Ceausescu.jpg
495 KB, 1055x1622
>>74125945
F E E L T H E B E R N ! ! ! ! ! ! !
Thread theme: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_sY2rjxq6M
>>74125939
Maduro to follow in Ceaușescu steps when?
>>
>>74125945
>Socialism: Not even once

Hate to break it to you, but the collapse in oil prices and commodities means a lot of countries are going to end up in this position very shortly indeed. Venezuela is the canary in the coal mine, so to speak, since it's economy is so oil dependent, but it's not going to be the last.

Nigeria, Russia, Brazil, Bolivia, Iraq, Libya, Saudi the oil producing parts of Canada (Alberta?) the commodities exporting parts of Australia, parts of the US (Texas, Tennessee) even very wealthy countries like Norway, all of these places are on the same road.

Unless oil gets up to at least $70 a barrell then these countries are going to collapse. I expect Nigeria to break up as coherent state as the corruption and patronage that holds the state together can no longer be financed. Iraq is already fucked - people often underestimate the role that the decline in oil prices has had in the breakup of that state. Russia is in deep trouble too, they're headed for double-digit inflation and deep recession, and were it not for the Russian people's world-renowned ability to endure suffering I would be expecting major political upheavel there too, but I expect it may survive as long as it isn't dragged into war with NATO. Bolivia is in trouble, since it's a major natural gas exporter, Saudi is pissing through it's cash reserves and being forced to part-pritivatize it's state owned oil company and subject it's citizens to cuts in public spending, a bit deal since the House of Saud relies on that money to keep itself in power. Take my word for it, this is a global issue, much more at work here than "muh socialism"
>>
>>74126693
>Death squads
Doesn't work like that. If you happen to find scum, whoever it is you
>Grab a rope
>tie him to a street Light
>Tell everyone he is a thief/murderer/bachaquero/etc
>Watch him die slowly
Also, nothing is happening, We only got used to everyday life being violent. The government is faking violent protests so they can shield themselves from the international media. Maduro will be decapitated but Diosdado will reveal himself as the final boss.
>>
>>74127022
May the ghost of Pinochet protect you!
>>
File: pinochet fag.png (382 KB, 620x372) Image search: [Google]
pinochet fag.png
382 KB, 620x372
>>74124772
>>74124772
DAILY REMINDER PINOCHET WAS A POOFTER
>>
http://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuela-and-young-supporters-of-the-bern-1463331200

Venezuela and Young Supporters of ‘The Bern’
>>
>>74127912
>to read the full story, subscribe or sign in

Can you www.archive.today this shit?
>>
South America is proof of the destructive power leftists can wield when they gain control.
>>
>>74126212
All spanish sounds awful. Worst language on earth right next to all those stupid nigger languages.
>>
>>74128096
Just search the link or the title on google, then use that link. Yeah, same link, but whatever, it works.
>>
File: image.jpg (118 KB, 960x548) Image search: [Google]
image.jpg
118 KB, 960x548
>>74126885

This. Nigeria is next
>>
>>74125416
>uruguay
Amazing country.

It's a slightly poorer (but more egalitarian) version of Argentina. They are to us what Canada is to the USA. Barely any crime at all, it's probably the safest, whitest country in the Americas.

And it has legal weed.

Uruguay is a hidden gem in South America, I considered moving there but now we have a Conservative in office here so I'm gonna stick around instead and see what happens.

>>74126885
Good post, this is true, the world is in for a wild ride.
>>
File: 1437770019218.jpg (48 KB, 500x352) Image search: [Google]
1437770019218.jpg
48 KB, 500x352
>>74126885
I might as well kill myself now and save the suffering.
>>
>>74128143
Thanks breh
>>
>>74128236
>Argentina
http://ingunowners.com/forums/survival-disaster-preparedness/45132-ferfals-lessons-shtf-argentina-true-story.html
You ever read these?
>>
>>74128462
I did, I even commented on his blog and he censored my comments. That guy is a fucking scam artist, trying to paint our country as if it was Sarajevo.

Our economic crisis in 2001 was similar to Greece in 2010, but he paints it as if it was some sort of civil war.

It's all bullshit.
>>
>>74128811
>It's all bullshit.
Not all of it. The news was bad for your country during that time.
>>
>>74128462
full of shit
>>
>>74128924
Sure, but not Venezuela-tier or Sarajevo-tier.
>>
>>74128924

> let me tell you about your cunt

shut the fuck up ameriturd
>>
>>74126212

fucking this
>>
Questions to Venebros

Civil war 2017?
>>
>>74126484
Man I love 31 minutos but got damn, it's hard to understand you with all the "wea" shit.
It's like those aliens of south park who used the same word for everything.
>>
>>74129509
Marklars?
>>
>>74129509

"Weon" and their derivates are universal for every context here. The only way to know what it means for each context is living here.
>>
Daily reminder that Latin America needs to open the door to european refugees once the ahmeds take over, and blanda the heck up out with them

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Racial_whitening

> mfw new aryan master race with macho latino genetics takes over the world
>>
>>74124772
things have gotten so fucked in Venezuela we need a general.
what happened recently
>>
File: 1459500662154.jpg (59 KB, 1280x720) Image search: [Google]
1459500662154.jpg
59 KB, 1280x720
>>74129724

>I will have a qt3,14 german to watch out and fall in love
>I'm 3/4 white
>>
>>74130076

> mfw something positive comes out of Islam
>>
>>74126885
That's a neat source you got there Mohammed.
>>
>>74124772
RIP Allende
>>
>>74130076
I used to have a French gf,exchange student here

Shit was nice,but then she moved back and long distance relationships don't work
>>
>>74126212
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA
best spanish is mexico and argentina desu
>>
>>74125510
Nice meme
>>
>>74125939
hahahahahahahaha ebin meme le hahaha so funny XDDDDDD
>>
>>74127907
It's funny you say that, because he dresses like a Soviet general.
>>
>>74126012
It did for about 3 years, but there were serious foreign sanctions and sabotage. Even Nixon himself admitted it. Still, CyberSyn got the country through quite a few disasters.
>>
>>74126885
Good post.
Something more substantial than "huehuehue le free heligobter rides for le gommunists XDDD"
>>
>>74126885
>Brazil
Petrobras is already fucked, this is be the end of it

I agree, great post
>>
File: 1357854827701.png (89 KB, 1130x1082) Image search: [Google]
1357854827701.png
89 KB, 1130x1082
Valimos verga cabrones, los veo en la proxima vida
>>
>>74131396

Kill Maduro, that's the easer way, quickly before Putin try to protect him
>>
>>74126212
I had a hot gallega Spanish teacher who always pronounced my last name with that Spanish lisp. Was actually pretty great
>>
>>74131704
>easer
It easier you fucking indio.
>>
>>74125859

>Venezuela
>Best spanish

AYYYYYYY LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
>>
>>74131798

>My keyboard cuck me
>>
>>74126885
OBJECTION

Bolivia still have salt.
>>
>>74126885

Stop this oil meme.

See:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OrfM5UD-Azk

Also, high oil prices were killing us becuase we are net importers. Worse yet for Petrobras since the government had kept gas prices frozen, until after the 2014 elections, forcing Petrobras to also sell gas cheaper than what it was importing it for. The reverse is happening now, higher oil prices might as well be like a Minerva blow now.
>>
>>74132010

You guys need to hope they don't legalise recreational drugs in the USA since it would send the wholesale price of coca into freefall and destroy the Colombian economy,
>>
File: Burger Time!.gif (263 KB, 600x304) Image search: [Google]
Burger Time!.gif
263 KB, 600x304
>>74131704
if america is already supporting the right, wouldn't that get bad, pretty fast?
>>
File: American History.jpg (512 KB, 916x2225) Image search: [Google]
American History.jpg
512 KB, 916x2225
Also, considering its a very real possibility that the US could have an economic meltdown in the very near future, perhaps we found a new economic stimulus package.
>>
>>74132102

You're missing the point hugely. The situation in Brazil is bad (recession, corruption etc) but Venezuela is an order of magnitude worse, and secondly even in countries that are net importers the value of their currency on the international markets is determined by the price of oil. A lot of oil based economies, Norway, Iran, Russia etc are net importers of oil and gas, since domestic demand is higher than export potential, but that doesn't change the fact that these states generate huge amount of revenue from their oil exports (they'd still be net importers without, the exports simply reduce the gap)

So in a country like Venezula, what's causing the problem is that their currency became worthless internationally since the only thing they sell internationally using that currency is oil, and if oil loses 2/3 of it's value the currency is going to inflate rapidly. This is not unique to Venezuela, you can see the same thing happening in others countries that are depending on oil for export revenue. It props up the value of their currency.
>>
>>74132316
>US could have an economic meltdown

EU will die first. USA still has about 20 years
>>
>>74125877
How much is it "in ours times"?
Weeks?
Months?
Years?
>>
>>74126885
Spot on britbong. Very good. Where do we move from here then?
>>
>>74132619

"Nuestros tiempos"?
>>
>>74127912
That's great
>>
>>74132681
I might die tomorrow...
>>
>>74132575
Try watching the video I refereed to about Venezuela first.
>>
>>74132102
>Also, high oil prices were killing us becuase we are net importers
This doesn't matter. A collapse was only because of your increased social service and the high cost of government.
>>
>Venezuela about to erupt in civil war
>Brazil about to erupt in civil war
Can South America ever not be shit? The poor little monkeys just can't manage a civilization.
>>
>>74132575

The problem with your analysis is that both scarcity and hyper inflation had started before 2014, and by the time the oil prices started to collapse in October 2014 the bolivar fuerte was already in a radical downwards trend

Socialism not even once
>>
>>74132833
Chile should take over south america. They seem to have everything going great.
>>
>>74132773

But Venezuela past beyend the line of no-return, so if only matter of time we see some big happening in there.
>>
>>74132824
My point exactly...
>>
>>74126885
Oil is going to go up in price. The cost of extracting and refining it is so great that it will never be a cheap commodity. Projections have it coming back to $100 a barrel in 10-15 years tops.
>>
File: willy-wonka-gene-wilder.jpg (40 KB, 552x552) Image search: [Google]
willy-wonka-gene-wilder.jpg
40 KB, 552x552
>>74132609
>>US could have an economic meltdown
>>
> mfw comfy in Panama while Latin America burns
> mfw people getting tired of traditional parties
> mfw it is a matter of time before we get our Chavez
>>
>>74132948

What in the fuck are you talking about, Bachelet and the Commie Party ruin us beyond repair, we're hoping that Isabel Allende won't be the president, if that happend, we're going full civil war too.
>>
>>74132815

I did. I don't think you paid much attention to the details though.

For instance, he mentions capital flight as a source of their current problems, and he's right, however the backstory to that is capital flight has been something Venezuela had from the moment Chavez got elected, the difference is between then and now that they had alternative sources of revenue that meant they could cope with capital flight in a way that other leftists in the region historically could not (Allende) that changed after 2008, which he mentions himself in the video.

The best criticism of Venezuelan socialist party is that they didn't make much of an effort to diversify the economy or build up large amounts of savings that could see them through a decline in oil prices such as this. This seems to be the core argument he makes, but it's not one that contradicts what I'm saying in any way.
>>
>>74132833
Civil war here? I cant see it happening, things have been very orderly, even all the protests were organized and peaceful.

Even if it did erupt, it would be a few crazy leftist movements against the rest of the whole country. It would end very fast.
>>
>>74133019

The 120 trillion bucks in collateral debt will explode once social security runs out of funds in 2034

But that collapse is around 20 years away

European Union may not survive this year, specially not if Britain says "fuck you"
>>
>>74133103
I said seemed. As in I haven't heard anything major about your country. I'm a bit ignorant when it comes to South American politics.
>>
>>74132935
>The problem with your analysis is that both scarcity and hyper inflation had started before 2014 and by the time the oil prices started to collapse in October 2014

The collapse in oil prices began in 2008, not 2014.
>>
>>74133144

Do you think that South Brazil will secede one day?
>>
>>74133144
>Even if it did erupt, it would be a few crazy leftist movements against the rest of the whole country. It would end very fast.

I wouldn't be so sure y'know. You know your country better than I do but there doesn't need to be vast numbers to instigate a civil war, a hardcore on the left will start it and the logic of war will force people to pick sides. Once these things start, they snowball.
>>
>>74133210
Actually, the yearly high was 2011. Most commodities peaked in 2011.
>>
>>74133184
>But that collapse is around 20 years away
By that time we will have AI and 3D printers that work very well. If anything we maybe looking at a Second Renaissance, not collapse.
>>
File: 1463214569767.jpg (114 KB, 500x750) Image search: [Google]
1463214569767.jpg
114 KB, 500x750
>>74133103
>>
>>74133210

> The collapse in oil prices began in 2008, not 2014.

Oil price was stable in the range of 70-110 for the 2011-2014 period, which, outside of an historical super peak in 2007, are historical records

If your government depends on the abnormal oil peak of 2007 lasting eternally, then the problem is your government, not the oil price
>>
>>74133486

nice meme my friend
>>
>>74133143
Well, then we actually agree somehow.

