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I'm going to need someone to come up with a convincing argument
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I'm going to need someone to come up with a convincing argument of how these numbers translate into a Trump victory in November.
>>
>>73458824
>these numbers

Obviously anyone trying to argue with you is going to claim that the numbers will change drastically between now and November. What are you, stupid?
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>>73458824
Here you go OP
<<
>>
>>73458824
Millions of people support Trump and Bernie because they know the economy is fucked up. They have different solutions to it, but they agree the economy sucks. Hillary is out there saying Obama's economy is great and she'll continue his policies. This will prove to be a mistake when people go out and vote.
>>
>>73458908
Also, Giant douche OR Turd Sandwich.
>>
>>73458824
What the fuck is unfavorability anyway?
>>
>>73458824
i dont like trump personally

still voted for him
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>>73458824
Hildebeest's are worse. Trump's such a master manipulator that even people who don't like him will vote for him.
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>>73459248
who knows, favorability couldnt save Bernie
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>>73458824

Women are dumb and will be easily swayed by November.

Trump has already been modifying his rhetoric to attract the other demos.

I cannot wait for America to be great again.
>>
>>73458936
>I have the best words
>>
>>73458824
You should look at Hillary's same numbers.
No one is voting FOR anyone this year. Everyone is voting AGAINST someone. I find Clinton deplorable. I don't like trump, but I'll take both my eyes out with a rusty butter knife before voting for her.
>>
Even bad press is still press. Trump knows this. he can turn around his bad boy image in 24 hours by media manipulation.
Hillary doesn't have a chance in november, she will lose as badly as the Mondale-Ferraro ticket.
>>
>>73458936

What a hat.

Made me kek

No wonder he wants to destroy libel laws. You read the words he's saying and it's just too hard to believe sometimes he really has that much going on between the ears.
>>
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>>73458824
>nobody likes him

>continues to win landslide victories with record turnouts

explain that??
>>
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>>73458824
Thanks Trump!

- Democrats
>>
>>73458824
>how these numbers translate into a Trump victory in November.
they're all made up.
please join the grownups in the real world now.
next shitpost please.
>>
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>>73459666
He's going to end up just like Stannis
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>>73458824
>>73459780
Discuss
>>
>>73459780

>successfully getting Ramsay to leave Winterfell in the middle of a blizzard and in possession of both a Greyjoy and a Stark

show-fags dont know how it is actually supposed to go
>>
>>73459666
Republican primary electorate is not the same as the Presidential electorate.

Demographics are about to change dramatically it's a new ballgame.
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>>73458824
An unfavorable view doesn't necessarily mean a vote against Trump, as many people view Hillary even less favorably.

The only thing there that really hurts him is women's view of him. Blacks, Hispanics and young people are against Republicans in general
>>
>>73459873
I can only presume in this analogy that Ramsay is Clinton so let's not forget all the supposed allies Ramsay has in the books who are definitely not on his side, like the Manderly's.
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>>73459873
his name was Romney, not Ramsay
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>>73460060

Bernie will be Manderly
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>>73458824
The same way these numbers translated into a victory in May.
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>Trump has higher unfavorables in blacks than with beaners

Holy shit niggers really are dumb
>>
>>73459708
JUST
>>
Right, favorability numbers sure do ensure victories.

So who's going to win the general election - Carson or Sanders?
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>>73458824
trump will win
>>
most of these people do not vote except the last one (but that one encompasses much of the first 4)
>>
>>73458824
I don't know where you're from. I see trump signs everywhere. People fucking love this guy.
>>
they don't like him but they'll vote for him anyway because they know he's right and hillary is pretty much evil incarnate.
>>
>>73460190
Hillary is in for a fucking.
>>
>>73460211
delete this
>>
>>73460360
thats a cool hat wizard
>>
>>73458824
Why does he keep winning?
>>
>>73460211
>May 31-June 2

Wasn't that before he even announced his candidacy?
>>
>>73460257
It doesn't matter the subject, the shape, the color, the fabric, the language, the standards, the normalcy or the history.

Niggers will find a way to fuck it up.

