>human intuition is reliable
>I feel this is right
>I have never studied statistical inference or anything but I feel this candidate knows his shit
topkek plebs
This is why Plato hated democracy btw
>>307559
Please expand, this could be an intredasting thread.
>>307567
Basically this stuff here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases
>>307559
>tfw people say something like "this poll can't be right, it only polled 0.01% of the population"
>tfw you try to show them percentage doesn't matter in the error margin of a poll
>tfw they believe so strongly in human intuition they refuse to believe you and become violent
my intuition got me into a lot of good things, and saved my life too, that being said, I'm not defending how some just have godawful intuition though.
>this thread
essentially this thread will boil down to N vs S types.
>>307610
Intuition is useful but you should be skeptical about it and verify it.
>>307620
ofcourse, I use reason and logic about why I feel about something in a certain way too, its just that my intuition is stronger, but not by very much. because hey - who dares wins, right?
>>307610
More like NT and everyone else
Also iirc the colloquial meaning of intuition is only one part of the book, it includes a lot on the mistakes commonly made even when we think we're being 'rational'
>>307564
>you will NEVER have a philosopher king run your country
>>307588
doesn't the error margin scale with 1 over the root of N even with the CLT?
>>307731
Wasn't that what the general secretary of the USSR was technically supposed to be? I guess they fucked that one up
