It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose*
*Well, at least if he wins Indiana.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-trumps-nomination-to-lose/
Indiana is important not only because of its delegates, but also because it will give us an indication as to whether the apparent change in Republican attitudes is temporary or permanent. If Trump wins Indiana despite its middling-to-fair (from his standpoint) demographics, he won’t quite be the presumptive nominee because he’ll still need to follow through with a decent performance in California. But he’ll at least be in the liminal zone that Hillary Clinton spent a lot of time in, with the race not quite wrapped up mathematically but close enough that something (a gaffe, a scandal) would have to intervene to deny him the nomination. Incidentally, Trump’s potential support from the uncommitted delegates in Pennsylvania will give him more margin of error in that situation.
If Trump loses Indiana, however, that will suggest the race is still fairly volatile week-to-week, that he’s very likely to lose states such as Nebraska that vote later in May, and that the geographic and demographic divergences in the GOP haven’t reversed themselves so much as they’ve become more exaggerated. It will improve the morale of anti-Trump voters and change the tone of press coverage. And mathematically, it will make it hard (although not quite impossible) for Trump to win 1,237 delegates outright; he’d be back to fighting tooth-and-nail for every uncommitted delegate.
Who’s On Track For The Nomination?
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/
It's all over.
>>72220434
bullshit, every victory pushes him closer to the win
to be honest, if he gets California, than he's the nominee
>>72220434
After yesterday I don't think cruzlims or kasich foodies are even hyped enough to vote. They got stumped that hard.
>>72220434
Is Indiana a primary or caucus or worse?
Trump wins primaries. The establishment wins caucuses and worse.
>>72220434
Here we go again. Last time it was Wisconsin, now they are acting like Indiana is the most important state in the race. Trump won. These dumb fucks are delusional not to accept it.
>>72220434
>Wisconsin will surely stop him
>Colorado will be his downfall
>Trump lost Iowa, might as well call it quits
>Trump won every county in the april 26th primaries b-but that doesn't mean anything
>A poll just came out asking who you would be the most scared of become President (republican) with Trump at 37% while Cruz is at 59% b-but they'll get used to the """"""true""""" """""conservative"""""
Just go shill somewhere else m8.
>>72220507
>Trump is only 97% on track
#cruzmissile status: engaged
>>72220434
Ever Increasingly Nervous Man Who Has Failed To Predict The Outcome Of Every State In The Race Makes A Big Fucking Deal Out of an Unimportant State For the Seventh Time
Last night was based
5 60% results and not a single delegate for CRUZ in 6 states
He hasn't won a state with an actual popular vote in over a month
>>72220598
Nobody expected either of them to do any damage in the Northeast
>>72220691
A primary election.
Presidential election in Indiana, 2016
Primary election: Republican Party
https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_Indiana,_2016#Republican_Party
Indiana is expected to have 57 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, 27 will be district-level delegates (three for each of the state's nine congressional districts) pledged to adhere to the results of the presidential preference primary in their respective congressional districts. Indiana's pledged Republican delegates will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis; the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in a given district will win all of that district's delegates.
Example: Assume that there are three presidential candidates on the Republican primary ballot in Indiana. In District 1, Candidate A won 48 percent of the vote, Candidate B won 30 percent and Candidate C won 22 percent. Because Indiana's pledged delegates are allocated on a winner-take-all basis, all of the district's pledged delegates would be bound to support Candidate A.
Of the remaining 30 delegates, 27 serve at large. These delegates will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis; the candidate who wins the greatest share of the statewide vote in the primary will be allocated all of the at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) will serve as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention. The RNC delegates will be required to pledge their support to the winner of the state's primary
>>72220598
>>72220598
Only Kasich really stood a chance in the North-East. Cruz is too socially conservative for their tastes.
>>72221090
All he needs to do is deny 1237. If it goes to a second ballot, it's a lock for him
Damn right, clearly if he wins he is going to lose haha stupid rethuglikkkans.
>>72220968
>>72220898
>>72220886
As a former secretary of state, U.S. senator, first lady, and a lifelong advocate for women and families, no one is more qualified to be president than Hillary.