Oil prices are definitely taking its toll and the commodities boom was a wasted opportunity. But they are not the sources of the problem for most non Arab countries.
>>
>>74133482

> a Second Renaissance, not collapse.

Not with having to carry the weight of a whole half of Mexico's population on your backs, which by then will have voted themselves a lot more freebies thanks to the democrats
>>
File: Clotario-Blest2.jpg (53 KB, 443x307) Image search: [Google]
Clotario-Blest2.jpg
53 KB, 443x307
>>74133562

yo lo dije ctm...
>>
Oh god another catastrophe state Finland throws money onto
>>
>>74132575
>So in a country like Venezula, what's causing the problem is that their currency became worthless internationally since the only thing they sell internationally using that currency is oil, and if oil loses 2/3 of it's value the currency is going to inflate rapidly. This is not unique to Venezuela, you can see the same thing happening in others countries that are depending on oil for export revenue.
But in Venezuela the situation was made worse by the commies in every way.

Before Chavez took office in 1999, oil amounted to 73% of Venezuela's exports. By now, oil amounts to 96% of their exports. Thus, socialism made them more dependent on exporting commodities, rather than industrializing them.

Chavez nationalizations are to blame for this. Before he took office Venezuela was self-sufficient in food, and had a modest industrial sector producing all sorts of goods.

Chavez started expropiating stuff on a whim, large commercial farms were broken up and given to barely literate government supporters. The nation's largest cement factory (Cemex) was expropiated as well as the largest steel mill (Sidor), both are now producing to a third of their capacity.

Even oil production fell as the profits were squandered on bullshit socialist propaganda initiatives rather than reinvested in exploration.

Not to mention the budget deficit which needed a barrel of $100 USD to make ends meet. (It was obvious such situation would not last)

So yeah, oil prices falling were the spark that lit the fuse, but Venezuela was ruined by socialism which made them so dependent on oil in the first place.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nRgBYug5t1A
>>
>>74133663
>half of Mexico
Least of our problems
>>
>>74133259
Secede into a new country, no. But our federate pact needs to be reviewed, the central government is way too strong compared to the states and cities.
>>
>>74133455

There was a huge decline in prices 2008, an unsteady recovery between 2009-14, then another crash as a result of the Saudi-Iran tensions.

The increase in basic inflation began in Venezuela in 2008, but was managable (ie below 15-20% sort of range) the 2014 crash however sent the bolivar into an inflationary spiral.

The two things correlate more or less perfectly, and since in Venezuela oil prices are causally linked to the value of their currency on the international markets, it's pretty foolish to ignore the central role oil is playing in this. The fact other countries that are much richer, better governed and less corrupt are suffering from similar problems would suggest that the global economy is the driving force of this.
>>
>>74133210
>>74132935

Both of you are retarded.
South America in general is fucked because of income inequality and corruption. This is true of the entire earth, but SA has the added problem that the USA and its handlers in the WTO has made the place its rape room since about 1830.
There is no democracy; there is oligarchy, and if there could be no better proof of the bullshit of elitism, it is that the only time the world works is when the rich are hobbled, and the people's demands are met.
The rich are stupid, and allowing them to make decisions because you have been mindfucked by their selfish, irresponsible, blame everyone else narrative of economic pain, is the reason your countries suck.
There is no economics in nature because nature doesn't use money. When you finally realize you can choose to feed yourselves and find a job for everyone without the USA making a profit off it, you will be free from the hunger and insecurity of our lies.

Oil prices !! Shit!!!
>>
>>74133144
Civil wars can crop up over the most minute of reasons. Someone in the military might just figure that the recent instability is their best shot of seizing power; shit goes side ways.
>>
>>74133830

You are missing the first entry of that list

> There was a huge bubble in 2007, which the government assumed would last forever, then an immediate correction, then a recovery still way above historical levels, and now the actual crash
>>
>>74133525
>Oil price was stable in the range of 70-110

It certainly wasn't stable, as you can see in the attached graph fluctations of prices were much higher

And apart from a few speculative peaks triggered by large investments here and there, they stay on the low-end of the "70-110" range as you put it, so in other words half of it's peak value.

>If your government depends on the abnormal oil peak of 2007 lasting eternally, then the problem is your government, not the oil price

There's some truth in this, but no matter how good you are at governing if your main staple export loses all it's value, and your currency becomes worthless on the international currency markets as a result, you're fucked no matter what you do.

And btw, they were talking about those oil prices being abnormal prior to the 2008 crash, that's hindsight coming in.
>>
>>74133830
I can guarantee you that Norway (which saves the proceeds of oil on a sovereign wealth fund rather than squandering it on bullshit like paying actor Danny Glover to make a film about Haiti *), will not have the kind of problems Venezuela is facing.

* A hillarious example
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/may/21/film.venezuela
>>
>>74133909
You don't have to blame the US for the terrible decisions made by SA politicians. America engages in economic warfare with a host of nations, none of which are in SA. They just get caught in the blast, and for whatever reason at the time, don't seem to take any steps to prevent such.
>>
>>74133909

> the problem is that there is no democracy

Fucking kek, reddit is the other way m8

also my country does not suck, I have a nice and comfy programmer job and live a tranquil middle class life in a comfy suburb

the only danger that exists in my life is retarded low-IQ masses voting for a Chavez and fucking everything up
>>
File: 1462026195239.jpg (22 KB, 503x328) Image search: [Google]
1462026195239.jpg
22 KB, 503x328
>>74133909
>>
>>74133647
>Oil prices are definitely taking its toll and the commodities boom was a wasted opportunity.

You say that, but the socialist party in Venezuela didn't get re-elected over and over again by accident. Their program was pretty simple - use the oil money to build medical centres and public infrastructure projects in poor areas. Great idea when the oil price is high, they managed to outpace most other South American countries in terms of economyic growth and on issues like malnutrition, education, life-expectency, infant mortality etc. Problem is, what happens to all that stuff when the oil prices drop?

I think a big part of the problem is that Maduro isn't a very competent leader, and there's a lot of corruption around his inner circle and associates, whereas Hugo was genuinely charismatic and had a lot of genuine popular support. It reminds me of when Tito died in Yugoslavia.
>>
>>74134216
>they managed to outpace most other South American countries in terms of economyic growth and on issues like malnutrition, education, life-expectency, infant mortality etc
No they didn't.
>>
File: culturalenrichment.jpg (52 KB, 599x401) Image search: [Google]
culturalenrichment.jpg
52 KB, 599x401
Hehehe wouldn't want to be neighboring country of Venezuela right now. Inc a shitload of refugees.
>>
>>74133997

as I understand it, Venezuela was far more than just a "get oil here" country before Chavez took over

literally any other form of government except leftism would have being able not to screw things up so badly and actually managed the crises
>>
>>74132575
>what is inflation
Dear britbong:
Please stop talking out of your ass.
>>
>>74133441
Worst case being the movements having access to hidden stashes of supplies and weapons build by the now suspended government and international friends (Venezuela, Argentina, Ecuador, Bolivia).

