HE JUST PLAYED OUT THE REST OF THE STATES.
TRUMP FAGS BTFO
>implying trump needs to win 1,237 outright.
if trump isn't nominated then the GOP is pretty much committing suicide as millions of people won't vote for the nominee in november and that's a massive blow to them considering this is their last chance to win or they lose everything.
>>72119954
Trump can't beat Clinton anyways.
>>72120209
it's a win/win m8
either we get trump and we begin rebuilding america or we get a race war.
>>72120362
>we
There's no "we", remember? Back of the queue, Nigel.
Also, Trump can't win, and there will be no race war. I think you know this.
>>72120209
He will destroy her
>>72120468
Stfu Ted
>>72120209
au contraire. I think Trump is hoping to come up against Clinton. He's been exceptionally friendly against her so far - maybe he has something huge to discredit her that he's been holding back
>>72120209
Trump wins nominee
Many blue collar Union democrats vote trump.
Ben based Carson as VP, dindus will flock to the Donald
>>72119772
He's saying trump will lose Washington? Kek
>>72119772
>By our count, there are currently 146 uncommitted delegates (other counts differ slightly) who are free to support whichever candidate they choose at the convention: nine from American Samoa; nine from Guam; five from the Virgin Islands; 28 from North Dakota; 54 from Pennsylvania; three from Oklahoma; 10 from Louisiana; four from Wyoming; seven from Colorado; and 17 from Minnesota. This number will likely rise as delegate spots that were pledged to former candidates become uncommitted. It may also change based on the outcome of the West Virginia primary or if additional candidates drop out of the race.
>A new Fox News poll of likely California primary voters released late Friday shows Trump leading the Republican field with 49%, leading both Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), who is at a distant second with 22%, and Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 20%. A poll by CBS/YouGov has Trump as the same.
Trump will DEFINITELY get more than just over half in Cali of the 172 available. He is doubled up over both of the other two guys, he'll get closer to 130. That alone will win it for him.
There are also 146 unpledged delegates, and the number will rise if Ka-bitch drops out. Trump will get some of these, maybe even a sizable chunk (30-35%), which would be another 40-50 delegates. Just with these two things, He will break 1300.
It's in the bag folks, we're gonna MAGA.
>>72120209
Shill heckling or as I call it shekeling
>>72120209
How will Clinton beat Trump? What red states will she flip? None. Obama won FIVE states with less than 51% of the vote (Florida, Ohio, Virginia, PA, and Nevada). Trump got MORE votes than Hill dog in Ohio (even though Ka-bitch won), got 30,000 less out of over 2 million cast in FA, but now Rubitchio is out, so he will SURELY pass her. FL has two republican senators, and a republican governor. It's going red, 100%. Trump will BTFO her in PA as well. By flipping these 3 states, that alone assures a republican victory. No other states were within 10 percentage points (55-45) either way. It allllll comes down to just these five states, and Trump is in prime position to take Ohio, Florida, PA, and VA. Maybe even Indiana, and some say even Illinois.
>>72119772
That's funny because Hannity is on at 9 or 10pm est.
>>72120662
Yeah...is he saying Trump gets Zero? It's by congressional districts. If you think Trump wins zero districts, you're insane.
>>72121023
See you in November. Have those kleenex ready. Just like you optimistic right wing fags do every 4 years with your ridiculous projections and conjecture with no basis in reality.
1. the GOP chairman himself said that if Trump hits 1,100 it is extremely likely he would get the nomination during the second nonbound vote
2. Trump is polling at 45% in CA, with the rest of the delegates mathematically eliminated. California's GOP is also where the SOS Initiative came from, and Trump is the hardest candidate on immigration. If he can get 51% then the WTA trigger happens and he gets all 172 delegates. Cruz is polling at 28%, Kaisch at 17%. They're splitting the vote against him.
3. Trump is also polling well in NJ, currently at 52% (above the WTA trigger). That's another 51 delegates.
>>72121405
Republicans outvoted dems in those 5 states by almost 35% in the primaries.
>>72121405
back in 2008 most people here realized Obama would win, because Paul was fucked in Iowa while Obama roasted Hilary at the debates. It's clear your only frame of reference was Romney
>>72121000
thats pretty good
nice trips
>>72121440
I thought Cali was WTA by congressional district? Didn't think there was an outright WTA threshold?
And I thought NJ was just straight WTA, so whoever wins gets the 51
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-four-corners-of-the-gop-donald-trump-owns-three-of-them/?ex_cid=story-twitter
>However, if Cruz falls even one vote short of victory in Indiana on May 3, it’ll be difficult to stop Trump from winning the GOP nomination on the first ballot.
When do polls close?