At this point, I think all that's left is gravity. I don't think niggers have fucked up gravity or done it any differently.
>>
>>73458824
>how these numbers translate into a Trump victory in November.
They don't. Trump is the best thing to happen to the Democrats since LBJ.
>>
Hillary's 200-ish crowds

Trump's 30,000-ish crowds

Liberals have already realized this in their subconscious, but won't let it come to surface to acknowledge it.
>>
>>73460257
It's because they get their news from Twitter and Facebook, and can't think independently.
All social media says he's a racist, homophobe, that's going to start ww3 with Mexico for fun.

Anyone with a brain can see it's exaggeration and hyperbole.
>>
Votes are cast for candidates, not against them. You don't lose votes for people disliking you. If 90% of the population hated someone, that person could still win with just the remainder if the 90% don't turn out to vote for their rival.
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>>73458824
>Favorability
>Votes
>>
Yyyyyaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaawwwwwwwwwwwwwnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
>>
>implying 90% of blacks and hispanics aren't felons or illegal and thus cannot vote
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>>73458824

white not mentioned 40+ not mentioned men not mentioned

Likely voters != registered voters

you done good shlomo, but we already woke up.
>>
>>73460960
Don't worry, the governor of Virginia has that front covered :)

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/05/06/report-leftist-groups-registered-two-thousand-virginia-felons-to-vote-in-two-weeks/
>>
>>73460899
#CorrectTheRectum
>>
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>>73458824
>nobody likes Trump
>no one takes him seriously
>Drumpf
>he will never beat Bush
>he will never beat Rubio
>he will not get to 1237
>racist, sexist, misogynist, etc.

Meanwhile...
>he gets tens of thousands at his rallies
>he's about to beat Dubya's primary record
>presumptive nominee
>triggers libs and cuckservatives on twitter
>calls Hillary out on her shit

Kasich and Sanders were the most likable and look at where they are now.
>>
The unfavourable ratings are almost as bad for Hillary, except she needs to have these groups to win.
>>
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Is /pol/ just as delusional about Trump vs Hillary as Berniefags are about Trump vs Bernie?

She is clearly literally dominating any pol, yet pol is like "we're still winning we're still winning!"

Its sad really
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>>73461088

Check that 88.
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>>73459248
My theory is that they don't ask whether they'll vote for him or not, but ask something like "Did you like what he said in ..."
>yes
"Oh but many people consider that raysist anon are you a raysist?
>>
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>>73461300
checked
>>
>>73460858
>Anyone with a brain can see it's exaggeration and hyperbole.

I'd like to think that, but I unfortunately know some otherwise intelligent people that believe Trump will start WW3. It wouldn't bother me so much if the ignorant swallowed this shit hook, line, and sinker but it's incredibly disconcerting to see people parrot the anti-Trump lines when they should know better. Like our Nige, Trump has plenty of faults to criticise but opponents would rather scream rayciss instead of addressing them.
>>
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>>73460211
Fucking delete this RIGHT NOW
>>
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>>73458824
Reminder that the Republican turnout is over 27 Million to the Democratic turnout of 22 Million Votes. Reminder that a conservative estimate of 10% Democratic voters (not counting Independents) will switch to Trump over voting for Hillary which translates to another 2.2 Million votes in the General Election (which can only continue climbing from here on out, and 10% is a kind number). Reminder that many more Democratic voters will not support Hillary and will simply stay home. Further reminder that the favorability polls do not take into consideration new and first time voters (which Trump draws in massive margins, thereby putting the credibility of those numbers in question).

Assuming 130 million voters are split this way and the trend continues with no changes enjoy seeing a ~75 million Trump v.s. ~55 million Clinton.
>>
>>73461351
those people aren't intelligent then.
>>
>>73461281
>any pol

I see wut u did thar
>>
>>73460662
There was tons of speculation he would run before hand so they ran polls

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/06/05/your-next-president-donald-trump-basically-tweets-like-a-12-year-old/
>>
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>>73458936
well played. loads of gibberish.
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>>73461281
She's about to face an indictment... we'll see where she's at then.
>>
>>73460360
that's a cool hat wizard
>>
>>73458824
Do you remember Bush vs Kerry in 2004? The media inflates their poll numbers and deflates republican poll numbers. Literally all of them actually believed Kerry won on election night
>>
>>73461573
>Implying the votes will matter

Since when were you under the impression you lived in a democracy? The foxhole runs very deep
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>>73461909
I know. I strongly believe that Trump will win with the votes but whether or not he can overcome the corruption and rigged system is another thing altogether. If anyone has a chance it's him, but the RNC rigging will make the GE look like childsplay.

