Which states could conceivably break for Trump in the election to help him get the win over Shillary?
>>73015268
Trump needs either PA, VA, or MI to win
For Trump to win, these things must happen:
1. Win Florida. If he loses there, game over.
2. Win one of Colorado and Nevada. Both would be great, but he should focus on one. Better to win one than lose both closely.
3. Win two of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia, and Michigan. I'm not sure he can win any more, and should certainly focus on two to ensure victories there.
Pic related
>>73015268
You underestimate Trump, like everyone else, I don't. I knew from that first debate, when he lacked party loyalty to the GOP, I said "Unless they pull some dirty tricks, he's going to be the nominee."
>>73015917
Trump is going to be pulling in voters who haven't voted GOP since 96. Mark my words. Clinton has no chance, no chance at all.
>>73015268
Ohio will probably break for him. FL will too.
PA is a maybe, but lots of blue collar people there fucked by NAFTA and so so sick of being told it's going to be better under a new establishment shithead.
MI is tricky, but consider their experience under NAFTA.
Not sure about VA. Somehow picking Webb would win there.
>>73016004
>california
>red
wew lad
>>73015917
This seems like the most likly scenaria for a trump win desu senpai
If trump btfo hilary ill become an unironic kek worshipper
Trump has a long way to go, he is down in normal red states
>>73016251
I live in PA, I can tell you we're going Trump, no question about it. Nearly everyone I know has been a liberal for 16 years, and they see Hillary as Bush Jr. Part 3 (They hated Obama, but Romney was worse, they mostly saw him as a creepy cultist.) Trump is a moderate in their eyes, Hillary is the extremist for thinking things "aren't that bad."
>>73016313
More conservatives there than you realize. Remember Prop 8?
all states are up for grabs at this point
no one can predict the numbers of new voters Trump will bring in. no one can predict how many of those Bernie supporters will switch to Trump
>>73016669
He's down in the polls? No way those could be inaccurate.
>>73016893
I'm a former Sanders supporter who switched to Trump. My preferences go
1. Sanders
2. Ron Paul
3. Gary Johnson
4. Trump
5. literally any third party candidate, I'd take Nader or Hitler, doesn't matter
6. Clinton
7. Zodiac Killer
8. Martin Shkreli
9. ¡Jeb!
the swing states he HAS to win are florida, ohio, virginia, and north carolina
from there he would only need one more state. colorado, new hampshire, pennsylvania, and maybe nevada are in play. CO and NH seem the most reasonable
he's never going to win iowa, wisconsin, or michigan.
>>73015268
North Carolina, Virginia, Nevada, Florida, Ohio, maybe Michigan
>>73017253
oh and new mexico might be in play if he picks martinez as vp
>>73017520
Trump is very popular with LEGAL immigrants, the people who went thought the difficult process of immigrating and are sick of getting a bad rap because of the cheaters. Trump has an advantage in NM.
>>73015268
As a Coloradoan I can confirm we will be going red this year. The leftists here are mostly Bernie supporters that hate Hillary. She won't have enough voters to beat the republicans here who are sick of seeing leftist degenerates ruin their state.
>>73018272
Also, CO has a lot of people who want small government, conservative spending, and less laws about vices, like weed, which is why's it's legal in CO. And Trump has said things about wanting to legalize and tax drugs, so that's a plus.
This is a big part of why he think he ran as a Republican. Democrats will turn on you for the smallest thing and vote third party, but they will also betray their party and vote for you if they actually agree with you. Tons of Republicans will just vote the party line no matter what, or vote for whoever says "Jesus" the most.
>>73015268
the entire rust belt
easy win
Florida. Unlike Mexicans, Cubans and Puerto Ricans aren't completely retarded.
>>73019306
Isn't Cuba a commie state and Puerto Rico's in default? Fucking retard.
>>73019630
The Cubans in Florida are the ones who escaped and hate the communist state. This isn't some mystery.
Fuck you sort of have a fucking point. All I'm saying is they're smart enough to actually listen to what Trump was saying about illegals and not misconstrue it.