>>72121905
This is correct. But Trump is at 48, with Cruz at 23 in 2nd place, so Trump will almost certainly win all the districts
>>72121466
Because there are more people running in the Republican primaries than there are in the the Democratic.
Stop with this "REPS ARE VOTING MORE THAN DEMS" meme.
Of course Democrats aren't voting in mass, Hillary has this in the bag, why bother going out to vote when you know she's getting the nomination. Most states she had 70-30 margins.
On the other hand, the Republicans are having a harder time picking their candidate so MORE people are thinking "Hey, need to go out to vote so I make sure my candidate gets the vote". And when it came to razor thin margins especially in the early primaries of course the Republicans had massive turnouts.
Tl;dr More candidates=more turnout
>>72122147
bout.......7 bongs 30 bings
>>72122173
wew lad. Everything about this is wrong. What about 2012? Dems had put out 40% more votes up to today comparatively. Just had Hill dog and Obama running.
Dems are just not voting as much, it's simple.
>>72120829
I seriously doubt that Trump gets more than a handful of uncommitted delegates. They want to force a contested convention.
By the way, has there been any more news on the Colorado "re-do"?
>>72120829
100% of in pledged delegates will go to Cruz. Trump literally has not won 1 delegate that wasn't forced to vote for him by popular vote.
>>72122679
The issue has been magnified now, with Clinton securing the 'superdelegates' and this is essentially the same deal. If Trump gets less than even half his fair share (45% of the vote, so 22% or so) there will be a shitstorm.
You could be right though, but it would reflect badly on Cruz, since repubs associate delegate stealing as a dem/clinton move.
>>72120209
We'll see. Trump's chances can only get better from now on.
>>72120829
Have you seen the polling from California? Trump is at 49%
4/18 - 4/21 583 LV 4.0 49 22 20 Trump +27
CBS News/YouGov 4/13 - 4/15 1012 LV 4.8 49 31 16 Trump +18
Cruz and Kasich are crumbling and Trump is going to win big. PA is supposed to be Trump country because it's a state full of old white people and few hispanics. CA was supposed to be big for Kasich because of the highly educated population and hostile toward Trump because of the large hispanic population. If CA is polling like PA, it's ogre!
>>72121405
I saw you in another thread, shill. Do you there will never be another republican president? You better hope for it, if the Dems turn this country into a socialist shithole with little rule of law, people will be executing and torturing liberals for sport.
>>72122844
>hostile toward Trump because of the large hispanic population.
Right, but those are all democratic bitches. Only the GOP gets to vote in the GOP primary, and you can bet your ass they want a goddamn wall.
>>72121905
>>72122163
This, also I am impressed with how knowledgeable a brit is about a primary
>>72120620
Stop calling black people dindus you autist. If you want black people to vote for Drumpf you have to show some respect.
>>72123275
Kill yourself moon cricket.
>>72123078
Ha, I'm pretty invested in this election. Knew nothing about any of it before Trump entered.
>>72119772
>t. Increasingly nervous man
>implying normalfags know anything about politics past "trump bad cunton good"
Really, these stats that say bernie votes would rather go for trump than hilldog are wrong, they can only think "muh left"
MAGA
>>72123448
Cali has very similar rules to what NY had. Trump will get 85-95% of the delegates if not more, since he'll win essentially every district. Even a 35-33-32 win for Trump in a district will net him the delegates. He'd have to LOSE the district, not just get less than 50% to lose all the delegates IIRC. Evan 1 % victory nets him eveyr delegate, even NY gave 1 out of 3 to second place if the winner got less than 50.
Be prepared for Trump to BTFO everyone again and win 160 delegates. What a day it will be.
>>72119954
The scary thing is the the GOP is okay with losing, because Hillary will advance the interests of the party elite anyways. They'll just try again in 4 years, because they're the only 'conservative' game in town.
>>72120597
He's saving his ammo because if he used it now, it would
1. Distract from the corrupt GOP and the delegate-stealing Cruz
2. Increase the chances of Bernie winning, who Trump has far less ammunition against
He's just waiting till he gets the nom to get started
>>72119772
>implying Trump won't get at least 150 delegates tonight
>implying Trump won't win at least 1/4 of the delegates in OR and WA
>implying Trump won't get CA and NJ
>implying 846 + 150 + 11 + 7 + 172 + 51 doesn't equal 1237
>>72123062
Even assuming that all hispanics in California are democrats, which isn't true, even CA republicans were supposed to be more tolerant and less xenophobic than Trump supporters.
>>72119772
>what if...
>>72124004
85% of them are dems.
>>72122679
>Trump literally has not won 1 delegate that wasn't forced to vote for him by popular vote.
