Projected map of the 2016 election between Trump and Clinton.
Trump doesn't stand a chance.
What will you Trumpfags do when you lose? Cry?
All I can do is vote instead of pretend its hopeless in my deep dark blue state.
>>72951411
That is right now, not then. We have a lot of time on our hands.
>>72952455
Sure, totally. There will be next to no minority votes for Trump, and the Dems will split the white vote in liberal/purple states. Which means he'll carry the south and the West but nowhere else.
What's amazing about the media coverage about Trump is that the constant shilling and denial has created an election environment where even the most legitimate discussion about electoral college strategy just looks like following a narrative.
And then you have posts like OP's, that are obviously shilling. How well did those GOP nomination projections go?
>>72951926
FLIP IT
Trump may very well win California. They can't sustain the influx of Mexicans in that state forever.
>>72951411
This is the most insane thing; you even have NY as a blue state in this projection.
NY loves Trump, and Trump loves NY.
>>>/lgbt/
>>72951411
until Hillary gets indicted. things will go much more in favor of the GOP
>>72951411
Remember when they first projected Trump would never wi nthe nomination?
There's no statistical models to account for this situation.
You trying to predict how the generals will play out in 6 months based on this shit is irrelevant.
Ohio won't vote democrat this year and NC is just really unsure. All the New England and New York/jersey fags come down to North Carolina and bring their shitty ideology with them.
>>72954389
Everyone in NYC is Jewish, homosexual, or a minority. Maybe upstate likes him but the city is filled with liberals, and the people who aren't liberals won't vote.
>>72951411
REAGAN
WILL
LOSE
>>72951411
Let me remind you that NYC had a black mayor, and all the nogs were going to vote for him. The net result was Giuliani won, and Dinkins lost. Ahead of the election, all the nogs everywhere around the city were running around with Dinkins pins.
The point is that minority votes don't carry a terrible candidate. Hillary is terrible. Probably on par with Dinkins. People really dislike her like they disliked Dinkins. Nogs alone can't win shit even in a big city with nogs probably being 30-40% of the population.
>>72954640
turnout is the only thing anyone tried to disprove was a predictor in the general case, ergo that is the only thing left to explain what is going to happen.
primary turnout is the predictor this cycle, though it isn't normally. democrats are going to lose some states they won last time and it will be because of the people who simply won't vote for clinton. they didn't show up for the primary and they won't show up in the general either.
>>72951411
>Trump will never win!
>says increasingly nervous man since March 2015
They said he'll never win against other people before, what makes it different this time?
>>72954974
romney only needed 4% more of the white vote to win the general, but he lost.
clinton/sanders are splitting their total available pool of white vote in half. they have already spoiled the pot, each of them disenfranchises the other's white voters, and they are getting close to 50/50 splits of that pool of voters. thus, for comparison, if even 5% of white bernie supporters won't vote for clinton in the general, then she has lost 2-3% of the white vote that was ever available to her and safely democrat.
swing votes will crush either one of them in favor of trump.
>>72951411
Coup
>>72951411
Nice, all we have to do is flip FL, PA, OH, and MI. Guaranteed Trump victory.
I also don't see NC voting blue, so swap that in for MI or OH if need be.
>>72951411
Shills are on full force in the morning
DAILY REMINDER THAT ACTUAL PAID HILLSHILLS ARE FUCKING EVERYWHERE ON 4CHAN, SPECIFICALLY /pol/
THE PAST 2 POLLS HAVE TRUMP +2, +3 OVER CLINTON
FUCK HILLBOTS, VOTE TRUMP
NEVER GIVE UP
>>72954364
Yeah, but the influx of Mexicans can vote.
>>72954640
/thread
Everyone has doubted Trump, every week, every day, since he announced his run
Unlike Hillary, Trump has ABSOLUTE MOMENTUM
TRUMP STUMP BUMP!