We'll see how it turns out.
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>>73461880
Exit polls in 2000 and 2004 were fucking hilarious. I was a young dumb liberal at that time but watching CNN explain their mistake was hilarious.

It happened in the British elections too.
>>
>>73458936
>what a hat

oh gosh!
>>
>>73458824
They will almost assuredly change by November, also Hillary has extremely high unfavorability too, comparable to Trumps. Its not like he is the only side with this issue, this election is going to be the biggest unpopularity contest of all time and its anyone's game.
>>
>credible
>news

pick one

also,
>implying the people saying they dont like trump are going to be bothered to vote
>>
>>73461235
That's some MLG shit right there.
>>
>>73458824
if Trump is so unfavorable then why did he win?
>>
>>73460211
trump won the primary with 40% of the GOP vote so this ended up being accurate

unless a leftist third candidate runs, trump can't win this way in the general though
>>
>>73461235
Tacobowl-gate was the final nail desu.
>>
>>73458824
If favorability this cycle meant anything Bernie would be the nominee by March
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>>73461235
>our goal is the middle of may
>3 May 2016
EARLY
UNDER BUDGET
>>
>>73462422
>increasingly nervous man
>>
>>73458824

What doesn't make sense is trumps success in primaries vs. the supposed unfavorability?
>>
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>>73461880
Nigga I remember the election night coverage

>Uhhh, uhh guys uh there might be a shit ton of provisional ballots
>M-maybe if you count all the provisional ballots you will make up the 100,000+ vote deficit
>There gotta be some Kerry votes somewhere

Guys, remember no matter what the media will make this into a horse race. Trump could be +50 in the polls and they would find a way to make it into a horse race or just make a bunch of shill polls
>>
>>73458824
A wise /pol/tard once said people vote to elect someone into office not to keep someone out. If enough of the liberal idiots stay home and assume hillary will win because trump is literally hitler, trump will win
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>>73462322
His nationwide support among Republicans has already breached 50%.
>>
>>73458824
Hint: the electoral college
>>
>hasnt even said anything about blacks
>blacks hate him the most
>just because the jew media calls him racist

lol blacks are seriously pathetic
>>
>>73458824
Hillary is a weak candidate and just voting on the basis of "TRUMP IS HITLER" might not play out the way you imagine.

If she does win, I almost expect her to be one term but incumbency is a bitch
>>
>>73458936
the good old hat trick.
>>
>>73458824
notice how they never give the sample size

also notice how trump managed to wrap up the nomination with over a month to spare

also notice how crooked hillary and bernie pampers are still going at it

also notice how there has been WAY more republican voters in the primary process than democrat voters

also notice how republican voters broke the 2008 turnout record on super tuesday set by democrats

also notice how their front runner went onto to get nominated and win the election in a landslide victory
>>
YYYYYYYYYyyyyyyyyyyyaaaaaaaaawwwwwwwwwnnnnnnnnnnnn
>>
>>73458936
pol will defend this
>>
>>73458824
No Republican can ever win again.

The country is lost and the foreigners are going to keep voting to take our rights and money away
>>
>>73463861
Not really, Trump makes a lot of word salad when it comes to questions like that
>>
>>73463995
Nice short sightedness. Even if that were true eventually the Democrats would run some weak ass candidate and the Republicans would retool to win.
>>
>>73458824
Those are only from people who use the Washington Post and ABC News then also fill out their polls, which most people ignore.
>>
>>73462322
>trump can't win this way
>LbsgsOJx
listen to this guy, he's an expert
>>
>>73462322
He was winning with 60%+ in the final states, some of these being states where he was originally polling very terribly.
>>
>>73464204
But did you see him back when there were still 14 candidates in the race? He was barely pushing 30%. That's his real limit.
>>
>>73464370
>Gets over 60% in a three person race
>His limit is really 30% though because that's what he got in a 14 person race
What?
>>
>>73458824

They're polls and don't reflect reality.
>>
>>73464531
Where there were many people throwing out their ideas, Trump only had 30% support, at most. That is telling.
>>
>>73458824
>I'm going to need someone to come up with a convincing argument of how these numbers translate into a Trump victory in November.