This is the problem with Cruz supporters. You guys literally don't care about the will of the people because of muh ground game. This is why you will lose in the end. The voters will fucking R I O T if trump is close and doesn't get the nod
>>72121440
>it is extremely likely he would get the nomination during the second nonbound vote
I've been calling Trump and assuming he can only possibly win on the first round, this just makes it better.
Nigga please, it's way too early to call.
Heck, Trump could theoretically reach ~1400 delegates still.
Hush. We'll know more after tonight.
>>72119772
when can we expect results from the election today?
>>72119772
It's the same fucking story about the "Trump ceiling" back in November, then December, then January, etc etc.
They are making up bullshit in order to 'derail' the Trump train, but it's not working out for them. So what makes you think that bullshit will work on us here on /pol/..?
Loving this meme where people assume voters will vote for perpetual losers. After Cruz and Kasich win ZERO states, again, tonight, apathy will grow amongst their voter base. Trump has a sure fire 51 delegates in New Jersey, and if he wins 50% of California, he wins around 140 delegates.
>>72122679
Wrong.
The establishment is laughing its ass off plotting to stab Cruz in the back. Uncommitted delegates will go mostly to Trump to end the fight with the first ballot. They'll prevent the party from splitting and look good doing it.
>>72124427
7.5 hours from now
>>72120209
Hillary is in the strongest position she will ever be and they are within 10% of each others
She is fucked
>>72124004
>CA republicans were supposed to be more tolerant and less xenophobic than Trump supporters.
You make the mistake of assuming that "xenophobia" is the only opposite of tolerant. Cruz's bible thumping also goes against that spirit, and I'd imagine a state that has suffered problems from immigration are more likely to go for a social moderate like Trump.
That's why Trump is surging after the tranny bathroom non-issue. Cruz fell into the trap of pandering to states that already voted
>>72120209
Nah, she's toast. She's gone way too far left on arguably the 3 most important issues.
>Trade
Trump's protectionism vs NAFTA whore
>Immigration
Wall vs Amnesty/Sanctuary cities
>Guns
2nd amendment vs suing gun manufacturers
>>72124546
thank you very much!
>>72123275
DINDU DINDU DINDU DINDU DINDU
>>72124517
Don't forget that Trump has something that nobody else has: a free hand to divvy up spoils.
The executive branch is not a streamlined operation. There are all kinds of jobs that need to be filled when a new administration joins. Most politicians have all kinds of obligations to donors, staffers, other politicians, etc. to fill up these jobs. Trump has more openings than other candidates because he does't have as thorough a network (or ground game, if you will). This means that he has more spoils to offer up to the undecided delegates.
>>72124004
>CA republicans are less xenophobic
Lol no. We republicans in California are Republicans because we see how our idiotic Democratic leadership is destroying our state with unchecked illegal immigration.
Don't push your liberal bullshit on us.
>>72120620
>>72123275
Your right, he should call them there proper name. Niggers.
>>72120468
>Clinton has 8-point or higher lead in national polls
>"lol trump can't beat Clinton"
>Trump coins the term "Crooked Hillary"
>latest poll shows Clinton with a 3- point lead, which is within the margin of error
He hasn't even gotten started on her. Trump will absolutely destroy Hillary Clinton for good. Look what he did to ¡Jeb! Look what he did to Rubio and Cruz. He didn't just knock them out of the race, he completely destroyed them and their careers publicly. They've been ruined by facing the Donald.
Literally the only thing Shillary has going for her is that the media and political elite give her a free pass on everything. Trump is the only one in that world who will not, who will instead drag her through the mud which is exactly what she deserves. He's going to destroy the entire Clinton legacy. It's going to be glorious
>>72122844
CA repub primary is closed this year, how many beans are registered republicans? Yeah.
He did both a best case scenario and worst case scenario map you fucking leaf
>>72119954
>lose everything
Tbh Republicans are even bigger chucks than dems. They pretend their part is better when they've been sold off to special interests and the mil industrial complex. This isn't even news. They somehow convince them every few years that they need to go to eat with some 3rd world shut hole, that the NSA isn't to cuck them, that they represent conservatism, end up spending like the dems or with them. If the republican base had any conviction they'd have moved on to a more tea party/ libertarian minded party or pushed the GOP that way.
>>72123275
He's right. We can call them Dindus here but use your best propaganda spreading skills when mentioning trump.
>>72124220
What people? Not even a majority of Republicans?
>>72125272
No let them try to belittle and assault us. It just pushes the people, who are on the fence about trump, over the tipping point.
I know liberals who are now thinking trumps the best option so far, due to everyone attacking him and his supporters
>>72121000
undercooked roast
>>72124220
>implying he's actually a cruz missle
newfags need to improve on their ability to detect shills