Most of these countries are in a bind however, Morales was not able to change the constitution, Argentina is under new government, Venezuela is falling apart and we do not share a border with Ecuador.

On the other hand, our armed forces are wasting most of their budgets on personnel due to compulsory service, we even had ammo shortages making into the news from time to time.

There are also the uncertainties about the current government since the whole 2014 election is at stake pending trial over the supreme electoral court. Worst case being indirect elections (congress voting for the new president) if they take too long.

The potential for things to go worse are here, but I feel such to be an unlikely scenario.
>>
Venezuela was dead before the oil crashed the last year, hell, months before of the death of Chavez, Venezuela was having problems, and that was long ago.
>>
>>74134111
Trips of truth. As long as you're in Panama City and not Colón.
>>
>>74134216
>>74134318

gotta agree with the argie

do you have a source for that claim?

Chavez was very close to losing it the game (the closest one being the coup in 2002), that the venezuelan opposition managed to screw itself over does not change the fact that there were constant crises during his government
>>
>>74133768

There seems to be strange mistakes.

Firstly investing in your most abundant natural resources is eminently sensible. It's actually a cornerstone of free-market theory, known as the "theory of comparative advantage" so even though it's a socialist government it's decision to play to it's strengths on the global market was one totally consistent with Smithian/Ricardian economic theory.

I agree they should've done more to diversify the economy, but this is the benefit of hindsight. Venezuela's increasing oil exports simply reflect the fact that oil was the most profitable source of income the country had back when oil was $130 a barrel - it would be pretty stupid to scale back your oil exports just as oil prices are rising, wouldn't you agree?

Finally, if the nationalisations you're talking about were the ultimate source of the problem then what about other countries with nationalised oil companies, like Saudi Arabia or Qatar for instance? They are very hostile to any form of socialism but they had the good sense to nationalise their main source of export income. If nationally oil companies was the source of the problem then Norway would be even more fucked than Venezuela.
>>
>>74134666

Nuke Colon for all I care. Include a few ghetto areas in the city with tactical nukes and we have a deal
>>
>>74133935
Our regular military has been completely quiet throughout the whole process.

Actually, even the dictatorship itself was peacefully ended with full cooperation from them thanks to the amnesty deal.
>>
>>74134111

where do you get a job as a programmer in panama? que empresa? aquí aceptan interns con experiencia pero sin graduar?
>>
>>74133994
>There was a huge bubble in 2007, which the government assumed would last forever

Not trying to go too far to defend the government here, but you can't really hold them to fault for not being able to predict the future. Nearly every major economy on earth had expected oil to stay permanently high, the number of breathless articles in the financial times talking about the "new normal" of $100+ barrel of oil suggests to me that most governments did not expect the global economy to fall apart in the way it did in 2008. You can see similar logic in the way in which the Canadians went all-in on the Tar Sands for example, or the pressure for the Keystone X pipeline in the USA (something which seems like a massive white elephant when you consider how cheap oil is on the market)
>>
>>74131704
>Kill Mamaduro
Easier to say when you are on a different country hundreds of miles away from us, not to mention he has all the guns and the right is beta as fuck.
>>
File: 1457222716331.png (947 KB, 474x503) Image search: [Google]
1457222716331.png
947 KB, 474x503
>>74124893
true. I hope Bernie wins so we can be as successful as venezuela.
>>
>>74134731
>I agree they should've done more to diversify the economy, but this is the benefit of hindsight.
They claimed socialism would diversify the economy. It wasn't a matter of hindsight, it was a matter of policies.

>Venezuela's increasing oil exports simply reflect the fact that oil was the most profitable source of income the country had back when oil was $130 a barrel
It didn't increase oil exports, it reduced exports of everything else as production collapsed.

>If nationally oil companies was the source of the problem then Norway would be even more fucked than Venezuela.
Norway's oil company is mixed (half-private) and even issues stock on the market. Not the same as having a state oil company ran by socialist party cronies.

Anyway, it wasn't just the oil company.
Almost EVERYTHING was nationalized. Even if Venezuela had not been a corrupt country, no state can manage so many industries efficiently as the Soviet experience demonstrates.
>>
>>74135025

Call the US, they will send you new TOW for that, i mean, look how FSA/Nusra has still managed to suvirve so long in Syria
>>
>>74134036

Norway had a state owned oil company (now part privatized) and decades worth of social democratic government though - if these things are the cause of Venezuela's problems like you suggest why aren't they doing the same thing to Norway?

Fact is the oil prices are having an affect on right-wing capitalist countries with links to big privately owned multinational oil companies (Nigeria, Iraq) as much as left-wing social democratic countries with state owned oil companies (Bolivia, Venezuela, Brazil et al)
>>
>>74134036

And btw you think that Chavez squandered money you should check out the norwegian welfare state, their prisons are better standard of living than most latin americans live under.
>>
Fuck

Theres 0 chance to know whats actually happening Venezuela and there are no Venezuelans in this site

I know one i met online but he is a retard
>>
As I understand it Venezuela was one of the more prosperous countries in Latin America before Chavez came to power, which makes it even more of a shame to see the position the country it is right now.

I wouldn't be surprised if our Marines are getting ready for an intervention should the opposition take power or the Venezuelan state collapses.
>>
>South American banter

Right up there with balkanbantz desu, this thread is awesome, though rip in peace condolences to Venezuelabro
>>
>>74126484
Huevon, cachai, concha su madre... no, just no
>>
>>74135167

kek

What's the Latin American equivalent of Turkey, Brazil?
>>
>>74135051
>They claimed socialism would diversify the economy.

Well you can have a go at them for that if you like, but I promise you a Capriles government would've done the exact same thing, since betting the future on permanently high commodity prices is what practically every government did in the run-up to 2008. The only difference is Venezuela is the first to see serious economic problems as a result of it, cos they're so dependent on oil, but as I've been saying all along it's not the last place that will go through it.
>>
>>74135465

Bolivia, by far

>>74135359

Is conchetumare, aweonao
>>
>>74134910

Big companies like ETESA, Banistmo and Cerveceria Nacional usually need people to take care of their internal database / customer management systems. You can usually see their job opening in the "clasificados"

As for people without university titles, I don't really see an opening, they are very picky about that, PLUS they are always asking for a million of titles and expertice with Java, SAP, PHP, Webforms (as an excuse to hire foreigners I suspect, heck in one of the companies I work with almost all the employees are from Venezuela)
>>
>>74135465
>What's the Latin American equivalent of Turkey,
Turkey as in what?
>>
File: GDP_per_capita_PPP_2014-en.svg.png (219 KB, 1280x699) Image search: [Google]
GDP_per_capita_PPP_2014-en.svg.png
219 KB, 1280x699
>>74135174
Norway is a social democracy.
Few state companies there. Most industry aside for the oil, is in private hands. It is also ranked as a nation with high economic freedom and has strong property rights.