>>73017173
>communist followed by anarchist
You really vote by memes, don't you?
>>73017173
I agree with this tier list.
>>73015268
>>73015470
>>73015917
Trump will NOT win Virginia or Michigan.
Michigan got a CEO governor and ended up with Flint. Michigan will never go to the GOP ever again.
Virginia just gave voting rights to felons, both their senators are democrats, and their governor is a democrat.
Trump also will NOT take Pennsylvania. He might take Pennsyltucky but democrats already do terrible in those regions. and still win decently in Pennsylvania.
If Trump wins Pennsylvania then Hillary will win Arizona. Both of those aren't happening.
>>73015268
Could be Florida, but that's usually just a coin flip. It might be a little better because Trump has spent a lot of time living there. Iowa and Nevada will probably go red. Virginia/North Carolina could go either way (just because Shillary goes with the whole "I'm from the south just like you guys, just listen to my accent" routine. I think CO, WI, and OH will go blue (and NH).
>>73020307
>Implying the 2016 US presidential election hasn't transcended beyond typical left right spectrum politics.
>>73020758
I think Michigan will vote for Trump because he isn't your traditional republican so they won't associate him with the current governor, if Trump chooses Webb as his VP it puts Virginia at play and he may win that too.
>>73021133
>Michigan will vote for Trump because he isn't your traditional republican so they won't associate him with the current governor
No.
>>73015268
This is gonna be von Clausewitz shit - Total Fucking War.
... it's gonna be biblical
NJ could go for trump, unless the fat fuck is VP. In that case, it's a surefire Shillary win. Christie currently has a lower poll rank than Dubya ever did...
>>73020758
>Trump also will NOT take Pennsylvania
Saved for laughs in novemeber
>>73021669
It's how Republicans consistently say they'll take Pennsylvania but they never do.
He might get it to a really close margin but it's not happening.
pic related
>>73018721
I spent two seconds on Google just in case you hadn't seen this before, anon.
http://cookpolitical.com/presidential/maps
hillary is currently at 253, trump currently at 221.
hillary has the easiest path to win. trump essentially has to win every battleground state available.
>>73021945
thats pretty close in 4 of those. They can be closed. Either way, most likely Penn won't go sadly. Fucking philly man.
>>73021945
He hasn't even started on her.
Plus philly-nigs won't come out and vote for her
>>73021945
>>73020758
don't be an increasingly nervous man. trump's not like other republicans
>>73016669
>Texas
>red
>>73017173
Why do you have Sanders on there twice?
>>73020307
Ron Paul isn't an anarchist, he's a very conservative leaning republican. Sanders isn't a communist, but you're closer on that one.
It's like the dem primary all over again. Clinton is a shit candidate but her people know how to win. I just don't see Trump beating the Clinton machine in every state needed with a half-hearted republican party that miserably lost the last 2 presidential elections.
>>73015268
New York
>>73022520
It is not about being close. It's about winning. The electoral college is ALL OR NOTHING.
>>73022622
You're right, Trump's not like other republicans. He's much, much worse.
http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/at-the-edge/2016/03/01/president-donald-trump-likely-the-next-occupant-of-the-white-house
>The truth is this: presidential elections are now fought and won in just seven states. The other 43 (with a few rare exceptions) are largely pre-ordained.
>based on recent Clinton vs. Trump head-to-head polls in these seven states and the likelihood that the white vote may increase in 2016, Trump is within striking distance of winning a general election against Clinton.
>>73023058
>that clearly edited U
It was so close..
>>73023576
I really think people are not taking into account how many democrats are going to flip but can't say anything out of fear of alienating their social circle. But you're all alone in the booth
>>73015268
Definite-tier
>Florida
>Virginia
>North Carolina
Likely-tier
>Pennsylvania
Depends on good VP-tier
>New Hampshire
>Ohio
>Michigan
>Iowa
>Wisconsin
Coin flip-tier
>Colorado
>Nevada
>New York
>New Mexico
Pipe Dream-tier
>California
>Washington
>Oregon
>Illinois
>Massachussetts
>>73021669
>>73021945
A wise man once said "Pennsylvania is Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Alabama in between." Unfortunately, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia are Democratic and between the two of them always determine the way the state goes.