Hillary knows child care, equal pay, and paid leave are fundamental economic issues—not just “women’s issues.”
She is also very experienced in foreign policy.
Please donate at:
https://www.hillaryclinton.com/contribute/donate/
Increasingly nervous man.jpeg
>>72220434
Simply a coincidence.
>>72220507
If you add the unpledged delegates who say they'll vote for Trump in PA then Trump is @ ~990
This whole time they've told us Donald can't win. Again and again he proves them wrong.
He's by far an away the popular vote. He wins almost every state with open primaries.
>>72220434
I'm a Hoosier, and I am tirelessly working to make it known to my fellow Hoosier citizens, that we CANNOT allow a brokered convention to pick our candidate for us...this message must relentlessly be pounded.
>>72221289
wyf
>>72221289
>She is also very experienced in foreign policy.
>>72221289
experience at giving weapons to the US enemies and getting US citizens and soliders killed.
fuck shillary.
>>72221090
Now now, that isn't fair. RI gave Cruz a delegate since he managed to squeak out just above 10%.
>>72220434
>Open Primary
Trump's going to crush it and this hack and his "polls-plus" will once again prove useless
>>72220434
he'll be sitting his ass in the oval office, and people will still be writing articles on why he can't win
>>72221999
KEK CONFIRMS.
The number is not Bronze's side on this.
They only use the pledged delegates in Pen, but Trump pretty much got all the un-pledgeds too at this stage with them either will vote for Trump or respect the CD's decision (which is all for Trump).
If anything, he won about 150 delegates last night.
>>72220434
Nate Silver, statistics genius.
Well Nate, given your performance so far this election, your present observations are 0.007% likely to be correct.
>>72221289
something about shekels and your goldman sachs account
>>72220507
>trump will fare best in states with small shares of college graduates
What is this autism? Trump is winning everywhere, both the educated and the poorly educated vote for him
>>72222222
omg my first septs i'm so happy
>>72222222
>>72222222
WASTED
>>72222222
Bad get, pay denbts
>>72222222
>>72222259
checked
pay denbts
>>72222222
Septs post best post
>>72222222
chequed
>>72222222
>>72222222
nice
>>72222222
>Trump is winning everywhere
Septs confirm.
MAGA
>>72222222
Wasted septs desu.
>>72222222
>It's not me
Fuck you I am the only Greek guy posting here regularly and you got the GET?
>>72222222
hello
>>72222333
DEUS KEK!
>>72222222
>>72222333
>>72222222
Dog bless Greece
>>72221550
RARE NIGGER
A
R
E
N
I
G
G
E
R
>>72222222
spoken. septs wills it.
>>72222222
Well said. We'll forgive 10% of denbts for this.
>>72222222
PAY SEPTS
>>72222222
Hi /r/4chan
>>72222222
M A G A
SEPTS CONFIRM A TRUMP PRESIDENCY
IT'S FUCKING HAPPENING
>>72222222
WE LOVE THE POORLY EDUCATED
>>72222222
GRIECHEN! PAY YOUR FUCKING DENBTS ALREADY!!
>>72222222
WITNESSED
>>72222222
you have 7 digits, please pay up
>>72221838
>RI
>If three people get over 10% in a district but noone gets 67% all three get 1 delegate
Its like the participation trophy state.
>>72222222
7 + seven 2's
MAGA
>>72222222
>>72222222
SEPTS CONFIRM
DENBTS NO LONGER TO BE PAYED
MAGA AND SHIT
>>72222222
LET THE BODIES HIT THE FLOOR
>>72222222
THREAD DERAILED ON ACCOUNT OF THE TRUMPENING
>>72220434
Trump has already won the nomination, stop speculating already.
>>72222222
dat sho is a lotta 2's
>>72220434
Desperation.
>>72222222
MAGA
>>72222222
Oh my god... OH MY GODDDDDDDDDDD
>>72221171
Nope. Only Trump did. Kasich is from Ohio and people from the NE or West Coast think we all ride tractors and fuck our sisters here because we're not on either coast.