Venezuela went full socialist command economy, with sweeping nationalizations of industry, it's not the same thing.

>>74135228
That's because they can afford it. Maybe if Venezuela kept reinvesting their oil proceeds on sovereign wealth funds to stabilize finances, education, and in increasing oil production, they could afford those things too... in a generation.

Just compare Norway with Venezuela's GDP per capita.
>>
>>74135535

Are you the /sg/ chilebro
>>
>>74135051
>It didn't increase oil exports

Sorry meant to say increase export revenue, rather than barrels of oil per day.

>>74135051
>Norway's oil company is mixed (half-private)

It was publicly owned for 35 years prior to that and is still majority owned by the govt I believe.

>a state oil company ran by socialist party cronies.

This is a pretty good description of the Norwegian economy for the last 40 years.
>>
File: 1460239749434.png (300 KB, 600x600) Image search: [Google]
1460239749434.png
300 KB, 600x600
>>74135628

Yes
>>
>>74135051
>no state can manage so many industries efficiently as the Soviet experience demonstrates.

Again, that's a bad choice to pick since the Soviet Union, whatever it's faults, existed for 76 years and led to the transformation of Russian from being a backward peasant economy to being a modern and powerful state.

Russia was poorer than the West for most of it's history, the gap between the two closed significantly in that period of time. Same is true of China. This is why we call it the 2nd world and not the 3rd world.
>>
>>74135725

after world war two if you sided with the US you were first world, and if you sided with the USSR you were second world

everybody who didn't matter at the time is third world
>>
>>74134999

My point is that without the big government expansion of spending and without the expropiations, a collapse in production and price would not bring the country to the border of mass starvation

The whole point about the Right, as I understand it, is that the Left promises Utopias that have a high risk of crashing, while the Right promises smaller governments that keep the hands of the government free and debt low so that any emergency like the one happening right now can be mitigated without risks for the very survival of society

Basically, Stability over Paradise, which is why the Right is seen as "evil realists" while the Left is "utopian fools"
>>
>>74135620
>Norway is a social democracy.

Technically speaking so is the Venezuelan socialist party, and on top of that I distinctly remember Chavez reference Norway as a direct inspiration for what they're doing.

>Venezuela went full socialist command economy

This is totally incorrect. The commies over in Venezuela like to make this point over and over.

As for your point about sovereign wealth funds, you might have a point I think in retrospect that would've been a good idea, but once again we're dealing with hindsight.
>>
>>74135725
The average person wasn't really better off though. The country was geared towards appearing strong, which worked for a few decades, but they couldn't keep it up for long. Other countries, like Romania and the Czech Republic, got even poorer.
>>
>>74135591

I recognized Chilebro from the Syria General threads. People in /sg/ dislike Turkey and the Turks, to put it mildly.

Basic joke is that the Turks are nationalistic assholes with dreams of creating a new empire throughout the region. In the Syrian Civil War the Turks arm and support many "moderate" rebels (although my government does the same thing, unfortunately) that is essentially al Qaeda or it's equivalent.
>>
>>74135725
Command economies don't work.

Sure, you could industrialize a peasant country on the back of massive repression, but at some point you need to move beyond building tanks and iron mills and start creating complex technology and consumer goods, and that is when command economies usually stagnate, as they can't keep track of thousands of different goods, their costs, relative prices, and input requirements.

Also, lack of incentives to produce stagnates growth and technological innovation.
>>
File: fug2.jpg (67 KB, 423x315) Image search: [Google]
fug2.jpg
67 KB, 423x315
Why USA gets the good venezuelans while we're stuck with the shitty ones?
>>
>>74135952
Theres not such a country here

Maybe colombia whos main export is drugs and narcos
>>
>>74135578

entonces es todo softwware eng, comp sci.. cosas para las cuales hay mejores universidades en el extranjero. porque esa carrera tecnica de it en la utp no es suficiente supongo
>>
>>74135899
>My point is that without the big government expansion of spending and without the expropiations, a collapse in production and price would not bring the country to the border of mass starvation

If that's your point then you're just factually wrong, since other countries which didn't do those things are also suffering from exactly the same sort of problems Venezuela is suffering from (inflation, recession, deficits, restricted acces to international capital and currency markets) Russia is a perfect example - low taxes, an economy that was literally designed on neo-liberal grounds by the IMF in the 1990's, right-wing political elite and president, and they're still fucked. Unless Capriles can somehow increase the price of oil there's nothing the opposition can do to resolve the situation.
>>
>>74135926
Meant Czechslovakia. Point is, the average person under communism had a shitty life. The West reached unprecedented levels of prosperity in comparison with the communists.
>>
>>74135916
What Chavez said and what he did are very different matters. He nationalized most industry and even food distribution in the country. It's not a Scandinavian social democratic model.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-election-nationalizations-idUSBRE89701X20121008
>>
>>74132129
Colombia is only the third biggest cocaine producer now. First is Peru, then Bolivia and then Colombia.
>>
>>74135916

Norway does not have anything resembling price control of basic-need items, which is the core cause of the scarcity

Nor is Norway expropiating farms and factories

To say Venezuela and Norway are the same is quite disingenuous

Never mind that Norway has a quite open economy, an example of this is the power market:

> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_in_Norway

> Norway has an open electric market, integrated with the other Nordic countries. Export and import is routine over the direct power links to Sweden, Denmark, and the Netherlands. The market is handled by NASDAQ OMX Commodities Europe and Nord Pool Spot, and has 5 price zones in Norway. Many of the hydroelectric plants in Norway are easily adjustable and can adapt well to variations in demand, and hence in price, but frequency stability is not satisfactory, and Statnett works with producers to minimize sudden changes in power flow.
>>
>>74135174

state companies work when its run in a technocratic way, and not in the typical nepotist/money gubbling way. state companies make sense for certain things, like natural resources., energy generation
>>
>>74135926
>The average person wasn't really better off though

This is something that is easy to disprove statistically. By practically every conceivable obejctive standard conditions in 1991 were far better than they were in 1917. Life expectancy, infant mortality, eduation, literacy, all of which massively improved. People forget just how backward Russia was pre-1917.