Like/dislike numbers do not directly correlate into votes.
>>
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>voters nationwide
>67%
>91% of that 67% is African Americans, who notoriously do not vote
>81% of that 67%
>what
>91% and 81% and 75% and 74% = 67%

Am I reading this wrong? Or does it mean "this percentage of these groups"?
>African Americans
>likely voters
>>
>>73464610
This is the most retarded notion I've ever heard proposed on this board.
>>
>>73464623
>Like/dislike numbers do not directly correlate into votes.
If they don't like someone, they won't vote for said someone.

This last GOP selection process was an anomaly.
>>
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>>73464715
I didn't like Bush but I voted for him anyway.
>>
>>73464610
this desu
i am now clintoris
>>
>>73464708
If you are retarded, then your opinion is retarded, and therefor the ones you are arguing with are in the right.
>>
>>73464610
>>73464370
>where there were many people Trump still had the majority of support

Using this logic, if Trump didn't get the nomination then you'd be arguing for someone who has 7%-12% support which would be their limit as well. Using your logic this means Trump is still the best choice.
Suck my cock.
>>
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>>73459089
mister trump is that you?
>>
>>73461921
>that pic
I like it
>>
>>73464370
>30% in a 14 person race
OH GEE I WONDER WHY
>>
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>>73458824
Why do nogs hate him so much?

He never mentioned anything "bad" about them
>>
>>73465213
>OH GEE I WONDER WHY
because that's his real limit
>>
>>73464715
>If they don't like someone, they won't vote for said someone.

As you are clearly not old enough to vote, 4chan is an 18+ website.
>>
>>73465305
you're retarded
>>
>>73458824
they probably surveyed a bunch of people that don't have jobs so they are at home to answer the phone.
>>
>>73465305
Explain his 60+% results then.
>>
>>73465317
I am in fact over the age of 18, which makes you wrong, and what I said that much more correct. Stay dumb.
>>
>>73465284
Because nogs are consumed by media. so they say media his a mad man, monkey see and monkey do and they hate trump. they dont even know why.
>>
>>73458824
In some areas, Hillary's are just as bad or worse.
Trump will massacre her over her record in the debates.
Sanders had a lot of people who truly love him who will be staying home in November or even may vote for Trump to not vote for her.
No one truly loves Hillary, there are just a few interests that think she'll give them special handouts.
Cruz, Kasich, Rubio and all the others' supporters will be much more forgiving to Trump than Sanders's supporters to Hillary.
Republicans are starving for a meaningful victory this time and will turn out in record numbers.
Whites are still the majority in this country, so minority votes only mean shit when they get each one to fraudulently vote at several different polling places.

Those numbers will change and even if it's only single digits for each one, Trump's chances are pretty good.
>>
>>73465411
His only competitor left was the only other legitimate outsider still in the race. When you had people of principle, it was 30%.
>>
>>73458824

Gee, Trump unpopular with the same faggy leftists he never tried to court for votes? Who'd have guessed it?
>>
>>73458824
these polls are stupid

trump himself won the hispanic vote in nevada where hispanics are overrunning the place.

this is typical propaganda. think about it. will any typical american actually research these numbers or will they sit there on the couch and just absorb it like a fucking baby
>>
>>73465414
>what I said that much more correct

And yet you have no familiarity with voting.
>>
>>73465567
You don't like Hillary. Guess who you aren't voting for. Groundbreaking territory here.
>>
>>73458824
niggers don't vote
illegals can't vote
women don't vote
young people don't vote
>>
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>>73458824
Are you fucking kidding? Look at how big those numbers are moron, he's winning by more than 50% across the board

Jesus christ why do we let autists who can't count onto this board
>>
>>73465284

The media says he's racist and for the black community/society in general who never bother to actually research or fact check anything, that means he's automatically anti-non white, especially anti-black.
>>
>>73460360
that's a cool hat wizard
>>
>>73464707
it means 91% of niggers and 81% of spics
fucking dumbass
>>
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>>73465496
>When you had people of principle, it was 30%

When the vote was diluted, it was 35%.