>>72222454
Fuck you
Hi mom
>>72222222
CANT STUMP THE TRUMP
CHECK EM FAGGOTS
PRAISE KEK
>>72222222
excellent digits
>>72222222
that's biblical
>>72222222
Shieks favorite post
>>72222222
No denbts needed ever
>>72222222
awoovement
>>72222222
DELETE POST
BECOME GOD
>>72222222
Praise Kek
MAGA
>>72222222
PAY DENBTS NOW
>>72221550
Hello negro
>>72222222
DENBTS PAID IN FULL
>>72221509
Every fucking time.
>>72222333
>that flag
>>72220507
>hurr durr muh uneducated votes for trump
That's why he BTFO everyone in Massachusetts, the most educated state, right? And apparently places like kansas and iowa are the most educated, since they voted against trump?
What a load of bullshit. The truth is that the places that vote Trump are those with a significant amount of dindus and other forms of shit skins.
And why doesn't anyone ever use this "uneducated voters" meme against the democrats? The democrat's base (and hillary's in particular) is a bunch of welfare-loving niggers who barely got through 7th grade. But nobody disparagingly talks about that.
>>72222222
Cunt. Enjoy your (You)s.
>>72222222
Well, there we have it.
>>72222222
checked
>>72222222
He took Mass and Conn and it's not like those states are known for higher education.
>>72222744
PRAISE KEK
>>72222222
Noice
>>72222222
I'm coming to your house and marrying you.
>>72222222
denbts?
paid.
>>72222222
>>72222222
Sheeeit
>>72222222
Get the septs and wipe away the debt.
I was in board with Trump but after his disgusting misogynist statements I am now a proud #HillDog
>>72222222
Witnessed
>>72222222
TRUMP
WINNING
EVERYWHERE
>>72222333
Kek is truly with us, brothers
>>72223122
don't post this
only the Estonian shitposter can post this
>>72222222
KEK BE PRAISED
>>72220434
What I don't understand is why Cruz and Trump supporters keep going on about Colorado.
DESU I think it may have been SLIGHTLY unfair for Trump, and as everyone keeps going on about the vote was decided by delegates, not popular vote.
I think a majority of voters did not understand how Colorado's delegate system works, regardless of whether or not the candidates knew, so to say that Cruz was the candidate that the people of Colorado wanted is simply unfounded.
I can't even find any sort of popular vote count for the election of the Colorado delegates, but in polling data Trump has been above Cruz.
Now, I do know its completely possible that the polls were simply wrong, but without popular vote data it's impossible to say that Cruz totally deserved the nomination in the sense that he had the largest number of voters on his side.
>>72223122
Burger, stop. This gif is for faggots only. Are you a faggot?
>>72222222
making a wish on these septs.
>>72222222
KEK is here goys.
>INCREASINGLY NERVOUS JEWISH MAN INVENTS NEW SCHOOLS OF MATH TO SHOW TRUMP CAN'T WIN THE ELECTION, FOR THE SEVENTH TIME THIS YEAR
>>72222222
I still can't fucking believe it. This must be destiny.
>>72220434
Nate fucking Silver again? Why are you even posting this shit?
>>72222259
You're a hero !
>>72222222
IT IS WRITTEN
>>72222222
Say it with me
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP
>>72221289
>She is also very experienced in foreign policy.
>>72222222
>Trump is winning everywhere
>>72222222
May all your debts be paid in full.
>>72222222
Epic, bro septs confirm Trump's reign
>>72222222
>>72220434
TL;DR;
Come on it's pathetic... idiots are trying to stump Trump for almost a year. Get lost bitches.
CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP
>CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP
CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP
>CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP
CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP
>CAN'T STUMP THE TRUMP
!!!###HELLO RATO###!!!
>>72222222
ITS HAPPENING
>>72222378
>I am the only Greek guy posting here regularly
did you even stay until 5:30 AM yesterday to hear God-Emperors victory speech?