Source - http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2546027/
>>
>>74136183
Russia also bears the brunt of sanctions and is still reliant on oil, although less so than Venezuela. It's also not nearly as bad as Venezuela because they didn't go crazy setting price controls, printing money, and nationalizing industries. Russia is still working, Venezuela is chaos.
>>
>>74135952
Maybe this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foro_de_S%C3%A3o_Paulo

But not an actual country. The closest would be Bolivia, they even keep a star in their flag for a state that is now part of Chile. And they keep upping the drama about our state of Acre. Besides the heavy handed approach they used against Petrobras some time ago and their gas exports to us.
>>
Y'all Latin niggers ready for massive Penezuelan migration when shit hits the fan real hard? it'll be the whole European refugee ordeal again cept this time will be with brown Catholics instead of mudslimes, pepper your angus, Colombia, Panama, US, Chili and Argentina
>>
>>74136183

> which didn't do those things are also suffering from exactly the same sort of problems

Russia's current inflation is 12.9 %.

Why is it not having an inflation of 690 % like Venezuela then?

Your implication that all oil producing countries from Canada to Saudi Arabia are having exactly the same problems of Venezuela is just bizarre and absurd, and has no relationship with reality
>>
>>74136181
>>
>>74136388
That's the bear minimum of what can be considered improvement, and it happened everywhere basically. Haiti, for example, has a life expectancy of about 63 years, which is a vast improvement since 1917 of course, but that's not saying much. Cuba has 99% literacy, doesn't do shit for them The Soviets were still far behind the West and weren't even close to catching up to the average quality of life of a European.
>>
>>74136520
We have been successful so far when dealing with migrants, notably so christian and Japanese migrants.
>>
File: Hermosa amiga venezolana.jpg (18 KB, 521x274) Image search: [Google]
Hermosa amiga venezolana.jpg
18 KB, 521x274
>>74136520
As long as we get the hard working conservatives and their qt sisters you are welcome here.

No Chavez voters pls.
>>
>>74136181
>porque esa carrera tecnica de it en la utp no es suficiente supongo

No necesariamente. Tengo familiares que hay conseguido buenos puestos con titulos de la UTP
>>
>>74124772
I came here to say that Allende was based
>>
Chavez was a retard who wasted all his oil money on gibs and didnt save anything. Had he set an investment fund like norway they would be in better shape today
>>
>>74136520
we've been having 6-10% monthly inflation since 209

Don't count as in

>>74136732
>wanting more bolivian/peruvian tier of people. Even if a few are educated the rest won't be
>>
>>74136705
What's interesting is that Cuba's amazing education system will be a great launching pad when they finally adopt capitalism.

It will be like China, except in the Caribbean, much closer to trade routes and sources of investment.
>>
>>74136556
Yeah we're a bit fucked too. Forgetting about the Chinese gold Yuan and stuff? We make oil. We fucked up everything to do with that. So ya
>>
>>74136855

Surely you don't have triple digits inflation and an inability to acquire basic goods, as our mohammetan friend would imply!
>>
>>74136520
>implying they won't flock here on the backs of Guatemalans
it's already really bad here and I live in a small city, lots of non-English speakers (they literally look at me like I have 5 heads if I ask if they need help at my store). please please please, Venezuelans, if you do have a coup, just stay there and fight for your freedom fucks sake.
>>
>>74136194
Modern day Czech Republic is social democratic and led Europe in '14 or '15 economically, I can't remember
>>
>>74136938
Yeah we just do fake fiat mohnie
>>
Arepas failed to topple Maduro in 2014. Now his government will be permanent as long as he's alive.
>>
>>74136853
Don't count on it. They're doctors aren't even allowed to practice here because they don't have the equipment to teach right. Having had some Cuban teachers, I can say that it's basically Latin America tier. Only difference is that they made a point of teaching everyone to read and write.
>>
File: 1.jpg (50 KB, 814x500) Image search: [Google]
1.jpg
50 KB, 814x500
>>74136960
>Modern day
>>
>>74136556
>Russia's current inflation is 12.9 %.

Because Russia has large cash reserves and a much broader economy, meaning it can withstand the shock somewhat better than Venezuela.

That doesn't change the fact that the same global economic forces, the decline in commodities, is the driving force behind both Russia and Venezuela's problems, it just tells us that one country is in a position to deal with it better than the other. Remember Russia is a country that spent most of the 20th century as a marginalised pariah state - they've got an uncanny ability to be able to withstand these sorts of shocks in a way other countries simply can't.

Remember between 2008-2013 Venezuelan inflation was in the low-teens as well. With high economic growth this is managable and the only people who lose out are those with large cash savings.

Russia's inflation rate could end up like Venezuela's very quickly if their other sources of revenue (arms exports and such) start to strugle. They've been in the same situation between back in the 90's so it's not exactly unthinkable.

>>74136556
>Your implication that all oil producing countries from Canada to Saudi Arabia are having exactly the same problems of Venezuela is just bizarre and absurd

my claim was that Venezuela might be the most extreme example, due to the particular dependency Venezuela has one oil exports, but that other countries that rely on oil exports to a lesser extent are also facing similar, albeit less extreme, variations of the same crisis. Give it 2 or 3 years though, and if oil prices don't rebound, you'll see Venezuela repeated in a number of places.
>>
> le every successful european country is a Venezuela-tier social democracy no matter how free their markets actually are meme
>>
>>74136406

Well they did get cucked out of access to the sea, I don't blame them. I'm sure the Paraguayans still secretly harbor dreams of glory and vengeance too.

>>74136520

All of you are one shade of brown Catholic or another, what's the problem?
>>
File: Analfabetismo2013unesco.png (45 KB, 1350x625) Image search: [Google]
Analfabetismo2013unesco.png
45 KB, 1350x625
>>74137102
Full literacy is a big deal, particularly in the Caribbean, it will help them when capitalism is brought back.
>>
>>74137194
Venezuela's main problem is the corruption and misuse of their oil proceeda. They had a trillion dollars of pil revenue in ten years, where did it go? Instead subisidizing everything and making gasoline free, they should've tried to diversify like a bunch of the states in the Middle East are doing. Russia, considering the sanctions and oil crash, is doing superbly. Venezuela caused this problem by themselves.
>>
>>74137194
>it just tells us that one country is in a position to deal with it better than the other.
That's because one country is better run than the other. Oil going below $100 already sent Venezuela into a tailspin. Oil below $20 would probably send Russia into a tailspin.

You'd need oil at $1 to send Norway into a tailspin, since they can just dip into their massive sovereign wealth fund or borrow debt at low rates.