I mean, I'm voting for Trump but I know my fucking state is going to stab me in the back again.
>>73024444
Sick quads
Also
>P E N N S Y L T U C K Y
>E
>N
>N
>S
>Y
>L
>T
>U
>C
>K
>Y
>>73024444
>tfw pittsburgh
I love and hate this city. We have so many brotruck rednecks but not enough to counter the liberals.
Imagine if Commiefornia didn't exist
1/4th of the democratic base gone in an instant
Can the person who is compiling these posts to make a giant collage after election day include this post of me saying "Hmmm that's a penis" ? Thanks in advance.
PA
OH
FL
NC
MI
CO (don't count them out. Trump polls well against hillary there)
>>73025101
and without california the US world be a third world country
california is the most important state in the country politically, economically, technologically, and culturally. every other state is literal fucking garbage. and i say that as a lifelong texan.
>>73025101
Can't wait until they pass that initiative to split the state into five separate states
>>73025525
>he thinks California is significant
>>73025588
>he thinks the most important state in the country isn't important
lol
>>73025525
new york is more important
>>73025525
Well, we finally found their queer.
>>73025755
>poor york more important
HAHHAHAHA
>>73025798
>post objective truth
>"q-q-queer" -flyoverbaby
>>73016669
>AZ
>Blue
what the hell are you smoking?
>>73025525
>california is the most important state in the country politically, economically, technologically, and culturally. every other state is literal fucking garbage. and i say that as a lifelong texan.
I can tell you're not from Texas. I know you're a fellow Californian from downstate who likes to longboard to In-N-Out.
Hopefully he can pull a Bruce Rauner and win all counties in Illinois except for cook county and win the state
>>73025957
nope i've lived in texas all my life and i submit to california's superiority
>>73025525
What the fuck is wrong with you.
California is a trainwreck that the rest of US watches for entertainment and practical advice on how to avoid ending up like California.
>>73026084
>best state in the country is a "trainwreck"
HAHAHAHAHAHA
>>73026199
suh dew
>>73025951
Arizona has a lot of Republicans who will vote for the Libertarian if it is Gary Johnson. Gary Johnson could cause it to go Blue like it did in 1996 when a lot of Republicans voted for Perot and Clinton won AZ.
>>73026254
i wish texas was as good as california
>it's a MA refuses to vote red episode
Come on already. Just this once.
>>73025957
Fucking New York, Die West Coast Scum.
>>73026199
California only exists to remind New Yorkers like myself that it could be worse
>>73020758
>Trump also will NOT take Pennsylvania. He might take Pennsyltucky but democrats already do terrible in those regions. and still win decently in Pennsylvania.
PA is full of blue collar workers frustrated that their jobs have been shipped overseas. I think we're really in a weird election where we might see the Rust Belt go to the guy promising to bring jobs back vs. the woman who was married to the guy that helped ship them all out. I really want to see Trump hammer Clinton over NAFTA and TTP in the debates; I can't see any way for her to counter that.
>>73026723
new york
>costs more
>pays less
>has worse traffic
>has no noteworthy industry
>has no noteworthy culture
>has no noteworthy education
new york is a poor man's california, literally. LOL.
>>73026543
I want to believe
>>73026543
>>73027031
I was hoping so too but seeing how much people celebrate Liz Warren effectively writing "wow donald trump s0 evil and s00000 stoopid" I have little faith in our state.
>>73026990
>new york
>no noteworthy culture
Now im a southern boy and dont like a yank, but thats BS. All our european immigrants came throigh there in the early 1900s
>more and more shitskins coming in
>thinking any state is ever going to turn red ever again
it's far too late already. republicucks were doomed once they neverer got immigration under control
i guarantee you we will never see a republican win the presidency ever again.
