>think trump had a really good night last night
>Go to check out 538
>still has a greater chance now more than ever of a contested convention
Guys was it really a fake happening?
>>72234647
>Nate Silver
These days only kikes have a voice in the political process.
>>72234647
>Silver.
>Shekels were made of silver.
Every fucking time
>>72234761
>predicted the last 2 elections near perfect
>has some of the highest predictions in sports
Dunno he is right a lot
>>72234647
Trump has it in the bag
>>72235258
>implying both of those aren't rigged
And sports is easy to predict if you pay attention
>>72234647
>>still has a greater chance now more than ever of a contested convention
That's the opposite of what 538 says. At this point Trump is 97% on track BEFORE counting unbound PA delegates, of which at least 40 can safely be expected to vote for him.
>>72235258
Yeah, he correctly predicted all ten outcomes last night.
Shills gonna shill, hes got it on lock.
>>72235258
>>72234761
>>72236477
Nate Silver also predicted very strongly that Trump would flame out before Iowa and we'd have a Cruz vs Rubio primary running down the stretch.
He acknowledges that in almost every article, too, like he knows it's the worst fuck-up he's ever made.
>>72236745
For reference
>>72234647
He's not wrong. If trump doesn't win key states then it's a guarenteed contested convention since Ted and potentially man are already impossible
>>72236952
Donald Trump has 10.1 million voters, 27 states and 954 delegates.
Ted Cruz has 6.9 million voters, 11 states and 547 delegates.
I'm not saying Trump can't be stripped of everything by jerk-offs in the Republican Party.
What I'm saying is will there even BE a fucking Republican Party afterwards if they do it?
Trump was never going to get the nod. He could get every single delegate in every state and still not get the RNC slot.
The primaries are not real elections. They don't even need to hold primaries anymore. They can, and do, pick the candidate they want.
>>72234647
>>Go to check out 538
0/10
>>72234647
>still has a greater chance now more than ever of a contested convention
What, that's not what the article says at all.
>>72237130
Nope
You don't get away with completely defying the will of the people
>>72237130
To be fair the primaries are a poor representative of the actual Republican party as far as voter base goes considering more than half don't vote in them
>>72236745
>>72236908
The problem is he's a stats man. He went off of polling and previous knowledge that wildcards tend to bomb out of the race, but trump was a statistical anomaly.
If they try for a brokered convention they'll destroy the party's legitimacy
Nate Silver is a jewish liberal and you should know better than to trust anything he says. He's a shill.
>>72237450
See >>72237379
He predicted both of the last two elections near perfectly and the 538 models have usually been accurate for primaries too (failing only in 1 democratic and 3 republican primaries so far).
>>72237450
He's also probably the best living political and sports statistician.
Just because he doesn't like Trump doesn't invalidate the hundreds and hundreds of good predictions he's made about previous elections and literally the last 10 years of sports games
>>72237414
The question is if they care.
The likes of Charles Koch, Lindsey Graham, even Karl Rove have all demonstrated that if it comes down to it they will endorse and be perfectly comfortable with a Hillary Clinton presidency.
I wonder if the Republican Party isn't getting ready to fold entirely in favor of a single Democratic Party that gets 65 to 70% of the vote, everywhere forever, no matter how hard they fuck up, like the ANC does in South Africa.
>>72237299
>what is the most 2000 presidential election
wew
>>72237590
Except it does, you retard. He's clearly biased
>>72237700
Bush lost the popular vote by 0.5% and won 30 states to Gore's 20. It would've been a razor thin margin no matter what happened.
This is more akin to if the 1984 election ended with the Electoral College naming President Mondale.
>>72237819
>He's clearly biased
>has predicted nearly every primary correctly once he realised trump was here to stay after NH
>>72237700
a 0.5% margin isn't a blatant defiance of the will of the people
The margin Trump is winning by is totally different story
>>72238176
Hillary Clinton also beat Barack Obama by 300,000 votes in the 2008 primary and the superdelegates awarded the nomination to him.
But again, the election was close.
Ted Cruz expects to win fucking nothing and be coronated because reasons.
>>72238356
Libs have no spines which is exactly why they won't do anything about the current situation with Sanders and didn't do anything about the situation with Obama
>>72237694
There won't be a single party in America, if establishment republicans fold into the democratic party, it would give liberals leeway to go in their own since, can you imagine Sanders and the Kochs sharing a party? It's more likely you'll get a a populist party (Trump's gop) a corporate party (Republicrats) and a socialist party (Berniecrats). It probably would be a good thing too.
>>72234647
>think trump had a really good night last night
>Go to check out 538
No, Nate said Trump had a GREAT NIGHT:
https://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/725210068053020673
https://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/725199722894471168