>>72955748
Where can I get a job shilling for Hillary? It's like the normal shitposting I do, but now with a paycheque attached.
>>72951411
>FL
>blue
KEK
'08 primary:
>1.59 million republican votes
>1.70 million democrat votes
Obama only won 50.9% of the vote in the general
'16 primary:
>2.28 million republican votes
>1.66 million democrat votes
Republican attendance UP ~40%
Democrat attendance down (-2%)
>It's gonna be anodah shoah
MAGA
>>72956048
Start protesting with Stop Trump groups. You'll be approached by a single person with a job opportunity, who won't say where they're from, or what they're doing.
Soros.
>>72951411
It will be a repeat of 2012
>>72954389
This is a delusional Trump tard
>>72954364
>Trump may very well win California.
Another one for the trump delusion collage
>>72954389
>This is the most insane thing; you even have NY as a blue state in this projection.
And another
>>72955748
There was a poll today putting her up 13 though.
>>72956394
More trump delusions.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/
Dem primary turnout was higher in fucking Louisiana this year, but it's a solid red state
>>72956723
>>72956563
Link it then, bot
>>72956839
http://edition.cnn.com/2016/05/04/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-poll-general-election/
http://time.com/4317581/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-general-election-poll/
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/may/4/hillary-clinton-leads-donald-trump-13-points-poll/
wait until the Lord debates the fuck out of Shillary
>>72951411
Hillary is about to be indicted. Problem solves itself.
Nevada
>Republican caucus had ~76k votes among 5 candidates, Trump wins with 46%
>Democrat caucus had 12k votes among 2 candidates
>64k more red votes in a swing state
Florida
>Republican primary had 2.2 million votes among 4 candidates, Trump wins with 46%
>Democrat primary had 1.6 million votes among 2 candidates
>600k more red votes in a swing state
etc etc
>>72955339
Don't forget that Rmoney had no turn out to speak of. I didn't bother voting for this scumbag. I'm sure lots of people didn't bother as well. To have the guts to nominate private equity guy with zero convictions in the banking sector, is what killed 2012. People are not as stupid as a whole. Trump will have people turn out that haven't voted for ages.
>>72951411
>muh baseless projections
Keep feeding his campaign by telling everyone he can't win. It gives him the Underdog factor.
>>72957057
>>Democrat caucus had 12k votes
Dem caucus votes aren't raw vote numbers, the democrats only release state caucus delegate numbers.
Also http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/
>>72956898
>CNN/ORC
>>72957183
And the polls that had Trump on +2 were Rasmussen. Who in 2012 predicted a Romney landslide.
>>72956828
>statistical manipulation
>nationwide results to counter a state-by state argument
In a vital swing state, a 40% increase in turnout is not meaningless.
Trump is going to wreck Hilldawg in FL.
Be ready bong.
>>72957242
Turn out. If people polled would have voted, it would have been different. Showing up to vote for barely more acceptable candidate is generally not worth it. It's a voter suppression tactics to get two similar candidates, so that it's not even worth it to face the possible jury duty. I will only vote if it really makes a difference, but I would lean for Romney if anyone asked in 2012. I didn't bother showing up to vote for the Shit Sandwich vs the Douchebag.
>>72951411
there is always the nuke option
>>72951411
>NC
>blue
Go fuck yourself with a cactus
Projected results of the 2016 Republican primary.
Trump doesn't stand a chance.
>>72951411
>Hillary shills trying to stump the Trump
when will they learn...
>>72961198
>Kasich
>2%
What the fuck is keeping this man going oh my god. There must be something in those sandwiches
>>72961198
>May 28, 2015
heres your (you)
>>72961539
he was being facetious, faggot
>>72951411
Trump supporters are delusional. I can't wait, it's gonna be 2012 all over again.
>>72951411
Hillary has only contended with one opponent and is struggling to beat him in the primaries
Trump has succesfully defeated 17 opponents.
17-0 to Trump against Hillary.