>>72220434
>Ted Cruz called a basketball hoop a ‘basketball ring’ while recreating a scene from ‘Hoosiers’
http://ftw.usatoday.com/2016/04/ted-cruz-basketball-ring-hoosiers-indiana-gop-primary
You don't fuck up with a state's holiest of sports.
CONFIRMED FOR ELIMINA-TED
>>72222222
UN - FUCKING - STUMPABLE
>>72222222
>>72222222
FUGGGGG
DEUS VULT
CRUSADES NOW
KILL THE KIKES
>>72222222
checked
>this is probably the biggest achievement in his life
>>72223621
Trump knew what was going on, and knew he was going to lose it, so he just turned it around into getting people all triggered about the party being unfair to him. It could possibly even trigger feelings of guilt in some of those delegates and have them vote for him instead if they are unbound as I think they are.
>>72222222
NO NEED TO PAY DENBTS ANYMORE
>>72222222
Based denbts guy
>>72223556
What if I do it so he can't?
>>72222886
RARE
Even if proxyfag
>>72222886
Hail GOD emporer TROMP
>>72223621
It's because Cruz walked into this situation. It'd be one thing if he got the colorado et al delegates and kept it at that. But he kept parading them around as actual victories. "LOOK AT ALL THESE STATES I WON, WOW!". You shouldn't fucking do that for voterless victories. His own hubris is what got him.
>those are the rules.
Yeah that's right, but listen. Nobody likes the smarmy "well the rules are the rules :^)" guy. NOBODY EVER LIKES THAT. Whether it's playing a board game with that guy or having that guy be your presidential candidate.
>>72223556
fuck off
>>72224665
Delete this
>>72222222
Łitnesd
>>72224885
That's some weird way to write ßitnesd
>>72222259
Your debt is paid...
>>72221509
>Jew memes when Trump is subservient to the Jew
Even if Trump loses Indiana, he has a 70% chance of hitting 1237. These are average case expectations too. In the optimistic model, Trump is even higher.
If Trump wins Indiana, he's inevitable. Even if Trump loses Indiana, he still has a good shot.
>>72224714
This, cruz was being more arrogant with his wins than trump was. He should've shut his big mouth or be polite about it. Instead his ego fucked any possibility of additional progress more than anyone else ever will.
>>72220434
Kek they switch to he can't win, to well if he doesn't win he fucked up! Prepping for if they steal the election, to blame it on Trump.
>>72220434
>>72221509
>By AARON BYCOFFE and DAVID WASSERMAN
If you play with on of those delegate simulator thing you'll see no realistic way Trump can get less than 1237, he'd have to get less than 40% of the votes overall to fall behind.
>>72224860
TROMP 4 EVER
>>72220507
>includes unbound PA delegates in its count
>but wont fucking add them to Trump despite them being on the record as supporting him or whoever wins their county/state.
![trump-i-am-growing-stronger-300x278[1].png](https://i.imgur.com/qJuGPCm.png "trump-i-am-growing-stronger-300x278[1].png")
>>72222222
wew
![22-october-transitional-2011[1].jpg](https://i.imgur.com/d2K97UW.jpg "22-october-transitional-2011[1].jpg")
>>72221289
>She is also very experienced in foreign policy.
>mfw
>>72222222
Make Kosovo Serbia Again
>>72222222
>>72220434
>Nate Silver
>>72225523
Why do you want kebabs?
>>72225562
kek, what a pathetic little rat he is, hiding behind stats and claiming impartiality to shill
>>72225523
Never going to happen shitstain.
>>72222222
OOOOOO shiuueeettttttt
>>72220434
>winning something is having something to lose
Wow, the spin in this could turn back time.
![1460901285542[1].png](https://i.imgur.com/k9iWNuA.png "1460901285542[1].png")
>>72222222
Kek's light shine upon us all.
>>72222222
Septs.
>>72220434
>Nate Silver
Requesting the compilation of all his anti Trump articles
>>72222222
Denbts transferred to Germany
>>72222222
DEUS VULT
>>72220434
Quoting that shit site. kek
I'm sure Cruz and his "basketball ring" sermon
will rally people around him after he couldn't
win 1 county out of 304, last night.