That was my point all along.
>>
>>74137316
>Less than 35%

How does a country even function as a country like that?
>>
>>74137316
It will help to some extent, but Cuba won't exactly be a power house.
>>
>>74137416
I doubt they pocketed it

My previous government is being prosecuted for stealing dozen of blions of dollars , theres 0 chance its for themselves
>>
>>74137194

if your expectation is that

> In 3 years, oil-producing countries will have widespread scarcity of basic goods and failure of the power grid, and people will make lines to get some floor, their industries will be unable to access prime matter, and all their factories will close because oil is above historical averages but not far enough

methinks you are creating an alternative reality just to be able to say that socialism works
>>
>>74136950

For whatever reasons South Americans are much more tolerable than Mexicans and Central Americans in my experience. All of the Cubans and Venezuelans I've known are pretty based.

I'm not a fan of mass immigration in general or immigration from Latin America in particular, but you could do worse than Venezuelans.
>>
>>74137609
Lower class border hopping Central Americans are literally like the niggers of the Hispanic community.
>>
>>74137551
I've heard stories from Venezolanos. They were supposed to build a few gas power plants for like 20 billion for example. The money just disappeared and they were never built. They're stuck relying on hydro even though they have massive gas reserves now and have 20 hour blackouts.
>>
>>74137416
>Venezuela's main problem is the corruption and misuse of their oil proceeds.

I don't disagree, if they'd had a lage sovreign wealth fund they might be able to withstand some of this better, but again this is hindsight.

It's worth pointing out it's a lot easier to spend your government income on investments rather than basic necessities such as healthcare and education when you live in a country like Norway, which has had a well developed and funded welfare state for the best part of a century, compared to a 3rd world country in Latin America with a history of violent dictatorship.

Besides, Saudi and the Gulf Monarchies are looking very unsteady right now, last week they lost their AAA credit rating and are having to sell off assetts and raise taxes to cover their huge deficits.

As for Russia, I wouldn't say it was "doing superbly" but it's a very different sort of place to most countries, their country survived without access to the world's capital and export markets for the best part of 76 years and still managed to win world 2 and put a man in space, they have infrastructure specifically designed for these sorts of crises and a politlcal elite experienced at managing them.
>>
>>74137718
I meant they didn't steal for themselves, there must be something they do with that kind of money
>>
>>74137725
>compared to a 3rd world country in Latin America with a history of violent dictatorship.

Akthually Venezuela was relatively democratic and stable thanks to puntofijismo

> Saudi and the Gulf Monarchies are looking very unsteady right now, last week they lost their AAA credit rating and are having to sell off assetts and raise taxes to cover their huge deficits.

But they are not bordering in mass starvation

It is extremely obvious the current problem is related more to the thousands of factories closing down since 2002 than to anything else
>>
>>74137496
>That's because one country is better run than the other

Maybe so, but even if it was "well run" in your words it would have little overall impact unless they could increase the value of oil their currency will be worthless.

What will happen if the opposition will get in is all the state owned industries and oil companies will be sold to American multinationals, and the political leaders who organise that sell-offs will make millions and go live in America. I don't think the opposition have a coherent plan to do anything about the situation any more than Maduro, and like in Brazil, I don't think they're less corrupt or more competent than the socialist either.

This is assuming there's no civil war, which I think there will be, so whoever takes over from the socialists will have to deal with that and take it from me, if you think things can't get much more than they are now, then think again.
>>
>>74126885
You mustn't be on that level of retardation, right britbong?

The low prices were not because of a drop in demand, whoch would justify your argument, but in an articulated hike in production to both cripple russia and the US deep-waters extraction. This situation will only remain until ww3 which is set to go somewhere around 2025.
>>
>>74137967
Anyone is more competent than the chavistas.
>>
File: Screenshot_2016-05-15_22-52-50.png (13 KB, 464x381) Image search: [Google]
Screenshot_2016-05-15_22-52-50.png
13 KB, 464x381
>>74137194
Venezuela's inflation was already over 55% in 2013, when oil barrels were still hovering around $100.
The state was already going broke, that's why it was relentlessly printing money.
>>
>>74137967

> the political leaders who organise that sell-offs will make millions and go live in America.

that would inject much needed dollars into the economy, which would be recycled and allow the factories to start producing once more after the companies can access the international market once more

But nooooooooooooo... that would be evil and greedy, lets have a moral panick and starve instead
>>
>>
>>74137941
Was gonna write this. At least the Gulf monarchies and Russua had some contingency plans. Venezuela had none.
>>
>>74138016
> britbong
> implying it is not a transmarxist muslim gender binary guevarakin
>>
>>74137598

If oil prices don't go up substantially you could see those things happen in other countries too. I'd pick Nigeria as a key one to keep an eye on, as well as the gulf monarchies, iraq and libya. Iraq is already fucked and a lot of people don't fully appreciate how the post-2008 collapse in oil prices played a direct role in the break-up of the country (which was based on a sectarian distribution of oil wealth to a corrupt political class - once the oil money dried up the only thing binding the sunni's to the Iraqi state went with it, leading to a big rise in Sunni fundamentalism and then ISIS)

I don't indulge cliche's about "hurr durr socialism doesn't work" cos I prefer to have serious discussions, sorry.
>>
>>74136950
>just stay there and fight for your freedom fucks sake.
"no"
that never happens never will, no one wants to die fighting for a third world shithole, NO ONE, only the most try hard fanatics and outright dumb ignorant people do it
>>74136804
>we've been having 6-10% monthly inflation since 209
Doesn't fucking matter Santy, compare that too 1000% annual inflation and it's fucking nothing, plus Argentina is nice as fuck and the people mind their own business, Source: me I have traveled to Argentina (and Urgay for that matter) , plus they'll most likely thing you are an average Argie as long as you are light skinned, I was called white multiple times when I look like the average looking panchito
>>74136732
That wont happen, when literal millions of people are running away from mass rape and murder a whole lot of them will be dumb niggers who dont give a flying fuck about illegaly migrating to a different country, again it'll be the whole European refugee ordeal but with brown malandros this time
>>
>>74138217

See >>74138044

Another inaccuracy: Brazil is a net importer of oil. Linking our crisis with the oil crash is moronic.
>>
File: 1444434373283.png (60 KB, 500x499) Image search: [Google]
1444434373283.png
60 KB, 500x499
>>74138214
eres tu Ronnie o Araña?
>>
File: 1458664063029.jpg (38 KB, 600x398) Image search: [Google]
1458664063029.jpg
38 KB, 600x398
>post YFW venezuela breaks into bloody civil war and/or it gets conquered by its neighbors with more blood
>>
>>74138217
When was the Libya thing? 2010? Oil rebounded by then. Libya experienced the same turmoil as Tunisia, just on a larger scale.
>>
>>74137941
>But they are not bordering in mass starvation

yet. For instance Saudi Arabian agriculture and food exports are heavily subsidised by oil revenue. They are selling their assetts from their sovereign wealth funds as we speak to keep people fed. This will last a while, but not indefinitely.

