Welp GG Rethuglians no re, better luck in 8 years. Maybe next time you wont nominate such a fucking racist piece of trash.
>>72373892
He isn't racist.
>>72373892
Wish you retards would realize that calling Trump racist only makes him more popular because crying wolf immunizes him against legitimate criticism.
You stupid fucks.
>Louisiana and NH
>Blue
KYS my man.
>>72373892
>Pennsylvania
>Voting blue in 2016
My fucking sides.
>>72373943
>He isn't racist.
That's why I don't really like him. Hold your nose and vote, I suppose.
>>72373892
He takes Penn and NC
>>72374074
Take the RCP average for both front runners
43% for Trump
49.5% for Hillary
And the Vote totals for each party
301,169 (R)
311,613 (D)
and put them together and you get
129,503(R) < 154,248(D)
the math doesn't lie.
>>72374505
How many independents are there?
also how many Bernouts will defect after he loses?
Similarly
NH
122,171(R) < 124,237(D)
>NY
>BLUE
TOP KEK
>Pennsylvania
>New York
>Blue
ayy lmao
New Hampshire and Pennsylvania will go red. Everything else seems about right
>>72373892
>Republican primary turnout up 70% from four years ago
>Democrat primary turnout down 35% from 4 years ago
lol, ok OP, you fucking faggot
>>72373892
>NC
>LA
Make Texas Blue while you are at it.
>>72374374
>>72374814
PENN is a fucking blowout
676,535(R) < 818,209(D)
>>72374974
forgot muh pic
>>72374847
Hillary's averages are higher than Trumps 43% vs 49.5% even with a Republican boost in turnout the numbers are close enough that Hillary's higher averages edge Trump out
>>72374814
>>72374709
>NY
Such a blow out in turnout I don't even need to know the math so see Hillary will win there in a landslide.
>>72375141
BUT PENNSYLVANIANS HATE THE CLINTONS
ESPECIALLY THE INDEPENDENTS
>>72374905
>>72374374
>North Carolina
489,649(R) < 558,974(D)
Hill wins
>LA, NC blue
>ME, NV, VA red
What
>>72375692
see
>>72375534
>>72374505
for NC and LA
as for VA
Turn out is so good for Republicans even with Hillary's higher average she cant win.
440713(R)>387533(D)
>>72374690
In both of those contests Hillary had only one opponent had 5 opponents to divide his vote total. That won't happen in November.
>>72375692
>NV
Same story
>>72375534
>Don't vote
>Hate turn out
I swear all the god damned yankees came down here and ruined this place.
>>72376018
We ARE talking the total vote totals for each party, not individual candidates
>>72373892
>implying Utah won't go blue because Mormons are pawns
>>72375692
>ME
Dems just cant beat that Republican turnout there.
>>72376179
You're clearly not
>>72376363
see
>>72374505
for methodology
take the total turnout and times it by the RCP average for that the front runner of each party.
>>72374658
I voted Bernie in the primaries. There is no way in hell I am voting on for Hillary. Trump FTW now I guess
>>72376482
atta boy
>>72376456
some of your posts use it by total, some you do it individually.
Get fucked shill.
>>72376641
nope try again
point out where i used individual vote totals
>>72374505
Except RCP averages out polls that underestimate Trump continuously, as well as ones that are more accurate. Trump consistently outperforms RCP averages.
>>72374199
Fucking philly and pittsburgh man. PA will be blue
>>72373892
Dem turnout was down 20% in this last primary and they were all northeast states.
>20% DOWN
>IN THE NORTHEAST
I can't wait for California numbers.
>>72376753
possible, we'll have to see come November.
>>72376359
Dem caucuses are state delegate totals, not raw vote totals you utter mongoloid.
>>72374060
I never cared who Trump was until people started calling him racist. And then I loved him.
>>72373892
>I am a cuckhold and need to prep my girlfriend's bull, so I might have messed up a few states
>>72374905
>LA, NC blue shows OP is a poor meme man
Based Kiwi. Have a TayTay.
>>72376931
The Bernie people are on to the corruption of Hillary and the republican primaries have been divided by more than double of the democrats.
Its a stop Hillary at all cost kinda feel man.
>>72376885
2008 was a blip with enormous turnout, since Obama and Clinton kept it close until the last minute. Bernie has been losing for months.
>>72373892
>gg no re
>>>/v/
and back to cs:go, faggot
>>72373892
NC red
LA red
OH blue
ME blue
IA blue
NH red
I'd be pretty good with that then.
>>72373892
Nice proxy, Canada.
>>72373892
>Louisianian here
OP is literally retarded. Disregard this thread.