It's over. People don't want to side with an obvious loser
President Trump
Say it...PRE-ZO-DENT TRUUUUUUUMP
>>72221177
Cruz will never win a contested/brokered GOP convention.
>>72221289
I want to believe this is one of those legit shills that Hillary has hired, but I know it's one of you /pol/lacks baiting as usual.
>>72222222
Kek has spoken
>>72220507
538 only takes PA's 17 delegates, not the 40 additional delegates Trump won, he is on track!
>>72226064
They will nominate someone who wasn't even in the primary if it comes to that. Probably Mittens or Ryan.
>>72223639
TWO FUCKING TRIANGLES
>>72222222
2 many 2's
>>72222222
thank you
>>72221289
I don't understand these posts.
Are they actual, pathetically transparent shill posts? or are they just unimaginative shitposts? poe's law is in full effect these days.
>>72224288
Did he score a touchdown?
>>72226173
They'll most likely give the nomination to Trump if he's only off by like 100.
>>72225279
>he'd have to get less than 40% of the votes overall
that seemed plausible after Wisconsin. Trump was struggling to reach/break 40% and there was consolidation behind Cruz. now, though? nope.
>>72226313
He scored a TKO. You don't touchdown in a ring, dumbass.
>>72222222
Check'd.
There's no way we can argue with one who just got MOTHERFUCKING SEPTS. If you're not correct, the significance of all these achievements... No, better to not think about.
Your statement is divinely correct.
>>72225726
>Albania
>calling Serbia a shitstain
>>72224288
Did Cruz just come out as a witch?
Quidich has rings. He's probably just confused as to what the difference was.
>>72222222
Checked
>>72222222
Check'd.
>>72220434
Tump only needs 45% of the remaining delegates (everyone else needs more than is possible)
Indiana really isn't that important, but he'll win it anyways.
>>72221060
All states are important you dumb nigger
>>72222222
>winning everywhere
>>72226493
Shut your nigger mouth.
>>72226334
Exactly, yesterday the lowest he did was 54.4% in MD. And Cruz was 3rd in all but one race (PA) where he wasn't so far ahead of Kasich. That ship definitely has sailed.
>>72226576
>Indiana really isn't that important
It's WTA, so it is. Especially when other WTA like south dakota will go to rato
>>72222222
OH SHIT NIGGA
>>72222222
>Trump is winning everywhere
Hepts confirm.
>>72226318
That's what the analysts all say, but i find it hard to believe that they wouldn't sink him immediately if given a legit way to do it. I'd rather Trump get over the threshold so he doesn't end up "owing" these establishment pricks anything later on down the road.
>>72222222
oh baby those digits
>>72226293
Ironic Ironic shitposting, they have yet to level up to unironic ironic shitposting.
>>72226334
>tfw New York single handedly destroyed rato
god bless New York
>>72222222
REMOVE DENBTS
>>72220434
Indiana is Red as fuck still.
Southern IN Universities are nice and pro-gun even.
>>72222222
PRAISE KEK, KEK WILLS IT. THE MEME LORD RISES. B A S E D.
>>72222333
>K E K
>W I L L S
>I T
>Nate Silver
How can one man be wrong so many times but still stick to his opinion?
>>72226806
you must have missed the part where i said Trmp only needs 45% of the remaining delegates
Indiana is important, but its not going to stump Trump if he loses it. and i really don't see how Cruz or Kasich are going to rally support after being mathematically eliminated and trying to pull off some really stupid shit.
>>72221289
Her foreign policy led to fucking ISIS. We're going to become fucking Sweden/Germany tier with rapist muslims if she's prez
>>72220434
i live in indiana and dont know a single voter who isnt voting for trump. so indiana is looking ok
i mean, obviously you have your faggot milennials who would suck bernies cock for a free pot cookie, but everyone else ive talked to is voting trump
>>72222222
LORD KEK HAS BLESSED US
>>72222333
>>72222333
>>72222333
R A R E
A
R
E
CAMO FLAG
>>72222222
>>72222222
Trump is the only hope for Greece
>>72220434
>shill
>shill
>shill
FiveThirtyEight should change their name to Henny Penny with how wrong they've been on this race.