Russia on the other hand is capable of feeding itself more or less permanently, and has other sources of revenue, meaning that even though it's not as wealthy (per capita) and doesn't get US support like Saudi it can withstand it much better

>It is extremely obvious the current problem is related more to the thousands of factories closing down since 2002 than to anything else

Highly unlikely imo,

Like I said in my very first post, Venezuela might be the first but it won't be the last. Any country whose currency is tied to the price of commodities is going to see that currency lose value on the international markets, in fact we're alreay seeing this take place, Venezuela is way out in the lead but it's not the only other country suffering from the underlying issue - the ongoing global collapse in commodity prices as a result of weak demand in the EU and China.
>>
>>74138367
The Venezuelans are more likely to murder and drag all of their government oppressors through the streets. I don't know how much they can possibly take. Maduro should honestly flee to Bolivia or something.
>>
>>74138217

Nigeria and Iraq had exactly the same problems with or without temporary record oil prices

Did you forget about the whole "gassing the kurds" things the sunnies tried? or about the bloody Biafran War in Nigeria?

Oil price may have delayed the unavoidable, but that you see the fall of oil price as the "real cause" is laughable

It is exactly the same case with Venezuela and socialism as a whole. Your whole argument is a typical leftist argument: "If the world wasn't the world but X fantasy were Y never happens, then Socialism works"
>>
>>74137706

I currently live in a suburb that's about 1/3 wealthy Mexicans from Mexico City and Veracruz. They're typically vain, self-absorbed, and snobby even by wealthy Southern white women standards. I actually tend to prefer the poorer ones since they're more humble.

Never had that problem with Brazilians, Argentinians, Venezuelans, or Cubans either.
>>
File: f5a.gif (2 MB, 659x609) Image search: [Google]
f5a.gif
2 MB, 659x609
This sounds fucking juicy.
Can anyone tell me a bit about the opposition, MUD - are they any good?

Also,are the looters all behind the MUD?
>>
File: 1460501916371.jpg (157 KB, 947x567) Image search: [Google]
1460501916371.jpg
157 KB, 947x567
>>74138582
I DONT CARE.

LORD KEK REQUIRES BLOOD.
>>
>>74124772
Why can't Colombia just invade Venezuela and liberate them from their insane government?
>>
>>74138025

your bias is showing.

I'm not interesting in circlejerking about "socialism never works!!! privatize everything! praise be to the oligarchs!" I just want to talk about the underlying global economic factors that are driving this, and what other countries in a similar position are going to do to avoid becoming like Venezuela. Cos as I've said all along, Venezuela might be the worst right now, but it's not like it was the only nation that bought into the oil boom pre-2008, neary every economy on earth (including the US with it's fracking and so on) that could do went all-in on commodities. Seeing how that plays out internationally is very interesting and seeing it as part of a much broader global slowdown is also interesting, much more interesting than platitudes about Chavez and corruption etc.
>>
>>74138582
>Maduro should honestly flee to Bolivia or something.
>Implying Maduro is smart enough to do that
He's dumb like a fucking rock, he can't even speak Spanish properly I mean come the fuck on
>>
>>74138241
>almsot 120% annual inflation
>not mattering
I still don't even understand why the fuck we have such high rates
>>
>>74137131
Just comin off the prehistoric thread or?
>>
>>74138148
>that would inject much needed dollars into the economy

Yeah into the economy of Panama and the Cayman Islands maybe but you'd have to be very optimistic if you think anyone in Venezuela is going to see any of that.
>>
>>74138538

> Highly unlikely imo

Why? Because it is not convenient for you?

your argument:
> The government screwed the economy and factories closed but no one would have noticed as long as magical oil money came appearing forever, so the real problem is that the fairy of high oil prices vanished, not that thousands of factories that produced basic living items closed down
>>
>>74138763
Bias? They're literally the most inept goverenment on Earth. Only early 2000's Mugabe gives them a run for their money. If you actually talked to venezolanos you would realize that.
>>
>>74138844
And buddy was talking about their former quasi satellite status of USSR. Gimme a break
>>
>>74138751
Because the Colombian army isnt worth jack shit, they have like no fucking tanks and their jet planes dont fucking work, in their defense they dont need a working arming when papa America has your back, also their are busy fighting guerrillero niggers in the jungle
>>74138773
well I mean it obviously matters but your country is still relatively stable and things are better now than la christy is gone
>>
>>74138241
>only the most tryhard

Do I have to remind you that your country is NOT your government? You're bound to the land you're born by metaphysical chains, nobody is fully happy living outside his country for good.

You will fight and you will live, there is no such thing like giving. What if everywhere in the world goes to shit, where are you going to flee?

I do hate with passion the leftists governments that the poor and dispossessed elected here, but I do love my country and will never leave it, no matter how hard shit gets.

If you don't do the same, if you're not a patriot you deserve no land other the one that will cover your body when you die.
>>
Why doesn't the ghost of Chavez tell Maduro how to fix the country?
>>
>>74138323
>Brazil is a net importer of oil

What makes you think this has no bearing on things?

Just because a country is a net importer doesn't mean their oil exports don't play a massive role in the overall value of their currency. Being a net exporter is difficult in such a large country, exports simply reduce the gap and thus strengthen the value of the currency.
>>
>>74138847

They would see milk for their babies, bread for their grannies, they would see medicine and food, they dont need to see any dollar

Protip: Most people don't suffer from the bizarre moral panicks of your envy-based ideology about people wanting to make money *SHOCK* by providing products and services!!!
Thread replies: 255
Thread images: 48

banner
banner
[Boards: 3 / a / aco / adv / an / asp / b / biz / c / cgl / ck / cm / co / d / diy / e / fa / fit / g / gd / gif / h / hc / his / hm / hr / i / ic / int / jp / k / lgbt / lit / m / mlp / mu / n / news / o / out / p / po / pol / qa / r / r9k / s / s4s / sci / soc / sp / t / tg / toy / trash / trv / tv / u / v / vg / vp / vr / w / wg / wsg / wsr / x / y] [Home]

All trademarks and copyrights on this page are owned by their respective parties. Images uploaded are the responsibility of the Poster. Comments are owned by the Poster.
If a post contains personal/copyrighted/illegal content you can contact me at [email protected] with that post and thread number and it will be removed as soon as possible.
DMCA Content Takedown via dmca.com
All images are hosted on imgur.com, send takedown notices to them.
This is a 4chan archive - all of the content originated from them. If you need IP information for a Poster - you need to contact them. This website shows only archived content.