>>72374709
Shilllary was a senator here. She's taking New York.
>>72377471
>More democrats voted than republards
hurrrr
>>72377551
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/
>>72374505
You can't apply math to everything. You're literally autistic.
based on voter turnout
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_2zR7LlDVUpVs1WM5S_bzeuooOvlVPvJVsEj4MXCOa4/edit#gid=0
>>72377517
>Hillary was senator of a state she never lived in
>She's gonna win Trump's home state
wew lad.
>>72377551
>primary turn out prediction general election patterns
hurrrr
>>72377616
>nate silverbergstien
disregarded
>>72377551
>primary votes =/= november votes
>>72377662
>>72377637
for swing states only*
>>72377706
He's been almost perfectly right, predicted every primary so far except 3 republican ones and 1 dem one.
>>72377637
>Trump is going to get 100% of cruz and kasich supporters
dis re fucking garded
you have to temper raw numbers with something, like how well they are doing in their respective polls
>>72377735
>Polls run by Hillary's donors aren't rigged!
Wew again lad!
>>72377815
Dems have the same problem with party unity
Hillary will not get all of Bernie's supporters
>>72377797
>hes been 100% right except for all those times he hasnt
yep, rubio is well on his way to being the republican nominee, nate says so, he even says trump has 05 chance to win the nom
>le nervous man
>>72373892
>Maine red
>Louisiana and North Carolina blue
lmao no
>>72378034
right, which is why you take their respective averages in their respective primaries
43% for trump
49.5% for hill
simple fucking shit you mongoloid
>>72377868
I'm sure fox are big clinton donors.
>>72378036
That was early on, 538 have been predicting a trump nomination for months now. Trump literally defied the polling data in many early states, so it's reasonable that they were initially hesitant.
Meming aside, do you think Trump could actually swing New York? I don't think it'll happen, but what a titanic shift that would be.
>>72378219
I don't see it, I mean outside the city it's more Red but NYC controls the entire state
Can't wait to get out of here
>>72378219
>do you think Trump could actually swing New York?
No. But against trump Clinton could swing Utah, mormons hate trump and a lot are gonna vote Johnson or stay home.
>>72373892
>lousisana
>blue
You are a faggot
I mean Hillary really spending money today
>>72378441
>>72378186
>Using polling data six months in advance
>>72377723
>republicans are going to magically get more voters out of their ass for mythical voter land
>>72378701
I didn't vote in the primaries(thanks for the heads up NY) but I'm voting in the general
>>72378441
Wait until Hillarity tells them having multiple wives is sexist.
>>72378654
>implying trump will turn it around when women hate him, all non-whites hate him and even over 50% of men hate him
>>72374060
Yeah, on /pol/ maybe.
>he doesn't know states and even parties within states have different types of primaries
laughinggirls.jpg
>>72379023
>Candidate in a pool of 3 vs candidate in a pool of 2, not to mention Cruz supporters picking Clinton to make Trump look worse, ALSO not to mention the fact that the general election is months away
ok
>>72374658
Independent here, didnt vote in primaries (wish i could have) but im voting for trump
>>72378186
They are.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/01/29/fox-is-one-of-the-biggest-donors-to-the-clintons/
>>72377384
>OH blue
Not this time.
Is this thread basically advance berniematics and increasinglynervousology?
>>72375141
Yeah but those odds are still pretty close and he has certainly been closing that gap since the beginning. I'm interested to see how it turns out when they weigh in the independent vote (unless they already are and I'm wrong).
Frankly it's still too early to call, I'm not voting, but Trump has broke every glass ceiling the media and everyone claimed he's had. He's turned out more Republican voters in ages. Also, if I remember correctly, 20% of Democrats are defecting Trump this time around. Although I could be off on that figure.
Also, the real fighting hasn't even started. Hillary has a lot of shit to weather to get to the white house. Most of the shit storm hasn't even hit the surface yet, and you bet when push comes to shove it's gonna fly.
Once again, not voting. But this is one crazy fucking race.
>>72377471
>Louisiana here too
People are based down here. No way we're going blue. OP is a faggot.
>>72373892
Also OP, you seem kinda shilly. Not saying you are, but with the recent release on Hillary hiring a internet troll team it wouldn't put it past you.
I don't even think a Bernout would sink low enough to try to prop up Clinton.
Plus, where is she getting these fucking votes?
I have literally ran into 0 Clinton supporters, save my mother in law who can't vote anyway. Where are they?
>>72379188
>3 candidates
Yeah, Kasich has a huge base of support.
And they'll definitely get behind Trump.
>>72373892
>0/10, OP is a faggot