>>72222222
PRAISE KEK
>>72222222
SEPTS HAVE SPOKEN
GREECE DEFAULTING ON DENBTS
>>72220434
This shit gets more and more pathetic every single time they try to say it. Trump will be the nominee, by the grace of God and the power of his own will.
HAIL THE EMPEROR
HAIL KEK
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1w4IxCXIxU
>>72222222
KEK WIELDS IT
GOD BLESS YOU, GREECE.
DEBNT CANCELLED
>>72222222
now all you need to do is pay debts
>>72222222
Witnessed
>>72222222
Unbelievable.
Unbelievable I tell you that.
>>72227477
How about ThreeFiddyEight?
>>72222378
GET GET GET GET GET
GOT GOT GOT GOT GOT
>>72222222
He truly is winning everywhere
>>72226976
>checking dubs on /po/
>>72227656
>about
>>72222222
Witnessed
>>72227227
Double trips
>>72222222
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QLt0lerdgKs
>>72222222
Wow
>>72222222
WINNING EVERYWHERE
>>72222222
The 2s don't lie
>>72222222
KEK WILLS IT
>>72222222
>>72224288
Oh my god it's 7/11 all over again
>>72225562
How can one man be so far off the mark so many times on a single issue, and still be trotted out by the media as an "election guru"? The guy literally has no fucking idea what's going on, he's less good at predictions than a broken magic 8 ball. You could literally be blindfolded and throw a handful of darts at a phonebook and come closer to picking the name of the next POTUS.
Nate Silver is so unfathomably fucking terrible at his job that he probably thinks Kasich will win in November.
>>72227227
>he thinks past performance in predictions affects pundits
The world of punditry is filled with people who consistently got everything wrong.
It's not even just politics, you can make a living writing about stock pics for a lifetime even if you'd perform worse than by just throwing darts randomly at the stocks page of the WSJ.
You can be a highly sought-after fortune-teller who makes yearly predictions and gets everything wrong and people will still throw money at you.
>>72222222
KEK WILLS IT
>>72222222
SEPTS !!!
>>72222222
RARE NUMBER
A
R
E
>>72222222
Witnessed
>>72222222
(You)
If only septuplets were drachma
>>72221289
>She is also very experienced in foreign policy.
Experienced...
KeK keks it
>>72222398
Shouldn't it be Kek vult?
>>72222222
What a time to be alive
>>72228665
nice
>>72222222
HOLY FUCKIN COCK
O
L
Y
F
U
C
K
I
N
C
O
C
K
>>72222222
Mother of God...
>>72222222
Holy shit witnessed. First pic related and now this.
>>72220507
>shows trump as having underperformed in PA and having not hit his target, even though he fucking did and actually exceeded it by quite a lot
fucking nate "ceiling" silver, that god damn kike
also,
>i-indiana will surely stump trump!!!!
yeah just like everywhere else right?
can't wait for this fool's career to be over after this shit show
>>72222222
WITNESSED
>>72222222
a prophecy is fulfilled. Go now brother, tell the world of your enlightenment.
>>72222222
one post for greece, another victory for /pol/
>>72228665
fucking kek
>>72228870
He'll just go underground and re-emerge in 2018 to shill for whichever pathetic turbocuck the Democrats pick to challenge Trump in 2020. Probably Elizabeth Warren.
>>72228867
getting quite the collection i see
>>72222222
fucking checked
noice
>>72228870
>can't wait for this fool's career to be over after this shit show
>>Silver
I've got some bad news for you sunshine.
>>72227744
>anon thinks hes on /po/
also, checked
>>72222222
PRAISE KEK. WITNESSED.
CRUZ IS DOOMED.
Wherever I see mentions of primaries, winning a state and all the other American election bullshit, I'm amazed. This entire system is made to stop anybody who's not a political oligarch belonging to one of the two dominant parties from even having a chance of being elected. It's completely absurd.
>>72222222
SEVEN TWOS SEVEN TWOS
TRUMP WINS 72%