As the candidates without principle dropped out, it grew to over 60%.
>>
you give a minority group the right the vote, then they just fucking dont, then they complain when the person they helped gain power by not voting doesn't represent their interests
>>
>>73465627
You dislike Trump, but you dislike Hillary even more. Guess who you aren't voting for. Groundbreaking territory here.
>>
>>73466017
>As the candidates without principle dropped out, it grew to over 60%.
Yes, 60% among people who make up a total of 30% when it's just them. Once the alternative dropped out, his number was inflated to a non-real number for use in the general.
>>
>>73466231
You're a fucking moron, and you should kill yourself.
>>
>>73465642
No, women vote. They are more likely to vote than men. Google is your friend.
>>
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>>73458824
>Trump more unfavorable with blacks than hispanics
Literally how?
>>
>>73466715
my guess is that most mexicans are racist bc Catholicism
>>
>>73466715
Blacks vote democrat and Trump's republican.
That's it.
They don't put more thought into it than that.
>>
>>73458824
These numbers likely come from focus groups who've been polled. They don't reflect the make up of Trump's fan base.

They're essentially cherry picked figures to try and make it out as if Trump is going to get BTFO by clinton in the general
>>
>>73466715
Hispanics come from a Macho culture, and most of the legal ones simply do not want to be ruled by a woman
They see Trump as an alpha, essentially
Blacks on the other hand are just dumb, emotional, easily manipulated, and violent
>>
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>>73458824

THOSE percentages will all change soon.

ONCE pic related happens.
>>
>>73467970
That's kind of true but not in the way you probably meant it.

Hispanics typically grow up with men around, fathers, uncles, cousins.

A very high percentage of black families have been single-mother welfare hutches since the 70s. That is the reason for the difference.

Has nothing to do with genetics, and black men lucky enough to grow up in normal families don't turn out that way.
>>
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>>73458936
>leaf
>>
>>73460360
that's a cool hat wizard
>>
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>>73462575
>mfw sjws, liberals, leftists, communists and "true conservatives" are jealous of trump's achvievements
>>
>>73460858
Exaggeration, yes. Hyperbole, yes.
But untrue? No.
>>
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>>73459780

DELETE THIS
>>
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>>73467970
>>73467152
>>73466715
>>73465284
>>73465424
>>73465823

He really has alienated everybody. In this tweet here that Donald got in a lot of trouble for, there was a bunch of things wrong with it.

1. It shows that Blacks killed whites at an 81% clip. That's false.
2. The source on the image, does not exist.
3. The original image came from a Neo-Nazi website
4. Needless to say #BlackTwitter was enraged, it became a huge thing and Black people hate Trump for being a race-baiting troll on Twitter.
>>
>>73464707
>do not vote
They are either too bussy making a pacific protest, being lazy or just don't know how to vote.
>>
>>73460211

That was a year ago. How things have changed.
>>
>>73469316

It is Jon now that he serves.
>>
>>73461573
>ignoring the electoral college
Face it, Trump winning is a matter of a few key states going red this year, and they probably won't.
>>
>>73468291
what the fuck is wrong with her eyes?
>>
>>73458824
People dislike hillary more
>>
>>73469494
its almost as though he's a fucking moron
>>
>>73459664
That's from ONE of his many, many rallies. The man can work a crowd. It doesn't have the same impact in a transcript.
>>
>>73464610

I second >>73464708
>>
>>73461921
Why was his hair so dark back then? Does he dye it now? When I was a little kid my hair was light then went dark but can that happen in your later years?
>>
>>73459172
your a turd sandwich
>>
>>73471377
It's almost as though he was baiting people into looking for the real stats. He had liberals gloating over black crime stats. The same people who would shout you down as a racist if you were to point these same numbers out.
>>
>>73458936
you know this was taken out of context at a Trump Rally, right?

The real question as Trump heard it was:

"Will you bring back the American Dream?"
The word "How" got lost in the noise
>>
>>73458824
the media jews actually did it.

they managed to convince everyone that trump is racist and misogynist.

you gotta give them credit for knowing how to fuck with everyone who is a threat
>>
>>73458936
It's a retarded question, way to wide. You wont get a useful answer unless you ask specefic.
>>
>>73458824
Why people are so crazy about "favorability"?
This means literally NOTHING.
>>
>>73458824
Are you a gambler or an American citizen? If you're a gambler then sure, you don't like the odds of Trump, but if you're an American you should fuck the odds and vote for Nationalism regardless of what the trends say. These kind of polling is purposely made to create a self-fulfilling prophecy.
>>
>>73458824

what did he even do to the niggers?
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